Student Managed Fund Investment Process Presentation Arnone-Lerer Social Responsibility Fund Undergraduate Students Business Cycle Dan Urbanowicz Andrew Kolb Business Cycle Analysis • Define Stages of the Business Cycle • Identify Current Stage • Identify Industries that Historically Perform Well • Monitor Economy for Change in Stage Define Stages of Business Cycle • 5-Stage Overall Cycle • Stages Last 6-18 Months • Based Upon Various Govt. Economic Data • All Data Signals Transition; “Not Timing Market” Five Stages of Business Cycle • Ease-Off – Slowing of Recovery • Plunge – Negative Growth • Revival 1 – Beginning of Recovery • Revival 2 – Solid Recovery • Accelerate – Growing Too Fast Identify Current Stage (Stats.) • Money Supply • Consumer Price Index (CPI) • Producer Price Index (PPI) • Components of GDP • Unemployment Claims • Industrial Production • Non-Farm Payrolls • Weekly Hours Worked • Housing Starts Where We Are… • Ease-Off: period where Fed is tightening to control inflationary pressures by slowing growth of economy – Traditional Indicators: • Industrial Production growth rate declines • Initial Unemployment Claims increase • Non-Farm Payrolls growth rate declines – Additional Indicators: • Weekly Hours Worked decline • Housing Starts decline • GDP Growth rate declines • PPI & CPI growth increasing slightly • Monetary Base growth rate declines Ease-Off - Outperformers • Biotechnology • Tobacco • Health Care Equip/ Supp • Pharmaceuticals • Airlines • Food & Staples Retailing • Software • Commercial Banks • Health Care Providers • IT Services • Electric Utilities • Computer & Peripherals • Aerospace & Defense • Construction/Engineer • Gas Utilities Monitor Economy • Attend Weekly QInsight Conference Calls • Monitor Govt. Statistics for Change in Stage – Peak in Federal Funds Rate – Increase in Monetary Base – Bias of Fed from Tightening to Stimulating Social Responsibility Drew Robinson Kristin DiFabio Jen Ziomek Value & Integrity Superior to Profit • Assimilation of intellectual and moral perspective in every area of academic study and life • As a University, continue the rich tradition of Catholic Social Teaching and the guidance it provides • Consideration for stakeholders and not just stockholders Why Invest in Soc. Res. Company • To answer the question of whether social screening carries an inherent financial “cost” • Avoid investments in companies that we believe are detrimental to society • Reward companies for being leaders among their peers in the corporate world • Prove that a comparable return on investments can be achieved Steps to Investing 1.) Evaluated the Catholic Bishop’s Statement 2.) Chose and ranked our criteria based on past evaluations and our own additions 3.) Ran IWFinancial for Social Responsibility rankings Catholics Bishop’s Statement • Comprehensive set of policies • Faithful, competent and socially responsible stewardship • Draws the values, directions and criteria from: – Gospel – Universal church teaching – Conference statements Summary of Rankings Example – Starbucks (SBUX) Security Analysis Colin Darretta Denis Craig Security Selection • Securities with Strong Fundamentals • Securities with Managed Debt • Securities with Strong Valuation Characteristics • Two Separate Round of Analysis Round 1 – Fundamental Analysis • Input Templates Created • Balance Sheets, Income Statements, Cash Flow Statements Scoured for Data • The data was then formulated and output into information that would indicate the fundamental strength or weakness of company Round 1 – Output Summary Company Name: Ticker Symbol: XYZ Corp. Analysis Summary XYZ Jun05 Dec04 Dec03 3 Yr. Tr en d Net Profit Margin 3.11% 2.14% 4.89% Down 8.29 Total Asset Turnover 0.426 0.440 0.439 Down 0.36 Equity Multiplier 3.612 3.592 3.425 Up 2.76 Return On Equity 4.78% 3.39% 7.36% Down 14.07 Return On Assets 1.32% 0.94% 2.15% Down 2.8 25.77% 24.52% 24.66% Up 34.96 Current Ratio 0.947 1.086 0.748 Up 0.99 Quick Ratio 0.947 1.086 0.748 Up 0.56 Price to Earnings Current