Chapter 14 Financial Performance Measurement 14–1 Starbucks Corporation From 2005 to 2007, earnings per share increased 43% and net revenues increased 48% The company ended the fiscal 2007 year with $281 million in total cash and cash equivalents As you study this chapter, consider what other financial performance measures would be important to investors? © Royalty Free/ Getty Images Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–2 LO1 Financial Performance Measurement Shows important relationships in the financial statements and relates them to important financial objectives; also called financial statement analysis Users of Financial Information Internal External Top managers Creditors Mid-level managers Investors Employees Customers Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–3 Management: Financial Objectives and Related Performance Objectives Liquidity Ability to pay bills when due Profitability Earn a satisfactory net income Long-term solvency Able to survive for many years Cash flow adequacy Generate sufficient cash Market strength Able to increase stockholders’ wealth Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–4 External Users Use financial performance measurement to: past performance present position Assess future earnings potential and risk Assess future debt paying ability © Royalty Free/ Corbis Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–5 Assessment of Risk Well-established, (stable company) Newly established, (small company) Can predict future profitability with higher level of confidence Lower risk Difficult to predict future profitability Higher risk Investors demand higher expected returns for high risk investments Creditors demand higher interest rates from high risk companies Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–6 Standards of Comparison When analyzing financial statements, decision makers often use these measures to determine whether the results are favorable or unfavorable: Rule-of-thumb measures Past performance Industry norms Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–7 Rule-of-Thumb Measures General standards that financial analysts or lenders might apply to key ratios For example A current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) of 2:1 is acceptable. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. WARNING! USE WITH CAUTION May not apply to all companies/industries measures may simply suggest a need for further investigation 14–8 Past Performance Comparison of financial measures or ratios of the same company over a period of time An improvement over rule-of-thumb measures basis for judging whether the measure or ratio is improving or deteriorating helpful in showing possible future trends Past performance may not be a useful indicator of adequacy for the future Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–9 Industry Norms Shows how a company compares with other companies in the same industry Wal-Mart Target Return 7.8% on assets 6.1% Profit margin 3.4% 3.1% Return 19.3% on equity 18.5% Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Limitations: Companies may not be strictly comparable Diversified companies are difficult to compare different accounting procedures often makes companies difficult to compare 14–10 Sources of Financial Information? Reports published by the corporation Annual report interim financial statements Reports filed with the SEC Form 10-K (annual) Form 10-Q (quarterly) Business periodicals and credit and investment advisory services The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Barron’s Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–11 Executive Compensation Components of compensation: Annual base salary Incentive bonuses Stock option awards © Royalty Free/ Corbis compensation committee on the board determines the company’s top executives compensation and reports to the SEC. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Starbuck’s CEO received a base salary of $1,190,000, an incentive bonus of an equal amount, and a stock option award of 550,000 shares of common stock. 14–12 Discussion: Ethics on the Job Explain the following statement: As long as chief financial officers and other corporate managers' salaries, bonuses, or promotions are linked to earnings, the temptation to manage earnings will remain a problem. A manager whose bonus or salary is tied to corporate performance stands to benefit personally if he or she boosts earnings, even if artificially so. This places an ethical dilemma before the officers of a corporation. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–13 Stop & Review Q. What performance objective is tied to the financial objective of liquidity? A. The ability to pay bills when due and to meet unexpected needs for cash Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–14 Stop & Review Q. Why would you expect the investment risk to be lower for a well-established, stable company? A. Able to review prior performance and trends and predict future profitability with greater assurance than a newer company Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–15 Stop & Review Q. What three measures of comparison are often used to determine whether financial results are favorable or unfavorable? A. Rule-of-thumb measures; past performance; industry norms Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–16 LO2 Horizontal Analysis Computes changes from the previous year to the current year divided by the previous year Amount of Change Percentage Change Base Year