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SOCIAL PERFORMANCE TASK FORCE

WEBINAR

“USING DATA TO BETTER SUPPORT BUSINESS AND SOCIAL

GOALS”

JACOBO MENAJOVSKY

DATA SCIENTIST FOR FINANCIAL INCLUSION

SEPTEMBER 30, 2014

1

SUMMARY

Why data is important?

What is the value of collecting client level data?

My data is all over the place!

Some ideas on how to merge and work across different data sources

Mixing PPI with financial and demographic information

From raw data to better customer understanding

Social Performance and business based segmentations

Clustering, Targeting and Benchmarking

Product and service design

Hypothesis testing

How data and information reshapes the whole organization

2

WHY DATA IS IMPORTANT?

Lower your delivery and your operational costs

Increase your understanding about your customers

Test your hypothesis and theories of change

Measure your results and your social impact

Drive behavior change

3

WHAT IS THE VALUE OF COLLECTING CLIENT LEVEL DATA?

The Progress out of Poverty Index

Measuring poverty outreach

Understand how customers use financial products depending on their poverty situation

Adjust your organizational goals and product offering with more granular information

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MY DATA IS ALL OVER THE PLACE!

Handling different data sources and levels of aggregation

Benefits of mixing poverty, demographic and financial data

5

a)

MY DATA IS ALL OVER THE PLACE!

PPI data

Customer profile data b)

Customer Transactional data

Example

Four different datasets containing different customer information c)

Public data i.e. Poverty rates d)

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b) c) a)

YOU CAN STILL REPORT SOME RESULTS

34.6% of the individuals are living with less than $2.50 per day.

62.2% are Female.

Almost half (48.4%) of the individuals are living in rural areas.

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a)

YOU CAN STILL REPORT SOME RESULTS

Women in rural areas present the highest poverty rate.

b) •

And they represent 31% of the total sample

8

a)

PPI data b)

Customer profile data

WHAT IF YOU MERGE YOUR DATA?!

Merged dataset c)

Customer Transactional data d)

Public data i.e. Poverty rates

Merge different datasets using a unique customer ID across all datasets

Add external public data (in this case official poverty rates) using the Province/Location field available in both internal and external sources.

9

WHAT IF YOU DON’T HAVE A UNIQUE ID?

In this situation the merging should be done by other common identifier across customers or beneficiaries.

Group name,

Branch,

Province,

Region, etc.

Be aware that when you aggregate information by a “higher” common denominator you will be loosing information.

10

FROM RAW DATA TO BETTER CUSTOMER

UNDERSTANDING

Social Performance and business based segmentations

Clustering

Targeting

Benchmarking

Product and service design

Hypothesis testing

11

FROM RAW DATA TO BETTER CUSTOMER

UNDERSTANDING

Social Performance and business based segmentations c) a) b) d)

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c)

From raw data to better customer understanding

Social Performance and business based benchmarking d)

Poorest Less poor

On the one hand, on average less poor customers are borrowing higher amounts

Poorest

Less poor

On the other hand, poorer customers are saving slightly more than the less

13 poor ones.

Total borrowed

Total savings

Total # loan cycles

Initial savings

FROM RAW DATA TO BETTER CUSTOMER UNDERSTANDING

CLUSTERING AND TARGETING

Cluster #3

9% of the customers who enrolled in the program showed poorer performance measured by the total amount borrowed and saved; the total number of cycles and the initial savings balances (see cluster 3 in blue).

Where are those customers?

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TRYING TO UNDERSTAND THE LOW PERFORMERS (CLUSTER #3)

IS IT SOMETHING RELATED WITH THE BRANCH?

Cluster #3

91% of the customers in cluster 3 (low performers) enrolled in

Branch 1.

All three clusters showed very similar poverty levels.

Why these customers didn’t perform as well as the rest?

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a)

FROM RAW DATA TO BETTER CUSTOMER UNDERSTANDING

INSIGHT TO SUPPORT PRODUCT (RE)DESIGN b)

27% 9.2%

Average monthly increase in savings (%)

Customers with at least 6 months as savers c)

Only 37% of the customers are actually saving money.

Is this saving product satisfying every customers’ needs?

Poverty situation doesn’t look like the reason.

FROM RAW DATA TO BETTER CUSTOMER UNDERSTANDING

INSIGHT TO SUPPORT PRODUCT (RE)DESIGN

Are savings somehow tied to borrowing behaviors?

Most “decreasers” do not engage in more than 2 borrowing cycles.

Customers with at least 6 months as savers

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From raw data to better customer understanding

Hypothesis testing

Does poverty have an effect on credit size?

a)

The answer is…

YES!

The less poor customers, showed significantly higher loans.

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Poorest Less poor

From raw data to better customer understanding

Hypothesis testing

Does poverty have an effect on size of initial deposit?

The answer is…

YES!

a)

The less poor showed significantly higher initial deposits.

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Poorest Less poor

From raw data to better customer understanding

Hypothesis testing a)

Are there significant differences between gender and age groups among my customers?

The answer is…

NO!

There are similar age distributions among both male and female customers.

20

HOW DATA AND INFORMATION RESHAPES THE WHOLE

ORGANIZATION

IT

Essentials for data analysis

What it takes to be more data-driven

Different roles and responsibilities

Action takers Customer

Analysts

Decision makers

21

Q&A

Thanks!

22

CONTACT INFO

Jacobo Menajovsky

Data scientist consultant for financial inclusion jjmenajovsky@gmail.com

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