Class Business Upcoming Groupwork Course Evaluations Profit Profiles for Long Calls Payoff Long Call ST – X – C 0 C X Spot Price (ST) Profit Profiles for Short Calls Payoff Spot Price (ST) C 0 X ST – X – C Short Call Call Options - Zero Sum Game Payoff 0 Long Call X Spot Price (ST) Short Call Profit Profiles for Long Puts Payoffs X – ST – P 0 X P Spot Price (ST) Long Put Profit Profiles for Short Puts Payoffs Short Put X 0 P – (X – ST) P Spot Price (ST) Put Options - Zero Sum Game Payoffs Short Put 0 X Spot Price (ST) Long Put Market and Exercise Price Relationships In the Money - exercise of the option would be profitable Call: market price>exercise price (St > X) Put: exercise price>market price (St < X) Out of the Money - exercise of the option would not be profitable Call: market price<exercise price (St < X) Put: exercise price<market price(St > X) At the Money - exercise price and asset price are equal (St = X) Bull Spread Using Calls Profit ST X1 Positon: Long 1 call at X1 Short 1 call at X2 X2 Straddle Combination Profit X Position: Long 1 call at X Long 1 put at X ST Option Strategies involving stock Protective Put Long Stock Long Put Profit X ST ) All you are doing is buying calls Option Strategies involving stock Covered Call Long Stock Short Call Profit X ) All you are doing is writing puts ST Chapter 15: Pricing Options Put-Call Parity Consider the following portfolio: – Going LONG one European call option, – Going SHORT one European put option – LENDING the present value of the exercise price PV(X) = X/(1+r)T at the interest rate r. What are the payoffs of this portfolio? Notation: – c = price of call – p = price of put Put-Call Parity Action Buy a call Write a put Buy bond with face value = X Today (cost) At maturity (cash flows: what you get) ST < X ST > X ST=X c 0 ST - X 0 -p -(X – ST) 0 0 X/(1+r)T X X X (ST) c – p + X/(1+r)T ST ST ST Total cost Put-Call Parity The future cash flows of this transaction are identical to the value of the stock ST. You can get the same cash flows by buying the stock. No arbitrage implies that the price of the stock equals the price of the portfolio: S0 = c – p + PV(X) or S0 + p = c + PV(X) (S0 = current price of stock) Example: Put-Call Parity Suppose you are a trader on the floor of the CBOE, you notice the following: – Price of IBM stock = 100 – Call(X=110,T=1) price = 12.95 – Put(X=110,T=1) price = 7.45 – Risk-free rate is 5% – Note: T is time to maturity Is there an arbitrage opportunity? How would you take advantage of it? Example: Put-Call Parity Step 1: Write down PCP equation S0 + p = c + PV(X) Step 2: Plug in numbers on each side – S0 + p =100+7.45=107.45 – c + PV(X)= 12.95+110/(1.05)=117.71 Step 3: Go long the cheap side and short the expensive side – Long: stock and put – Short: call and bond with FV=X Example: Put-Call Parity Action Today (cost) At maturity (flows: what you get) ST < X short a call short PV(X) Long put -12.95 -104.76 0 ST > X -(ST-110) ST =X 0 -110 -110 -110 +7.45 (110-ST) 0 0 +100.00 ST ST ST 0 0 Long Stock Net -10.26 0 Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell The current price is S0 = $60. After six months, the stock price will either grow to $66 or fall to $54. – Pick what ever probabilities you want. The annual risk-free interest rate is 1%. – Assume yield curve is flat What is the value of a call option with a strike price of $65 that expires after 6 months? Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell Find value of a corresponding call option with X=65: Stock Price Tree H Option Price Tree 66 60 1 ? L 54 0 Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell Claim: we can use the stock along with a risk-free bond to replicate the option Replicating portfolio: – Position of D shares of the stock • • – If D is positive, that means you “own” the stock If D is negative, that means you are “short” the stock Position of $B in bonds (B=present value) • • If B is positive, that means you “own” the bond If B is negative, that means you are “short” the bond Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell Strategy: If we know that holding D shares of stock and $B in bonds will replicate the payoffs of the option, then we know the cost of the option is DS0 + B Example: Suppose the stock is currently $60, and we find that holding 1 share of stock and shorting $55 in bonds will give us the exact same payoffs as the option (in either state). 60-55 = 5 Then we know the price of the option is ________. Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell We want to find D and B such that D66 B(1.01)1/ 2 1 D54 B(1.01)1/ 2 0 D66 and D54 are the payoffs from holding D shares of the stock B(1.01)1/2 is the payoff from holding $B of the bond Mathematically possible – Two equations and two unknowns Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell D66 B(1.01)1/ 2 1 D54 B(1.01)1/ 2 0 Shortcut to finding D: D CH CL 1 0 1 S H S L 66 54 12 Subscripts: – H – the state in which the stock price is high – L – the state in which the stock price is low Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell Once we know D, it is easy to find B 1 1/ 2 54 B (1.01) 0 12 1 54 B 4.48 1/ 2 12 (1.01) So if we – buy 1/12 shares of stock – Short $4.48 of the bond – Then we have a portfolio that replicates the option Binomial Option Pricing: Call Option on Dell Do we know how to price the replicating portfolio? Yes: We know the price of the stock is $60 – 1/12 shares of the stock will cost $5 When we short $4.49 of the bond – we get $4.48 Total cost of replicating portfolio is – 5.00 - 4.48 = 0.52 This is the price of the option. Done. Binomial Option Pricing: Put Option On Dell Find value of a corresponding put option with X=65: Stock Price Tree Option Price Tree 66 60 0 ? 54 11 Binomial Option Pricing: Put Option on Dell We want to find D and B such that D66 B(1.01)1/ 2 0 D54 B(1.01)1/ 2 11 D66 and D54 are the payoffs from holding D shares of the stock B(1.01)1/2 is the payoff from holding B shares of the bond Mathematically possible – Two equations and two unknowns Binomial Option Pricing: Put Option on Dell D66 B(1.01)1/ 2 0 D54 B(1.01)1/ 2 11 Shortcut to finding D: D PH PL 0 11 11 S H S L 66 54 12 Subscripts: – H – the state in which the stock price is high – L – the state in which the stock price is low Binomial Option Pricing: Put Option on Dell Once we know D, it is easy to find B 11 1/ 2 66 B (1.01) 0 12 11 66 B 60.20 1/ 2 12 (1.01) So if we – short 11/12 shares of stock – buy $60.20 of the bond – Then we have a portfolio that replicates the option Binomial Option Pricing: Put Option on Dell Do we know how to price the replicating portfolio? Yes: The price of the stock is $60 – When we short 11/12 shares of the stock we will get $55.00 To buy $60.20 of the bond – This will cost $60.20 Total cost of replicating portfolio is – 60.20 - 55.00 = 5.20 This is the price of the option. Done. Insights on Option Pricing The value of a derivative – Does not depend on the investor’s risk-preferences. – Does not depend on the investor’s assessments of the probability of low and high returns. – To value any derivative, just find a replicating portfolio. – The procedures outlined above apply to any derivative with any payoff function