P/E: 26.4125 Implied P/E: 27.74841438 Current Stock Price: 21.13 Implied Stock Price: 22.1987315 Value Assessment: DuPont Ratios Profitability Ratios Fair % Over/Undervalued: 4.81% Gross Profit Margin Altman Z-Score Jun05 Liquidity Ratios 0.939305117 Dec04 0.971151693 Dec03 0.978900999 3 Year Average Bond Rating Indust r y 0.96311927 BBB- Debt Management Ratios LT Debt/Total Assets 0.384 0.427 0.396 Down 0.51 Times Interest Earned 1.938 1.672 2.019 Down 5.68 Fundamental Analysis • Securities were eliminated through Round 1 for various reasons: – P/E ratios that were considerably higher than industry averages – Low Bond Ratings – DuPont Ratios that demonstrated weakness •Negative Trends •Significantly below Industry Averages – Unhealthy Altman Z-Scores •Manufacturing – Below 1.81 •Non-Manufacturing – Below 1.10 Round 2 – Security Valuation • The refined pool of securities was then further examined • Individual valuations were performed on each of the securities – We were looking for where value was derived from (operating vs. non-operating) – Present Value of Future Cash-Flows to the Firm – Book Value of Debt and Preferred Stock – Market Value of Equity – Per Share Round 2 – Output Summary Valuation Summary for: XYZ, Corporation % of Firm's Total Value Present Value of FCFF in High Growth = 315.1065704 0.014760463 Present Value of Terminal Value of Firm = 21002.65493 0.983822449 Value of Operating Assets of the Firm = 21317.7615 0.998582913 Value of Cash, Marketable Securities, & Non Operating Assets = 30.252 0.001417087 Value of Firm = 21348.0135 1 Book Value of Outstanding Debt = 6.071 Book Value of Preferred Stock = 0 Market Value of Equity = 21341.9425 Market Value of Equity/Share = 1330.04752 Security Valuation • Over-Valued Securities eliminated based on: – Low Present Values of FCFF – Low Terminal Value of Firm (Discounted to PV) – Unusual Balance of Firm Value between operating and non-operating assets Final Security Selection • The stocks that passed both rounds were then re-examined in comparison with one another and ranked • Securities made it into the portfolio process by demonstrating strong fundamentals and relatively undervalued pricing PSMP Portfolio Analysis Kristin DiFabio PMSP Software • Portfolio Optimizer • Uses a Lower Partial Moment Heuristic to determine portfolio allocations • Used industry returns as a basis for analysis • Began with 50 companies • Used the Nawrocki LPM Heuristic to find a set of optimal portfolios PMSP Sample PMSP Software (cont.) • Once we selected our optimal portfolio, we determined which stock’s allocations were out of compliance with our investment guidelines • We adjusted these allocations through several iterations until coming up with our optimal portfolio Summary • Investment Value $116,630 – Biotech – Construction – Finance – Healthcare – Restaurants – Software – Utilities 10.0% 5.0% 18.4% 24.9% 12.5% 12.5% 16.7% Portfolio Company Ticker Weight, % Price, $ ABI 5.00 24.84 234.76 5,831.50 Invitrogen IVGN 5.00 63.39 91.99 5,831.50 KB Homes KBH 5.00 64.74 90.08 5,831.50 Countrywide CFC 5.00 31.09 187.57 5,831.50 American Express AXP 5.00 49.50 117.81 5,831.50 Bank of America BAC 2.10 43.60 56.18 2,449.23 Sky Financial SKYF 2.10 27.90 87.79 2,449.23 PNC PNC 2.10 59.96 40.85 2,449.23 MRBK 2.10 56.10 43.66 2,449.23 Baxter BAX 4.17 37.33 130.28 4,863.47 St. Jude Medical STJ 4.16 48.42 100.20 4,851.81 Medtronic MDT 4.16 55.96 86.70 4,851.81 Applera Mercantile Shares $ Portfolio (cont.) Company Ticker Weight, % Price, $ Covance CVD 4.16 47.88 101.33 4,851.81 Pharmaceutical Product Dvlpmt PPDI 4.16 57.10 84.97 4,851.81 Quest Diagnostics DGX 4.16 47.44 102.27 4,851.81 McDonald's Corp MCD 3.66 32.31 132.12 4,268.66 Applebee's International Inc APPB 3.27 22.28 171.18 3,813.80 Starbucks Corp SBUX 3.16 28.20 130.69 3,685.51 JBX 2.41 29.86 94.13 2,810.78 Adobe ADBE 4.16 32.49 149.33 4,851.81 Microsoft MSFT 4.16 25.85 187.69 4,851.81 Sybase SY 4.16 22.45 216.12 4,851.81 Edison International EIX 4.16 43.56 111.38 4,851.81 