Amount Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–17 Starbucks’ Horizontal Analysis Starbucks Corporation Consolidated Income Statements For the Years Ended September 30, 2007, and October 1, 2006 (Dollar amounts in thousands) Increase (Decrease) 2007 Net revenues Cost of sales, including occupancy costs Gross margin Operating expenses: Store operating expenses Other operating expenses Deprec. and amortization expenses General and adminstrative expenses Total operating expenses Operating income Other income, net Income before income taxes Provision for income taxes Net income 2006 $ 9,411,497 $ 7,786,942 3,999,124 3,178,791 $ 5,412,373 $ 4,608,151 $ 3,215,889 294,136 467,160 489,249 $ 4,466,434 $ 945,939 110,425 $ 1,056,364 383,726 $ 672,638 Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Amount $ 1,624,555 820,333 $ 804,222 $ 2,687,815 $ 253,724 387,211 479,386 $ 3,808,136 $ $ 800,015 $ 106,228 $ 906,243 $ 324,770 $ 581,473 $ 528,074 40,412 79,949 9,863 658,298 145,924 4,197 150,121 58,956 91,165 Percentage 20.9 25.8 17.5 19.6 15.9 20.6 2.1 17.3 18.2 4 16.6 18.2 15.7 14–18 Trend Analysis Calculation of changes for several years Index Year Amount Index Base Year Amount Uses an index number Starbucks Corporation Net Revenues and Operating Income Trend Analysis 2007 Dollar values (In thousands) Net revenues Operating income Trend analysis (In percentages) Net revenues Operating income 2006 2005 2004 2003 $9,411,497 945,939 $7,786,942 800,015 $6,369,300 703,870 $5,294,247 549,460 $4,075,522 386,317 230.9 244.9 191.1 207.1 156.3 182.2 129.9 142.2 100.0 100.0 Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–19 Vertical Analysis or Common-Size Statement how the components of a financial statement relate to a total figure on the statement On the balance sheet, set total assets or total liabilities and stockholders’ equity to 100%. On the income statement, set net sales to 100%. The statement, expressed entirely in percentages, Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–20 Starbucks Common-Size Income Statement All other figures are expressed in relation to net revenues Cost of sales including occupancy costs is 42.5% of net revenues; depreciation and amortization expenses is 5.0% of net revenues Starbucks Corporation Common-Size Income Statements For the Years Ended September 30, 2007 and October 1, 2006 2007* Net revenues 100.0 Cost of sales, including occupancy costs 42.5 Gross margin 57.5 Operating expenses: Store operating expenses 34.2 Other operating expenses 3.1 Depreciation and amortization expenses 5.0 General and administrative expenses 5.2 Total operating expenses 47.5 Operating income 10.1 Other income, net 1.2 Income before income taxes 11.2 Provision for income taxes 4.1 Net income 7.1 *Percentages don't always add up due to rounding. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 2006* % % % % % % % 100.0 % 40.8 59.2 % 34.5 3.3 5.0 6.2 48.9 10.3 1.4 11.6 4.2 7.2 % % % % % 14–21 Ratio Analysis Identifies meaningful relationships between the components of the financial statements • Ratios may be expressed in several ways: Net income is 1/10 of sales Net income is 10 percent of sales The ratio of sales to net income is 10 to 1 (10:1) Sales are 10 times net income For every dollar of sales, the company has an average net income of 10 cents Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–22 Stop & Review Q. If you were asked to perform a vertical analysis of an income statement, which figure would you set to 100 percent? A. Net sales or net revenues Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–23 Stop & Review Q. What is the difference between trend analysis and horizontal analysis? A. Horizontal analysis compares two years while trend analysis compares several consecutive years. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–24 Stop & Review Q. The CEO of Roundtable Industries would like to know how the company’s sales and expenses have changed since the last year. Which type of analysis would be most useful? A. Horizontal analysis of the income statement Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–25 LO3 Illustration of Ratio Analysis Evaluating Liquidity Selected liquidity ratios for Starbucks: 2007 Current Ratio Current Assets Current Liabilities = = $1,696,487 $2,155,566 2006 = 0.8 times 0.8 times The company has insufficient current assets to cover current liabilities. 2007 Receivable Turnover = Net Sales Average A/R 2006 $9,411,497 = 36.7 times 37.5 times ($287,925 + $224,271) ÷ 2 = 2007 Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold Average Inventory = $3,999,124 = ($691,658 + $636,222) ÷ 2 2006 6.0 times 5.4 times Starbuck’s management of receivables declined while inventory improved from 2003 to 2004. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–26 Evaluating Profitability Selected profitability ratios for Starbucks: Profit Margin Net Income Net Sales = 2007 $672,638 $9,411,497 = 2006 = 7.1% 7.2% Starbucks is doing a slightly worse job of managing its costs per dollar of sales in 2007. 2007 Return on Assets = Net Income Average Total Assets $672,638 $4,886,410 = 2006 = 13.8% 2007 Return Net Income = on Equity Average Stockholders' Equity = $672,638 $2,256,312 14.2% 2006 = 29.8% 26.1% From 2006 to 2007 return on assets weakened but return on equity improved. