PLANNING AND PRELIMINARY ENGINEERING GUIDE FOR USING THE HIGHWAY CAPACITY MANUAL 1 NCHRP 7-22 WORKSHOP AGENDA The Project (9:00 AM) Overview of the Guide (9:30 AM) Case Studies Long Range Regional Plan Update Freeway Master Plan Urban Street BRT Project Planning System Performance Monitoring Wrap Up (10:30 AM) (11:30 AM) (2:00 PM) (2:45 PM) (3:15 PM) 2 • • • • 3 1. NCHRP 7-22 PROJECT NCHRP 7-22 To develop a guide to help planners take advantage of the HCM to improve their results. Status 4 • Stakeholder workshops held to identify planning needs and how the HCM might help. • Initial rough draft guide for stakeholder review (October) • Revised draft guide for panel review in December. • Final guide submitted for publication June 2015 THE PEOPLE • The Research Team • Kittelson & Associates - Rick Dowling, Paul Ryus • North Carolina State University - Bastian Schroeder • University of Idaho - Michael Kyte • Stantec – Tom Creasey • The Panel Dirk Gross (Ohio) (Chair) Tyrone Scorsone (CSI) Robert Bryson (Milwaukee) Brian Dunn (Oregon ) Jessie Jones (Arkansas) Subrat Mahapatra (Maryland) Erik Ruehr (VRPA) Andrew Wolfe (SUNY) Doug McLeod (Florida) Jeremy Raw (FHWA) 5 The Panel 2. OVERVIEW OF GUIDE 6 09:30 CONTENTS 1. Part I - How To Use the Guide A. Long and Short Range Areawide Planning B. Project Traffic and Environmental Studies C. Highway Performance Monitoring 2. Part 2 – Procedures 3. Part 3 – Case Studies Long Range Regional Transportation Plan Analysis Freeway Future Conditions Analysis Analysis of BRT Project on Urban Street Roadway System Monitoring 7 A. B. C. D. Areawide Planning Analysis Task Input to Travel Demand Models Estimation of highway segment capacities, and free-flow speeds Traffic Assignment Module within the Travel Demand Model Volume-Delay functions for the estimation of congested speeds Post Processing Travel Demand Model Outputs Obtain more accurate speed estimates for air quality analyses Spotting auto v/c and LOS hot spots (quick screening) Estimation of delay based on agency policy Estimation of queuing Interpretation of results Travel time reliability analysis Estimation of multimodal quality of service for autos, trucks, transit, bicycles, and pedestrians Corridor Analyses Part 2 Reference Part 3 Case Studies Section O4 Ex. I.1 Section O5 Ex. 1.2 Section O5 Ex. I.3 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Ex. I.4 Ex. I.5 Ex. I.5 Ex. I.6 Ex. 1.7 Ex. I.8 Ex. 1.9 - Section O5 Section O6 8 PART 1GATEWAY TO THE GUIDE PART 1GATEWAY TO THE GUIDE Input to Travel Demand Models (if used) Estimation of highway capacities, and free-flow speeds Traffic Assignment Module within the Demand Model (if used) Volume-Delay functions for congested speeds Input to Microsimulation Model (if used) Estimation of free-flow speeds Microsimulation Model Validation and Error Checking (if used) Capacity estimates for error checking simulated bottlenecks Project Impact & Alternatives Analyses Estimating segment speeds for air quality and noise analyses Estimating auto intersection utilization (v/c) Estimation of delay Estimation of queuing Interpretation of results Travel time reliability analysis Estimation of multimodal quality of service for autos, trucks, transit, bicycles, and pedestrians Corridor Analyses Part 2 Reference Part 3 Case Studies Sections O4 Ex. I.1 Section O5 Ex. 1.2 Section O4 Ex. I.1 Section O4 Ex. I.1 Sections E-H Sections H-K Sections H-K Sections H-K Sections E-K Sections E-H Case Studies 2-3 Case Studies 2-3 Case Studies 2-3 Case Studies 2-3 Case Studies 2-3 Case Studies 2-3 Sections E-H Case Studies 2-3 Section O6 - 9 Project Impact & Alternatives Analysis Task Performance Monitoring Task Part 2 Reference Part 3 Case Studies Estimation of monitoring site capacities, and free-flow speeds Sections O4 Ex. IV.1 Section O5 Ex. IV.2 Section O5 Ex. IV.3 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Section O5 Ex. IV.4 Ex. IV.5 Ex. IV.5 Ex. IV.5 Ex. IV.5 Ex. IV.5 Section O5 Ex. IV.5 For Volume Only Monitoring Sites Estimation of speeds For Travel Time Only Monitoring Segments Estimation of volumes Performance Analyses Quality Assurance/Quality Control Auto and Truck VMT Auto and Truck VMT by LOS Estimation of delay Estimation of queuing Travel time reliability analysis - Estimation of multimodal quality of service for trucks, transit, bicycles, and pedestrians 10 PART 1GATEWAY TO THE GUIDE PART 2 - PROCEDURES A. Default Values B. Generalized Service Volume Tables C. Working with Traffic Demand Data D. Intersection Traffic Control E. Guidance for Freeways F. Guidance for Multilane Highways G. Guidance for Two-Lane Highways H. Guidance for Urban Streets I. Guidance for Signalized Intersections J. Guidance for Stop-Controlled Intersections Input Data Facilities Intersections Guidance for Roundabouts L. Guidance for Interchange Ramp Terminals M. Guidance for Off-Street Pathways N. Guidance for Corridors O. Guidance for Areas and Systems Other 11 K. PART 2 – SECTION E: FREEWAY PROCEDURES • E1. Overview • E2. Computational Tools • E3. Data Needs • E4. Estimating Inputs • Free flow Speed • Capacity • E5. Performance Measures Speed Level of Service Queues Reliability 12 • • • • E. GUIDANCE FOR FREEWAYS A freeway is a separated highway with full control of access and two or more lanes in each direction dedicated to the exclusive use of motorized vehicles. Freeways are composed of various uniform segments that may be analyzed to determine capacity and level of service (LOS). Three types of segments are found on freeways: • • • Freeway merge and diverge segments: Segments in which two or more traffic streams combine to form a single traffic stream (merge) or a single traffic stream divides to form two or more separate traffic streams (diverge). Freeway weaving segments: Segments in which two or more traffic streams traveling in the same general direction cross paths along a significant length of freeway without the aid of traffic control devices (except for guide signs). Weaving segments are formed when a diverge segment closely follows a merge segment or when a oneβlane offβramp closely follows a oneβlane onβ ramp and the two are connected by a continuous auxiliary lane. Basic freeway segments: All segments that are not merge, diverge, or weaving segments. The planning method for freeways focuses on facility level analysis and section level analysis. A section is defined as extending from gore point to gore point, avoiding the need to subdivide the section into 1500 foot long merge and diverge areas. A section may combine several HCM segments. For example, a section extending between and on-ramp and an off-ramp may be composed of 3 HCM segments: a Exhibit E-1: Freeway Analysis Approaches merge segment, a basic or weave segment, and a diverge segment. If the individual segment level analysis is desired then the procedures in the HCM are recommended with defaults for certain inputs. For facility and section level analysis, a simplified version of the HCM operations analysis method is presented. E2. COMPUTATIONAL TOOLS Two general approaches are available for planning analyses of Freeways. These are: Generalized service volume table. Using a minimum of input data, AADT and number of lanes, the service volume table provides the expected LOS on a freeway facility for a given 13 FIRST PAGE - INTRO E1. OVERVIEW FREEWAY DATA NEEDS Required to Estimate FFS Cap Spd LOS Que Rel Segment design geometry • • • • • • Percent heavy vehicles (%) • • • • • Number of directional lanes • • • • • Peak hour factor (decimal) • • • • • Driver pop factor (decimal) • • • • • Segment length (mi) • • • • Directional demand (veh/h) • • • • Comments/Defaults 10% (rural), 5% (urban) Must be provided 0.88 (rural), 0.95 (urban) 1.00 Must be provided Must be provided 14 Input Data (units) The most accurate method for estimating segment free-flow speeds is to measure it in the field during low flow (under 800 veh/hr/ln)1. In urban environments, traffic sensors may be available to allow the estimation of free-flow speeds, however for planning applications this is not usually practical. The HCM provides an equation for estimating free-flow speeds based on facility geometry.2 πππΊ = ππ. π − ππ³πΎ − ππ³πͺ − π. πππ»πΉπ«π.