Introduction to Macroeconomics The Business Cycle and Measures of Performance Macroeconomics • Focuses on the “ups” and “downs” of the economy – The Big Picture • Economic Aggregates – Unemployment Rate – Inflation Rate – Gross Domestic Product (GDP) The Business Cycle The alternation between economic downturns and upturns in the economy Peak Full employment; near capacity output Recession A decline in output lasting 6 months or more, usually accompanied by declines in income and employment Trough Bottom of a recession; unemployment highest Recovery Expansion back towards full employment Growth When output exceeds previous peak The Business Cycle Growt h (Recession) Employment Labor Force = Employed + Unemployed Employed Unemployed • Work for pay OR • 15 hours of unpaid work in family business OR • Temporarily absent from work • Did no work for pay or profit • Actively looked for work • Available for work Not Counted in Labor Force • Under 16 • Institutionalized (military; prison) • People who have stopped seeking work Unemployment Rate UR = 100 x (Unemployed/Labor Force) Ex: Calculate the Unemployment Rate Labor Statistic Number Military Personnel 1.5 million Population under 16 working part time 0.3 million Population over 16 working part time 4 million Population over 16 working full time 14 million Those without jobs who are actively seeking jobs 2 million GDP= Aggregate Output • The economy’s total production of goods and services for a given time period, usually a year • Closely tied to employment – Near peak, unemployment is very low – Near trough, unemployment is high Figure 2.1 The U.S. Unemployment Rate and the Timing of Business Cycles, 1989–2009 Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers Figure 2.2 Growth, the Long View Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers Price Level • Average of all prices in the economy – usually measured by an index • Inflation – A rise in the overall price level • Deflation – A fall in the overall price level