WILLIAMS & JENSEN, PLLC Fr: Rebecca Konst, Eric Robins, and Joel Oswald Re: SEC Roundtable on Decimalization Dt: February 5, 2013 Summary On February 5, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) held a roundtable on decimalization to discuss “how to best study its effects on IPOs, trading, and liquidity for small and middle capitalization companies, and what, if any, changes should be considered.” Topics discussed during Panel I included, but were not limited to: (1) JOBS Act and IPO Market; (2) Decimalization and IPO Market; (3) Trading Spreads and IPOs; (4) Maker-Taker Pricing; (5) Different Tick Sizes; (6) Purpose of a Pilot Program; and (7) Size of a Small Capital Firm. Topics discussed during Panel II included, but were not limited to: (1) Decimalization and IPOs; (2) Marketplace Pilot Program; (3) Issuers and Tick Size; (4) Parameters of a Pilot Program; (5) Other Market Structure Issues; (6) Lessons Learned from Europe; and (7) Pilot Program Alternatives. Topics discussed during Panel III included, but were not limited to: (1) SEC and Tick Size Information; (2) Identification of Market Failures; (3) Criteria for Displayed Liquidity; (4) Goals of Pilot Program; (5) Types of Pilot Programs; (6) Parameters of Pilot Program; (7) Pilot Program Costs; (8) Alternatives to Pilot Program; (9) Pilot Program Study Controls; and (10) Evading SEC Pilot Programs. SEC Commissioner and Staff Statements Chairman Elisse Walter noted her regret from not being able to attend the roundtable in person as she is currently overseas discussing OTC derivatives with her foreign regulator counterparties. She stated that she is very interested in decimalization and is eager to hear about the discussions that take place during the roundtable. She noted that promoting economic growth and consumer protection are mandates of the SEC and she suggested that special concern should be taken for the needs of small companies. Chairman Walter stated that many industry participants feel that the current market structure and tick sizes do not recognize the needs of small companies. She stated that she is interested in a discussion of a possible pilot program and how such a pilot might be formed. Given the complex nature of the modern markets, she suggested that there be tests of changes in a controlled fashion so the SEC can gather data to make an informed decision. Commissioner Daniel Gallagher stated that he was “agnostic” about the issue, but he observed that the interest in the roundtable is a great indication of how important the SEC views what might appear to be small issues. He stated that given the agenda of the SEC with implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act (DFA) and the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act) issues such as tick size could be over-looked. However, he noted the importance of such issues, especially since Congress mandated a study of the issue in the JOBS Act. He noted that the Advisory Committee on Small and Emerging Companies made recommendations last week that the SEC move down the Page 1 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 path to a pilot. He noted that since a change in tick size would impact capital formation the SEC needs to consider it. John Ramsay (Director, SEC Division of Trading and Markets) stated that he hopes this effort is seen as a sign of how serious the SEC is taking this topic. He stated that he hopes this dialog will help staff create a pilot program and that this pilot can then be used as a model for other market structure changes. James Burns (Deputy Director, SEC Division of Trading and Markets) noted that the discussion will focus on whether the tick sizes can be increased for certain stocks to help market operation. He noted that the roundtable participants will discuss whether a pilot program should be implemented. The objective of such a pilot, he said, would be to establish an empirical basis of whether any changes should be done on tick size in the future. Burns stated that this type of data driven approach can provide a useful template for the SEC to consider how Commission might approach other market structure issues. He noted that the SEC has undertaken a number of other market structure initiatives including: limit up/limit down, market wide circuit breakers, erroneous trades rules, large trader reporting, and consolidated audit trail (CAT), but he stated there is more to do. Craig Lewis (SEC Chief Economist) noted that the “genesis” of the study conducted by the Division of Risk, Strategy, and Financial Innovation was in response to the Congressional mandate in the JOBS Act to examine the impact of decimalization on IPOs and small-mid cap companies. He explained that the study took a three pronged approach: (1) reviewed existing academic studies; (2) met with the Advisory Committee on Small and Emerging Companies to discuss the impact of a change in tick size on small companies; and (3) surveyed the markets. He explained that the report was released in July 2012 and concluded that the impact of a mandated minimum tick size increase on market structure or the willingness of companies to go public is uncertain. He stated that the study recommended that the SEC not proceed with specific tick size rules but take additional steps to consider whether changes should be made in the future. Lewis stated that the literature review of academic studies on the impact of the change in decimal pricing on market quality documented lower spreads after decimalization, smaller trade sizes, decreased quoted depth, less volatility, and no apparent decrease in profits for market makers. He claimed that the academic studies found that there was improved market quality for large capital stocks but for small and mid-capitalization stocks the effect is minor. Lewis noted that members of the Advisory Committee on Small and Emerging Companies commented that it is hard to disentangle the impact of decimalization on small companies because of the implementation of Sarbanes-Oxley and the advent of high frequency trading (HFT) and dark pools. He explained that last week the Advisory Committee made recommendations to the SEC to increase the tick size for small capitalization stocks and allow those companies choose their own tick size within a range. Lewis stated that the SEC has considered other countries’ approaches of using different tick sizes and has concluded that there may be viable alternatives to uniform tick size rules. Panel I: Evaluating Concerns Relating to Tick Size for Small and Middle Capitalization Companies Brian B. Conroy — President at Fidelity Capital Markets R. Cromwell Coulson — President, CEO, and Director at OTC Markets Group Joshua L. Green — General Partner at Mohr Davidow Ventures Page 2 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 Scott Kupor — Managing Partner and Chief Operating Officer at Andreessen Horowitz Maureen O’Hara — Robert W. Purcell Professor of Finance at Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University Jeffrey M. Solomon — CEO at Cowen and Company, Director at Cowen Group (statement) David Weild — Senior Advisor at Grant Thornton LLP and Chairman & CEO at Weild & Co (statement) Kent Womack — Professor of Finance at Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto Discussion Womack noted that his career started in investment banking then he received his PhD at Cornell. He noted that his research has been about the equity markets and IPOs, conflicts of interest and research firms. Weild, a former Vice President of NASDAQ, explained that Grant Thornton has written papers which informed much of the JOBS Act. He stated that they have looked at the reduction in the number of IPOs, particularly small company IPOs. He claimed that the order handling rules adopted in 1997, Regulation ATS and then decimalization in 2001 all impacted IPOs. He noted that his paper, “A Wakeup Call for America,” documented the decline in listed companies, a 44% reduction since the peak in 1997. He said that reversing this trend is important because it impacts jobs in the U.S. Solomon stated that the United States has been the single greatest market for capital formation over the past century. He stated that the market structure and regulatory framework in the U.S. have enabled countless growth oriented companies to emerge as global market leaders by utilizing the equity capital markets to fund their growth through access to capital. However, he explained that over the past decade, due in part to difficult equity market structure, the IPO engine that has fueled America’s global economic dominance has slowed tremendously. Solomon said it is not too late to make regulatory changes to the equity markets to make them more conducive to the fundamental long term investor. He recommended that the SEC initiate a pilot program that widens the bid/offer spreads for smaller capitalization stocks to help foster a healthy trading eco-system that benefits investors and creates reasonable economics necessary for investment firms to ensure that Emerging Growth Companies (EGCs) find the necessary trading liquidity to return to the equity capital markets. O’Hara noted that she has conducted a lot of research on a wide range of issues in market microstructure such as the effects of HFT and market fragmentation. She stated that lately she is researching issues relating to liquidity of stocks, particularly those with low prices. O’Hara explained that she is conducting research about the liquidity of IPOs, particularly once they enter the market, and the roles of market makers. Kupor stated that he will provide the view of a venture capital firm focused on investing in IT companies. Green stated that he began his career in Silicon Valley as a corporate and securities attorney. He noted that his current firm was a strong supporter of the JOBS Act. He claimed that Title I of the JOBS Act has been an effective “on-ramp” for companies accessing the public markets. He suggested that the issue now is that “the public markets are the highway and they have potholes.” Page 3 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 He stated that he is looking at how decimalization can be changed to help with capital formation for small and mid-capital companies. Coulson stated that OTC Markets serves a wide range of companies. He stated that in the search for an efficient market regulators may have made the markets too “slippery” for investors. He stated that regulators should focus on how to improve liquidity for small capitalization companies. He noted an academic paper that found natural price clustering points. He stated that market changes have made it so transactional providers are the biggest customers and pricing specialists are leaving the markets. He stressed the need to incentivize those pricing specialists to reenter the market. He expressed support for increasing increments, but also suggested that if that occurs, market makers should display more. Conroy explained that his firm is a provider of financial services focused on small investors and retail investors. He noted that his firm does not provide research or investment banking services so they have no financial “skin” in the game. Question and Answer JOBS Act and IPO Market Lona Nallengara (Acting Director, SEC Division of Corporation Finance) asked about the IPO market generally and what impact the JOBS Act has had on the IPO market. Solomon stated that companies are taking advantage of the confidential filings provision because issuers are more willing to “go down the path to” file confidentially. He noted that the confidential filing has helped with concerns about disclosing company strategy. However, he claimed that it is hard to say whether more companies are doing confidential filings than otherwise would have. He stressed that it is still too early to measure the impact of the JOBS Act. He stated that the venture community is still weighing how to generate liquidity, noting that they can run a dual track to try to sell or go to the public market. He claimed that the JOBS Act in itself will not change market liquidity but it is a step in the right direction. Weild claimed that 90% of companies that qualify as emerging growth companies are filing as confidential filers. He claimed that the other provision that people are excited about is the testing the waters provision. He stated that some firms will not go public without seeing if a market is there. He stated that the JOBS Act will take time to take hold and other provisions will take longer to play out. Decimalization and IPO Market Nallengara asked about the impact of decimalization on the IPO market and whether the impact of decimalization can be separated from other market events. Kupor stated that of the issue is how to create liquidity. He claimed that decimalization along with events like the Global Research Settlement all impacted trading sizes, liquidity and therefore small capitalization stocks. He claimed that decimalization has taken a lot of financial “lubricant” out of the market which reduced amounts for research and then dried up investment in small cap stocks. Womack claimed that decimalization is a part of the issue but misses the big picture, suggesting that the