ππ Equation E-1 Where: - - - FFS = free-flow speed (mi/h) fLW = adjustment for lane width (mi/h) o (0.0 for 12 foot or greater lanes, 1.9 for 11 foot lanes, 6.6 for 10 foot lanes) (see exhibit 11-8, HCM 2010 for details) fLC = adjustment for right side lateral clearance (mi/h) o ranges from zero for 6 foot lateral clearance to 3.0 for one foot lateral clearance on a 2 directional lane freeway (see Exhibit 11-9, HCM 2010 for details). TRD = total ramp density (ramps/mi) o Number of on and off-ramps in one direction for 3 miles upstream and 3 miles downstream, divided by 6 miles. An alternate approach is to assume the free-flow speed (the average speed of traffic under low flow conditions) is equal to the posted speed limit plus an adjustment reflecting local driving behavior. Florida adds 5 mi/h to the posted speed limit. Estimating Section Capacities Free flow speed and percent heavy vehicles are used to calculate section capacity using the following equation: ππ = π, πππ + ππ ∗ π¦π’π§ ππ, πΊπππΊ − ππ π + %π―π½/πππ ∗ πͺπ¨π Equation E-2 Where: ο· Ci = capacity of section “I” (vph/ln) 1 Adapted from Exhibit 11-3, HCM 2010, accounting for likely peak hour factor and heavy vehicle effects. 2 Souce: equation 11-1, HCM 2010. 15 TYPICAL PROCEDURES Estimating Free-Flow Speed PART 2 – SECTION H: URBAN STREET PROCEDURES • H1. Overview • H2. Computational Tools • H3. Data Needs • H4. Segment Performance • H5. Intersection Perform. 16 • H6. Facility Performance H. GUIDANCE FOR URBAN STREETS H1. OVERVIEW There is one caveat to this inclusionary approach for interrupted Exhibit H-1: Urban Street Analysis flow facilities. The HCM methodology focuses on evaluating the speed of through traffic for interrupted flow facilities. However, this is not an appropriate performance measure for evaluating local street performance. Therefore, the methods described in this section and the HCM methodology for uninterrupted flow facilities are not appropriate for the evaluation of local streets. The planning methods for urban streets focus on facility level analysis, segment level analysis, and intersection level analysis. Facility level performance is estimate by summing the segment (between intersection) and intersection level performance results. H2. COMPUTATIONAL APPROACH The planning analyses of urban streets proceed in 4 phases. In phase 1, a screening analysis is performed using service volume tables to determine if more detailed planning analysis may be required to identify traffic operations problems on the street. If so, then the next 3 phases of planning analysis are performed: Segment Analysis, Intersection Analysis, and finally, Facility Analysis. H3. DATA NEEDS Error! Reference source not found. lists the data needed to evaluate the full range of performance measures for planninglevel urban street analysis. Individual performance measures 17 FIRST PAGE Any street or roadway with traffic signals, roundabouts, all-way stops, or two-way stops (interrupting the through traffic movements) that are spaced no farther than 2 mi apart can be evaluated using the HCM methodology for “urban streets.” The street usually is located in a suburban or urban area with frequent driveway access to fronting properties, but that is not a requirement for use of the HCM urban streets analysis method. All streets and roadways meeting the 2-mile criteria are grouped under the broad category of “interrupted flow facilities” and may be evaluated using the procedures described here and in Volume 3 of the 2010 HCM. URBAN STREET DATA NEEDS Spd LOS MMLOS • • • • • • Analysis Period Length (h) • • Segment length (mi) • • Directional demand (veh/h) • • FFS Posted Speed Limit (mi/h) Intersection Data Cross-section, bus stops Cap • • Que Rel Comments/ Defaults • required • • required • • 0.25 h • • • required • • • required required • Seasonal demand data • Defaults in appendix Incident data • Defaults in appendix Local weather history • Source in appendix Workzone probability • Defaults in appendix 18 Input Data (units) Speed - Segment The average speed over the segment, inclusive of intersection and midblock bottleneck delays is estimated using the following procedure. The midblock freH-flow speed can be measured in the field or estimated. It is the average spot speed of traffic measured at the mid-point of the segment (see Chapter 30, HCM 2010 for details of measurement method). It can also be estimated using the table and equations provided in Chapter 17, HCM 2010, which are sensitive to signal spacing, median type, curbs and driveway access points. The analyst may also estimate the midblock freH-flow speed by applying an adjustment based on local knowledge of speed limit compliance to the posted speed limit for the segment as follows: π π π = π·πΊπ³ + π¨π«π± Equation H-1 Where FFS = the midblock freH-flow speed (mi/h) PSL = the posted speed limit (mi/h) ADJ = Adjustment based on local knowledge (mi/h) – may be positive or negative. Estimate Intersection delay The intersection control delay is estimated using the appropriate intersection planning method (see Section Error! Reference source not found.) for references to the specific sections in this guide. Estimate Midblock Delay (if any) Midblock delays are not often present on urban streets; however, If there is a lane drop between intersections (such as might occur at a narrow bridge, or when lanes are added right before an intersection and dropped just after the intersection) then the lane drop creates a midblock bottleneck which may add significant delay when demand is greater than its capacity. The average delay at the midblock bottleneck can be approximated using the equation below. A more precise estimate, taking into account the effects of queue storage, can be made using the method describe in Error! Reference source not found.. Equation H-2 π= π π£ πππ₯ 0, −1 2 π Where d = average delay due to bottleneck (s/veh). T = analysis period duration (s) (default = 900 secs) v = volume (veh/h) 19 TYPICAL PROCEDURE Measure or Estimate Midblock Free Flow Speed PART 2 SECTION I – SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS • I1. Overview • I2. Computational Tools • I3. Data Needs & Limits • I4. Performance Estimation Screening – Critical Lane Vol. v/c ratio Delay LOS Queue Reliability (sensitivity analysis) Bike/Ped LOS – see Section M 20 • • • • • • • SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION DATA NEEDS Required to Estimate Cap Del LOS MMLOS Que Rel Comments/Defaults Number of turn lanes • • • • • n/a required Other geometry • • • • • Defaults provided Signal Timing (cycle, g/c) • • • • • Defaults provided Peak Hour Factor (decimal) • • • • 0.88 (rural), 0.95 (sub.) Percent heavy vehicles (%) • • • • • 10 (rural), 5 (suburban) • • • • required • • • • • • Turning demands (veh/h) Other demands (ped, park) Analysis Period Length (h) • 0.25 h 21 Input Data (units) PART 2 SECTION O – AREAWIDE ANALYSES • O1. Overview • O2. Computational Tools • O3. Data Needs • O4. Estimate Demand Model Inputs • Free-Flow Speed • Capacity • O5. Performance Measures 22 • Auto – V/C, Speed, VHT, Delay, LOS, Density, Queue, Reliability. DATA NEEDS – AREAWIDE ANALYSIS Required to Estimate Facility Type Segment design geometry Terrain type Percent heavy vehicles (%) Peak hour factor (decimal) Driver pop factor (decimal) Number of directional lanes Segment length (mi) Directional demand (veh/h) FFS Cap Spd Que Rel • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Comments/Defaults Defaults by area and facility type Defaults by area and facility type Must be provided 10% (rural), 5% (urban) 0.88 (rural), 0.95 (urban) 1.00 Must be provided Must be provided Output of Travel Model 23 Input Data (units) Facility Type Area Type Downtown Urban Freeway Suburban Rural Downtown Urban Arterial Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Downtown Urban Collector Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Free-Flow Speed (mph) 55 60 65 70 25 35 45 55 55 25 30 35 45 45 G/C HCM PC Capacity (veh/ln) 90% PC Capacity (veh/ln) 80% PC Capacity (veh/ln) n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.45 0.45 0.41 n/a n/a 0.41 0.41 0.37 n/a n/a 2250 2300 2350 2400 860 860 780 2100 1600 780 780 700 1900 1600 2000 2100 2100 2200 800 800 700 1900 1400 700 700 600 1700 1400 1800 1800 1900 1900 700 700 600 1700 1300 600 600 600 1500 1300 24 “NO-FAULT” CAPACITY LOOK UP TABLE MULTIMODAL LOS DASHBOARD – FOR SYSTEMS Facility Type Freeways Urban Non-Freeway Mode Auto Truck Auto Truck Transit Bicycle Pedestrian LOS A-C LOS D LOS E LOS F 7% 24% 38% 31% 4% 20% 38% 38% 16% 34% 34% 16% 5% 22% 38% 34% 10% 29% 38% 24% 12% 31% 37% 21% 31% 38% 24% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 25 Area Type COMMENTS SO FAR? • Outline and Contents of Guide (Part 1, 2, 3) • What do you like so far? • What do you dislike? 