Entergy Corp. ETR 4.16 68.37 70.96 4,851.81 Sempra SRE 4.16 43.61 111.25 4,851.81 AGL Resources ATG 4.17 34.67 140.28 4,863.47 Jack In The Box Inc Total 100.00 Shares $ 116,630 Technical Analysis Ryan Doyle Goals • Action on current positions • Enhance entry and exit points • Appropriate profit targets and stop losses • Find significant technical changes to current holdings • Document and analyze past recommendations for accuracy to determine value of technical analysis Group Structure • 6 analyst monitoring approximately 7-10 securities each • Spreadsheet includes data such as RSI, projected profit/loss targets, alerts, and recommended actions • PowerPoint presentation is designed to propose recommendations to changes in portfolio to be discussed and voted on in class Methodology • Long term support and resistant trends • RSI analysis to determine if security is overbought or oversold • Chart moving averages • Project relevant profit targets and stop losses based on these trends • Recommend action based purely on chart • Report to class any charts of significance and vote on action after discussing fundamentals Methodology (cont.) • Profit Target at 28.5 • RSI is still very high while ABI trades at the top of the channel • Example of recommendation to reduce holdings Entry and Exit Sonic • Recommendation: Buy Comcast • Recommendation: Sell Technical Analysis Spreadsheet Arnone-Lerer SRI Fund Analyst Colin Darretta Dennis Craig James Keller Dennis Craig Ryan Doyle Kevin Silvestri Ryan Doyle Kevin Silvestri Ryan Doyle Dennis Craig Dan Urbanowicz Colin Darretta Ryan Doyle Company Name Adobe Systems Inc AGL Resources Inc American Express Co Applebees International Inc Applera Corp-Applied Biosystems Group Bank of America Corp Baxter International Countrywide Financial Corp Covance Inc Dean Foods Co Edison International Entergy Corp Invitrogen Corp Action Ticker ADBE ATG AXP APPB ABI BAC BAX CFC CVD DF EIX ETR IVGN Current Price Avg Cost/Share Shares Gain/Loss RSI Profit Target (E) 35.56 32.87 145 8% 61.06 40 34.02 34.99 174 -3% 51 39.83 51.26 49.26 116 4% 67.33 53.48 22.91 22.4 167 2% 47.45 27.5 27.48 24.89 114 10% 76.53 28.5 46.18 45.38 130 2% 71.33 47 38.82 36.62 130 6% 57.93 44 34.89 30.65 186 14% 66.41 38 49.9 48.13 99 4% 45.87 58.9 38.84 34.89 57 11% 65.25 41 46.21 43.57 136 6% 55.80 55 71.05 68.34 69 4% 47.89 84 66.98 63.54 90 5% 35.36 90 % Profit Alert 21.69% Hold 13.83% Hold 8.57% Hold 22.77% Hold 14.50% Hold 3.57% Hold 20.15% Hold 23.98% Hold 22.38% Hold 17.51% Hold 26.23% Hold 22.91% Hold 41.64% Hold Recommende Stop Loss (E) % Loss Alert Strategy d Action 28 -14.82% Hold Hold 1 33.45 -4.40% Hold Hold 3 47.2 -4.18% Hold Hold 3 20 -10.71% Hold Hold 3 24.88 -0.04% Hold Hold 1 44 -3.04% Hold Hold 3 35.5 -3.06% Hold Hold 4 34 10.93% Hold Hold 3 44 -8.58% Hold Hold 4 35.25 1.03% Hold Hold 3 40.5 -7.05% Hold Hold 4 65 -4.89% Hold Hold 3 55 -13.44% Hold Hold 4 Example of Successful Analysis Price of SKYF with Sell Recommendation 29.8 29.6 29.4 29.2 29 28.8 11 /2 1/ 11 2 00 5 /2 3/ 11 2 00 5 /2 5/ 20 11 05 /2 7/ 11 2 00 5 /2 9/ 2 12 005 /1 /2 12 0 05 /3 /2 00 12 5 /5 /2 00 5 28.6 Current Price of SKYF Summary • Provide technical analysis of all current holdings and recommended securities • Provide an additional point of view for class discussion • Provide statistical performance report on recommendations based on technical analysis Compliance Chris Auffenberg George Coleman Fund • 50% International Investment – Maximum initial investment in one country limited to 25% of total international investment – Rebalance investment to 25% when it reaches 30% • 50% Domestic Investment – Maximum initial investment limited per sector to 20% of total domestic investment – Rebalance investment back to 20% when it reaches 25% George Coleman Fund International Investments ISHARES INC MSCI AUSTRIA FUND ISHARES INC MSCI AUSTRL IDX ISHARES INC MSCI SPAIN IND ISHARES INC MSCI UK INDEX ISHARES INC MSCI JAPAN INDX ISHARES INC MSCI SWITZRLND ISHARES INC MSCI BRAZIL FR ISHARES