Lec 33, Ch.5, pp.147-164: Accident reduction capabilities and effectiveness of safety design features (Objectives) Learn what’s involved in safety engineering studies Learn how to compute accident reduction capabilities of countermeasures Learn how to estimate the effectiveness of safety design features (Reduction of the number of accidents) What we discuss in class today… Components of engineering studies Condition diagram and collision diagrams Accident reduction capabilities of countermeasures Accident reduction factors – definitions Accident reduction factors relating to improvements to roadway cross section Component of the Highway Safety Improvemen t Program (HSIP) by FHWA Need estimates of the effectiveness of safety design features Conducting engineering studies (after hazardous locations have been identified) Steps: In-depth study of the accident data obtained for the study site Conduct a field review of the study site List possible accident (contributory) causes Determine specific safety deficiencies at the site Develop general countermeasures Conduct an economic analysis (costeffectiveness, rather than cost-benefit) Recommend a list of countermeasure actions Site analysis – Draw a condition diagram Purposes: To identify contributing causes To develop site specific improvements Two types of info: Accident data Environment & physical condition data The first thing you do is visit the site and prepare a condition diagram of the site. Site analysis (cont) – Prepare a collision diagrams Site analysis (cont) – Questions to ask Group accidents by type and answer the following 3 questions, which will lead you to possible countermeasures. See Table 5.3. What driver actions led to the occurrence of such an accident? What conditions existing at the location could contribute to drivers’ taking such actions What changes can be made to reduce the chance of such actions occurring in the future? Rear-end collisions: Driver: Sudden stop & Tailgating Environment: Too many accesses and interactions with vehicles in/out of the accesses (drive ways), bad sight distance, short/long yellow interval, inappropriate location of stop lines (against driver expectancy), etc. Crash reduction capabilities Used to estimate the expected reduction in crashes that will occur during a given period as a result of implementing a proposed countermeasure. CR = crash reduction (CR) factors are used to indicate potential crash reduction capabilities. ADT _ after _ period Crashes _ prevented N CR ADT _ before _ period N = expected number of crashes if countermeasure is not implemented and if the traffic volume remains the same. Example 5-5: CR = 0.3, ADT before = 7850, ADT after = 9000, No. of specific types of crash occurring per year = 12, 14, 13 for the same 3 years where ADT average values were computed. Avg no. of crashes/year = (12+14+13)/3=13 Crashes prevented = 13 x 0.3 x (9000/7850) = 4.47 say, 4 accidents Procedure to determine Crash reduction factor (CR) When multiple countermeasures are selected… CR CR1 (1 CR1 )CR2 (1 CR1 )(1 CR2 )CR3 ... (1 CR1 )...(1 CRm1 )CRm CR = overall crash reduction factor for multiple mutually exclusive improvements at a single site CRi = crash reduction factor for a specific countermeasure i m = number of countermeasures at the site Example 5-6 CR1 = 0.40, CR2 = 0.28, and CR3 = 0.2. Determine the overall CR factor. Note that countermeasures are ordered in the descending order of their accident reduction factor values. CR = 0.4 + (1 – 0.4)*0.28 + (1 – 0.4)(1 – 0.28)*0.2 = 0.66 Effectiveness of safety design features (eventually we want to estimate the number of crashes that can be prevented (CP).) In this chapter, we will see how (1) access control, (2) alignment, (3) cross sections, (4) intersections, and (5) pedestrian and bicyclist facilities might affect the overall safety of roadways. Among these cross section related factors are used as an example to compute CP values. Access Control: Defined as “some combination of at-grade intersections, business and private driveways, and median crossovers” More access control Less accidents e.g. interstates Streets Access control (cont) More access, higher crash rates Some methods to reduce crashes by controlling access: Remove access points (remove median openings) Provide frontage roads for business access Provide special turning lanes (TWLTL or LT bays) Warn motorists of changing conditions along the roadway using proper traffic control devices (Note that the access control section of the chapter does not give CR values.) Alignment (This topic was discussed in Ch. 16. Review that chapter to find out what affected vertical and horizontal alignment design.) Vertical alignment Most important factors include sight distance (especially crest vertical curves) and the vertical curve length. Improvements to safety of horizontal curves include: Improve the combination of Use a less sharp H-curve V- and H-curves Widen lanes and shoulders Assure adequate pavement Add spiral transition curves surface drainage Increase the amount of Provide increased skid superelevation < max allowed resistance Increase the clear roadside (Note that the alignment recovery distance section of the chapter does not give CR values.) Cross sections (this section gives CR values) Clearance (CR values) Cross sections (cont) (CR values) for shoulders (Combined effects) (AR values) Cross sections (cont) (CR values) Table 5.11 is slightly different from other tables. It does not give CR values. It gives % or cross-section related crashes (RC values) including run-off-road, head-on, and opposite- and same-direction sideswipe. Table 5.11 Ratio of Cross Section Related Crashes to Total Crashes on Two-Lane Rural Roads Auxiliary lanes can reduce crashes (because they provide safer passing opportunities. F = fatal accidents I = injury accidents (CR values) Example 5-7 Given: Improvement options: A two-lane two-way highway in mountainous terrain Widen 10-ft lane to 12-ft lane (2 ft increase) 53 crashes per year (3 year average) Widen unpaved 2-ft shoulder to paved 6-ft shoulder Currently 10-ft wide lane, 2-ft unpaved shoulder ADT = 4000 vpd A combination of the two options Find the expected number of accidents reduced: RC = 53 x 0.61 = 32 related crashes (Tab 5.11) a. Crashes prevented (CP) by lane widening = 32*0.23 = 7 accidents/yr (Tab 5.8) b. CP by shoulder widening = 32*0.29 = 9 accidents/yr (Tab 5.9) c. CP by the combination = 32*0.46 = 15 accidents/yr (Tab 5.10)