26 • What is missing? 10:30 27 3. CASE STUDIES 28 CASE STUDY #1 – REGIONAL PLANNING CASE 1 - LRTP Fresno COG 2040 Regional Transportation Plan - 6,000 square miles 29 - 1 million population OBJECTIVES • Conduct transportation performance and investment alternatives analysis required to update 2040 LRTP • Auto, truck, bus, bicycle, and pedestrian analyses to be performed. 30 • Travel Demand Forecasting Model to be Used EXAMPLE PROBLEMS • Example Problems that Develop Demand Model Inputs • • Example I.1 – Estimation of Free-Flow Speeds and Capacities • Example I.2 – HCM Based Volume-Delay Functions Example Problems Post Processing Demand Model Outputs Example I.3 – Estimating Speeds for Air Quality & Noise Analysis Example I.4 – Screening for Auto V/C and LOS Hot Spots Example I.5 – Predicting Queues & Delay Example I.6 – Interpretation of Results Example I.7 – Prediction of Reliability Example I.8 – Transit, bicycle, and pedestrian LOS screening Example I.9 – Truck LOS screening 31 • • • • • • • EXAMPLE I.1 – ESTIMATING FREEFLOW SPEEDS & CAPACITIES • Objective • To develop lookup table of free-flow speeds and capacities for coding the highway network • Approach 32 • Step 1: Identify facility categorization scheme • Step 2: Determine free-flow speeds • Step 3: Determine capacities PICKING FACILITY TYPES Facility Type Freeway Principal Highway Minor Highway Arterial Area Type Free-Flow Speed (mi/h) Capacity (veh/ln) Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Rural Multi-Lane Rural Two-Lane Rural Multi-Lane Rural Two-Lane Downtown Urban Suburban Suburban 33 Collector Downtown Urban FOR FREE-FLOW SPEEDS • Consult Appropriate HCM Chapter for Procedure, or 34 • Use Posted Speed Limit + 5 mph FOR FREE-FLOW SPEEDS • Consult Appropriate HCM Chapter for Procedure, or 35 • Use Posted Speed Limit + 5 mph Facility Type Freeway Arterial Collector Area Type Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Free-Flow Speed (mph) 55 60 65 70 25 35 45 55 55 25 30 35 45 45 G/C HCM PC Capacity (veh/ln) 90% PC Capacity (veh/ln) 80% PC Capacity (veh/ln) n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.45 0.45 0.41 n/a n/a 0.41 0.41 0.37 n/a n/a 2250 2300 2350 2400 860 860 780 2100 1600 780 780 700 1900 1600 2000 2100 2100 2200 800 800 700 1900 1400 700 700 600 1700 1400 1800 1800 1900 1900 700 700 600 1700 1300 600 600 600 1500 1300 Arterial/Collector assume 1900 ideal sat flow rate 36 USE “NO-FAULT” CAPACITY TABLE FROM PART 2 - SECTION O Facility Type Freeway Arterial Collector Area Type Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Multi-Lane Rural 2-Lane Free-Flow Speed (mph) 55 60 65 70 25 35 45 55 55 25 30 35 45 45 G/C HCM PC Capacity (veh/ln) 90% PC Capacity (veh/ln) 80% PC Capacity (veh/ln) n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.45 0.45 0.41 n/a n/a 0.41 0.41 0.37 n/a n/a 2250 2300 2350 2400 860 860 780 2100 1600 780 780 700 1900 1600 2000 2100 2100 2200 800 800 700 1900 1400 700 700 600 1700 1400 1800 1800 1900 1900 700 700 600 1700 1300 600 600 600 1500 1300 Arterial/Collector assume 1900 ideal sat flow rate 37 PICK 80% HCM PC CAPACITY Facility Type Freeway Principal Highway Minor Highway Arterial Collector Area Type Downtown Urban Suburban Rural Rural Multi-Lane Rural Two-Lane Rural Multi-Lane Rural Two-Lane Downtown Urban Suburban Downtown Urban Suburban Free-Flow Speed (mi/h) Capacity (veh/ln) 55 60 65 70 55 55 45 45 25 35 45 25 30 35 1800 1800 1900 1900 1700 1300 1500 1300 700 700 600 600 600 600 38 EXAMPLE RESULT COMMENTS? 39 Example I.1 – Creation of free-flow speed and capacity lookup tables EXAMPLE #I.2 – HCM BASED VOLUME-DELAY FUNCTIONS • Objective • To select an HCM based volume-delay function for demand model • Approach • Step 1: Select volume-delay function type • BPR and Akcelik • Step 2: Set parameters • • • Match Speed at Capacity Compute Akcelik parameter Compute BPR parameter 40 • Step 3: Select preferred volume-delay function AKCELIK T ο½ T 0 ο« 0.25ο©ο¨ x ο 1ο© ο« οͺο« ο¨x ο 1ο© 2 ο« 16 J ο· L ο· x οΉ οΊο» 2 41 Where: T0 = Free-flow travel time X = volume/capacity ratio J = calibration parameter L = length of the link BPR T ο½ T 0 * [1 ο« A * ( x) ] B 42 Where: T0 = Free-flow travel time X = volume/capacity ratio A = speed at capacity calibration parameter B = rate of travel time increase calibration parameter SMOOTH VS ROUGH PIPE BPR Akcelik Everybody waits their turn here. T Free-Flowing here 43 Everybody goes slow entire length SPLITTING SMOOTH & ROUGH PIPES 0.5 T or T Problem for DTA, No Problem for SUE Models Akcelik T T or 2T No Problem for DTA, Problem for SUE Models 44 BPR 45 COMPARING SPEEDS COMPARING SPEEDS 46 Speed at Capacity CALIBRATING TO SPEED AT CAPACITY BPR Aο½ Sf Sc ο1 47 Akcelik ο©1 1 οΉ J ο½οͺ ο οΊ οͺο« S c S f οΊο» 2 CALIBRATED CURVES Area Type Downtown Free-Flow Speed (mi/h) 55 1800 HCM Speed at Capacity (mi/h) 50.0 Capacity (veh/ln) BPR “a” Akcelik “J” Parameter Parameter 0.10 3.31E-06 Urban 60 1800 51.1 0.17 8.43E-06 Suburban 65 1900 52.2 0.25 1.42E-05 Rural 70 1900 53.3 0.31 2.00E-05 Principal Highway Rural Multi-Lane 55 1700 47.1 0.17 9.30E-06 Rural Two-Lane 55 1300 47.0 0.17 9.58E-06 Minor Highway Rural Multi-Lane 45 1500 39.6 0.14 9.18E-06 Rural Two-Lane 45 1300 37.0 0.22 2.31E-05 Downtown 25 700 23.2 0.08 9.63E-06 Urban 35 700 31.6 0.11 9.45E-06 Suburban 45 600 39.6 0.14 9.18E-06 Downtown 25 600 23.2 0.08 9.63E-06 Urban 30 600 27.4 0.09 1.00E-05 Suburban 35 600 31.6 0.11 9.45E-06 Freeway Arterial Collector 48 Facility Type ALL GET SAME SPEED AT CAPACITY 49 Speed at Capacity 50 COMPARING TRAVEL TIMES COMPARING TO HCM 51 Akcelik vs. HCM COMMENTS? 52 Example I.2 – Selection of Volume-Delay Functions EXAMPLE I.3 – SPEEDS FOR AIR QUALITY ANALYSIS • Objective: • to develop a speed-flow equation that accurately reflects queueing delays for post-processing travel demand model outputs for air quality analysis purposes. • Procedure: Step 1: Identify free-flow speeds and capacities Step 2: Select appropriate Akcelik parameters for links Step 3: Compute speed for link Step 4: Interpretation of Results 53 • • • • Link ID Type v/c Original Model Speed (mi/h) A001 Freeway-Urban 1.14 48 A002 Arterial-Urban 0.83 33 A003 Collector-Urban 0.98 26 A004 Freeway-Rural 0.73 67 A005 Highway-Rural 0.44 55 A006 Collector-Rural 0.19 45 54 POST PROCESSING MODEL SPEEDS Link ID Type v/c Original Model Speed (mi/h) A001 Freeway-Urban 1.14 48 A002 Arterial-Urban 0.83 33 A003 Collector-Urban 0.98 26 A004 Freeway-Rural 0.73 67 A005 Highway-Rural 0.44 55 A006 Collector-Rural 0.19 45 55 POST PROCESSING MODEL SPEEDS Free Demand Speed (veh/h) (mi/h) 80% PC Capacity (veh/h/ln) Akcelik “J” Segment Capacity (veh/h) v/c Speed (mi/h) 60 1800 8.40E-06 7,200 1.14 10.0 1,740 35 700 9.34E-06 2,100 0.83 18.7 CollectorUrban 1,170 30 600 9.34E-06 1,200 0.98 26.2 2.50 FreewayRural 2,790 70 1900 1.99E-05 3,800 0.73 68.7 A005 4.50 HighwayRural 1,490 55 1700 9.34E-06 3,400 0.44 51.5 A006 7.30 CollectorRural 250 45 1300 2.31E-05 1,300 0.19 44.8 Link ID Length (mi) Type A001 0.85 FreewayUrban 8,220 A002 0.21 ArterialUrban A003 1.34 A004 56 POST PROCESSING (2) RESULTS – NEW SPEEDS Link ID Type v/c Original Model Speed (mi/h) Revised Speed (mi/h) A001 Freeway-Urban 1.14 48 10 A002 Arterial-Urban 0.83 33 19 A003 Collector-Urban 0.98 26 26 A004 Freeway-Rural 0.73 67 69 A005 Highway-Rural 0.44 55 52 A006 Collector-Rural 0.19 45 45 57 Short vs long segments INTERPRETATION Short vs long segments Type v/c Original Model Speed (mi/h) Revised Speed (mi/h) A001 Freeway-Urban 1.14 48 10 A002 Arterial-Urban 0.83 33 19 A003 Collector-Urban 0.98 26 26 A004 Freeway-Rural 0.73 67 69 A005 Highway-Rural 0.44 55 52 A006 Collector-Rural 0.19 45 45 58 Long (> 1mile) Link ID COMMENTS? 59 Example I.3 – Refining speed estimates for air quality analysis. EXAMPLE I.4 – SCREENING FOR AUTO HOT SPOTS • Objective: • To identify auto volume/capacity ratio and level of service problem spots within the highway system. • Procedure: 60 • Step 1: Compute v/c for links • Step 2: Estimate LOS for links Free-Flow LOS A-C Speed (mi/h) Facility Type Area Type LOS D LOS E Freeway Rural 65 0.70 0.85 1.00 Freeway Urban 65 0.65 0.85 1.00 Multilane Highway Rural 60 0.65 0.85 1.00 Two Lane Highway Rural N.D. N.D. N.D. N.D. Arterial Urban 45 0.50 0.90 1.00 Arterial Urban 25-35 0.30 0.80 1.00 61 AUTO V/C LOS TABLE Free-Flow LOS A-C Speed (mi/h) Facility Type Area Type LOS D LOS E Freeway Rural 65 0.70 0.85 1.00 Freeway Urban 65 0.65 0.85 1.00 Multilane Highway Rural 60 0.65 0.85 1.00 Two Lane Highway Rural Arterial Urban 45 0.50 0.90 1.00 Arterial Urban 25-35 0.30 0.80 1.00 62 V/C LOS LOOKUP TABLE Type Demand (veh/h) Free Speed (mi/h) Segment Capacity (veh/h) v/c LOS 0.85 Freeway-Urban 8,220 60 7,200 1.14 F A002 0.21 Arterial-Urban 1,740 35 2,100 0.83 E A003 1.34 Collector-Urban 1,170 30 1,200 0.98 E A004 2.50 Freeway-Rural 2,790 70 3,800 0.73 D A005 4.50 Highway-Rural 1,490 55 3,400 0.44 A-C A006 7.30 Collector-Rural 250 45 1,300 0.19 A-C Link ID Length (mi) A001 63 EXAMPLE V/C & LOS COMP. COMMENTS? 