Name: Janine Crump Professor Lasren March 13, 2014 Attention Grabber: Video According to the video, what are some factors mentioned that influence the decision making process among administrators? What are are some discussed qualities of a successful school administrator? Classical Model: Classical decision theory assumes that decisions should be completely rational; it employs an optimizing strategy by seeking the best possible alternative to maximize the achievement of goals and objectives. 1. A problem is identified. 2. Goals and objectives are established. 3. All the possible alternatives are generated. 4. The consequences of each alternative are considered. 5. Alternatives are evaluated in terms of the goals and objectives. 6. The best alternative is selected. 7. Finally, the decision is implemented and evaluated. Administrative Model: Herbert Simon ( 1947) Assumption 1: Administrative decision making is a dynamic process that solves some organizational problems and creates others. Assumption 2: Complete rationality in decision making is impossible; therefore, administrators seek to satisfice because they have neither the ability nor the cognitive capacity to optimize the decision- making process. Assumption 3: Decision making is a general pattern of action found in the rational administration of all major tasks and functional areas in organizations. Recognizing and defining the problem or issue. Analyzing the difficulties in the situation. Establishing criteria for a satisfactory solution. Developing a strategy for action. Initiating a plan of action. Evaluating the outcomes. Assumption 4: Values are an integral part of decision making. Decision-Making Process Step 1. Recognize and Define the Problem or Issue. Step 2. Analyze the Difficulties in the Existing Situation Step 3. Establish Criteria for a Satisfactory Solution Step 4. Develop a Plan or Strategy of Action Specify alternatives. A)Predict the consequences of each alternative. B) Deliberate. C) Select a plan of action. The search for alternatives to solve a particular organizational problem is called problemistic search. Problemistic search is straightforward, usually reflecting simplified notions of causality, and based on two simple rules: Search in the area of the problem symptom( s). Search in the area of the current alternative( s). In the process of searching for satisfactory alternatives, decision makers seek to keep the activity manageable by using simplified decision rules called heuristics— The recognition heuristic is the tendency to infer a higher value ( e. g., stronger, faster, higher) to that which is familiar. The availability heuristic is the tendency for decision makers to base their judgments on information already available to them The representative heuristic is the tendency to view others as the typical stereotype that they represent; The anchoring- and- adjustment heuristic is a mental rule of thumb in which existing information is accepted as a reference point for decision making but is adjusted as new information becomes available Means- end analysis is inappropriate because setting objectives and generating alternatives occur simultaneously. Good solutions are those upon which decision makers agree regardless of objectives. Alternatives and outcomes are drastically reduced by considering only options similar to the current state of affairs. Analysis is restricted to differences between the existing situation and proposed alternatives. The incremental method eschews theory in favor of successive comparisons of concrete, practical alternatives. 1. 2. Amitai Etzioni Mixed scanning involves two questions: What is the organization’s mission and policy? What decisions will move the organization toward its mission and policy? a) Broad, organizational policy gives direction to tentative incremental decisions. b) Good decisions have satisfactory outcomes that are consistent with organizational policy and mission. c)The search for alternatives is limited to those close to the problem. d)Analysis is based on the assumption that important information is missing but action is imperative. e)Theory, experience, and successive comparisons are used together. 1. Use focused trial and error. First, search for reasonable alternatives; then select, implement, and test them. 2. Be tentative; proceed with caution. Be ready to modify a course of action as necessary. 3. If uncertain, procrastinate. Waiting is not always bad. When the situation is ambiguous, delay as long as possible so that more information can be collected and analyzed before taking action. 4. Stagger your decisions. Commit to a decision in stages. 5. If uncertain, fractionalize decisions. Staggered decisions can be tested in parts. Do not invest all your resources to implement a decision, but instead use partial resources until the consequences are satisfactory. 6. Hedge your bets. Implement several competing alternatives. 7. Be prepared to reverse your decision. Try to keep decisions tentative and experimental. Select the appropriate decision model based on three questions: Information: Is there sufficient information to define a satisfactory outcome? Time: Is there time to engage in a comprehensive search? Importance: How important is the decision? Organizational objectives emerge spontaneously; they are not set beforehand. Means and ends exist independently; chance or happenstance connects them. A good decision occurs when a problem matches a solution. The decision relies more on chance than rationality. Administrators scan existing solutions, problems, participants, and opportunities looking for matches. The garbage can metaphor is a description of how decisions sometimes occur; it is not a suggestion for action. Under what conditions does stress have unfavorable effects on the quality of decision making? Under what conditions will individuals use sound decision- making procedures to avoid choices that they would quickly regret? What about the Teachers? There are times when teacher participation improves the quality of the decision as well as times when it impedes effective decisions. The better question is how and when teachers should be included. Victor Vroom and his colleagues Miner ( 1984, 1988, 2005) concludes that no leadership theory surpasses the Vroom model in either its validity or usefulness. 