City of Tulare 2011 Redistricting

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10/5/2011

City of Pasadena

Introduction to 2011 Redistricting

Page 2

10/5/2011

Current Demographics

Based on 2010 Census data and the American Community

Survey:

Population

◦ 2010 Census total: 137,122

 3,186 (2.4 %) growth since 2000

 33.7 % Hispanic

 38.8 % Non-Hispanic white

 10.6 % African American

 15.4 % Asian American

◦ 2010 Census Voting Age

Population

 29.8 % Hispanic

 41.9 % Non-Hispanic White

 10.5 % African American

 16.2 % Asian American

Citizen Voting Age Population

◦ From Census ACS and Dept. of

Justice Special Tabulation data:

 24 % Hispanic

 13 % African American

 11 % Asian American

 49 % Non-Hispanic White

Voter Registration by Surname

◦ 19 % Hispanic

◦ 8 % Asian-American/Filipino

Voter Turnout by Surname

◦ 16 % Hispanic

◦ 7 % Asian-American/Filipino

HISPANIC/LATINO POPULATION

Voting Age Population

Voting Age Population

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HISPANIC/LATINO POPULATION

Citizen Voting Age Population

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AFRICAN-AMERICAN POPULATION

Voting Age Population

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ASIAN-AMERICAN-AMERICAN POPULATION

Voting Age Population

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POPULATION DENSITY

Population per square mile

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CURRENT DISTRICT DEVIATIONS Existing District #