64 Example I.4 – V/C and LOS Screening EXAMPLE I.5 – DENSITY, QUEUES, DELAY • Objective: • To compute and report the density of traffic, hours spent in queues, and hours delay within the highway system. • Procedure: Step 1: Compute Density Step 2: Compute Vehicle-Hours in Queue Step 3: Compute Vehicle-Hours of Delay Step 4: Interpretation of Results 65 • • • • DENSITY π· = 1.2 ∗ π£ π∗π Where: D = density (pc/mi/ln) v = demand (veh/h) N = number of lanes S = speed (mi/h) PCE = passenger car equivalent ππ»π· = π£∗πΏ π£∗πΏ − π ππ Where: VHD = Vehicle-hours delay V = demand (veh/h) L = length of link (mi) S = speed (mi/h) SP = agency’s policy minimum acceptable speed for facility (mi/h) 66 VEH-HRS DELAY VEH-HRS IN QUEUE • Sum of vehicle-hours spent on links with • v/c > 1.00 or • speed below the speed at capacity. • Sum of vehicle-hours delay at intersections • Average delay at intersection (converted into hours) multiplied by total vehicles entering intersection. Exclude free right turn volumes 67 • COMMENTS? 68 Example I.5 – Density, Delay, Queue Calculations EXAMPLE I.6 – REPORTING SYSTEM RESULTS Link ID A001 A002 A003 A004 A005 A006 Type FreewayUrban ArterialUrban CollectorUrban FreewayRural HighwayRural CollectorRural Total Outputs L v c FFS CSpd S v/c 0.85 8,220 7,200 60 0.21 1,740 2,100 1.34 1,170 2.50 VMT VHT VHD VHQ 51.1 10.0 1.14 6,987 700 563 563 35 31.6 18.7 0.83 365 20 8 0 1,200 30 27.5 26.2 0.98 1,568 60 3 0 2,790 3,800 70 53.3 68.7 0.73 6,975 102 0 0 4.50 1,490 3,400 55 47.1 51.5 0.44 6,705 130 0 0 7.30 250 1,300 45 37.0 44.8 0.19 1,825 24,425 41 1,051 0 574 0 563 69 Inputs REPORTING SYSTEM LOS Facility Type Freeways Urban Non-Freeway Mode Auto Truck Auto Truck Transit Bicycle Pedestrian LOS A-C LOS D LOS E LOS F 7% 4% 16% 5% 10% 12% 31% 24% 20% 34% 22% 29% 31% 38% 38% 38% 34% 38% 38% 37% 24% 31% 38% 16% 34% 24% 21% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 70 Area Type COMMENTS? 71 Example I.6 – Reporting System Results EXAMPLE I.7 – PREDICTION OF RELIABILITY • Objective: • To identify auto reliability problem spots and causes within the highway system. • Procedure: Step 1: Compute average annual TTI for links Step 2: Compute average annual TTI for system Step 3: Compute 95th percentile annual TTI for system Step 4: Interpretation of results 72 • • • • Travel Time (min) 73 Number of Trips TRAVEL TIME RELIABILITY 95th Percentile Trips < 45 mph Travel Time (min) 74 Mean Free Flow Number of Trips CHARACTERIZING RELIABILITY πππΌ95 = ππ95 πππΉπππ−πΉπππ€ Travel Time (min) 75 95th Percentile Mean Free Flow Number of Trips THE TTI STATISTIC Free Flow ππ45 = πππππ <45 πππ‘ππ πππππ Trips < 45 mph Length/45 Travel Time (min) 76 Number of Trips THE PERCENT < 45 MPH RELIABILITY PREDICTION • Average Annual TTI • π»π»π°π = π + πππΊ ∗ πΉπ«πΉ + π°π«πΉ • Recurring Delay Rate • πΉπ«πΉ = π πΊ − π πππΊ • Incident Delay Rate Where: TTIm = average annual mean travel time index (unitless) FFS = free-flow speed (mi/h) RDR = Recurring delay rate (h/mi) IDR = Incident Delay Rate (h/mi S = peak hour speed (mi/h) N = number of lanes one direction X = peak hour v/c 77 • π°π«πΉ = π. πππ − π΅ − π ∗ π. πππ ∗ πΏππ RELIABILITY STATS π»π»π°ππ = π + π. ππ ∗ π₯π§ π»π»π°π π·π»ππ = π − ππ±π© −π. ππππ ∗ π»π»π°π − π • where • TTI95 = the 95th percentile TTI; • PT45 = the percent of trips that at speeds less than 45 mph 78 TTI95 is the ratio of the 95th percentile highest travel time to the free-flow travel time RELIABILITY STATS (2) Link ID Type A001 Fwy-Urban 116 8.34E-02 6.86E-02 10.13 1,179 1,179 A002 Art-Urban 10 2.49E-02 1.78E-03 1.93 20 20 A003 Coll-Urban 52 4.79E-03 1.48E-02 1.59 83 83 A004 Fwy-Rural 100 2.73E-04 4.91E-04 1.05 105 0 A005 Hiwy-Rural 122 1.23E-03 1.00E-06 1.07 130 0 A006 Coll-Rural 41 8.02E-05 5.12E-11 1.00 41 41 3.53 1,558 RDR IDR 441 57% 43% TTIm VHTm TTI95 5.63 VHT<45 1,323 85% 79 Total or Ave. VHT(FFS) RELIABILITY GOOD? • Areawide Results • 95%TTI = 5.63 • % Trips < 45 mph = 85% • Good, Bad, or Ugly? Level of Service A B C D E F 5% Speed 95% TTI >60 mi/h 55-60 45-55 35-45 25-35 <=25 <1.08 1.08-1.18 1.18-1.44 1.44-1.86 1.86-2.60 >= 2.60 80 Recent TRB Paper COMMENTS? 81 Example I.7 – Estimating Reliability EXAMPLE I.8 –TRANSIT, BIKE, PED LOS • Objective: • To screen for multimodal LOS problems in highway system • Procedure: • Step 1: Select transit, bike, ped service volume tables • Step 2: Screen for transit LOS problems • Step 3: Screen for bicycle LOS problems • Step 4: Screen for pedestrian LOS problems • Interpretation of Results 82 • Agency policies vs. LOS TRANSIT LOS The most important factor = Frequency of Service Next most important factor = Speed of Transit Bus Frequency LOS A-C LOS D LOS E LOS F 1 bus/hr N/A N/A >35 mph <30 mph 2 buses/hr >25 mph 10-25 mph 3-10 mph <3 mph 3 buses/hr >11 mph 4-11 mph <4 mph N/A 4 buses/hr >7 mph 2-7 mph <2 mph N/A 83 Other factors = pedestrian environment, bus stop amenities TRANSIT SERV. VOL. TABLE Buses/h Speed Limit (mi/h) LOS A-C CBD 6 25 790 Urban 4 35 880 Urban 2 35 10 Suburban 2 45 860 Suburban 1 45 N/A LOS D LOS E 890 900 N/A 720 84 Area Type Maximum Directional Auto Volume for Target Transit LOS (veh/h/ln) BICYCLE & PEDESTRIAN LOS • Depends on: • Geometric Characteristics • Bike lane, sidewalks, buffer strip, etc. 85 • Auto Volume • Auto Speed • Percent Trucks BIKE LOS Bike LOS A-C Bike LOS D Bike LOS E Bike LOS A-C Bike LOS D Bike LOS E 160 700 50 250 v/c>1 150 660 v/c>1 210 v/c>1 v/c>1 330 v/c>1 v/c>1 890 v/c>1 v/c>1 β 80 350 v/c>1 120 560 v/c>1 330 v/c>1 v/c>1 β 680 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 86 Bike LOS E 25 mph PSL Bike LOS D 50% Parking 35 mph PSL 30 β β 45 mph PSL Bike LOS A-C Features 6' Bike lane Max Auto Volumes (veh/h/ln) PED LOS Max Auto Volumes (veh/h/ln) β β N/A 10 340 60 390 720 N/A 310 640 360 690 v/c>1 340 670 v/c>1 710 850 v/c>1 410 740 v/c>1 780 v/c>1 v/c>1 670 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 v/c>1 87 β Ped LOS E β Ped LOS D β Ped LOS A-C β β Ped LOS E β Ped LOS D β 25 mph PSL Ped LOS A-C 5' Sidewalk 6' Buffer 50% Parkg 6' Bike lane 55 mph PSL MULTIMODAL LOS ISSUES • What should be transit, bike, ped LOS when agency policy is not to provide for those services • Low density areas • How to estimate multimodal LOS when auto volumes make little or no difference? • Code basic cross-sectional characteristics into demand model links • Presence of bike lanes, parking, buffer strip, sidewalk 88 • Use GIS, color code links by LOS BIKE SYSTEM LOS MAP • These are routes where agency would like to provide good Bike LOS. 89 • This is how they rated. COMMENTS? 90 Example I.8 – Transit, Bike, Ped LOS EXAMPLE I.9 – TRUCK LOS • Objective: To identify truck level of service problem facilities within the highway system. • Procedure: Step 1: Select truck LOS table Step 2: Assign links to truck LOS table entries Step 3: Tally truck LOS results Step 4: Interpretation of results 91 • • • • TRUCK LOS • Depends on : • • • • Peak hour truck speed (recurring congestion) Probability of on-time arrival (reliability) Tolls Truck friendliness index • • Percent of legal loads and vehicles that can use facility Number of at-grade railroad crossings • Goods movement functional class of facility Inter-regional facility Primary regional facility Supporting facility (feeds intermodal terminals) 92 • • • FFS = 55-75 mi/h Freeways and Rural Highways TRUCK TTI LOS LOOKUP Truck TTI 95% TTI POTA %Ideal Class I Class II Class III 1.05 1.18 99% 90% A A A 1.10 1.35 93% 86% B A A 1.15 1.51 81% 76% C B B 1.20 1.67 69% 63% D D C 1.25 1.82 60% 51% E E D 1.30 1.96 53% 41% F F E 1.35 2.10 48% 34% F F F 1.40 2.23 43% 28% F F F Truck LOS = function of (on-time arrival, travel time, toll, truck friendliness) 93 Tables also for signalized urban streets (35-55 mph speeds) TRUCK SPEED TO LOS TABLE Truck Speed Class I InterRegional Class II Primary Route Class III Supporting Route 50 mph D D C 45 mph F F E FFS = 55 mi/h 28 mph D C C FFS = 45 mi/h 23 mph D D C FFS = 35 mi/h 17 mph E E D 94 Signalized Urban Streets Freeways and Rural Highways Link ID A001 A002 A003 A004 A005 A006 Type FreewayUrban ArterialUrban CollectorUrban FreewayRural HighwayRural CollectorRural Truck Demand (veh/h) Mixed TTI Truck Speed Adj Truck TTI Freight Class Truck LOS 411 6.01 1.1 6.61 I F 122 1.87 1.1 2.06 II E 47 1.14 1.1 1.26 III A 279 1.02 1.1 1.12 I B 119 1.07 1.1 1.17 I B 15 1.00 1.1 1.10 II A 95 TRUCK LOS EXAMPLE COMPS COMMENTS? 