INC MSCI SO KOREA George Coleman Fund Domestic Investments VANGUARD SECTOR INDEX FUNDS VNGRD CN STP VP ISHARES TR INDEX FUND DJUS HLTHCR SCT ISHARES TR INDEX FUND DJUS FNL SERVICE CP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TR ENERGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TR FINANCIAL ISHARES TR INDEX FUND DJUS RLESTT IDX ISHARES TR INDEX FUND NSDQ BIOTECH FUND SELECT SECTOR SPDR TR TECHNOLOGY Arnone-Lerer SRI Fund • Individual Securities – Maximum initial investment of 5% of total value – Rebalancing back to 5% when security reaches 7% • Industries – Maximum initial investment of 12.5% in companies in same industry – Rebalancing back to 12.5% when industry reaches 17.5% of total portfolio value Arnone-Lerer SRI Fund Restaurants Allocation By Industry Packaged Foods Healthcare Equipment Healthcare Providers Biotechnology Money Center Banks Regional Banks Consumer Finance Systems Software Electric Utilities Gas Utilities Cash George Coleman Fund Graduate Students Coleman Domestic ETF Tom Whitley Ease-Off Outperformers • Ease-Off industry groups that historically outperform the S&P 500 Index on a risk/return basis: • • • • • • • • • Health Care Equip/Supp Biotechnology Health Care Dist/Service Drug Retail Electric Utilities Restaurants Homebuilding Consumer Finance System Software • • • • • • • • • Food Distributors Agricultural Products Broadcasting/Cable TV Gas Utilities Banks, Regional, & Div. Movies & Entertainment Life/Health Insurance Computer Hardware General Merchandise Industries to Look At • Financial • Real Estate • Energy • Utilities • Materials/Construction • Healthcare/Biotech • Technology • Consumer Staples Financial Industry • Looking for: – Commercial Banks: have underperformed investment banks recently, expect trend to change – Low insurance exposure: because of hurricanes, we want to avoid most insurance – Diversification among financial industry sectors Real Estate Industry • Looking for: – Investment in large, diversified REITS •Office vs. Shopping vs. Residential – Diversification into other real estate securities Energy Industry • Looking for: – Exposure to industry leaders (oil and natural gas) – Diversification into other aspects of the energy industry (drilling, equipment, etc.) Utilities Industry • Looking for: – Investment in large utility companies – Broad exposure to industry Healthcare/Biotech Industries • Looking for: – Funds that offer exposure across both healthcare and biotech companies – Investment in multiple sectors (medical devices, pharmaceuticals, etc.) Technology Industry • Looking for: – Diverse set of companies (hardware, internet, wireless, etc.) – Funds with little overlap (common in technology ETFs) Consumer Staples • Looking for: – Broadly diversified fund that has exposure to multiple sectors where consumers purchase goods Chosen ETFs • iShares Dow Jones US Financial Services (IYG) • Select Sector SPDR (XLF) – Large bank exposures (>67%) – Little insurance exposure (with exception of AIG) • iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate (IYR) – Large, diverse REITS – Invest in both REITS and Real Estate Operating Companies (REOCs) • Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) – Highly diversified, yet large exposure to industry leaders (Exxon, Chevron, ConcoPhilips) • iShares Dow Jones US Utility (IDU) – 50% of holding in 8 to 10 largest utility companies ♦ Sold 12/12 Chosen ETFs (cont.) • iShares Dow Jones US Healthcare (IYH) • iShares NASDAQ BioTech Index Fund (IBB) – Healthcare and Biotech exposure through both ETFs – Investments in devices, pharmaceuticals, therapies, etc. • Select Sector SPDR – Technology (XLK) • iShares Goldman Sachs Semiconductor (IGW) – No overlap in top 10 holdings (>50%) – Investments in industry leaders (Microsoft, Intel, Motorola, etc.) • Vanguard Consumer Staples VIPERs – Very broad exposure (P&G, Pepsi, Wal-Mart, Kimberly-Clark, etc.) Coleman International ETF Celine Nguyen Matt Ravis Economic Factors • • • • Real GDP growth trend