Telematics and “Connected Vehicles” Mike Peterson (LFM ’94) Strategy Planning Manager OnStar michael.l.peterson@onstar.com Telematics and Connected Vehicles • • • • • Definition of Telematics Drivers Infrastructure Current & Future Offerings Challenges & Opportunities Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 2 Definition of Telematics and “Connected Vehicle” • A two-way connection to and from a vehicle for data and information transfer • Telematics is typically not: – Onboard autonomous navigation systems – AM/FM radio • A telematics system consists of: – Vehicle (cell phone, GPS, vehicle data) – Wireless interface – Back-office systems Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 3 Potential Components of a Telematics System WIRELESS INTERFACE Satellite / Microwave Point – to – Multi-Point CELLULAR WIRELESS CONNECTIVITY Fiber / Cable ENABLED VEHICLE CELL TOWERS Application Management Call Center BACK-OFFICE Content Providers SYSTEMS Source: Erik Bue Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 4 Markets for Telematics • Vehicle types – Personal vehicles: cars, trucks – Boats, motorcycles – Work vehicles: mail trucks, semis, Border Patrol, Coast Guard, ambulances • Vehicle owners – Personal – Fleets – Military Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 5 Value Propositions for Telematics • To consumers – Safety & security – Time savings (navigation) – Increased productivity (in vehicle) • To fleet provider – Optimization of assets (asset tracking, performance monitoring) • To business – Additional data from vehicles (warranty, usage) – Increased vehicle sales (or “price of survival”) • To government – Improved infrastructure management (traffic, tolls) Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 6 There is a significant market opportunity for telematics, if done right. • Wireless use is growing – US wireless industry is $80B (WSJ 7/28/03) – 30 M US households will employ data networks by end of 2007 (Park Associates) – Intel’s Otellini predicts that 1.5 B PC’s will have wired or wireless broadband connections by 2010 – Cable broadband services posting operating profits of ~60% (CIBC) • Consumers want to be more productive – Consumers pay $15-100/mth for cell phones & internet service providers – Average US citizen spends 541 hrs/yr driving in vehicles (1.5 hrs/day) (NTPS) – 97 M people in the US spend at least 37 minutes commuting in their car every day. • Automotive industry is highly competitive; features and services which provide a lead are crucial to success Source: Erik Bue Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 7 Predictions: Telematics-Enabled Auto Sales 12 10 8 USA W. Europe Japan 6 4 2 0 2002 2004 2007 2010 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 8 Prediction: Telematics-Enabled Autos In-Use 45 40 35 30 25 USA W. Europe Japan 20 15 10 5 0 2002 2004 2007 2010 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 9 Current Telematics Services - Consumers Safety Air Bag Deployment Notification Seat Belt Tension Notification Emergency Assistance Roadside Assistance Security Automatic Theft Notification Theft Tracking GeoFencing Remote Vehicle Operation Remote Unlock Remote Horn/Lights Information Services Navigation Assistance Points-of-Interest Vehicle User Info Convenience Services Internet Based Services Vehicle Status Remote Diagnostics 10 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Additional Telematics Services - Fleets Fleet Performance Maintenance Management Fleet Tracking Asset Management Vehicle Information Usage Monitoring Vehicle Tracking Fleet Utilization Customer Processing Paperless Manifest User log book Instant Messaging Job Dispatching 11 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Examples: OEM telematics offerings • Mercedes (Tele Aid): $240/yr + airtime to call center $75/yr route support/traffic package $1300 optional integrated phone $400 voice recognition option for phone • Jaguar (JaguarNet): • $2250 + airtime Includes portable phone and voice-activated controls • BMW (Assist): $120/yr $1290 phone req’d for telematics $1800 navigation system req’d for telematics • Volvo (On Call Plus): • $240/yr Does not offer route support or remote diagnostics • OnStar: $200/yr for safety & security services (airtime included) $400/yr to include information & navigation services • 12 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt OEM Telematics Players – Offerings over Time (North America) 1996 1997 1998 1999 CY 2000 2001 2002 2003 13 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Many opportunities exist in the future to enhance current services and create new ones. • Data services – Software downloads – Content downloads • Enhanced vehicle diagnosis & repair • Expansion into other dimensions of vehicle lifecycle (manufacturing, vehicle development, design) • Key enablers for future services/growth – – – – – – Communications bandwidth Coverage (wireless) Vehicle penetration Vehicle integration (messaging) Reduced costs (hardware, service) Standards (Bluetooth, vehicle messaging) 14 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt There are many “pieces of the puzzle” which create value in telematics. • Marketing of services (education of consumers) • Integration of services (menu structures) • Integration of equipment into vehicle (human/machine interface) • Connection of vehicles to content (wireless) • Conversion of data into services (back office) • Content providers (vehicle data, entertainment) 15 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Competition among service providers is seldom oneto-one; each player has a slightly different offering. • OEM-owned telematics service providers (OnStar) • Aftermarket