Continue: Chapter 3 - Describing Relationships
Chapter 4 Syllabus - AP Statistics - A
Sampling and Experimentation
Designing Studies
NAME:
Chapter Objective: Students will learn appropriate ways to produce data. This includes planning and conducting
research as well as collecting data from a study before performing a statistical analysis with the
gathered information.
Day 1
10/9
TOPICS:
▪Explanatory
vs. Response
Variables
▪Scatterplots:
Form,
Direction, &
Strength
▪Calculating
& Interpreting
Correlation
▪LSRL
▪ Interpreting
Slope and y
intercept
▪ Residuals
and Residual
plots
▪Coefficient
of
Determination
Day 2
10/11
Chapter 3 Review – QUIZ TODAY!!!
Chapter 3 Project Due: ___Oct. 15th___
3.1 – Scatterplots and Correlation
3.2 – Least Squares Regression
I. Concepts and Skills to Master: ►Identify explanatory and response variables in
bivariate situations ►Construct and interpret a scatterplot ►Calculate and
interpret correlation ►Identify outliers and explain their effects on correlation
►Identify, calculate, and construct the equation of a least-squares regression line
►Interpret the slope and y intercept of a least-squares regression line
►Calculate and interpret residuals ►Construct and interpret residual plots
►Explain the dangers of extrapolation ►Use the least-squares regression line to
predict values of the response variable ►Use the standard deviation of the
residuals and r2 to determine how well the line model fits the data
II. Assignments
A. Anscombe’s Data Exploration
B. Quiz 3.2A and Quiz 3.2C
C. Chapter 3 Content Q & A
D. Chapter 3 Quiz
III. Homework
A. Read section 4.1 and complete Reading Guide 4.1
Chapter 3 Project Due Next Class
3.1 & 3.2 Review (Scatterplots, Correlation, Least-Squares Regression)
I. Concepts and Skills to Master: See Day 1 (other side) and Chapter 3 Syllabus
II. Assignments
A. Warm Up
B. Homework Q & A
C. Chapter 3 - Technology Tips for TI
D. Group Work - Review Assignment – Chapter 3
III. Homework
A. Study for Chapter 3 Test (Includes Chapters 1 – 3)
B. Complete Chapter 3 Project
Day 3
Chapter 3 Project Due!!!
10/15
TEST TODAY!!!
CHAPTERS 1-3 TEST
HOMEWORK: Read section 4.1 and complete Reading guide section 4.1
Complete Gallup Poll Activity – due October 19th
Day 4
10/17
TOPICS:
▪The idea of a
sample survey
▪How to
sample badly
▪How to
sample well
▪Random
Sampling
▪Other
Sampling
Methods
▪Inference for
sampling
▪Sample
surveys: What
can go
wrong?
Day 5
10/19
TOPICS:
▪Observational
Study vs.
Experiment
▪How to
experiment
badly
▪How to
experiment
well
▪Experimental Design
Principles
▪Inference
▪Blocking
▪Experiments:
What can go
wrong?
