CeTSAF
Adaptation of Landuse to Climate
Change in Sub-Saharan Africa
(ALUCCSA)
Co-ordinated by the Centre for Tropical and Subtropical
Agriculture and Forestry (CeTSAF)
Georg-August Universität Göttingen
Funding: BMZ/GTZ-BEAF
Duration: 2008-2011
Objectives: ALUCCSA aims to contribute estimating
effects of different future climate scenarios for the next
50 years at regional and local scale for Sub-Saharan
Africa (Burkina Faso) and their impact on land use
systems.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Project Partners
CeTSAF

Georg-August University of Goettingen (GAUG),
Germany, (Coordination, Dr. Panferov, Prof. Kleinn, Prof.
Mitlöhner, Prof. Schlecht)

World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF), Mali (Dr. Kalinganire,
Dr. v. Noordwijk)

Environmental and Agricultural Research Institute
(INERA), Burkina Faso, (Dr. Mahamadi, Dr. Bayala)

Meteorological Service of Burkina Faso (Mr. Garané)

Centre for Interdisciplinary Research on Africa (CIRA),
Germany, (Dr. Hahn-Hadjali)

Subcontractor: Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT),
Germany, (Dr. Kunstmann, Dr. Knoche)
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Project scope
CeTSAF
Climate change
Agroforestry
Animal husbandry
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Project thematic structure
CeTSAF
Climate Scenarios Downscaling
Large-Scale Land use
(Vegetation structure)
Plants
physiological
parameters
KLIMA-RESI (Energie
budget of ruminants)
SVAT, WaNuLCAS
Animal husbandry fodder
plants and nutrient
budget
Small-Scale Vegetation
structure
Scenarios
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Climate development modelling
CeTSAF
SRES climate scenarios A1B and B1
Regional Climate Models:
MM5, CLM (≈18 km × 18 km)
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Study areas and spatial approach
CeTSAF
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Large scale structures of vegetation
CeTSAF
Objectives: Assessment and analysis of
vegetation structure and land use on country
scale.
Achievements since last year:
− Large area forest and land use assessment
with many similarities to FAO National Forest
monitoring completed in early 2010.
− Acquisition of high resolution satellite
imagery as reference for up scaling approach.
Current work:
− Analysis of vegetation data as input for modeling subprojects.
− Land use classification, following FAO standards based on
inventory results, combined with remote sensing data for modeling
with climate modeling results.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Small scale structures of vegetation
CeTSAF
Objectives: Assessment and analysis of current
pasture resources for livestock and prediction of
their future development
Achievements since last year:
- Vegetation types in pastured sites of 4 core study areas
(climatic gradient subsahel to southern sudanian zone) are
identified and species composition is assessed
- Herbaceous biomass of main vegetation types in 4 core
areas is assessed at the end of the rainy season
Current work and future outlook:
- Assessment of herbaceous pasture resources
- Assessment of ligneous biomass (fodder resource) in 4 core areas
- Prediction of future development of important fodder species
(Modeling with climate change predictions)
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Animal husbandry
CeTSAF
Objectives: Assessment of grazing behaviour and
livestock management practices.
Achievements since last year:
− The baseline survey at the six pre-selected
research sites was carried out by the PhD Student
of livestock group.
− Four out of the six sites were maintained for
regular monitoring of livestock grazing behaviour
and for in-depth analysis of farmers’ livestock
management practices.
− Fodder species assessment.
Current work and future outlook:
− Continued monitoring of grazing and management practices until
end of coming rainy season.
− Assessment of main fodder species during grazing.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Past climatic variation assessment for
model verification and plant growth
Objectives:
To evaluate the adaptation of the species to extreme drought
events and potential of stable isotopes and tree rings for
paleoclimatic reconstructions.
Stem disc of: Sclerocarya birea
Contribution to the Project :
Will recommend drought tolerant multipurpose species for
resilient agroforesty systems and provide past climate information
to understand climate change.
Results of the second year and/or ongoing activities:
Ring width, stable isotope and plant water potential
measurements and analysis is going on.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
CeTSAF
800
21
700
22
600
23
500
24
400
300
25
200
26
d18O
Rainfall (mm)
Past climatic variation assessment for
model verification
CeTSAF
Rain
180
Year
δ18O values of Sclerocarya birea showed similar pattern and significant
correlation (r = -0.56) with rainfall amount
Preliminary results demonstrate the potential of δ18O in tree rings as
climate proxy.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
10
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
15.4.09
Soukouraba
10.04.2009
06.04.2009
•
•
•
•
•
01.04.2009
27.03.2009
Safane
22.03.2009
18.03.2009
13.03.2009
Tougouri
08.03.2009
04.03.2009
27.02.2009
Nobere
22.02.2009
17.02.2009
13.02.2009
08.02.2009
03.02.2009
30.01.2009
25.01.2009
20.01.2009
16.01.2009
11.01.2009
06.01.2009
01.01.2009
28.12.08
23.12.08
18.12.08
14.12.08
19.11.08
Temperature in °C
Climate data collection
CeTSAF
Gaoua
Soukouraba
Nobere
Safane
Tougori
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
Gaoua
3D Modelling of radiation transfer
CeTSAF
Quantifying the effect of shade trees on underlying crops
3D Modelling of radiation transfer
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
3D Modelling of radiation transfer
CeTSAF
3D-Modelled effect of 2 shade trees on underlying crops
June, clear sunny day
June, cloudy day
50
50
45
45
W m-2
40
40
650
35
35
30
390
25
20
260
15
130
10
0
5
Y-Axis (m)
Y-Axis(m)
520
30
25
20
15
10
5
5
10
15
20
25
30
X-Axis(m)
35
40
45
50
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
X-Axis (m)
Black Isoline: min 10% reduction of annual sum of solar radiation due to shade tree
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Energy balance of ruminants
CeTSAF
Diffuse radiation
Thermal radiation
Direct radiation
Wind
Metabolic heat
Stored heat ?
Sensible heat
Latent heat
Other factors
Panting and salivation.
Wallowing in water of mud.
Mechanical work
Miscellaneous heat flows
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
Energy balance of ruminants
CeTSAF
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
WaNuLCAS (Water Nutrient and Light
Capture in Agroforestry Systems)
Estimation of
productivity for
different AF systems
under changing
climatic conditions.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
CeTSAF
SVAT modeling
CeTSAF
Objectives: Find parameterizations for modeling
interactions within ecosystems under conditions
of changing climate by means of SVAT models
like WaNuLCAS.
Achievements since last year:
− Permanent plots established for data
collection for the adaptation of WaNuLCAS to
local vegetation types.
−Soil samples were taken for analysis.
− Assessment on below ground biomass.
− Water potential of some key species along
climatic gradient going from the south to the
north of Burkina Faso were taken.
− Tree transpiration and light transmission.
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi
CeTSAF
Thank you for your attention!
Adaptation of African Agriculture to Climate Change | 2-3.05.2010 | Nairobi