devices (LoJack, NetworkCar, Mobile Guardian) • Independent telematics providers – retail (ATX, Cross Country) • Independent telematics providers – fleet (Qualcomm OmniTRACS, @Road) • Voice portals (TellMe, BeVocal, Internet Speech, AOL By Phone) • Cell phone voice services (Verizon, Sprint) • Auto club services (AAA) 16 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt In addition, each piece of the telematics value chain has its own set of players. • Content – TeleAtlas, NavTech, MetroNetworks – CNN, Disney, ESPN • • • • • Operating systems (Microsoft, Java, Linux) Vehicle hardware (Delphi, Nokia, Samsung) Voice recognition (Nuance, Speechworks, IBM) Call centers (EDS, GE, Cross Country) Business Operations (Digitas, Acxiom, Sigma) Issues in partner selection: • Volume capability • Support capability (established firm?) • Exclusivity • Flexibility 17 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Finally, there are a variety of wireless technologies that can be applied to telematics. • • • • Cell (Analog, CDMA, GSM; voice, data/SMS) Short-range communications (Bluetooth) Medium-range communications (802.11) Satellite communications (Boeing Thuraya, XM Radio, Sirius) Issues in technology selection: • Level of ubiquity • Reliability of technology • Upgradability • Level of control over provider (multiple sourcing) 18 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Challenges – Hardware/Technology • “Clockspeed” mismatch – – – – Telematics services (1-6 months) Consumer electronics (6-18 months) Vehicle development process (3-5 years) Vehicle ownership lifecycle (6-15 years) • Shifts in technology (analog digital) • Technology application (client vs. server) Challenges – Societal • Government regulation (FCC – E911) • Interface with emergency service providers 19 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Challenges – Strategic/Financial • High cost of infrastructure – Investment = control • Involvement of multiple partners • Packaging of services – Wide variety of customer needs/wants – Consumer confusion • Selection of business model – – – – – Upfront equipment sales Service subscription Grow critical market mass Operating efficiencies Licensing/royalties 20 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Examples of Business Models “In Play” • i-Mode DoCoMo: Define platform for 3rd party software development: monthly revenue from: basic service, data traffic and fee from 3rd party service providers • Microsoft: Create the OS for vehicles that becomes the standard that all future consumer telematics applications must be built off of • OnStar: Seed network through factory-installation onboard vehicles purchases • Cell Co’s: Compete based on lowest price to service quality ratio • TiVo: Charge monthly service fee upfront at a discount • Palm/PDA: Define & market hardware & OS; nurture application developers. Make alliances with Cell Co’s. • Dell: Least expensive, custom-assembled modular systems based on commodity components • Leverage COTS Components: eg Apple iPod: Over 1M people have been willing to pay $300-500 for the 5-40GB drives. Source: Erik Bue 21 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Parting Thoughts • Telematics represents a significant but complicated opportunity. • There are many ways to create value in telematics, many of which have yet to be fully exploited. • The telematics “industry” is a network of partners across a variety of disciplines. • The “winners” in telematics, as well as the ultimate potential of the industry, is yet to be determined. 22 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Open Questions (for discussion) • How does/could your business participate in this space? • What needs to happen to unlock the full potential of telematics? • What service domains will be most important in the future? • What business model(s) do you think will be most successful? 23 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Appendix – OnStar Overview OnStar’s Beginnings 1996 2002-3 Employees 18 436 Subscribers 1 2M+ Hardware Phone 5th Generation Services 8 15 Database 600K 7M 6 1,000+ 1,500 Dealers Factory Advisor Seats Distribution Brand Recognition 1% 90% 25 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt Portfolio of Core OnStar Services Safe & Sound • Automatic Notification of Air Bag Deployment • Emergency Services • Roadside Assistance • Stolen Vehicle Location • AccidentAssist Directions & Connections All Safe & Sound services plus: • Route Support/Directions Luxury & Leisure All Directions & Connections services plus: • Personal Concierge • OnStar MED-NET • Information/ Convenience Services • RideAssist • Remote Door Unlock • Remote Diagnostics • Online Concierge 26 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt OnStar Personal Calling • • • • • Embedded in vehicle Hands-free, voice-activated interface Pre-paid minutes No roaming, no long distance charges Nationwide wireless network coverage 27 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt OnStar Virtual Advisor Personalized web-based information delivered to the vehicle using handsfree, voice-activated interface Stock Quotes – Fidelity Investments News – Wall Street Journal – ABCNEWS.com – CNNRadio Entertainment – Disney.com E-mail Sports Scores/News – The Sporting News Radio – ESPN.com Weather – Weather.com Traffic – Metro Networks/Tele Atlas 28 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt 29 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt XM Satellite Radio XM Satellites Rock • Two Geo-stationary satellites Roll • 1,700 terrestrial repeaters Terrestrial Repeaters • In-vehicle equipment - Receiver - Antenna - Radio head unit 30 Telematics – 040109 LFM webcast.ppt