http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Promotion of cooperation on networks? The best response case Carlos P. Roca (1,2) José A. Cuesta (1) Anxo Sánchez (1,3,4) (1) (2) (3) (4) GISC, Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain Chair for Sociology, in particular of Modelling and Simulation, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Instituto de Ciencias Matemáticas CSIC-UAM-UC3M-UCM, Madrid, Spain Instituto de Biocomputación y Física de Sistemas Complejos (BIFI), Zaragoza, Spain The Physics Approach To Risk: Agent-Based Models and Networks October 27-29, 2008 ETH Zürich, Switzerland http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The puzzle of the emergence of cooperation Charles Darwin (Descent of Man, 1871) He who was ready to sacrifice his life (…), rather than betray his comrades, would often leave no offspring to inherit his noble nature… Therefore, it seems scarcely possible (…) that the number of men gifted with such virtues (…) would be increased by natural selection, that is, by the survival of the fittest. http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo One of the 25 problems for the XXI century E. Pennisi, Science 309, 93 (2005) “Others with a mathematical bent are applying evolutionary game theory, a modeling approach developed for economics, to quantify cooperation and predict behavioral outcomes under different circumstances.” http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The hypothesis of structured populations QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Martin A. Nowak and Robert M. May, Nature 359, 826 (1992) Spatial structure promotes cooperation in evolutionary game theory http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo 2x2 Symmetric Social Dilemmas • 2 players • 2 strategies: Cooperate or Defect C D C 1 S D T 0 T > 1 : temptation to defect S < 0 : risk in cooperation http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Possible Social Dilemmas T > 1 temptation to defect S C C 1 1 D S Snowdrift / Hawk-Dove Harmony (no tensions) D T (anti-coordination) 0 0 0 S<0 risk in cooperation 2 1 Stag Hunt (coordination) Prisoner’s Dilemma (both tensions) -1 T http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Evolutionary Games on Networks • Darwinian evolution: individuals reproduce according to their fitness (payoffs earned from the game) • Population structure: each player plays and compares payoff only with his neighbors • Strategy evolution: update rules G. Szabó and G. Fáth, Evolutionary games on graphs Phys. Rep. 446, 97 (2007) . http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Update rules • Proportional update: Similar to replicator dynamics on a infinite, well-mixed population • Unconditional imitation: choose the strategy of the neighbor with the largest payoff if larger than yours • Best response: choose the strategy that would have yielded the largest payoff given the neighbors’ strategies • Pairwise comparison: •… http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Evolutionary Games on Networks Standard reference: replicator dynamics on a complete network S C D C 1 S D T 0 1 S Snowdrift / Hawk-Dove (0, , 1) Harmony (1) 0 0 1 Stag Hunt (0, ,1) -1 2 Prisoner’s Dilemma (0) T http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Seminal result on spatial structure Nowak & May, Nature 359, 826 (1992) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Subsequent work Different works, different models (networks, rules, games, time definition,…): Contradictory results No clear global picture yet http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The influence of the update rule unconditional imitation replicator rule ( regular lattice, k=8, x0=0.5 ) best response http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Random networks and lattices: Replicator rule lattice random network k=4 k=6 k=8 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Random networks and lattices: Unconditional imitation lattice random network k=4 k=6 k=8 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Effects of spatial structure • Spatial structure has a strong effect only when the clustering coefficient is high • Stochastic update rules (replicator): asymmetry of effects between coordination (Stag Hunt) and anti-coordination games (Snowdrift, Hawk-Dove) • Unconditional imitation: the highest promotion of cooperation, the only rule with a relevant effect on Prisoner’s Dilemma • Small-world networks produce results almost identical to those of regular lattices C. P. Roca, J. A. Cuesta, A.S., arXiv/0806.1649 (2008) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Mesoscopic structure also plays a role PGP Social network Randomized Communities modify the response S. Lozano, A. Arenas, A.S., PLoS ONE 3(4): e1892 (2008) S. Lozano, A. Arenas, A.S., J. Econ. Interact. Coord., in press (2009) C. P. Roca, S. Lozano, A. Arenas, A.S., work in progress (2008) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Hauert & Doebeli results QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. ( regular lattice, k=8, x 0=0.5 ) complete graph Replicator rule: Cooperation is (mostly) inhibited! http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Sysi-Aho et al. results ( regular lattice, k=8, x 0=0.5 ) well mixed Best response: Cooperation is promoted for large r! http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The best response case • Best response is “the” rule of choice for many applications in economics • Best response is both deterministic (as unconditional imitation) and innovative (it reintroduces extinct strategies) • Best response is a step further in “intelligence” if compared to imitation • If best response leads to an equilibrium, it is a Nash equilibrium of the networked game http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Best response on well-mixed populations Well-mixed Complete graph QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Introduce a probability p to update strategy to avoid alternance http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Best response on random networks and lattices lattice random network k=4 k=8 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Best response on… almost anything Complete Erdös-Rènyi (4) QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Klemm-Eguíluz (8) Small World (8) Barabási-Albert (4) QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Barabási-Albert (8) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo No effects on best response • PD and Harmony cannot change because they have only one dominant strategy (D or C resp.) which is the only best response to any other • SH and SD might in principle be affected: – SH ends up converging to one of the two equilibria – SD ends up forever switching strategies (if p=1) or converges to the mixed equilibrium (if p1) But on a closer look… http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Lattices: initial conditions Xc=2/3 Xc=1/3 Well mixed Lattice (4) Lattice (8) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Cluster formation on lattices k=4, x0=1/3, S=-0.6, T=0.2 k=8, x0=1/3, S=-0.6, T=0.2 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Finite size effect Histograms of asymptotic cooperation k=8, x0=1/3, S=-0.6, T=0.2 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Initial conditions in other networks Random Scale-free Xc=1/3 Well mixed Effect is noticeable on other lattices No cluster effects http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Summary • Assessment of the effect of the relevant topological properties for the evolution of cooperation (network clustering and degree heterogeneity) • Best response analyzed in a large variety of networks proves to be independent of the social network • Quantitative understanding of the dynamic mechanisms involved: initial conditions relevant • Bi-dimensional parameter space: ST-plane http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo What does it mean “promotion of cooperation”? Replicator rule Best response Different regions, initial conditions, rules, … http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo many thanks for your attention QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo unconditional imitation replicator dynamics Spatial structure: Dependence on initial densities http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The case of snowdrift Hauert & Doebeli, Nature 428, 643 (2004) Cooperation is inhibited! (However, cf. small r) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo The case of snowdrift Sysi-Aho et al., Eur. Phys. J. B 44, (2005) Cooperation may be promoted! (cf. dependence on r) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Cluster formation on lattices k=8, x 0=1/3, S=-0.6, T=0.2 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Conclusions Evolutionary game theory on networks is non universal: need for rationales for models Best response dynamics is largely unaffected by the existence of a social network: Relevance of the network for human-like rules? http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Spatial structure: Local densities Payoffs Complete network Structured population SH SD http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Spatial structure: Temporal evolution ( replicator dynamics, k=8 ) http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Spatial structure: Effect of network clustering Replicator dynamics, k=8 lattice Watts-Strogatz small-world http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Spatial structure: Temporal evolution http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo Spatial structure: Transitions in Unconditional Imitation, k=8 http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo One of the 25 problems for the XXI century E. Pennisi, Science 309, 93 (2005) An issue at the frontier between (behavioral) economics, sociology, (social) anthropology, (evolutionary) psychology, (evolutionary) biology, and… statistical mechanics http://gisc.uc3m.es/~anxo many thanks for your attention QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture.