Facilitating Career Decision-Making Itamar Gati The Hebrew University of Jerusalem In this presentation, I will Discuss the decision-theory viewpoint Present the PIC 3-stage cdm model Describe the CDDQ –theoretical basis and practical utility Introduce the CDSQ – cdm style model and Q Demonstrate MBCD - Making Better Career Decisions Review research and demonstrate applications Highlight the unique features of our approach 2 Question to you What word was used in this presentation (if I am careful enough) only twice? 3 But first, how did I get here and why? age 9 Immigration to Israel 18 – 21 compulsory military service 21 – 24 undergraduate studies (psy+econ) 22 – 24 research assistant of D. Kahneman 24 – 27 MA, Judgment and decision making 27 – 30 PhD Similarity, Amos Tversky 24 – 30 research associate, Hadassah Career Counseling Institute 30 – 31 Fulbright Post Doc – Stanford Uni 31 – assistant prof – to professor, Hebrew Uni 4 Unique features of career decisions Quantity of Information: Often large N of alternatives and factors, within-occupation variance, information is practically unlimited Quality of Information: soft (i.e., verbal), subjective, fuzzy, inaccurate, biased Uncertainty about: the individual’s future preferences, future career options, unpredictable changes and opportunities, probability of implementing choice Non-cognitive Factors: emotional and personality-related factors, necessity for compromise, actual or perceived social barriers and biases 5 From decision theory to career counseling practice Many factors contribute to the complexity and difficulties involved in career decision-making The claim: Career counseling may be viewed as decision counseling, which aims at facilitating the clients' decision-making process, and promotes better career decisions 6 If so evident, why was not decisiontheory adopted until now? Because Normative decision theory is – too rational too arbitrary too quantitative exceeds human’s information-processing capability Descriptive decision theory is not helpful either – it mainly documents human weakness heuristics, biases, and fallacies limited information-processing capabilities 7 The Proposed Approach – By adopting decision theory and adapting it to the unique features of career decisions, theoretical knowledge can be translated into practical interventions to facilitate individuals’ career choices Specifically, we suggest focusing on a prescriptive approach, and designing systematic procedures that can help individuals make better career decisions (not necessarily rational ones!) 8 The 3 components of needs assessment are: the individual’s stage in the cdm process (“where”) the focuses of the individual’s cdm difficulties (“what”) the individual’s cdm style (“who”) 9 I- Stages in the career decision-making process The PIC model (Gati & Asher, 2001) separates the career decision- making process into 3 distinct stages: - Prescreening - In-depth exploration - Choice 10 Prescreening Goal: Locating a small set (about 7) of promising alternatives that deserve further, in-depth exploration Method: Sequential Elimination Locate and prioritize relevant aspects or factors Explicate within-aspect preferences Eliminate incompatible alternatives Check list of promising alternatives Outcome: A list of verified promising alternatives worth further, in-depth exploration 11 Steps in Sequential Elimination Locating and prioritizing aspects or factors Explicating within-factor preferences in the most important factor not yet considered Eliminating incompatible alternatives Too many promising alternatives? yes no This is the recommended list of occupations worth further, in-depth exploration 12 A Schematic Presentation of the Sequential Elimination Process (within-aspects, across-alternatives) Potential Alternatives Aspects a b 1 2 3 4 . . . . N (most important) (second in importance) c . n Promising Alternatives 13 Final step - Sensitivity Analysis The Goal: Verifying the “quality” of the promising list The Method: An alternative (compensatory-model-based) search “why not” “almost compatible” options “what if” “similar alternatives” 14 In-depth exploration Goal: Locating alternatives that are not only promising but indeed suitable for the individual Method: collecting additional information, focusing on one promising alternative at a time: Is the occupation INDEED suitable for me? verifying compatibility with one’s preferences in the most important aspects considering compatibility within the less