1. Quality Rule. Use a unilateral approach to decision making only if the quality requirement is low and the matter unimportant to subordinates, or the quality requirement is low, the decision is important, and will be readily accepted by subordinates. 2. Leader Information Rule. Don’t make a unilateral decision if the quality of the decision is important and you don’t possess sufficient information and expertise to solve the problem alone. 3. Trust Rule ( Goal Congruence). Make a unilateral decision when the quality of the decision is important and you can’t trust subordinates to decide on the basis of the organizational goals. 4. Problem Structure Rule. Involve knowledgeable subordinates to collect relevant information when the quality of the decision is important, the problem is unstructured, and you lack sufficient information or expertise. 1. The Acceptance Rule. Involve subordinates if their acceptance of the decision is critical for effective implementation and you are unsure if they will accept an autocratic decision. 2. The Subordinate Conflict Rule. Involve subordinates when there is conflict among subordinates, acceptance of the decision is critical, and an autocratic decision is unlikely to be accepted. 3. Subordinate Commitment Rule. A group decision should be made even when the quality of the decision is not important, but its acceptance is critical and problematic. A group decision will likely generate more acceptance and commitment than a hierarchical one. 4. The Subordinate Information Rule. Subordinates should not be called upon to make a decision for which they have insufficient information or expertise. 1. The Time Constraint ( Motivation- Time). Time is often critical. Time is not free. The amount of time used in making a decision is a cost expressed in terms of the loss of attention to other activities. 2. The Development Constraint ( MotivationDevelopment). Subordinates often don’t have the knowledge and skills to contribute. Decision making is a learned skill developed through practice. To empower teachers means to give them the skills and opportunities to make important decisions. Autocratic: The leader using the existing information solves the problem unilaterally. Informed- Autocratic: The leader solves the problem unilaterally after obtaining necessary information from subordinates. Individual- Consultative: The leader shares the problem with subordinates, soliciting their ideas individually. Group- Consultative: The leader shares the problem with group members, solicits their ideas, and makes the decision, which may or may not reflect the influence of subordinates. Group- Agreement: The leader shares the problem with subordinates as a group and together generates and evaluates alternatives in an attempt to reach consensus. A decision tree is a pictorial scheme that traces the possible decisions that arise by following a set of decision rules. The tree simplifies the paths for involving teachers in decisions and defines the role of the principal and teachers. The Hoy- Tarter model ( 1992, 1993a, 1993b, 2003, 2004) has evolved into a user- friendly model that administrators can keep in their heads and easily apply when the situation is appropriate. In a test of the models, solutions show that using the two different models were congruent with each other more than 90 percent of the time; Drawing on the work of Barnard ( 1938), Simon ( 1947), and Chase ( 1951), Edwin M. Bridges ( 1967) advances two propositions about shared decision making: 1. As subordinates are involved in making decisions located within their zone of acceptance, participation will be less effective. 2. 2. As subordinates are involved in making decisions located outside their zone of acceptance, participation will be more effective. The test of trust: Are subordinates committed to the mission of the organization? Can they be trusted to make decisions in the best interests of the organization? democratic situation decision is outside zone, trust involved, decisions are either by consensus or majority rule. conflictual situation – decision is outside zone, no trust, participation should be restricted. stakeholder situation: when subordinates have a personal stake in the issue but little expertise. Limit participation noncollaborative situation subordinates typically are not interested. Avoid participation expert situation -subordinates have no personal stake in the outcomes but do have the knowledge . Limit participation 1. Group consensus: The administrator involves participants in the decision making, and then the group decides. 2. Group majority: The administrator involves participants in the decision making, and then the group decides by majority rule. 3. Group advisory: The administrator solicits the opinions of the entire group, discusses the implications of group suggestions, and then makes a decision that may or may not reflect subordinates’ desires. 4. Individual advisory: The administrator consults with subordinates individually who have expertise to inform the decision, and then makes a decision. 5. Unilateral decision: The administrator makes the decision without consulting or involving subordinates in the decision. Role Function Aim Integrator Integrates divergent positions To gain consensus Parliamentarian Promotes open discussion To support reflective group deliberation Educator Explains and discusses issues To seek acceptance of decision Solicitor Solicits advice To improve quality of decision Director Makes unilateral decisions To achieve efficiency Develop a culture that focuses on the goals of the school: students come first. Be authentic with teachers; tell it like it is. Develop a culture of trust; principals and teachers need to trust each other. If teacher expertise is lacking, develop knowledge in those areas. Don’t burden teachers with unimportant decisions. Don’t give decision authority you don’t have. Don’t engage teachers in shared decision making until they are ready; they need to break old traditions and learn new ways of deciding, so an incremental approach works. Ultimately, to be successful, teachers must have useful knowledge, be motivated to participate, and be willing to subordinate their personal agendas for the good of the school. Caution! Effective yet complicated. Avoid Group Think at all costs. ( pg.373) Conclusion/ Questions