Public Opinion - understanding the population’s belief about politics and policy issues US remains one of the most DIVERSE countries in the world today - founded on principle of tolerating diversity and individualism. Consequences for democracy: the least informed are also the least likely to participate in the political process leading to inequalities in who takes part in political action. DEMOGRAPHY - the science of population change Most valuable tool for understanding demographic changes = CENSUS first conducted 1790 comply with Constitution requirement for an “actual enumeration” of the population every 10 years. NATION OF IMMIGRANTS 3 waves of immigrants 1. Before the Civil War - northwestern Europeans = English, Irish, Germans, Scandinavians 2. After the Civil War - southern and eastern Europeans = Greeks, Italians, Polish, Jews, Russian etc. 3. After WWII - Hispanics ( Cuba, Mexico, Central America) and Asians (Vietnam, Korea, Phillippines) US called MELTING POT (mixture of cultures, ideas, and peoples Now label MINORITY MAJORITY (America will cease to have a white Anglo-Saxon majority) SALAD BOWL 1.Largest component of the MINORITY MAJORITY currently is the AFRICAN-AMERICAN population 2.If current immigration and birth rates continue - HISPANIC population will outnumber the AFRICAN-AMERICAN population in the 21st century 3.Asians Americans are the most highly skilled immigrant group 4.Native Americans are the worst off; least healthy, poorest, least educated SIMPSON-MAZZOLI ACT - required all employers to document the citizenship of their employees starting June, 1987 Must prove that they are US citizens are legal immigrants in order to work. Employers who knowingly employed undocumented immigrants would receive civil and criminal penalities. Immigrant groups worried that employers may simply decline to hire members of such groups. Proposed solution - controversial is denying all benefits from gov’t programs to people who can’t prove legal residents of US. VIDEO Proposition 187 - won the vote lost in enforcement. Courts said violated rights of illegal immigrants as well as national laws concerning eligibility for federal funded benefits Held to be unconstitutional state scheme to regulate immigration Courts said states can’t deny public services to illegal aliens Republican platform stated illegal aliens should not receive public benefits except for emergency aids Those who become parents while illegally in US should not quality to claim benefits for offspring. Political Socialization - process through which an individual acquires his or her own political orientations Only a portion of political learning is formal Agents of socialization - family, mass media (new parents), schools, Politics is a lifelong activity Aging increases one’s political participation and strength to party attachment Political behavior is learned behavior WHICH ARE YOU? LIBERAL or CONSERVATIVE Economic liberals favor broad government involvement in economic policymaking and regulation of business. Favor higher taxes, particularly progressive (based on income level). Programs assisting the poor such as Medicaid and Head Start. Redistribution of income (welfare; social security). Anti-trust legislation. Sympathize with labor in Labor-Management issues. Extreme: Socialism, Communism Economic conservatives favor limited government involvement in economic policymaking and regulation of business. Favor lower taxes, particularly regressive (flat tax, sales taxes). Fewer programs with the goal of redistributing income (private charitable assistance; invest own money for retirement). Oppose government regulation of market choices. Sympathize with business in Labor-Management issues. Extreme: Laissez-Faire, Monopoly Govt. Control Freedom Conservative Totalitarian Libertarian Liberal Economic Issues Govt. Control Liberal Conservative Support for greater government control/regulation in economic matters and less government control/regulation of individual matters. Libertarian Support for minimal government control of both economic and social issues Support for less government control/regulation in economic matters and greater government control/regulation of individual matters. Totalitarian Support for complete government control of economic and social issues Favor loose construction – a broad interpretation Constitutional interpretation may change as modern society evolves What are our standards today? Liberal Favor strict construction – a narrow interpretation Constitutional interpretation should remain constant through the years What did the founders mean? Conservative Favor change over status quo Liberal Rights of the Individual are more important Favor tradition over change Conservative Rights of the community are more important Voter A: “I worked my way up from poverty to become the successful business owner I am today. I get frustrated