14 13 Wage Determination McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Goals Differentiate between nominal and real wages. List those factors that have led to an increasing level of real wages in the U.S. historically. Non necessarily in the last eight years Determine the equilibrium wage rate employment level • when given appropriate data for a firm operating in a purely competitive Chapter Goals Illustrate graphically how wage rates are determined in purely competitive monopolistic labor markets. List the methods used by labor organizations to increase wages and the impact each has on employment. Chapter goals Illustrate graphically how an inclusive (industrial) union and an exclusive (craft) union would impact wages and employment in a previously competitive labor market. Explain and illustrate graphically wage determination In the bilateral monopoly model. Present the major points in the cases for and against the minimum wage. Chapter Goals Explain the demand factors that create wage differentials. Explain the supply factors that create wage differentials. Describe briefly salary systems in which pay is linked to performance rather than to time. Describe the negative side effects of poorly planned incentive pay plans. Define and identify terms and concepts listed at the end of the chapter. What Do You Want In Life? McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. I’ll tell ya what I want Standard Of Living • What is it? • Per Investopedia – The level of wealth, comfort, material goods and necessities available to a certain socioeconomic class in a certain geographic area. – The standard of living includes factors such as income, quality and availability of employment, class disparity, poverty rate, quality and affordability of housing, hours of work required to purchase necessities, gross domestic product, inflation rate, number of vacation days per year, – The standard of living is closely related to quality of life. What Do You Want? Answer: Full sheet of paper 1. What standard of living do you want for yourself? Better, the same or worse than your parents? 2. WHY? Income What is income? The money a person receives in exchange for work or use of property Many sources Assets Work done • Labor wages make up 70% of all total income • 30% from Assets: interest, dividends, rents profits Answer 3. Highest level of education attained within 6 years after HS. 4. Name some high paying careers? 5. What education level does each require? Answer 6. So what will you be making 6 years after HS per year? 7. Key answer: What will justify you being paid that amount? All of this from the previous slide are related to Income quality and availability of employment, class disparity, poverty rate, quality and affordability of housing, hours of work required to purchase necessities, gross domestic product, inflation rate, number of vacation days per year, Highest Paid Careers Doctors’ salaries are so high not only because of supply and demand but also to offset the amounts they have to invest in education and malpractice insurance. The 33,310 anesthesiologists in the U.S. also work long shifts and play an integral role in keeping patients alive during surgery to earn their sizable salaries. The high pay reflects the responsibility and risk involved in their job. Top Paying Careers In US Top paying careers Myplan.com top paying careers Lowest Paid Work The lowest-paid workers, fast food cooks, earn $9 an hour, for an average annual salary of $18,720. More than a half million people in the U.S. hold this position, and another 2.8 million are in a food preparation and serving job, the second worst-paying occupation. Dishwashers and shampooers trail close behind, making a meager $18,840 and $19,130 a year, respectively. So how do you make depends in large part on--Almost all are related to education Life Is Not Fair Get used to it!!! Only about 25% to 30% of students graduating today will earn a college degree (in 6 years) 30% ± drop out of HS 0f those 70± remaining, 60% go to college (42 students) Of those, 40±% do not finish in 6 years • Some go back as adults to start/finish • National Center For Education Statistics Education does not necessarily mean college Engineering degree vs. Liberal Arts degree Certified Automotive mechanic vs. High School Education • China: World's Largest Supplier Of Educated Workers • By 2030, China alone will account for 30 percent of the world's new college-educated workers, predicts a study by the McKinsey Global Institute. • In comparison, the United States will account for only 5 percent, and collectively, advanced countries including the U.S., Japan and much of Europe will account for only 14 percent of new highly educated workers. Apply Supply & Demand To Wages What happens-- Why can you work in the Perdoe Bay and make $100,000 a year or more? Why can you move to North Dakota an make $100,000 without a college degree Why do Walmart workers barely make mimimum wage? Labor, Wages ,and Earnings Wages Price paid for labor Direct pay plus fringe benefits Wage rate Price per unit paid Labor, Wages ,and Earnings Nominal wage Amount of money received per hour Real wage Quantity of goods or services a worker can purchase With a nominal wage Wages Real wages only increase if nominal wages increase faster than the inflation rate. If prices increase faster than nominal wages, real wages will fall. This has happened for last 5+ years Over the last 5 years, real wages for the lowest 70% of educated in US Have fallen!!! Wages And Employment For most, labor market is only source of income We work and earn a wage But: What determines the amount of labor we supply? What determines the amount of wages will be paid? Role Of Productivity Demand for labor (or any resource) depends on productivity Generally The greater the productivity of labor The greater the demand for labor Role Of Productivity Demand for labor in advanced economies is large Because labor is highly productive Real Wages and Productivity Generally a close relationship Real income and real output are two ways of looking at the same thing Per worker compensation can only increase At about same rate as productivity or output per worker Gross Domestic Product The market value of all officially recognized final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP per capita is often considered an indicator of a country's standard of living GDP per capita is not a measure of personal income Under economic theory, GDP per capita exactly equals the gross domestic income per capita Productivity Look at productivity factors You are late = you are not as productive as someone on time Examine personal productivity Role Of Productivity Plentiful capital Access to abundant natural resources Advanced technology Labor quality Other factors Role Of Productivity Plentiful capital Physical Money Access to natural resources Available in large quantities In relation to labor force Advanced technology Available capital is also advanced Role Of Productivity Labor quality Healthy Vigorous (motivated) Educated High quality training Therefore, tend to be efficient Other factors Efficiency of management Business Social and political environment Increased specialization Real Wages and Productivity Generally a close relationship Real income and real output are two ways of looking at the same thing Per worker compensation can only increase At about same rate as productivity or output per worker Real Wages and Productivity Real world, suppliers of land, capital talent • also share in profits (today; disproportional) Therefore, real wages do not always rise the same as productivity Over short periods of time Over long term, productivity and real wages tend to rise together Unemployment rates impact wages Why or how? Graph any job using Supply and Demand • High unemployment • Low unemployment Output is increasing Compensation not keeping pace WHY? Where are the increases in productivity (money) going? We are now going full circle to the beginning of the year Research: Start with Huffington Report • Wages aren’t keeping up with US Productivity Real Wages and Productivity LO1 13-54 20% of the people control 92% of the wealth in the United States Productivity Answer What makes you personally productive? What would make you a more productive citizen? Real Wages and Productivity History repeats itself Ford Motor Company made headlines in 1914 by offering autoworkers $5 per day, up from $2.50 per day. The wage payment was newsworthy because the typical market wage in manufacturing at that time was just $2 to $3 per day. What was Ford’s rationale for offering a higher-than-competitive wage? Statistics indicate that the firm was suffering from high rates of job quitting and absenteeism. It reasoned that a high wage rate would increase worker productivity by increasing morale and reducing employment turnover. Only workers who worked at Ford for at least six months were eligible for the $5 per day wage. Nevertheless, 10,000 workers sought jobs with Ford in the immediate period following the announcement of the wage increase. According to historians, the Ford strategy succeeded. The $5 wage raised the value of the job to Ford workers. That created worker incentives to maintain employment at Ford and show up for work each day. It also encouraged laborers to work energetically so as not to be fired from a job that paid much more than alternative employment. The rates of job quitting and absenteeism both plummeted, and labor productivity at Ford rose by an estimated 51 percent that year. The $5 wage was an efficiency wage—one that raised the marginal revenue product of Ford workers. Ford’s pay plan addressed its principal-agent problem. The $2.50 wage hike “paid for itself” by more closely aligning the interests of Ford workers and owners. 1 This application is from Campbell R. McConnell, Stanley L. Brue, and David A. Macpherson, Contemporary Labor Economics, 5th ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1999), p. 233. It is based in part on Daniel M. G. Raff and Lawrence Summers, “Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?” Journal of Labor Economics, pt. 2, October 1987, pp. S57-S86. Barely a week after coming out in favor of increasing the federal minimum wage to $10.10, Costco CEO Craig Jelinek reported that his company posted profits of $537 million for the last quarter. That’s up from $394 million last year. “At Costco,” Jelinek said, “we know that paying employees good wages makes good sense for business.” He went on to elaborate that “We know it’s a lot more profitable in the long term to minimize employee turnover and maximize employee productivity, commitment and loyalty.” Supply Of Labor People supply labor to earn income Many factors influence the quantity of labor What a person provides • • • • Knowledge Motivation Creativity Skills KEY factor is wage rate WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT The Supply of Labor People supply labor to earn an income. Many factors influence the quantity of labor that a person plans to provide, • but the wage rate is a key factor. Figure on the next slide shows an individual’s labor supply curve. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT The table shows Larry’s labor supply schedule, which is plotted in the figure as Larry’s labor supply curve. Productivity, which measures the goods and services generated per hour worked Rose by 80.4% between 1973 and 2011 Compared to a 10.7% growth in median hourly compensation This factors ALL compensation Rose more for educated workers WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT Adult Population An increase in the adult population increases the supply of labor. Preferences There has been a large increase in the supply of female labor since 1960. The percentage of men with jobs has shrunk slightly. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT Time in School and Training The more people who remain in school for fulltime education and training, •the smaller is the supply of low-skilled labor. US has fallen behind some nations in its college educated population What does this mean for the US economy? What will happen to US wages and the difference between the people with money and the people without money? Global Perspective LO1 13-72 WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT The table shows Larry’s labor supply schedule, which is plotted in the figure as Larry’s labor supply curve. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT 1. At a wage rate of $10.50 an hour, Larry … 2. …supplies 30 hours of labor a week. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT 3. As the wage rate rises, Larry’s quantity of labor supplied … 4. …increases, 5. …reaches a maximum, … 6. …then decreases. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT This supply curve shows how the quantity of car wash workers supplied changes when the wage rate changes, other things remaining the same. WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT In a market for a specific type of labor, the quantity supplied increases as the wage rate increases, other things remaining the same. Minimum Wage What is minimum wage? Is minimum wage free market? Why or why not? Should we have a minimum wage? What factors do you think are contributing to wages going down and productivity is going up? Role of Productivity Labor demand depends on LO1 productivity U.S. labor is highly productive Plentiful capital Access to abundant natural resources Advanced technology Labor quality Other factors 13-82 Inflation and Real Wage Increases If inflation runs at 2% Wage increases are 3% Real wage increases are 1% Increase in purchasing power If inflation is 3% Wage increases are 2% Real wages increases are a negative 1% Loss of buying power Wage Rate (Dollars) Demand Enhancement Model Union model Increase product demand Alter price of other inputs S Increase In Demand Wu Wc D2 D1 Qc Qu Quantity of Labor LO4 13-90 Craft Union Model Effectively reduce supply of labor Restrict immigration Reduce child labor Compulsory retirement Shorter workweek Exclusive unionism Occupational licensing LO4 13-91 Craft Union Model Wage Rate (Dollars) S2 S1 Decrease In Supply Wu Wc D Qu Qc Quantity of Labor LO4 13-92 Industrial Union Model Inclusive unionism Auto and steel workers Wage Rate (Dollars) S Wu a b e Wc D Qu Qc Qe Quantity of Labor LO4 13-93 Test Craft Union Model Wage Rate (Dollars) S2 S1 Decrease In Supply Wu Wc D Qu Qc Quantity of Labor LO4 13-110 Inclusive or Industrial Union Model Attempt to unionize all workers Auto and steel trucking Can put immense pressure on industry Can strike en mass • Teamsters in the 60’s • Transit in Philadelphia 40’s Industrial Union Model Inclusive unionism Auto and steel workers Wage Rate (Dollars) S Wu a b e Wc D Qu Qc Qe Quantity of Labor LO4 13-112 Craft Union Model Effectively reduce supply of labor Restrict immigration Reduce child labor Compulsory retirement Shorter workweek Exclusive unionism Occupational licensing LO4 13-113 Union Models Are unions successful? Wages 15% higher on average Consequences: Higher unemployment Restricted ability to demand higher wages LO4 13-114 US participation peaked in 60’s at 30+% Now sits at 11% ± and is declining Most union members are now in public sector Philadelphia and New York are two strongholds Answer Given these factors, why do you think the economic impact of unions is diminished and the number of workers covered by unions has been shrinking since the 1940’s? Bilateral Monopoly Model Monopsony and inclusive unionism Single buyer and seller Not uncommon Indeterminate outcome Desirability LO4 13-119 The Minimum Wage Controversy Case against minimum wage Case for minimum wage State and locally set rates Evidence and conclusions LO5 13-121 Minimum Wage Current minimum wage $7.25 per hour Tend to be industries that make only a few cents per dollar profit Generally young workers Research What are five reasons to raise minimum wage? What are five reasons to NOT raise minimum wage? What is your opinion and WHY? Wage Differentials Workers prevented from moving to higher paying jobs Market imperfections Lack of job information Geographic immobility Unions and government restraints Discrimination LO5 13-126 Pay for Performance The principal-agent problem Incentive pay plan Piece rates Commissions or royalties Bonuses, stock options, and profit sharing Efficiency wages Negative side-effects LO6 13-130 Are CEOs Overpaid? U.S. CEO salaries relatively high Good decisions enhance productivity Limited supply, high MRP Incentive to raise productivity at all levels High salary bias by board members Unsettled issue LO6 13-131 Prepare (Max 2 pages – MLA format) on whether CEOs as well as superstars in the sports and entertainment industry are overpaid. Hand in at 8:00 Debate last 15 minutes