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–27 Evaluating Long-Term Solvency Solvency ratio for Starbucks: 2007 Debt-toEquity Ratio = Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity = $3,059,761 $2,284,117 2006 = 1.3 times 1.0 times shows the amount of assets provided by creditors in relation to the amount provided by stockholders. The ratio increased from 2003 to 2004 – indicating an increased reliance on debt financing. Long-term solvency means that a company is expected to survive for many years. Increased debt may mean it is becoming too heavily leveraged and can result in bankruptcy Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–28 Evaluating Cash Flow Adequacy Selected cash flow adequacy ratios for Starbucks: 2007 Cash Flow Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities Net Income = $1,331,221 $672,638 = 2006 = 2.0 times 2.0 times The cash flow yield was stable from 2006 to 2007. 2007 Cash Flows to Sales = Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities Net Sales = $1,331,221 $9,411,497 = 2006 14.1% 14.5% The cash-generating ability of sales decreased from 2006 to 2007. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–29 Evaluating Market Strength Market price indicates how investors view the potential risk and return associated with owning the stock. Ratios that combine market price with earnings or dividends help measure investors’ confidence in a company. © Royalty Free/ Corbis Starbucks' Price/Earnings Ratio 2007 = Market Price per Share Earnings per Share Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. = $27.08 $0.90 2006 = 30.1 times 45.6 times 14–30 Internet Research: Starbucks Locate an investors guide or stock analysis website and find a current analysis of Starbucks’ stock (SBUX). Is the company considered a “buy,” “hold,” or “sell” stock? What discussion is provided that supports this opinion? Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–31 Performance Evaluation at Harley Davidson View this video to learn more about how companies like Harley Davidson evaluate their progress and performance. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–32 Stop & Review Q. Why might some investors find liquidity a more immediate goal than profitability? A. Some investors may feel that without sufficient cash to pay for debts, the company will not survive long enough to be profitable Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–33 Stop & Review Q. What types of ratios help investors determine liquidity? A. Current, quick, receivable turnover, days’ sales uncollected, inventory turnover, days’ inventory on hand, payables turnover, days’ payable Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–34 Chapter Review Problem The balance sheet and income statement for Tray Companies are presented on the following screens. As a prospective investor, review the statements and analyze the company’s performance as required in the next five steps. Required: 1. Perform a vertical analysis of the income statement. 2. How well is the company prepared to cover its current liabilities? 3. What is the company’s profit margin? How well does it compare to the industry norm of 9 percent? 4. Cash flows from operating activities were $563,535. What was the cash flow yield? 5. What is the return on assets? Total assets at the beginning of the year were $3,095,440. Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–35 Chapter Review Problem Tray Companies Income Statement For the Year Ended December 31, 20x6 Net revenues Cost of sales Gross margin Operating expenses Store operating expenses Other operating expenses Deprec. and amortization expenses General and adminstrative expenses Total operating expenses Operating income Other income, net Income before income taxes Provision for income taxes Net income Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. $1,435,339.00 765,339.00 $ 670,000.00 174,930.00 121,861.00 59,539.00 85,334.00 $ 441,664.00 228,336.00 34,797.00 $ 263,133.00 52,626.60 $ 210,506.40 14–36 Chapter Review Problem (cont’d) Tray Companies Balance Sheet December 31, 20x6 Assets Current assets Property, plant, and equipment, net Long-term investments Other assets Goodwill Other intangible assets Total assets $ 654,833 1,353,659 935,353 65,343 93,335 45,338 $ 3,147,861 Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity Current liabilities Deferred income taxes Long-term debt and other obligations Stockholders’ equity Total liabilities and stockholders' equity $ 353,987 34,985 1,183,533 1,575,356 $ 3,147,861 Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14–37 Chapter Review Problem (Solution) 1. Tray Companies Income Statement For the Year Ended December 31, 20x6 Net revenues Cost of sales Gross margin Operating expenses Store operating expenses Other operating expenses Deprec. and amortization expenses General and adminstrative expenses Total operating expenses Operating income Other income, net Income before income taxes Provision for income taxes Net income Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. $1,435,339 765,339 $670,000 100.0% 53.3 46.7% $174,930 121,861 59,539 85,334 $441,664 $228,336 34,797 $263,133 52,627 $210,506 12.2% 8.5 4.1 5.9 30.8% 15.9% 2.4 18.3% 3.7 14.7% 14–38 Chapter Review Problem (cont’d) 2. Current Ratio = 3. Profit Margin = Current Assets Current Liabilities Net Income Net Sales $654,833 $353,987 = 1.8 times $210,506 $1,435,339 = 14.7% = = This company is performing better than the industry norm of 9 percent. 4. Cash Flow Net Cash Flows from Oper. Activities = Yield Net Income 5. Return on Net Income = Assets Average Total Assets Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. = = $563,535 $210,506 $210,506 $3,121,651 = = 2.7 times 6.7% 14–39