Inflation Currency/Exchange rate trend Unemployment Performance •Top 3 Holdings performance •Historic Performance of Fund – 3 month return – Year to Date return – 1 year return vs. Pacific/Asia ex-Japan (EPP) – 3 year return vs. Pacific/Asia ex-Japan (EPP) – 5 year return vs. Pacific/Asia ex-Japan (EPP) •Rank in comparison to their regions MSCI South Korea Index Fund • The iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded securities in the aggregate in the South Korean market, as measured by the MSCI Korea Index. •Total Net Assets $819,578,000 •Shares Outstanding 22,200,000 •Beta 1.25 •Price $42.85 Economic Factors • Consistent GDP growth rate • Contained inflation • Unemployment below 4% for past 4 years • Recovered well from Asian Currency Crisis of 1998 • Invested majority in Semiconductors and Banks Revival 1 Revival 2 Historic Performance EWY Return since Jan 1, 2005 to Inception 3 Yr Return (EPP)* 3 Yr Return 35.77% 32.34% 16.38% (EPP)* 5 Yr Return 5 Yr Return *EPP refers to the iShares MSCI Pacific/Asia ex-Japan Index 28.33% 1.89% MSCI South Korea Index Fund South Korea - Top 3 Holdings Relative Performance 3 Mo Return YTD Return 1 Yr Return 3 Yr Return Singapore 4.25% 10.72% 19.29% 24.14% Index 4.36% 9.69% 17.42% 23.23% Taiwan (4.67%) (2.92) 9.94% 16.21% Index (4.13%) (2.12%) 10.91% 17.27% South Korea 21.38% 34.15% 55.37% 29.66% Index 21.97% 36.07% 57.84% 32.36% Malaysia 6.21% 4.11% 11.32% 15.11% Index 6.48% 4.63% 12.02% 16.23% S&P/TOP IX 150 Index Fund (ITF) 19.90% 12.09% 26.01% 17.20% Index 19.16% 13.85% 27.19% 17.67% Current Holdings • Austria • Australia • Brazil • Japan • Netherlands • Singapore • South Korea • Spain • Switzerland • United Kingdom Currency Exposure of iShares Robert Brooks Currency Exposures • Euro • British Pound • Swiss Franc • Japanese Yen • South Korean Won • Australian Dollar • Brazilian Real USD = Local Equity Return + Currency Return Currency Exposure • iSHARES traded in USD, and invested in Foreign Equity Markets (some ADRs). • International ETFs expose US investors to both local equity returns and foreign currency risks. • Changes in Exchange Rates have a direct impact on fund performance. • Added diversification beyond pure equity returns. Impact of Strong or Weak USD •A weakening USD adds to the returns of an investor – A weaker USD implies a stronger foreign currency, thus enhancing fund returns •A strengthening USD subtracts from the returns of an investor – Equity holdings denominated in the foreign currency are now worth less in USD terms Expectations for 1st Quarter • Fed will raise rates to 4.5% to 4.75% – Rates will peak in February or March – Once rates peak the USD may begin to weaken – Would assist plunge returns for domestic market • European Central Bank already has raised rates – The move by the ECB to raise interest rates will give the Euro a boost • United States is expected to confront Japan over weakness of the Yen – With pressure from the US to strengthen currency, and – US rates peaking – The Yen should appreciate against the USD Implications for ETF’s • A Weakening U.S. dollar & strengthening Euro and Yen will give the international ETFs an added bounce • The US Dollar hit a two-year high vs the Euro on Nov. 16 at $1.16 Portfolio Style Analysis William Elder Portfolio Risk/Return Analysis • In addition to portfolio selection, we used the Portfolio Management Software Package (PMSP) to measure portfolio returns on a risk adjusted basis. • To this end, we examined factors such as standard deviation, return-to-variance, returnto-semivariance, and return-to-lower partial moment(s). Modern Portfolio Theory Statistics • The annual return of the Arnone-Lerer fund has been commendable compared to the various benchmarks listed here, particularly the Domini Index, and has excelled on a risk-adjusted basis. • The annual return of the Coleman fund has lagged behind many of the established benchmarks for the fund, but has been positive by all measures on a riskadjusted basis. • Please refer to the MPT