96 Example I.9 – Truck LOS COMMENTS CASE STUDY 1? • Case Study #1 – Long Range Regional Plan • What do you like so far? • What do you dislike? 97 • What is missing? 11:30 98 CASE STUDY #2 – FREEWAY PROJECT CASE 2 – FREEWAY MASTER PLAN • 4-6 Lane Interurban Freeway • 70 miles long, • Passes through 5 urban areas 99 • 7% grade over Cuesta Pass OBJECTIVE 100 To develop a Corridor Mobility Master Plan to identify current and future mobility problems in the corridor, and establish capital project priorities along the corridor. CASE 2 EXAMPLE PROBLEMS • Example II.1 – Screening for Service Volume Problems • Example II.2 – Forecasting V/C Hot Spots • Example II.3 – Estimation of Speed and Travel Time • Example II.4 – Prediction of Unacceptable Auto LOS Spots • Example II.5 – Estimation of Queues 101 • Example II.6 – Prediction of Reliability Problems EXAMPLE II.1 –SCREENING FOR SERVICE VOLUME PROBLEMS • Objective: • To focus the study on critical auto LOS supersections of freeway • Approach: Step 1: Data requirements Step 2: Categorize facilities Step 3: Develop service volume look up table Step 4: Select focus supersections 102 • • • • SERVICE VOLUME TABLES • Maximum traffic volumes that can be accommodated at a target LOS. • Auto LOS tables • Freeway, Multilane Hwy, Two-Lane Hwy, Urban Street • Bus, Bicycle, Pedestrian LOS tables • Truck LOS tables • They hinge on many underlying assumptions 103 • Use as a Screening & Scoping Tool KFactor 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 DFactor 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 Four-Lane Freeways LOS C LOS D LOS E 75,500 94,100 108,900 68,700 85,500 99,000 62,900 78,400 90,800 58,100 72,400 83,800 67,100 83,600 96,800 61,000 76,000 88,000 56,000 69,700 80,700 51,600 64,300 74,500 60,400 75,300 87,100 54,900 68,400 79,200 50,400 62,700 72,600 46,500 57,900 67,000 54,900 68,400 79,200 49,900 62,200 72,000 45,800 57,000 66,000 42,300 52,600 60,900 Six-Lane Freeways LOS C LOS D LOS E 113,300 141,100 163,400 103,000 128,300 148,500 94,400 117,600 136,100 87,200 108,500 125,700 100,700 125,400 145,200 91,600 114,000 132,000 83,900 104,500 121,000 77,500 96,500 111,700 90,600 112,900 130,700 82,400 102,600 118,800 75,500 94,100 108,900 69,700 86,800 100,500 82,400 102,600 118,800 74,900 93,300 108,000 68,700 85,500 99,000 63,400 78,900 91,400 104 FREEWAY SERVICE VOLUME TABLE Level of Service Minimum Peak Direction Volume Maximum Peak Direction Volume LOS A-C 0 1510 veh/h/lan LOS D 1510 veh/h/ln 1880 veh/h/ln LOS E 1880 veh/h/ln 2180 veh/h/ln LOS F 2180 veh/h/ln infinity 105 FREEWAY SERVICE VOLS DATA REQUIREMENTS • Data • • Facility Type (freeway, highway) • Area type (urban, rural) • Terrain type (level, rolling, mountain) • AADT • K-factor (pk.hr/AADT) • D-Factor (directional factor) Split Facility into Supersections Combinations of sections With similar AADT, area type, terrain 106 • • DETERMINE FACILITY TYPE • Freeway (access controlled) 107 • Multilane highway SELECT SERVICE VOL TABLE • First verify HCM service volume tables apply. Required Data K-Factor D-Factor %Trucks %Buses %RVs PHF Ramp Density (/mi.) fp Lane Width (ft.) Lateral Clear (ft.) FFS (mph) Terrain Urban Freeways 0.08 – 0.11 0.50 – 0.65 5% 0% 0% 0.95 3 1.00 12 6 65 Level or Rolling Default Values Rural Freeways Urban Highways 0.09 – 0.12 0.08 – 0.12 0.50 – 0.65 0.50 – 0.65 12% 8% 0% N/A 0% N/A 0.88 0.93 0.2 N/A 0.85 1.00 12 N/A 6 N/A 65 60 Level or Rolling Level or Rolling Rural Highways 0.09 – 0.12 0.50 – 0.65 12% N/A N/A 0.88 N/A 1.0 N/A N/A 60 Level or Rolling 108 • Adjust DSV (daily service volume) if necessary. ADJUST FOR LOCAL CONDITIONS Local DSV = πππΉ0 × HCM Table π × ππ»π × ππ × ππ»πΉ πΎ0 × π·0 × πΎ×π· π0 × ππ»π,0 × ππ,0 × ππ»πΉ0 109 Where: DSVi = daily service volume (veh/day) MSFi = maximum service flow (vphpl), HCM Exhibit 11-17 for frwys , Exhibit 14-17 for hwys N = number of lane in each direction fHV = adjustment factor for presence of heavy vehicles in traffic stream fp = adjustment factor for unfamiliar driver populations PHF = peak-hour factor K = proportion of daily traffic occurring in the peak hour of the day D = proportion of traffic in the peak direction during the peak hour of the day IDENTIFY FOCUS SUPERSECTIONS Modified Max AADT (x 1,000) Area Type Terrain Future AADT LOS C LOS D LOS E Future LOS A 4-ln Highway Urban Level 57,600 59,200 75,700 84,100 A-C B 4-ln Freeway Urban Level 63,500 62,900 78,400 90,800 D C 4-Ln Freeway Rural Level 70,100 50,400 62,800 72,700 E D 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 55,800 61,000 76,000 88,000 A-C E 6-Ln Highway Rural Mountain 44,500 52,500 67,100 74,500 A-C F 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 58,700 65,800 82,000 94,900 A-C G 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 58,800 57,900 72,100 83,500 D H 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 32,400 65,800 82,000 94,900 A-C I 4-Ln Highway Rural Level 19,500 56,400 72,100 80,100 A-C 110 SuperFacility Type Section IDENTIFY FOCUS SUPERSECTIONS Modified Max AADT (x 1,000) Area Type Terrain Future AADT LOS C LOS D LOS E Future LOS A 4-ln Highway Urban Level 57,600 59,200 75,700 84,100 A-C B 4-ln Freeway Urban Level 63,500 62,900 78,400 90,800 D C 4-Ln Freeway Rural Level 70,100 50,400 62,800 72,700 E D 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 55,800 61,000 76,000 88,000 A-C E 6-Ln Highway Rural Mountain 44,500 52,500 67,100 74,500 A-C F 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 58,700 65,800 82,000 94,900 A-C G 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 58,800 57,900 72,100 83,500 D H 4-Ln Freeway Urban Level 32,400 65,800 82,000 94,900 A-C I 4-Ln Highway Rural Level 19,500 56,400 72,100 80,100 A-C 111 SuperFacility Type Section RESULT: FOCUS SUPERSECTIONS Section ID’s • Focus SuperSections • B – North of Arroyo Grande • C – South of San Luis Obispo • G – South of Paso Robles • For Rest of this Case Study • C – South of San Luis Obispo SB, PM Peak 112 • COMMENTS? 113 Example II.1 – Use of Service Volumes to screen and scope planning analysis EXAMPLE II.2 – FORECASTING V/C BOTTLENECKS • Objective: • To forecast future auto v/c hot spots on facility. • Approach: Step 1: Data requirements Step 2: Selection of defaults Step 3: Select study boundaries and time periods Step 4: Identify segment types Step 5: Estimate free-flow speeds Step 6: Estimate capacities Step 7: Assign section demands Step 8: Compute v/c ratios Step 9: Interpretation of Results 114 • • • • • • • • • S Higuera St Los Osos Valley Rd SELECTED SUPERSECTION C SECTIONS 1-3 SB US101 25.911 Section # Section Type Length (mi) Number of Lanes AADT In AADT Out K % HV and buses FFS PHF C1 Basic 0.05 2 41,700 0.08 5.81 default default 25.86 24.21 C2 Ramps 1.65 2 8,600 On-ramp 500 Off-ramp 0.08 5.81 default default 23.97 C3 Basic 0.24 2 0.08 5.81 default default Ra 1 6, 4, 0 5 115 PM def def Avila Beach Dr S Higuera St San Luis Bay Dr Los Osos Valley Rd S Higuera St SB US101 24.21 PM Section C3 # SectionBasic Type Length 0.24 (mi) Number 2of Lanes AADT In AADT Out K 0.08 % HV and 5.81 buses FFS default PHF default 23.97 25.911 25.86 22.46 C1 C4 Basic Ramps 0.05 1.51 2 2 41,7006,100 On-ramp 4,600 Off-ramp 0.08 0.08 5.81 5.81 defaultdefault defaultdefault 22.09 24.21 C2 C5 C6 Ramps Basic Ramps 0.37 1.65 0.81 2 2 2 8,600 On-ramp 1,400 On-ramp 500 Off-ramp 1,400 Off-ramp 0.08 0.08 0.08 5.81 5.81 5.81 default default default default default default 21.28 21.105 23 C3 C7 Basic Basic 0.24 0.18 2 2 0.08 0.08 5.81 5.81 defaultdefault defaultdefault 116 amp ramp SELECTED SUPERSECTION C SECTIONS 4-7 1. DATA REQUIREMENTS Peak hour factor (peak 15 minutes to peak hour) Percent heavy vehicles Peak (K) factor (peak hour to daily) Segment Type (basis, weave, merge, diverge) Segment Length Lanes Demand (Mainline in, all ramps) 117 • • • • • • • DEFAULTS Default Values K-Factor Urban Freeways 0.08 – 0.11 Rural Freeways 0.09 – 0.12 D-Factor 0.50 – 0.65 0.50 – 0.65 5% 0% 0% 0.95 1.00 12 6 12% 0% 0% 0.88 0.85 12 6 %Trucks %Buses %RVs PHF Fp (Driver Population) Lane Width (ft.) Lateral Clearance (ft.) 118 Required Data SELECT STUDY BOUNDARIES & TIME PERIODS • Review historical information on congestion • Select Peak Period and Direction 119 • Pick Southbound Direction, Weekday PM Peak period. IDENTIFY SECTION TYPES • Freeway weave section • • • Starts with on-ramp Ends with off-ramp AND Has auxiliary lane between the two ramps • Freeway ramp section • • Starts with on-ramp, or ends with off-ramp, or both But no auxiliary lanes between on and off-ramps • Freeway basic section Everything else Basic Ramp Basic 1 2 3 Flow Ramp Basic Ramp Basic 5 6 7 4 No Weave Sections 120 • ESTIMATE FREE-FLOW SPEEDS Use HCM Method πππΊ = ππ. π − ππ³πΎ − ππ³πͺ − π. πππ»πΉπ«π.