important aspects Am I suitable for the occupation? probability of actualization: previous studies, grades, achievements fit with the core aspects of the occupation Outcome: A few most suitable alternatives (about 3-4) 15 A Schematic Presentation of the In-depth Exploration Stage (within-alternative, across aspects) Promising Alternatives 1 2 2 3 4 5 4 5 6 Suitable Alternatives 16 Choice Goal: Choosing the most suitable alternative, and rankordering additional, second-best alternatives Method: comparing and evaluating the suitable alternatives pinpointing the most suitable one Am I likely to activate it? if not - selecting second-best alternative(s) if yes - Am I confident in my choice? if not: Return to In-depth exploration stage if yes: Done! Outcome: The best alternative or a rank-order of the best alternatives 17 II Career Decision-Making Difficulties Among the first steps in helping individuals make a career decision is locating the focuses of the difficulties they face in the decision-making process Relying on decision theory, Gati, Krausz, and Osipow (1996) proposed a taxonomy for describing career decision-making difficulties 18 Possible Focuses of Career Decision-Making Difficulties (Gati, Krausz, & Osipow, 1996) During the Process Prior to Engaging in the Process Lack of Readiness due to Lack of Indecimotivation siveness Lack of Information about Dysfunc- Cdm Self Occupations tional process beliefs Ways of obtaining info. Inconsistent Information due to Unreliable Internal Info. conflicts External conflicts 19 Career Decision-Making Difficulties This taxonomy was based on: the stage in the decision-making process during which the difficulties typically arise the similarity between the sources of the difficulties the effects that the difficulties may have on the process and the relevant type of intervention 20 The Career Decision-making Difficulties Questionnaire (CDDQ) The Career Decision-making Difficulties Questionnaire (CDDQ) was developed to test this taxonomy and serve as a means for assessing individuals’ career decision-making difficulties Cronbach Alpha internal consistency estimate of the total CDDQ score: .92 – .95 For additional information – see www.cddq.org --- the CDDQ is free 21 Empirical Structure of CDM Difficulties (N = 10,000) Lack of motivation General indecisiveness Dysfunctional beliefs Lack of info. about self Lack of info about process LoI about occupations LoI about addition sources of help Unreliable Information Internal conflicts External conflicts 22 Sample items from the CDDQ 23 The Four Stages of Interpretation 1. Ascertaining Credibility, using validity items and the time required to fill out the questionnaire 2. Estimating Differentiation based on the standard deviation of the 10 difficulty-scale scores 3. Locating the salient, moderate, or negligible difficulties, based on the individual's absolute and relative scale scores 4. Determining the confidence in the feedback and the need to add reservations to it (based on doubtful credibility, partial differentiation, or low informativeness) 24 The 4 Stages of Interpretation 1 Doubtful 2 Credible Estimating Differentiation Questionable 3 Aggregate Reasons to Add Reservation (RAR) B/W < 1 RAR = 3 RAR ≤ 2 4 Add Reservation to Feedback Not Credible Evaluating Credibility Low High Locate Salient Difficulties Compute Informativeness (B /W ) B/W > 1 Receives Feedback No Feedback 25 Four Studies for validating the proposed interpretation Method Participants: 15-30 career counselors and 25-80 graduate counseling students Questionnaires – including CDDQ responses: - in Study 1 and 4 – all possible responses; - in Studies 2 and 3 – responses of 16 actual clients Results: High similarity within-groups as well as between counselors’ and students’ judgments High similarity between the experts’ judgments and the proposed algorithm at each stage 26 27 28 Among the salient difficulties is “lack of information about the career decision-making process” (4) Three Levels of Difficulties (negligible, moderate, salient difficulty) in the Ten Difficulty Categories and the Four Groups (N = 6192; H-Hebrew, E-English, p-paper and pencil, I-Internet) salient difficulty moderate difficulty no difficulty 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 29 H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E H H E E 0% p I p I p Ip I p I p I p Ip I p I p I p I p I p Ip I p I p I p Ip I p I p I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 The distribution of types of feedback in the four groups 100% 90% 80% feedback add reservation 70% 60% 50% no feedback 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% P&P Internet Hebrew P&P Internet English 30 Conclusions The incorporation of a middle level of discrimination increases the usefulness of the feedback and decreases the chances and implications of potential errors Adding reservations when appropriate is essential for providing meaningful feedback and decreasing the chances of misleading conclusions 31 32 III – Career Decision-Making Styles Diagnosing the client’s career decisionmaking style is important in order to “tailor” the career-counseling intervention to his or her unique characteristics Previous research often did not take into consideration the complexity and variety of aspects related to the decision process and classified decision-styles based only on a single, most dominant characteristic (e.g., rational vs. intuitive decision-makers) 33 Goals Developing a multidimensional model for describing career decision-making styles, based on the assumption that decision-making styles should be described using several dimensions simultaneously (i.e., using patterns of defining profiles) Developing the Career Decision-making Styles Questionnaire (CDSQ) for testing the model and enabling a more accurate diagnosis of individual’s career decision-making style Empirically deriving a typology based on cluster analysis of the CDSQ profiles from a large sample of individuals 34 Previous Research 1. 39 labels used for describing decisionmaking styles were located 2. In light of the high resemblance among some of them (e.g., logical [Arroba, 1977], rational [Harren, 1979], active-planning [Jepsen, 1974], systematic [Johnson, 1978]), these 39 types were narrowed down to 12 prototypes : rational, perfectionist, procrastinator, searching for tools, satisfying, hesitant, impulsive, fatalist, intuitive, dependent, rebellious, and pleasing. 35 Derivation of the 11 Dimensions 3. Comparing the 12 prototypes in terms of their common and distinctive characteristics allowed us to uncover the various characteristics differentiating among them 4. From this list we derived 11 basic dimensions relevant for characterizing individuals' cdm styles. Each dimension represents an attribute on which individuals can be characterized along a continuum on a bipolar scale: e.g., on the dimension of pattern of information processing individuals can be characterized from "analytical" to "holistic"; desire to please others – "high" to "low". 36 The 11 Proposed Dimensions Information processing (analytic vs. holistic) Information gathering (much vs. little) Amount of effort invested in the process (much vs. little) Consultation with others (frequent vs. rare) Aspiration for an "ideal occupation" (high vs. low) Willingness to compromise (high vs. low) Locus of control (internal vs. external) Procrastination in entering the process (high vs. low) Speed of making the final decision (fast vs. slow) Dependence on others (high vs. low) Desire to please others (high vs. low) 37 The Career-Decision-making Style Questionnaire (CDSQ) 44 statements (4 items x 11 dimensions) Response scale: 1 – Strongly disagree 7 – Strongly agree The CDSQ is embedded in career-related self-help Internet sites KIVUNIM.COM (Hebrew), CDDQ.ORG (English) 3 Development samples (N=230, 404, 411) Fourth sample - 479 subjects to 38 Future Directions http://www.kivunim.com An Israeli website in Hebrew, designed for assisting deliberating individuals in making their career decisions. It is a public service and is offered free of charge 39 Results – (Items) Scale Reliabilities: median - .80, range .73 – .85 Factor analysis: 10 factors Accounted-for Variance = .65 2 dimensions were included in one factor (Speed of making the final decision; Procrastination) Two items loaded higher on a “neighbor factor” (Informationprocessing; effort invested) Cluster analysis: Accounted-for Variance = .81 Items of 7 dimension clustered perfectly (4/4) 4 dimension – 3/4 items 40 Results - Typology Group G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 DIMENSION n=38 n=77 n=79 n=65 n=47 n=87 n=64 Information-processing 3.65 4.91 4.76 5.17 3.45 5.35 5.09 Information gathering 3.94 5.21 5.34 5.83 3.43 5.94 5.79 Amount of effort invested 4.82 6.06 6.05 5.41 4.62 6.32 5.72 Consultation with others 5.64 5.58 6.26 4.02 5.33 5.64 5.83 "ideal occupation" 4.12 2.01 3.12 2.25 3.39 2.56 2.14 Willingness to compromise 3.08 4.81 