when I think that my tax money goes to support people who won’t help themselves. I think part of the blame belongs with the media – they promote all the wrong values.” Voter B: “I really don’t care what other people do in their free time, as long as they don’t bother me. I sure don’t like it when the government tells me what to do with my money or in my own home – I’m certainly not going to turn around and do the same thing to my neighbors.” Ideology? Ideology? Voter C: “I really worry about the state of the world today. It seems like more and more kids are growing up in poverty and there’s no one there to help them. I think we need to do more toward providing healthcare and education programs for our young people.” Voter D: “These days, you can’t be too careful. I think we need to spend a lot more money on the national defense. I wish there was a police officer on every corner! The police could search my car all they want, since I don’t break the law. I also think the government should crack down on the media – their reporting gives our enemies an inside look at all our military preparations.” Ideology? Ideology? Govt. Control Conservative Totalitarian Most people will fit somewhere within the parameters of this circle. Libertarian Freedom Liberal Economic Issues Govt. Control MEASURING PUBLIC OPINION Public Opinion - distribution of people’s belief and politics and policy issues Polls measure public opinion developed by George Gallup 1932 Polls rely on a sample of the population Sample is 1500 - 2000 can represent a “universe” ex. Literary Digest Poll Key to accuracy is RANDOM sampling - everyone should have an equal possibility of being selected Sampling Error (margin of error) - 3-5% error – level of confidence Computer and telephone technology is less expensive - random digit dialing ROLE OF POLLS IN AMERICA 1. Supporters of polling consider it a tool for democracy which policy makers can keep in touch with changing opinions on issues 2. Critics of polling thinks it makes politicians more concerned with following than leading 3. Polls actually Weaken democracy b/c permits gov’t to think that it has taken public opinion when passive 4. Polls weaken democracy by distorting the election process bandwagon effect support candidate only b/c others doing it 5. Exit polls are most criticized- altering wording of questions., imposing a bias (Time Zone Fallout) POLITICAL IDEOLOGIES Def - is a coherent set of values and beliefs about public policy LIBERALS vs. CONSERVATIVES Authors of The American Voter looked carefully at the ideological sophistication of the American electorate in the 1950s. They divided the public into 4 groups according to ideological sophistication. 1. Ideologues - 12% could connect their opinions and beliefs with broad policy positions taken by parties or candidates. 2. Group benefits voters - 42% of Americans thought of politics mainly by the groups they liked or disliked. 3. Nature of the times voters - the “handle on politics” of 24% of the population was limited to whether the times seemed good or bad to them 4. No issue content voter - 22% of the voters were devoid of any ideological or issue content in their political evaluations; voted routinely for a party or judged the candidates by their personalities. Reagan’s victories in 1980s was analyzed that people liked Reagan but not his policies (in practice, they support increased government spending and intervention for most domestic programs) which runs contrary to the notion of a swing toward conservatism Clinton’s centrist policies remain popular, again counter to claims that public opinion has shifted to conservatism. No shift to conservatism b/c many swing voters care more about results than ideology. ex. 1980 election more about getting Carter out of office than voting Reagan in; 1992 economic downturn, same swing voters propelled Clinton into White House pursued centrist policies and enjoyed a good economy. HOW AMERICANS PARTICIPATE IN POLITICS Political participation encompasses the many activities used by citizens to influence the selection of political leaders. Political scientists distinguish 2 broad types of participation 1. Conventional participation includes many widely accepted modes of influencing gov’t such as voting trying to persuade other, ringing doorbells for a petition and running for office. 2. Unconventional participation includes activities that are often dramatic such as protesting, civil disobedience and even violence Protest - form of political participation designed to achieve policy change through dramatic and unconventional tactics Civil Disobedience - consciously breaking the law that they think is unjust (ex. Rosa Parks) Can be nonviolent (MLK) or violent (Vietnam) Participation is a class-based activity with citizens of higher socioeconomic status participating more than others. Minority groups participate less.