ππ Or Use Posted Speed Limit πππΊ = π·πΊπ³ + π πππ 121 Where: FFS = free-flow speed (mi/h) fLW = adjustment for lane width (mi/h) fLC = adjustment for right side lateral clearance (mi/h) TRD = total ramp density (ramps/mi) PSL = Posted Speed Limit (mi/h) ESTIMATE CAPACITIES π, πππ + ππ ∗ π¦π’π§ ππ, πΊπππΊ − ππ ππ = π + %π―π½/πππ ∗ πͺπ¨π Section # Type Length (mi) Capacity Adjust Factor Adj Lane Capacity (vphpl) Number of Lanes Section Capacity (vph) C1 Basic 0.05 1.00 2,221 2 4,442 C2 Ramps 1.65 0.95 2,110 2 4,220 C3 Basic 0.24 1.00 2,221 2 4,442 C4 Ramps 1.51 0.95 2,110 2 4,220 C5 Basic 0.37 1.00 2,221 2 4,442 C6 Ramps 0.81 0.95 2,110 2 4,220 C7 Basic 0.18 1.00 2,221 2 4,442 122 Where: •Ci = capacity of section “I” (vph/ln) •SFFS = Free-flow speed (mph) •%HV = percent of heavy vehicles. •CAF = a capacity adjustment factor that is used to calibrate the basic section capacity given in the HCM to account for influences of ramps, weaves, or other impacts. ASSIGN DEMANDS Compute Section Demands • If Demand < Capacity • • Sum the mainline in and on-ramp Subtract off-ramp • If Demand > Capacity • • • Do same as before Reduce demand to capacity Save up excess demand, add to next time period demand 3,000 3,900 1 2 900 800 3,100 4,100 3,600 3,900 3,100 3 4 5 6 7 1,000 500 300 800 123 Flow CONSTRAIN DEMANDS Example for freeway with capacity = 4,000 vph Flow Unconstrained 3,900 1 2 900 800 3,100 4,100 3,600 3,900 3,100 3 4 5 6 7 1,000 500 300 800 124 3,000 CONSTRAIN DEMANDS Example for freeway with capacity = 4,000 vph Flow Unconstrained 3,000 3,900 1 2 900 3,100 4,100 3,600 3,900 3,100 3 4 5 6 7 800 1,000 500 300 800 3,000 1 900 3,900 3,100 2 3 800 4,000 100 1,000 4 489 3,511 3,811 3,029 5 6 7 300 782 125 Constrained COMPUTE D/C AND V/C • Demand/Capacity ratio • Ratio of demand to capacity • Volume/Capacity Ratio Ratio of capacity constrained demand to capacity Section # Sect. Capacity (Ci) C1 4,442 Demand (di,1) D/C Ratio 3,336 0.75 DEMAND (di,2) D/C Ratio 3,791 0.85 DEMAND (di,3) D/C Ratio 3,336 0.75 DEMAND (di,4) D/C Ratio 2,881 0.65 C2 C3 C4 4,220 4,442 4,220 Time Period 1 (16:00-16:15 ) 4,024 3,984 4,472 0.95 0.90 1.06 Time Period 2 (16:15-16:30) 4,573 4,175 4,981 1.08 0.94 1.18 Time Period 3 (16:30-16:45) 4,377 4,180 5,429 1.04 0.94 1.29 Time Period 4 (16:45-17:00) 3,632 3,597 5,228 0.86 0.81 1.24 C5 4,442 C6 4,220 C7 4,442 3,852 0.87 3,964 0.94 3,852 0.87 3,802 0.86 3,929 0.93 3,802 0.86 3,852 0.87 3,964 0.94 3,852 0.87 3,902 0.88 3,999 0.95 3,902 0.88 126 • INTERPRET RESULTS D/C CONTOUR DIAGRAM Flow Contour Diagram V/C Period 4 Period 3 D/C 1.50-2.00 1.00-1.50 Period 2 0.50-1.00 0.00-0.50 Period 1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 Section 127 C1 COMMENTS? 128 Example Problem II.2 – Auto V/C Bottleneck Identification EXAMPLE II.3 – ESTIMATION OF SPEED AND TRAVEL TIME • Objective: • To forecast speeds and travel times on freeway. • Approach: • Step 1: Estimate delay rates • Step 2: Compute travel times and speeds • Step 3: Interpretation of results Where: DR = delay rate (secs/mi) X = volume/capacity ratio A, B, C, D = parameters 129 π·π = π΄π₯ 3 + π΅π₯ 2 + πΆπ₯ + π· Section # FFTravel Rte (s/m) Length (mi) C1 55.4 0.05 Delay Rate (s/mi) Travel Rate (s/m) Travel Time (sec) Speed (mph) 1.7 57.0 2.9 62.1 Delay Rate (s/m) Travel Rate (s/m) Travel Time (sec) Speed (mph) 4.8 60.2 3.0 60.0 Delay Rate (s/m) Travel Rate (s/m) Travel Time (sec) Speed (mph) 1.7 57.0 2.9 62.1 C2 C3 C4 55.4 55.4 55.4 1.65 0.24 1.51 Time Period 1 (0-15 minutes) 10.1 6.8 31.3 65.5 62.2 86.6 108.1 14.9 130.8 54.9 58.0 41.6 Time Period 2 (15-30 minutes) 36.3 9.2 67.2 91.6 64.6 122.6 151.2 15.5 185.1 39.3 55.7 29.4 Time Period 3 (30-45 minutes) 23.6 9.3 98.8 79.0 64.7 154.2 130.3 15.5 232.9 45.6 55.7 23.3 C5 55.4 0.37 C6 55.4 0.81 C7 55.4 0.18 5.4 60.8 22.5 59.2 9.2 64.6 52.3 55.8 5.4 60.8 10.9 59.4 4.9 60.3 22.3 59.7 8.7 64.1 51.9 56.2 4.9 60.3 10.9 59.4 5.4 60.8 22.5 59.2 9.2 64.6 52.3 55.8 5.4 60.8 10.9 59.4 130 SPEED RESULTS SPEED CONTOUR DIAGRAM Speed Contour Diagram (mph) Period 4 60.0-70.0 Period 3 50.0-60.0 40.0-50.0 Period 2 30.0-40.0 20.0-30.0 10.0-20.0 C1 C2 C3 C4 Section C5 C6 C7 0.0-10.0 131 Period 1 COMMENTS 132 Example Problem II.3 – Freeway Speed and Travel Time Estimation. EXAMPLE II.4 –UNACCEPTABLE AUTO LOS HOT SPOTS Objective: To predict auto LOS problems Approach: Step 1: Estimate density and auto LOS Step 2: Interpretation of results 133 ππππ’ππ/πΏπππ πππππ Density = 1.2* Level of Service A B C D E F Freeway Segments Density (pc/mi/ln) <= 11 >11-18 >18-26 >26-35 >35-45 >45 or v/c>1.00 COMMENTS? 134 Example Problem II.4 – Freeway Auto LOS Analysis EXAMPLE II.5 – ESTIMATION OF QUEUES • Objective: • To forecast queuing problems on freeway. • Approach: Section Number Length (mi.) Number of Lanes π·πππππ −πΆππππππ‘π¦ ) π·πππ ππ‘π¦ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.05 1.65 0.24 1.51 0.37 0.81 0.18 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4,442 4,220 4,442 Section Capacity (vph) 4,442 4,220 4,442 4,220 Time Period 1 (0-15 minutes) Demand (vph) 3,336 4,024 3,984 4,472 3,852 3,964 3,852 V/C Ratio 0.75 0.95 0.90 1.06 0.87 0.94 0.87 Density (vpmpl) 26.9 36.6 34.4 50.8 32.5 35.5 32.4 Estimated Queue (mi.) Actual Queue (mi.) 2.48 0.73 0.24 1.51 135 ππ’ππ’π ππ‘ = πππ₯ 0, COMMENTS? 136 Example Problem II.5 – Freeway Queuing Analysis EXAMPLE II.6 – PREDICTION OF RELIABILITY PROBLEMS • Objective: • • To forecast reliability for freeway. Approach: Step 1: Data requirements Step 2: Identify segment types Step 3: Identify demand variability Step 4: Identify weather events Step 5: Identify incidents Step 6: Identify work zones Step 7: define reliability analysis scenarios Step 8: Compute hourly travel times Step 9: Compute reliability statistics Step 10: Interpret results 137 • • • • • • • • • • Data Type Volume (AADT) Number of lanes Length (miles) K-Factor D-Factor Seasonal Adjustment Factor Work Zone Capacity (vphpl) Incident Capacity Reduction Work Zone Avg. Lane Closes Rainfall Intensity (inches) Avg. Blocking Incident Duration (minutes) Avg. Non-blocking Incident Duration (minutes) Total Number of Blocking Incidents Total Number of Non-blocking Incidents Free-flow Speed Reduction for Light-Rain Free-flow Speed Reduction for Heavy-Rain Area Type Analysis Period Facility Type Input or Default Values Input Input Input Input Input Input 1,600 Input 1 Input Input Input Input Input 6.00% 12.00% Input Input Input Data Source Caltrans/Travel Model Aerial Map Caltrans/Aerial Map Caltrans Caltrans Caltrans HCM Exhibit 10-14 HCM Exhibit 10-17 Default Weather Underground Caltrans Caltrans Caltrans Caltrans Default Default Local Knowledge Local Knowledge HCM 138 DATA FOR RELIABILITY ANALYSIS RELIABILITY RESULTS Computed 95%TTI Section Daily AM (7-9) PM (4-6) C1 1.10 1.12 1.14 C2 1.89 1.89 1.75 C3 1.07 1.08 1.14 139 Good, Bad, or Ugly? RELIABILITY RESULTS(2) Computed 95%TTI Section Daily AM (7-9) PM (4-6) C1 1.10 B 1.12 B 1.14 B C2 1.89 E 1.89 E 1.75 D C3 1.07 A 1.08 B 1.14 B Good, Bad, or Ugly? Level of Service A B C D E F 5% Speed 95% TTI >60 mi/h 55-60 45-55 35-45 25-35 <=25 <1.08 1.08-1.18 1.18-1.44 1.44-1.86 1.86-2.60 >= 2.60 140 Draft FDOT LOS Scale COMMENTS? 141 Example Problem II.6 – Freeway Reliability Analysis COMMENTS CASE STUDY 2? • Case Study #2 – Freeway Master Plan • What do you like so far? • What do you dislike? 142 • What is missing? 