4.91 3.33 5.12 3.60 3.03 Locus of control 5.59 5.24 4.91 6.10 5.26 5.61 5.58 Speed of making decision 3.73 3.24 2.25 5.42 3.02 2.47 4.38 Procrastination 4.21 5.10 2.66 5.78 2.58 3.53 4.97 Dependence 6.16 5.60 3.89 6.47 5.76 6.19 6.40 Desire to please others 5.88 4.72 4.26 5.69 5.79 5.94 5.99 41 Conclusions The proposed and tested 11 dimensions can be used to characterize individuals' career decision-making styles Using the CDSQ, homogeneous groups of clients with similar career decision-making styles can be empirically identified; creating a novel and more refined multi-dimensional typology of decision-making styles 42 Implications for Counseling The CDSQ allows a more accurate diagnosis of the counselees' career decision-making styles, thus better “tailoring” the counseling intervention to the unique needs of individuals and groups with different characteristics The CDSQ allows individuals to learn about their career decision-making style and thus to consider adopting more desirable strategies 43 So far, I reviewed 3 components of client’s needs assessment (the 3 “W”s) : The individual’s stage in the cdm process (“Where”) The focuses of the individual’s cdm difficulties (“What”) The individual’s cdm style (“Who”) So, what’s next? Some demonstrations of how can the decision-making approach be implemented in order to actually facilitate clients’ cdm 44 Specifically, if career decision-making requires collecting a vast amount of information, and if complex information-processing is needed, we must then utilize the best available resource: Career counselors’ expert knowledge, that can be elicited and transformed into Information and Communication Technology-based systems Indeed, - The computer-assisted career guidance systems, based on a decision-theory model, can help overcome human’s cognitive limitations - There are several computer-assisted career guidance systems available today on the Internet 45 MBCD Making Better Career Decisions MBCD is an Internet-based career planning system that is a unique combination of a career-information system a decision-making support system an expert system Based on the rationale of the PIC model, MBCD is designed to help deliberating individuals make better career decisions 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 However, Although Internet-based, career-related self-help sites are flourishing, these sites, as well as “stand-alone” computer-assisted career-guidance systems, vary greatly in quality Therefore, it is very important to investigate the utility and validity of these self-help programs 54 But, Making Better Career Decisions Does it really work? 55 Criteria for Testing the Benefits of Making Better Career Decisions • Examine users' perceptions of MBCD • Examine changes in user’s decision status • Examine perceived benefits • Locate factors that contribute to these variables 56 MBCD’s Effect (Cohen’s d) on Reducing Career Decision-Making Difficulties (Gati, Saka, & Krausz, 2003) 0.8 0.72 0.65 d 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.31 0.3 0.2 0.11 0.1 0 Lack of Readiness Lack of Information Inconsistent Information Total CDDQ 57 Decision Status Before and After the “Dialogue” with MBCD Before the dialogue After the dialogue 1 2 3 4 5 1- no direction 34 7 6 7 0 2 - only a general direction 41 66 15 9 5 3 - considering a few specific alternatives 27 58 84 30 6 4 - would like to examine additional alternatives 23 51 35 54 6 5 - would like to collect information about a specific occupation 658- sure which occupation to choose 9 20 21 41 28 3 0 1 9 16 Perceived Suitability of the "Promising Alternatives" List (N=693) 100% 90% too long 80% 70% 60% 50% suitable 40% 30% too short 20% 10% 0% 2 3-4 5 6 7 8-10 11-15 16-25 26+ (n=23) (n=74) (n=71) (n=121) (n=236) (n=45) (n=40) (n=46) (n=37) Number of Alternatives (n - of users) 59 Predictive Validity of MBCD (Gati, Gadassi, & Shemesh, 2006) Design: Comparing the Occupational Choice Satisfaction (OCS) of two groups six years after using MBCD and getting a list of occupations recommended for further exploration: those whose present occupation was included in MBCD’s recommended list (44%) those whose present occupation was not included in MBCD’s recommended list (56%) 60 Method Participants The original sample included 123 clients who used MBCD in 1997, as part of their counseling at the Hadassah CareerCounseling Institute Out of the 73 that were located after six+ years, 70 agreed to participate in the follow-up: 44 women (64%) and 26 men (36%), aged 23 to 51 (mean = 28.4, SD = 5.03) 61 Frequencies of Occupational Choice Satisfaction by “Acceptance” and “Rejection” of MBCD's Recommendations (Gati, Gadassi, & Shemesh, 2006) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 16% 18% low satisfaction 44% medium satisfaction high satisfaction 84% 38% accepted did not accept recommendations recommendations 62 Alternative Explanations – were not supported Differences in the lengths of the lists No difference was found in the OCS between clients whose list included 15 or fewer occupations and clients whose list included more than 15 occupations Clients who accepted MBCD’s recommendations are more compliant, and therefore more inclined to report a high level of satisfaction However, following the compensatory-model-based recommendations did not contribute to the OCS 63 Gender Differences in Directly and Indirectly derived Preferred Occupations (279 Women + 79 Men, Mean Age=23; Gadassi & Gati, 2007) Means of the Femininity-Masculinity Ratings According to Type of List and Gender 3.18 3.13 2.96 Men Women 2.71 Derived 3.3 3.2 3.1 3 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 Explicit 64 Summary of Major Findings PIC is compatible with people’s intuitive ways of making decisions (Gati & Tikotzki, 1989) Most users report progress in the career decision-making process (Gati, Kleiman, Saka, & Zakai, 2003) Satisfaction was also reported among those who did not progress in the process Users are “goal-directed” – the closer they are to making a decision, the more satisfied they are with MBCD The list of “recommended” occupations are not gender-type biased (Gadassi & Gati, 2007) 65 What I did not review today Career compromises – framings and their implications The assessment of career-related preference crystallization (based on the aspects-based approach) Career indecisiveness (i.e., emotional and personality related career decision-making difficulties) Core aspects – that capture the essence of occupations Dysfunctional beliefs – which, why, when 66 In Conclusion – Features of our Approach Prescreening is essential when the number of potential alternatives (e.g., occupations, majors, jobs) is large Instead of focusing on occupations (alternatives) we suggest to focus on aspects or characteristic of the options Instead of the “snap-shot” – static assessments of vocational interests (e.g., the 3-highest RIASEC Holland’s code), use for prescreening a wide range of factors aspects elicited by a dynamic, interactive process 67 In Conclusion – Features of our Approach (cont.) From the viewpoint of the individual, this enables: - Differentiating between relative importance of factors, the optimal level, and the willingness to compromise - Assessing the individual’s preference crystallization (does s/he knows what s/he is looking for) With respect to occupations, this enables: - Characterizing occupations in terms of a range of levels, representing the within-occupation variance - Highlighting the essence of the occupation (using the core aspects) 68 We believe that . . . Career-related assessments can and has to be useful both in self-help and in personal, face-toface counseling situations Computers can and should be used not only for scoring (and “arbitrary” feedback), but also for monitoring a dynamic interaction and providing flexible interpretations (including “reservations”) Experts’ knowledge can and should be elicited, and then transformed to design and improve interpretive feedbacks on assessments 69 We also believe that . . . Career choices are the outcome of decisionmaking processes; therefore, career counseling is, in fact, decision counseling Decision theory can be translated into practical interventions aimed at facilitating individuals’ career decision-making The goal should be promoting a systematic decision making process – not a rational one 70 Finally, we also believe that . . . Career-related assessments can be transformed into user-friendly Internet-based systems, which can also be incorporated into counseling interventions Interpretive feedback is important but has to be “tailored” and validated Theory-based interventions should always be empirically tested for theoretical validity as well as practical effectiveness 71 And what was the word I used (hopefully) only twice? 72 To conclude From the presented perspective, the goal of career counseling is facilitating making better career decisions 73 www.cddq.org itamar.gati@huji.ac.il 74 end -- 75