▪Matched
Pairs Design
Day 6
10/23
Day 7
10/25
QUIZ
Chapter 4 Intro Activity
4.1 – Sampling and Surveys
I. Concepts and Skills to Master: ►Identify the population and sample in a sample
survey ►Identify voluntary response samples and convenience samples ►Know
how bad sampling methods can lead to bias ►Distinguish a simple random
sample from a random sample or cluster sample and give advantages and
disadvantages of each sampling method ►Describe how to use Table D to select
a simple random sample (SRS) ►Explain how undercoverage, nonresponse, and
question wording can lead to bias in a sample survey
II. Assignments
A. Warm Up
B. 4.1 Guided Notes
C. Random Number Technology Lab
D. 4.1 Multiple Choice and Free Response handout
III. Homework
A. Chapter 4 After you Read: Concepts 1 and 2 (handout 65-67)
B. Textbook: page 230 #37-43
4.2 – Experiments
I. Concepts and Skills to Master: ►Distinguish between and observational study and
experiment ►Explain lurking variables can lead to confounding ►Identify the
components of an experiment ►Describe a completely randomized design for an
experiment ►Describe how to avoid the placebo effect in an experiment
►Distinguish between a completely randomized design and a randomized block
design ►Understand the importance of the three principles of experimental
design ►Define in context “statistically significant” ►Know when a matched
pairs experiment is appropriate and how to implement such a design
II. Assignments
A. Warm Up – 4.1 Recap [Review 4.1 Guided Notes]
B. Classwork: After You Read: Concepts 1, 2, and 3 (handout 69-72)
C. Activity – Experiment Title: Distracted Driving
D. Template for Analyzing Experiments handout – see syllabus
III. Homework
 Chapter 4 – Strive for 5 MC Practice and FRQ
 Read 4.1 and 4.2 Textbook summaries (p.225, p.252)
ASSIGNMENTS: CHAPTER 4 Review for QUIZ
Cholesterol Activity (Randomized Design vs. Matched Pairs)
Activity Response Bias Group Project p.267 – DUE: TBA
Discuss Template for Analyzing Experiments
HOMEWORK: Complete 4.1 and 4.2 Practice Quiz handout
Study for Quiz
CHAPTER 4 QUIZ
CLASSWORK/HOMEWORK: CW: Extra Credit Points (Chapters 3 and 4 Crossword Puzzles)
HW: Response Bias Project
***END OF QUARTER 1***
CHAPTER 4 BIG IDEA & ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS
Enduring understanding (Big Idea): Students will understand relationships between two variables including how
to describe, analyze, model, and use them. Also that association does not necessarily mean causation. Moreover, for
linear relationships how to make predictions and determine what can be explained.
Essential Questions:
1. Why must data be collected according to a
5. Why are Control, Randomization and Replication
well-developed plan and how does that
important in designing and implementing an
affect the validity of information for a
experiment
conjecture?
6. What are the differences between observational
2. Why must this plan include clarifying the
studies and experiments?
question and deciding upon a method of
7. What is required to establish a causation
data collection and analysis?
relationship?
3. How can we fairly represent a group, so
8. When there are known sources of systematic
that we can draw conclusions from data
variation, how can we design experiments to
drawn from a sample of that group?
reduce variation in the results?
4. What is the difference between random
9. When should we Block or use Matched Pairs?
selection and random assignment, how are
10. What is the difference between clusters, strata,
each used and to what purpose?
and block?
CHAPTER 4 VOCABULARY & OBJECTIVES
Students will know:
Sampling and Experimentation: Planning and conducting
a study
A. Methods of data collection
B. How to plan and conduct surveys:
C. How to plan and conduct experiments
D. Generalizability of results and types of conclusions
that can be drawn from observational studies,
experiments and surveys
Vocabulary: Bias, Blocking, Causation (Cause and
Effect), Cluster, Cluster Sample, Completely
Randomized
Design,
Confounding,
Control,
Convenience Sample, Data Ethics, Double-blind,
Experiment, Experimental Units, Lurking Variable
(Other Variable), Matched pairs design, Nonresponse,
Observational Study, Placebo, Placebo effect,
Population, Random Assignment, Randomized block
design, Replication, Sample, Simple Random Sample
(SRS), Statistically significant, Strata, Stratified
Random Sample, Subjects, Table of Random Digits,
Treatment, Undercoverage, Voluntary Response Sample
See back for Anaylzing Experiments Template
Students will be able to…
1. identify: populations, samples, voluntary
response samples, convenience samples, simple
random sample, stratified random sample, cluster
sample
2. use a random number table to select a simple
random sample
3. avoid bias particularly from undercoverage,
nonresponse, and wording
4. distinguished between observational studies and
experiments
5. understand confounding blocking, matched pairs,
statistically significant
6. identify experimental units, subjects, factors,
treatments
7. understand the importance of random assignments
of treatments
8. describe a completely randomized design for an
experiment
9. distinguish between completely randomized
design and a randomized block design