14:00 143 CASE STUDY #3 – URBAN STREET BRT CASE 3 – URBAN STREET BRT PLAN • 14 mile urban street 144 • BRT to take 2 thru lanes OBJECTIVE 145 to identify the traffic, transit, pedestrian, and bicycle impacts of the proposed BRT project. CASE 3 EXAMPLE PROBLEMS • Example III.1 – Screening for Service Volume Problems • Example III.2 – Screening for Auto Choke Points • Example III.3 – Forecasting V/C Ratios • Example III.4 – Auto and BRT Speeds/Travel Times • Example III.5 – Predicting Queues • Example III.6 – Predicting Reliability Problems 146 • Example III.7 – Transit, Bicycle, Pedestrian LOS EXAMPLE III.1 –SCREENING FOR SERVICE VOLUME PROBLEMS • Objective: • To focus the study on critical auto LOS supersections of BRT project • Approach: Step 1: Divide BRT route into supersections Step 2: Obtain AADTs Step 3: Identify service volumes Step 4: Identify supersections for further analysis 147 • • • • DIVIDE BRT ROUTE INTO SUPERSECTIONS • Divide route into supersections • Divide at points where there are significant changes in: Posted speed limit Number of through lanes Median Demand 148 • • • • Length (mi) AADT Speed Limit (mi/h) Lanes + Median Street Limits Telegraph Ave. Dwight to Woolsey 0.84 16,570 25 4 Telegraph Ave Woolsey to SR 24 0.80 18,340 30 4 Telegraph Ave SR 24 to 45th St. 0.60 16,540 30 5 Telegraph Ave 45th St. to Broadway 2.01 16,230 25 5 International Bl. Lake Merritt to 23rd Ave 1.58 10,220 30 4 International Bl. 23rd Ave to 35th Ave. 0.87 13,370 25 4 International Bl. 35th Ave to High St. 0.51 15,910 25 5 International Bl. High St. to Hegenberger 1.78 13,560 30 5 International Bl. Hegenberger to 98th Ave. 1.37 14,830 30 5 International Bl. 98th Ave to Dutton 1.06 11,180 30 5 149 SUPERSECTIONS SIGNALIZED STREET SERVICE VOLUME TABLE K Factor 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.11 Four-Lane Streets D Factor LOS C LOS D LOS E Posted Speed = 30 mi/h LOS C LOS D LOS E 0.55 0.60 0.55 0.60 0.55 0.60 5,900 5,400 5,300 4,800 4,800 4,400 15,400 19,900 14,100 18,300 13,800 17,900 12,700 16,400 12,600 16,300 11,500 14,900 Posted Speed = 45 mi/h 11,300 10,300 10,100 9,300 9,200 8,400 31,400 28,800 28,200 25,900 25,700 23,500 37,900 34,800 34,100 31,300 31,000 28,400 0.55 0.60 0.55 0.60 0.55 0.60 10,300 9,400 9,300 8,500 8,400 7,700 21,400 19,600 19,300 17,700 17,500 16,100 37,200 34,100 33,500 30,700 30,500 27,900 37,900 34,800 34,100 31,300 31,000 28,400 18,600 17,100 16,800 15,400 15,300 14,000 19,900 18,300 17,900 16,400 16,300 14,900 150 Two-Lane Streets SERVICE VOLUME TABLES BACKING Service Volume Tables are backed by a long list of assumptions: General assumptions for urban street table: • Coordinated, semi-actuated traffic signals; • • no restrictive median; 2-mi facility length; 10% of traffic turns left and 10% turns right at each traffic signal; • Peak hour factor = 0.92; and base saturation flow rate = 1,900 pc/h/ln. • For 30-mi/h facilities: signal spacing = 1,050 ft and 20 access points/mi. • For 45-mi/h facilities: signal spacing = 1,500 ft and 10 access points/mi. • (Adapted from Exhibit 10-8, 2010 HCM) 151 • arrival type 4; 120-s cycle time; protected left-turn phases; 0.45 weighted average g/C ratio; Exclusive left-turn lanes with adequate queue storage provided at traffic signals; no exclusive right-turn lanes provided; SIGNAL STREET SERV. VOLS Level of Service 30 mi/h Street 45 mi/h Street LOS A-C < 270 veh/h/ln < 510 veh/h/ln LOS D 270-760 veh/h/ln 510-890 veh/h/ln LOS E 760-900 veh/h/ln 890-900 veh/h/ln LOS F > 900 veh/h/ln > 900 veh/h/ln Entries are Peak Direction, Peak Hour volumes averaged across through lanes in peak direction 152 A two lane street (one lane each direction) may be able to carry About 10% more volume before going from LOS E to F. Before BRT Street Limits After BRT Lanes Max LOS D Lanes Max LOS D Further Analysis ? AADT Telegraph Ave. Dwight to Woolsey 16,570 4 28,200 2 13,800 Yes Telegraph Ave Woolsey to SR 24 18,340 4 28,200 2 13,800 Yes Telegraph Ave SR 24 to 45th St. 16,540 5 28,200 3 13,800 Yes 16,230 5 28,200 3 13,800 Yes 10,220 4 28,200 2 13,800 No 13,370 4 28,200 2 13,800 No 15,910 5 28,200 3 13,800 Yes 13,560 5 28,200 3 13,800 No 14,830 5 28,200 3 13,800 Yes 11,180 5 28,200 3 13,800 No Telegraph Ave International Bl. International Bl. International Bl. International Bl. International Bl. 45th St. to Broadway Lake Merritt to 23rd Ave 23rd Ave to 35th Ave. 35th Ave to High St. High St. to Hegenberger Hegenberger to 98th Ave. International Bl. 98th Ave to Dutton 153 SERVICE VOLUME SCREENING FOR FURTHER ANALYSIS • 6 out of 10 supersections selected for further analysis. • For rest of case study will focus on one supersection. Street Limits Telegraph SR 24 to Ave 45th St. After BRT Length (mi) AADT Posted Speed Limit (mi/h) Lanes Max LOS D Lanes Max LOS D 0.60 16,540 30 5 28,200 3 13,800 154 Before BRT COMMENTS? 155 Example Problem III.1 – Urban Street Screening Analysis EXAMPLE III.2 – SCREENING FOR V/C HOT SPOTS • Objective: • To identify future auto v/c hot spots for further analysis. • Approach: • Step 1: Obtain data • Step 2: Compute critical lane volumes • Step 3: Interpretation of results • V/C hot spots usually at signalized intersections Can be other major intersections. 156 • 157 DATA SUM UP CRITICAL LANE VOLS • Convert all turn moves to equivalent per lane volumes • Find Maximum North-South street critical lane volume • NB Left + SB Thru • SB Left + NB Thru • Find Maximum East-West street critical lane volume • EB Left + WB Thru • WB Left + EB Thru • Sum up maximum critical lane volumes • Compare to 1500 158 • If sum of critical lane volumes > 1500, further analysis… CRITICAL LANE ANALYSIS NBL+ SBT SBL + NBT Max N/S EBL+ WBT WBL+ EBT Max E/W Critical Is it Sum <1500? Telegraph 45th St 509 715 715 252 290 290 1005 OK Telegraph 48th St 505 668 668 55 55 55 723 OK Telegraph 49th St 611 932 932 123 123 123 1055 OK Telegraph 51st St 636 1018 1018 710 466 709.5 1728 Not OK Telegraph Claremont 794 582 794 160 136 160 954 OK Telegraph 55th St 914 920 920 425 425 425 1345 OK 159 E/W N/S Street Street INTERPRETATION • Critical lane analysis overlooks a lot of subtleties. • Left turn protection is treated same as permitted • Heavy truck volumes, narrow lanes, parking interference • Pedestrian crossing constraints ignored. • It tells you where there may be problems, but not if there are problems. • It may miss non-standard problems. 160 • For rest of Case Study will focus on the one intersection that failed the critical lane check: Telegraph and 51st St. COMMENTS? 161 Example Problem III.2 – Intersection Screening Analysis EXAMPLE III.3 – INTERSECTION V/C • Objective: • To forecast intersection volume/capacity ratios. • Taking into account more factors than critical lane. • Approach: Step 1: Required data Step 2: Determine left turn phasing Step 3: Convert turns to pce’s Step 4: Assign volumes to lane groups Step 5: Calculate critical lane group volumes Step 6: Compute intersection v/c 162 • • • • • • INTERSECTION V/C INPUT Med Protected Med Protected LT 91 1 0.92 0.05 WB TH 582 2 0.92 0.05 Yes Med Protected RT 111 Med Protected 163 Volume Lanes PHF % HV Parking activity Ped activity LT phasing LT 83 1 0.92 0.05 Signalized Intersection Planning Method, Input Worksheet (Part 1) Telegraph Avenue and 51st Street NB SB EB TH RT LT TH RT LT TH RT 794 59 283 505 22 294 763 80 1 1 1 2 2 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Yes Yes Yes INTERSECTION V/C OUTPUT Signalized Intersection Planning Method, Calculations (Part 1) Telegraph Avenue and 51st Street RT Check #1 LT<200 Check #2 Not exceed a given Threshold Check #3 LT phasing EHVadj EPHF ELT ERT EP ELU vadj vi (pc/h/ln) vcEW vcNS vc vc/ci Intersection sufficiency 1 LT lane Protected 1.05 1.09 1.05 1.09 LT Exceed a given Threshold 909 95 1014 RT LT Exceed a given Threshold 105 1.3 1.2 324 324 1.05 1.03 1.05 607 39 347 917 Step 3. Assign volumes to lane groups 646 174 530 Step 4. Calculate critical lane groups vcNS=1338 WB TH 1.05 1.09 1.3 1.2 143 RT LT<200 Not Exceed a given Threshold 1 LT lane Protected 1 LT lane 2 LT lanes Protected Protected Step 2. Convert turning movements to passenger car equivalents 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.3 1.2 95 SB EB TH RT LT TH Step 1. Determine LT phasing LT>200 LT>200 1.05 1.09 1.3 1.2 104 1.05 699 104 449 198 vcEW =634 1972 Step 5. Intersection volume-to-capacity ratio 1.20 (Use Default ci=1650 pc/h/ln) Over Capacity 164 LT NB TH COMMENTS? 165 Example Problem III.3 – Intersection V/C Analysis EXAMPLE III.4 – ESTIMATE SPEEDS FOR AUTO AND BRT • Objective: • To predict auto and BRT speeds • Approach: Step 1: Estimate midblock free-flow speeds Step 2: Estimate intersection delays Step 3: Check for mid-block delays Step 4: Compute segment speed Step 5: Estimate BRT speed Step 6: Aggregate to facility level 166 • • • • • • ESTIMATE AUTO SPEED 3600 πΏπ ππ = + ππππ‘ + πππ πΉπΉπ 3600 πΏπ ππ = ππ Auto speed = 7.4 mph LOS = F 167 Where: Ti = travel time segment “I” Li = length of segment Dint = delay at intersection Dmb = mid-block delay Si = average speed segment “I” ESTIMATE BUS SPEED ππ,ππ’π 5,280 πΉπΉπ = + ππππ‘,ππ’π + πππ + πππ 3,600 πΏπ where = = = = = = = = base bus travel time for segment i (s), midblock free-flow speed from Equation H-1 (mi/h), number of feet per mile, number of seconds per hour, Length of segment i (ft), average bus traffic signal delay not part of dwell time (s), midblock bottleneck delay (if any) (s), and total bus stop delay in the segment (s). Bus Speed = 20.3 mph At frequency = 4/hr, LOS = A-C 168 Ti,bus FFS 5,280 3,600 Li dint,bus dmb dbs COMMENTS? 