Statistics handout for detailed information. Portfolio Style Analysis • As part of our portfolio management process, it is to the SMF class’ advantage to know the general style composition of our portfolio. • To this end, a modified Markowitz Optimization program was used to perform Sharpe Style analysis on the portfolio. • This program is able to look at the returns on various benchmarks and the fund itself to determine our style composition. Arnone-Lerer Fund Style Arnone-Lerer Style Analysis Parfait Chart (250 day moving average) 100% 30 Day T-Bill 80% Nikkei Large Value Russell Large Growth Russell 60% Small Value Russell Small Growth Russell 40% MSCI EAFE MSCI Europe 20% MSCI Pacific ExJapan 0% 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 Nth Week End Since Initial Investment • The parfait chart is based on a 250 day (50 week) moving average of the Arnone-Lerer fund’s position • The pink region represents the large cash position for the summer after stop-loss levels were met. • The fund operates mainly as Small Cap Value (orange region) and Large Cap Growth (blue region) George Coleman Fund Style George Coleman Style Analysis Parfait Chart (100 day moving average) 100% 30 Day T-Bill Nikkei 80% Large Value Russell Large Growth Russell 60% Small Value Russell Small Growth Russell 40% MSCI EAFE MSCI Emerging Markets MSCI Europe 20% MSCI Pacific ExJapan 0% 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Nth Week End Since Initial Investment • The parfait chart is based on a 100 day (20 week) moving average of the G. Coleman fund’s position • The fund operates mainly as Large Cap Value (blue-gray region) and European (light purple region) •Recent investments in Japan & Emerging Markets will slowly arise due to moving average component. Fund Performance Adam James John Strzalka Financial Performance Villanova Student Managed Fund Performance Results: Composite Performance, March 1, 2004 through December 12, 2005 Year Total Return (%) Benchmark Return (%)* Number of Portfolios Composite Dispersion (%) Total Assets at End of Period Percentage of Assets Total Assets (%) 3/2004 - 3/2005 7.84 4.83* 1 5.98 $105,950.89 100 100 3/2005 12/12/2005 10.92 8.50 2 8.44 $203,433.08 100 100 The Villanova Student Managed Fund (SMF) has prepared and presented this report in compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS) Notes: 1. The Villanova SMF is currently a balanced portfolio, split 75/25 amongst domestic and international equities. The SMF is an investment group affiliated with the Villanova University Endowment. 2. The benchmark: 75 percent Standard and Poors 500; 25 percent iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (EFA). *The 3/043/05 benchmark is based on 100 percent Standard and Poors 500. 3. Valuations are computed in USD. 4. The dispersion of annual returns is measured by the standard deviation across asset-weighted portfolio returns represented within the Composite for the full year 5. Performance results are presented before management and custodial fees but after all trading commissions. 6. This composite was created in March, 2004 and modified in March 2005. No alteration of composites as presented here has occurred because of changes in personnel or other reasons at any other time. 7. Past performance is not indicative of future results Arnone-Lerer Fund 3/05 - 12/12/05 3/04 - 3/05 Gain/Loss $17,382.70 $7,700.89 Initial Investment $105,950.89 $98,250.00 Return 16.41% 7.84% 25.53% Return Since Inception • Key Transactions – – – – – – – QLogic- loss -$1321.75 Renal Care Group- gain $1254.79 Toro Co- gain $1115.71 UGI Corp- gain $1703.59 Valero Energy- gain $1184.75 Winnebago Industries- gain $1193.65 Western Gas Resources- gain $1440.75 George Coleman Fund 3/05 - 12/12/05 Gain/Loss $4,174.02 Initial Investment $76,942.86 Return 5.42% •Initial Investments 3/4/05: European, Asian, Mexican, Biotech, Financial, Consumer Goods, Real Estate ETFs •Fund went unmanaged throughout the summer months, relying on stop-losses. Questions