Marine Food Chains/Webs • Energy from primary production is transferred up the trophic chain • Each step is inefficient (~90% energy is lost) • Shorter chains are more efficient at producing apex predators It’s a web, not a chain Marine Food Chains/Webs • Energy from primary production is transferred up the trophic chain • Each step is inefficient (~90% energy is lost) • Shorter chains are more efficient at producing apex predators (harvestable fish) Bottom Up Estimates of Fish Production • Fish production is equal to the PP multiplied by the efficiency of exchange for each trophic level • Ex: 3 trophic level system Fish Prod = TotPP * eff1 * eff2 • Ex: 6 trophic level system Fish Prod = TotPP * eff1 * eff2 * eff3 * eff4 * eff5 • Efficiencies are small (~10%) so most PP is lost CalCoFI Primary Production • Estimated PP from ocean color imagery • Used a bio-optical algorithm (VGPM) • Compared results to PP observations from CalCoFI • Kahru & Mitchell [2002] CalCoFI Primary Production r2 = 0.59 0-100 km Total nearshore PP 2.7+1.4+1.5+2.5 = 8x1012 gC mo-1 ~1x1014 gC y-1 CalCoFI Primary Production • Satellite estimates of PP show fair validity to observations • Seasonal cycle is obvious • Total nearshore PP ~ 8x1012 gC month-1 ~ 1x1014 gC year-1 • How many tons of fish are produced? Bottom Up Estimates of Fish Production • Fish production is equal to the PP multiplied by the efficiency of exchange for each trophic level • Ex: 3 trophic level system Fish Prod = TotPP * eff1 * eff2 • Ex: 6 trophic level system Fish Prod = TotPP * eff1 * eff2 * eff3 * eff4 * eff5 • Efficiencies are small (~10%) so most PP is lost Bottom Up Estimates of CA Current Sardine Production • So Cal Bight – Int PP ~ 1x1014 gC year-1 • Focus on clupeid fish (cf., sardines) • This food chain PP energy goes to fish in 2 steps Bottom Up Estimates of CA Current Sardine Production • Clupeid Fish Prod = Tot_PP * Eff1 * Eff2 = (1x1014 gC year-1) (0.1) (0.1) = 1x1012 gC y-1 • Fish are not made of just carbon – Wet weight is ~10% carbon • Annual Clupeid Fish Prod = 1x1013 g Fish = 10x106 Mt 1,000,000 Mt/y Spawning biomass is roughly the same as our fish production guestimate Sardine Stock Assessment from CFG Sardine biomass is 10% of possible fish production 10,000,000 Mt/y 100,000 Mt/y Sardine landings ~ 1% Total Clupeid Fish Production Bottom Up Estimates of Fish Production • Open ocean total PP ~ 50x1015 gC year-1 • Focus on tuna in an open ocean food chain • This food chain PP energy goes to tuna in 5 steps Bottom Up Estimates of Global Tuna Production • Global Tuna Production = = Tot_PP * Eff1 * Eff2 * Eff3 * Eff4 * Eff5 = (50x1015 gC year-1) (0.1)5 = 5x1011 gC y-1 • Taking into account wet weight • Annual Maximum Tuna Production = 5x1012 g Fish = 5,000,000 Mt/y • Global catch for “tunas” is ~6x106 Mt/y (FAO) WARM Switching between Sardine & Anchovy COOL Varved Sediments in Santa Barbara Basin Varved Sediments in Santa Barbara Basin • The Santa Barbara Basin is nearly anoxic Sill depth Varved Sediments in Santa Barbara Basin • Sediments form in annual varves • Low O2 – little bioturbation – require C inputs Respiration & Remineralization hn CO2 NUTS O2 remineralizers sinking organic matter Biological processes consume plants & O2 to make CO2 & nutrients Varve Formation Varve formation requires high inputs of sinking carbon to suck up O2 Example from Santa Monica Basin Fish Abundance from Varves • Fish scales are ID’ed & counted • Annual varves are dated • Results in fish scale deposition rate • Correlated to fishery biomass records to produce a 1700 year biomass time series Epochs of sardine dominance… Fish Abundance from Varves • Switching between anchovy & sardine is seen – on 20 to 50 year time scales • Policy implications are important – Fishery collapses are not JUST due to fishing – Climate control of fish abundances Fish Production in CA Current • Bottom up controls of fish production • Some consistency with fishery statistics • Hard to use alone to predict harvest quotas – BUT sets an UPPER bound • Switching of stocks & climate control – Only one clupeid fish fills niche (sardine OR anchovy) – Who it is is controlled by climate (PDO; cool/warm)