Deviation

Percent Deviation

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10/5/2011

Current District Demographics

Total

Population

Voting Age

Population

Citizen

Voting Age

Population

Registration by Surname

Turnout by

Surname

Total

District

Latino

NH White

NH Black

NH AmInd

NH Asian

NH HPI

NH Other

Multi

Total

Latino

NH White

NH Black

NH AmInd

NH Asian

NH HPI

NH Other

Multi

Total

Latino

NH White

NH Black

NH Asian

NH AmInd

NH HPI

Multi

Total

Spanish Surname

Asian Surname

Total

Spanish Surname

Asian Surname

1

19,339

2

18,554

49.7% 27.8%

18.6% 47.7%

23.9% 7.4%

0.3% 0.4%

6.1% 15.2%

0.1%

0.4%

1.0%

14,838

0.3%

0.5%

0.7%

14,994

44.9% 25.0%

21.6% 49.9%

25.1%

0.3%

7.4%

0.5%

6.8% 15.9%

0.1% 0.3%

0.4%

0.9%

0.4%

0.6%

12,276 12,932

37.8% 23.5%

22.5% 55.1%

32.1% 6.2%

6.2% 11.8%

0.5% 0.0%

0.0%

0.9%

0.6%

2.9%

9,655 10,363

27.0% 18.7%

4.4%

5,169

6.7%

6,036

22.8% 16.7%

4.5% 5.6%

3

20,388

4

19,230

5

18,094

6

21,779

7

19,738

48.8% 21.8% 60.0% 14.0% 17.0%

19.3% 52.4% 20.2% 60.4% 50.0%

17.4% 5.6% 10.5% 5.1% 4.8%

0.3% 0.4%

13.1% 18.6%

0.3%

7.9%

0.4%

19.1%

0.3%

26.6%

0.1%

0.3%

0.7%

15,617

0.1%

0.4%

0.7%

15,323

0.1%

0.3%

0.7%

13,779

0.0%

0.3%

0.6%

18,965

0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

17,099

43.2% 20.0% 55.6% 13.1% 15.5%

23.0% 54.6% 23.6% 61.8% 51.3%

17.6%

0.4%

5.3%

0.4%

10.5%

0.4%

4.9%

0.4%

4.7%

0.4%

14.7% 18.6%

0.1% 0.1%

0.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.6%

9.1% 18.9% 26.9%

0.1%

0.3%

0.6%

0.0%

0.3%

0.5%

0.1%

0.4%

0.7%

12,088 13,861 11,109 16,804 14,809

31.0% 18.8% 42.5% 11.0% 13.5%

27.8% 63.2% 33.4% 69.3% 60.2%

28.5% 5.5% 15.8% 4.7% 5.2%

9.6% 11.1%

0.0% 0.3%

6.4%

0.0%

13.4%

0.6%

18.6%

0.7%

0.0%

3.1%

0.1%

1.0%

0.0%

1.9%

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

0.8%

8,121 12,160 6,959

28.3% 16.0% 34.9%

8.0%

3,723

9.8%

7,629

5.2%

3,446

25.6% 14.6% 31.6%

7.4% 8.9% 5.5%

14,116 11,090

9.5% 12.8%

8.8% 10.9%

9,458 6,739

8.5% 11.2%

7.1% 8.6%

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Rules: Federal Laws

Equal Population among districts

◦ Total population: not voting age population, citizens, or voters

◦ Different for 2011: all deviations must be explained.

Being within +/- 5 % is no longer enough. This is why NDC recommends all 2011 clients formally adopt criteria.

Federal Voting Rights Act

◦ Section 2 – Ensure equal power to elect candidates of choice

◦ Section 5 – Avoid retrogression (does not apply to Pasadena)

◦ No racial gerrymandering

For a more in-depth analysis, see the City Attorney’s earlier presentation.

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Sec. 2 Federal Voting Rights Act

Requires “Protected Class” populations have an

“equal opportunity to elect the candidates of their choice”

No “packing”

No “cracking”

No racial gerrymandering allowed

◦ Focus on communities and neighborhoods, not race/ethnicity

Rules: Traditional Criteria

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Reasons identified and approved by the US Supreme

Court as justifiable reasons for small population deviations:

Communities of interest

Visible (Natural & man-made) boundaries

◦ Make it easy for residents of a district to understand its borders (and to engage their neighbors in precinct walking or other election activities)

Compactness & contiguity

◦ Also makes it easier for voters to understand their district’s borders.

Continuity in office

◦ Redistricting, an administrative process, should not tell the voters they can no longer elect a candidate they have previously elected (which is what happens when two or more incumbents are “paired.”

Population growth

◦ Growth is much less certain in 2011 than it was in 2011, so this is harder to justify than it was in 2001.

Preserve Core of existing districts

◦ Don’t move voters around unless needed to achieve one of the other goals.

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Process (1 of 3)

1.

Prepare

◦ Conduct initial demographic analysis

◦ Adopt schedule

◦ Launch project website

◦ Launch public participation online redistricting system

◦ Adopt criteria

◦ Develop initial draft plans to jump-start discussion

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Process (2 of 3)

2.

Outreach

◦ Educate, engage and empower the public, including:

 Individuals

Community Groups, including “protected class”-focused organizations

The media

◦ What are your community’s “communities of interest”?

 Which want to be united? Which want to be divided?

◦ How well do the current and draft plans meet those goals?

◦ Participation kits take the public input beyond just “yes” and

“no”

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Process (3 of 3)

3.

Decide

◦ Plan debate and adoption

4.

Implement

◦ Plan implementation

 Coordinated with the County Registrar

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Tools (1 of 2)

Traditional Redistricting Tools

1.

2010 Census data

2.

3.

4.

Project website

Media & community education

GIS software

5.

6.

7.

Information on redistricting, the Voting Rights Act, and how the public can participate

Provide paper & Excel public participation kits

Email address for public questions and public comment

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Tools (2 of 2)

New Tools for 2011

1.

American Community

Survey data

3.

4.

5.

Live, interactive maps of plans

Google Maps and

Google Earth plan files

Online redistricting

6.

Local GIS data

• Zoning,

• homeowner associations,

• housing developments,

• neighborhood associations,

• key facilities,

• school attendance areas,

• aerial imagery, etc.

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