IMPROVING DECISION MAKING AND PROBLEM SOLVING SKILL Session Outline 2 Problem /Problem Solving, Decision / Decision Making Approaches / Styles and Process of Decision Making Rational decision making process Ethical Decision Making Issues / Challenges / Problems in Decision Making Approaches to improve ability to make decisions and solve problems effectively Importance of Decision Making 3 Whatever you do, you do through making decisions No organisations can be run without making decisions Carries long-term implications. Organisations grow or fail as a result of decisions made by its decision makers The wellbeing of an organisation depends almost entirely on the quality of its decisions 4 Problem 5 “In a day, when you don’t come across any problems- you can be sure that you are traveling in a wrong path.” - Swami Vivekananda A problem is a situation or a state of affairs that causes difficulties for people. It is also a gap between a current and a desired state. The gap may be viewed as the difference between 'what is' and 'what should be' or 'where we are' and 'where we want to be'. Problem Solving 6 If a problem is a gap between two states, then problem solving is 'the process of closing that gap, i.e. changing the current state into the desired one.' 7 8 Krishna Seekh - Impact of decision making in our lives.mp4 Decision 9 “A Decision is a Judgment.” - Peter Drucker A decision is a Choice between or among various alternatives. - Decision Making 10 Decision making is a cognitive process leading to the selection of a course of action among the alternatives, and enabling to act for producing desired results. Decision making is a series of logical steps to reach at the agreement for moving forward. Systematic response to a problem situation or forward moving through intelligence, understanding, analysis, rational logical selection, preparedness for implementation. Classification of Decisions 11 1. Personal decisions to achieve own objectives. 2. Organisational decisions to fulfill the obligations of own position in the organisation. Levels of Decisions 12 Strategic Level Vision Mission Policy Level Goals Objectives Tactical Level/Functional Level Operational Level Levels of … 13 Structured Unstructured Level of decision making - Scope Strategic Operational Top Level Managerial Middle Level Lower Level Conceptual Skills Human Skills Technical skills Organizational Decisions can be 14 Ill-structured Type of Problem Well-structured Programmed Decisions Top Level in Organization Bottom Programmed Decision Nonprogrammed Decisions A decision that is repetitive and routine and can be made by using a definite, systematic procedure. Nonprogrammed Decision A decision that is unique and novel. Nine dots Exercise 15 Let’s find ourselves on which approach we belong to: Basic Styles in Decision Making 16 Autocratic Benevolent Exploitative-manipulative Democratic Consultative Participative 17 The Authoritarian Approach. Deciding independently seeking no contributions other than asking for necessary information and passing them down the line for implementation. Officers assume the authority to take decisions alone and to pass them down the line for implementation. The Democratic Approach. Jointly, as a team, making a decision which has the support of the whole group. The responsibility for decision making is shared between the officer and members of a team. Range of Decision Making Styles 18 Authoritarian Style The officer makes decisions and announces Democratic Style them The officer sells the decision to the team The officer presents the idea and invites questions The officer presents a tentative decision subject to change The officer presents a problem, gets inputs from the team and then decides The officer defines the limits and asks the group to make the decision The officer permits the team to make decisions with predefined limits The officer allows team members complete freedom of action Rational Decision Making Process 19 Pre-decision phase Issue or problem: agenda setting Analysis of issue or problem: Interpretation, identification and understanding SWOT ANALYSIS PEST ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS SPOILER ANALYSIS Designing alternatives Examination/assessment of alternatives Decision phase Ranking the alternatives Determination Choice 20 Post-decision phase Preparedness for implementation Action plan Monitoring Feedback evaluation Re-decision phase Acknowledging the lessons learnt Reformed/improved decision making Problems in Decision Making 21 Real life Decision Makers must cope with: Inadequate information about the nature of the problem and its possible solutions, The lack of resources to acquire more complete information, Distorted perceptions of the information available, The inability of the human memory to retain large amount of information, and The limits of their own intelligence to determine correctly which alternative is best. - Herbert Simon 22 Exercise - Assessment 23 Score Interpretation 18-42 Your decision-making hasn't fully matured. You aren't objective enough, and you rely too much on luck, instinct or timing to make reliable decisions. Start to improve your decision-making skills by focusing more on the process that leads to the decision, rather than on the decision itself. With a solid process, you can face any decision with confidence. We'll show you how. 43-66 Your decision-making process is OK. You have a good understanding of the basics, but now you need to improve your process and be more proactive. Concentrate on finding lots of options and discovering as many risks and consequences as you can. The better your analysis, the better your decision will be in the long term. Focus specifically on the areas where you lost points, and develop a system that will work for you across a wide variety of situations. 67-90 You have an excellent approach to decision-making! You know how to set up the process and generate lots of potential solutions. From there, you analyze the options carefully, and you make the best decisions possible based on what you know. As you gain more and more experience, use that information to evaluate your decisions, and continue to build on your decision-making success. Think about the areas where you lost points, and decide how you can include those areas in your process. 24 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Basic Approaches to Improve Decision Making Ability Improve analytical ability Adopt systematic approach Invite conflicting views Consider factors influencing decision making Use imagination / Be creative Implementation and follow-up 1. Improve Analytical Ability 25 Opinions are perfectly good starting point. Ask questions starting with: What, Why, When, How, Where, and Who. 2. Adopt Systematic Approach 26 Analyse the situation Identify possible courses of action Weigh them up Decide what to do 3. Invite Conflicting Views 27 One should not expect a bland consensus view The best decisions emerge from a clash of conflicting points of view 4. Consider Factors Influencing Decision Making 28 Availability of resources Environment- internal / external (PEST) Capability, values, experience of concerned people Knowledge Biasness / prejudice / interest Customs and habits of people Psychological factors- emotion, ethics, values… Future as anticipated Superiors and subordinates 5. Use Imagination 29 Use 'lateral thinking' and 'brain-storming'. You can develop your ability to think creatively by: Breaking away from any restrictions Opening up your mind to generate new ideas Delaying judgment until you have thoroughly explored the alternative ideas (for example, 'It won't work', 'It won't solve the problem') Nine Dots 6. Implementation and Follow-up 30 A problem is not solved until the decision is implemented. Think carefully not only about how a thing is to be done (who, what, when) but also about its impact on the people concerned and the extent to which they will co-operate. Some Tips for Effective Decision Making 31 It is not choice between right or wrong, rather choosing from among alternatives What is right, not who is right Consider those affected by the decision (involve if feasible) Mentally rehearse implementation of your choice View a ‘problem’ as an ‘opportunity’ Decision must meet the situation, and be acceptable to as large number of people as possible Choosing the right alternative at the wrong time is not any better than the wrong alternative at the right time, so make the decision while still have time 32 “WE SELDOM HAVE TIME FOR THE IMPORTANT BECAUSE WE ARE WORKING ON THE IMMEDIATE AND THE IMMEDIATE IS SELDOM THE IMPORTANT” - Peter Drucker 33 Lord Krishna introspects the basis on which we make our decisions.mp4 34 “Think Laterally, and be Creative.” Good luck