169 Example Problem III.4 – Auto and Bus Speed Analysis EXAMPLE III.5 – ESTIMATION OF QUEUES • Objective: • To forecast queuing problems on street. • Approach: π΄π£ππ·ππππ¦ ∗ πΆππππππ‘π¦ ππ’ππ’π = 3600 Signalized Intersection Planning Method - Queue Calculations RT LT 269 52 4 SB TH 839 28 7 RT LT 95 57 2 EB TH 443 46 6 RT LT 95 57 2 WB TH 443 46 6 RT 170 Capacity (veh/h) Ave Delay (s) Ave Queue (veh) LT 269 47 4 NB TH 839 33 8 COMMENTS? 171 Example Problem III.5 – Urban Street Queue Analysis EXAMPLE III.6 – PREDICT RELIABILITY • Objective: • • To forecast reliability for urban street. Approach: Step 1: Data requirements Step 2: Identify segment types Step 3: Identify demand variability Step 4: Identify weather events Step 5: Identify incidents Step 6: Identify work zones Step 7: Define reliability analysis scenarios Step 8: Compute hourly travel times Step 9: Compute reliability statistics Step 10: Interpret results 172 • • • • • • • • • • RELIABILITY RESULTS Congested with rain and work zone Congested with rain, incident, work zone Congested with work zone Congested with incident and work zone Congested with rain and incident Congested with incident Non-congested with rain and work zone Non-congested with rain, incident, work zone Non-congested with rain and incident Non-congested with work zone Non-congested with incident and work zone Non-congested with incident Non-congested with rain No Congestion, No Rain, No Incident, No Work Zone Weekday PM Peak Hours of the Year Probability 0.18% 0.00% 0.27% 0.00% 0.40% 0.60% 0.01% 0.00% 0.02% 0.03% 0.00% 0.07% 38.27% 60.14% Speed (mph) 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.2 14.0 14.0 14.2 14.7 14.7 14.9 15.0 15.8 95% TTI = 2.34 173 Different Scenarios During PM Peak Hour COMMENTS? 174 Example Problem III.6 – Urban Street Reliability Analysis EXAMPLE III.7 – TRANSIT, BIKE, PED LOS • Objective: • To forecast transit, bike, ped LOS. • Procedure: Step 1: Data requirements Step 2: Compute transit LOS Step 3: Compute bicycle LOS Step 4: Compute pedestrian LOS In Progress 175 • • • • COMMENTS SO FAR? • Case Study #3 – BRT Planning • What do you like so far? • What do you dislike? 176 • What is missing? 14:45 177 CASE STUDY #4 – SYSTEM MONITORING CASE 4 – SYSTEM MONITORING • State produces annual report on state highway system performance. • Over 12,000 center-line miles, • 28,000 directional segments • Three different monitoring station types 178 • Some collect AADT only (e.g. HPMS) • Some collect Hourly speed data only (e.g. INRIX) • Some collect simultaneous hourly spot speeds and volumes (loop detectors) CASE 4 – EXAMPLE PROBLEMS For All System Performance Monitoring Sites • Example IV.1 – Estimate Site Capacities & Free-Flow Speeds For Volume Only Monitoring Sites • Example IV.2– Estimate Site Speeds from Volumes For Travel Time Only Monitoring Sites • Example IV.3 – Estimate Site Volumes from Speeds For All Performance Monitoring Systems 179 • Example IV.4 – HCM Assisted QA/Quality Control • Example IV.5– Computation of Modal Performance Measures EXAMPLE PROBLEM IV.1 – SITE CAPACITIES AND FFS Objective: • Need monitoring site capacities and free-flow speeds to compute various performance measures. Approach: 180 • Use same method as used in areawide studies to develop capacity and free-flow speed look up tables by facility type and area type. Free-Flow Speed (mph) Capacity (veh/ln) Downtown 55 1800 Urban 60 1800 Suburban 65 1900 Rural 70 1900 Downtown 25 700 Urban 35 700 Suburban 45 600 Rural Multi-Lane 55 1700 Rural 2-Lane 55 1300 Downtown 25 600 Urban 30 600 Suburban 35 600 Rural Multi-Lane 45 1500 Rural 2-Lane 45 1300 Facility Type Freeway Arterial Collector Area Type 181 CAPACITY AND FFS TABLE EXAMPLE IV.2 – ESTIMATE SPEEDS FROM VOLUMES Objective: • To estimate speeds for sites that collect only volume data. Approach: 182 • Use Akcelik equation to compute speed from v/c ratio and free-flow speed. INPUT Length (mi) Lanes AADT K D Facility Type Area Type Pk Hr (veh/h) PkDir (veh/h) 0.85 8 175,800 0.085 0.55 Freeway Urban 14,940 8,220 A002 0.21 6 34,500 0.092 0.55 Arterial Urban 3,170 1,740 A003 1.34 4 22,700 0.094 0.55 Collector Urban 2,130 1,170 A004 2.50 4 53,400 0.095 0.55 Freeway Rural 5,070 2,790 A005 4.50 4 28,200 0.096 0.55 Highway Rural 2,710 1,490 A006 7.30 2 4,600 0.098 0.55 Collector Rural 450 250 Site ID 183 A001 Length (mi) Type Free Spd (mi/h) Cap/Ln J Cap v/c Spd (mi/h) A001 0.85 Frwy-Urb 60 1800 8.40E-06 7,200 1.14 10.0 A002 0.21 Art-Urb 35 700 9.34E-06 2,100 0.83 18.7 A003 1.34 Coll-Urb 30 600 9.34E-06 1,200 0.98 26.2 A004 2.50 Frwy-Rural 70 1900 1.99E-05 3,800 0.73 68.7 A005 4.50 Hwy-Rural 55 1700 9.34E-06 3,400 0.44 51.5 A006 7.30 Coll-Rural 45 1300 2.31E-05 1,300 0.19 44.8 Site ID 184 ESTIMATED SPEEDS COMMENTS? 185 Example Problem IV.2 – Estimating Speeds from Count Data EXAMPLE IV.3 – ESTIMATE VOLUMES FROM SPEEDS Objective: • To estimate volumes to associate with measured speeds. Approach: • Back solve Akcelik equation to determine volumes from measured speeds. Aο½ T ο T0 0.25 H 16 J * L2 Bο½ H2 Where: x = the link demand/capacity ratio; A= composite variable defined at left. B = composite variable defined at left. T = link travel time (h), To = link travel time at free-flow link speed (h), H = the expected duration of the demand (typically one hour) (h); x = the link demand/capacity ratio; L= the link length (mi). J = the calibration parameter 186 A2 ο« 2 A X ο½ B ο« 2A Site ID A001 A002 A003 A004 A005 A006 Length Lanes Spd (mi/h) Facility Type Area Type K D 0.85 8 10.0 Freeway Urban 0.085 0.55 0.21 6 18.7 Arterial Urban 0.092 0.55 1.34 4 26.2 Collector Urban 0.094 0.55 2.50 4 68.7 Freeway Rural 0.095 0.55 4.50 4 51.5 Highway Rural 0.096 0.55 7.30 2 44.8 Collector Rural 0.098 0.55 187 INPUT SPEED MONITOR DATA ESTIMATED VOLUMES Type 0.85 0.21 1.34 2.50 4.50 7.30 Frwy-Urb Arterial-Urb Collector-Urb Frwy-Rural Hiwy-Rural Collect-Rural Site ID A001 A002 A003 A004 A005 A006 Length 0.85 0.21 1.34 2.50 4.50 7.30 Free Spd 60 35 30 70 55 45 Cap/Ln J Cap A B v/c 1800 700 600 1900 1700 1300 8.40E-06 9.34E-06 9.34E-06 1.99E-05 9.34E-06 2.31E-05 7,200 2,100 1,200 3,800 3,400 1,300 0.283724 1.59E-05 0.004776 0.002734 0.001179 0.002341 9.71E-05 6.59E-06 2.68E-04 1.99E-03 3.03E-03 1.97E-02 1.14 0.83 0.98 0.73 0.44 0.19 Type Freeway-Urban Arterial-Urban Collector-Urban Freeway-Rural Highway-Rural Collector-Rural v/c 1.14 0.83 0.98 0.73 0.44 0.19 Pk Dir 8,220 1,740 1,170 2,790 1,490 250 Pk Hr (2wy) 14,950 3,160 2,130 5,070 2,710 450 AADT 175,900 34,300 22,700 53,400 28,200 4,600 188 Site ID A001 A002 A003 A004 A005 A006 Length COMMENTS? 189 Example Problem IV.3 – Estimating Volumes from Speed Data EXAMPLE IV.4 – HCM ASSISTED QA/QC Objective: To error check monitoring data for aberrations Approach: Step 1: compare volumes to capacity Step 2: compare measured free-flow speeds to HCM 190 Step 3: check consistency of measured speeds and flows against standard speed-flow curves. 191 BEFORE CALIBRATION 192 AFTER CAPACITY AND SPEED CALIBRATION COMMENTS? 193 Example Problem IV.4 – QA/QC of Speed and Volume Monitoring Data EXAMPLE IV.5 – MODAL SYSTEM PERFORMANCE Objective: To compute modal system performance measures. Approach : Step 1: Compute Auto, truck VMT and PMT Step 2: Compute % VMT by LOS Step 3: Compute reliability Step 4: Compute vehicle-hours of delay Step 5: Compute vehicle-hours in queue Step 6: Compute v/c Step 7: Compute % system miles by bike LOS 194 Step 8: Compute % system miles by pedestrian LOS COMMENTS CASE STUDY 4? • Case Study #4 – System Monitoring • What do you like so far? • What do you dislike? 195 • What is missing? 15:15 196 4. WRAP UP WRAP UP 1. What do you like the most about the guide & case studies? 2. What do you dislike the most about the guide & case studies? 3. What is missing? 197 4. Will you find it useful? Would you recommend it to others? NEXT STEPS - Guide goes to highway capacity committee January 2015 - Draft Final goes to panel March 2015. - Publication in one year. 198 Next steps: OUR THANKS TO OUR HOSTS - Tom Creasey tom.creasey@stantec.com - Rick Dowling rdowling@kittelson.com 199 Comments