economics of capitalization may have changed. He stated that as IPOs have collapsed private equity has taken off. He expressed suspicion that some market participants are trying to make something happen that is not there anymore. He claimed that five or so years leading up to decimalization the IPO markets were declining. Green noted that mergers and acquisition (M&A) activity is a source of liquidity but there is a delicate balance. He explained that the 2000 dot-com bubble and other events exaggerated the effect on the IPO market and as a result the absence of a viable IPO avenue has had a significant impact on the robustness of the M&A market. Conroy claimed that a variety of events contributed Page 4 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 to the decline of the IPO market. He stated that decimalization has not impacted IPOs. He stated that discussions for changing tick size center around research, yet firms could raise their commissions to pay for research but they do not. He advocated against a pilot program which would artificially inflate market prices to help market makers. O’Hara stated that decimalization changed the picture for everyone. She stated that transaction costs are a lot lower now than they ever were, but now she is hearing that traders would be better off with different tick sizes and market makers would be better able to subsidize research. Solomon stated that regulators should be trying to reduce transaction costs. He claimed that decimalization is only one part of the equation and that it drove research coverage in the after-market. He stated that unless one can control research in the after-market it is very hard to convince a company to go public. Coulson stated that the regulatory process has been trying to make broker-dealers into agency dealers going to an order book. He expressed support for bringing in “price setting” firms again to bring liquidity into the system. Weild pointed to a series of events leading up to decimalization including the Manning Rule in 1996, the order handling rules in 1997, and Regulation ATS in 1998. He stated that these changes made the market go from a quote driven market to an electronic driven market and resulted in a “massive” realignment of capital. He claimed that the markets are still adjusting to the changes made in the 1990’s. Solomon stated that his firm does not cover many small cap companies because they cannot get paid for coverage. He stated that if there were an opportunity to make liquidity in the market at reasonable spreads then firms would cover those small cap companies. He noted that this would take time which is why any pilot must be long enough to allow for such developments. Conroy stated that many buy side firms grow in-house research staff rather than having to pay big commissions to research firms. He stated that increasing tick size will increase transaction costs with no advantage to investors. Lewis stated that there are high costs to an issuer going public. He noted the rise of private equity as a channel for raising capital. He asked about the shift from using public equity as a source of capital versus private placement offerings. Kupor stated that he has seen both as sources of secondary markets. He noted that companies are participating in late stage financings which had not been seen. He noted that one important policy question this raises is whether there is a risk of a two tiered market being created over time. Green claimed that the growth equity sector is a reasonably small amount of the total available market in terms of capital. He stated that he does not see that changing in the short term. Public markets by contrast, he stated, provide a far lower cost of capital than growth equity and enable the fundamental issue of the promise of liquidity. He stated that the SEC should encourage growth equity but it will not become anything close to the potential of the public markets. Trading Spreads and IPOs Gregg Berman (Associate Director of the Office of Analytics and Research) asked why existing wide spreads are not motivation enough to enter the market. Coulson stated that if the market is not organized in increments there is no incentive to show size. He stated that prices should not be at an artificial price point but should be at a real price based on price and trading volume. O’Hara stated that it is true that there are stocks with wide spreads but many small stocks trade with very small spreads. She referenced numbers from NASDAQ, noting that stocks that trade less than $250,000 per day (211) have spreads less than a nickel. She stated that if spreads are increased then transaction costs are increased. Coulson claimed that the 600 community banks on Page 5 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 his platform have spreads which average 20 cents, so they are not incentivized to show spreads. He stated that companies should be able to opt out of the pilot. Maker-Taker Pricing Solomon claimed that there are a number of issues other than decimals in the markets that disadvantage retail investors. He suggested that the SEC consider other matters such as addressing maker-taker rules that would level the playing field for the average investor and lead to “real” price discovery. Weild stated that historically the largest accounts have cut their allocations of small cap stocks while smaller investors have increased their allocation. He claimed that rule changes “gutted” the economic incentives to distribute small cap stocks, the after-market has declined, and the markets have concentrated in fewer institutional stocks. He stated that IPO sizes have gotten larger but success rates have dropped over the past 15 years. Solomon stated that it is more difficult for the buy side to outperform indexes. He claimed that firms are not seeing returns above benchmarks to offset the costs of having active managers in small capitalization stocks. He stated that a healthy IPO market provides asset managers with more returns over time and widening tick sizes encourages fundamental price discovery rather than electronic price discovery. He claimed that maker-taker should be “dialed back” because order matching has no real price discovery function. Different Tick Sizes Commissioner Gallagher noted his fear that changing tick sizes would be addressing “a symptom and not the illness.” He asked whether the order handling rules should be reconsidered. Weild stated that discussion of a change in tick size began because it seems easy to implement. He stated that he is a big believer that the Manning Rule was a good thing. He explained that larger price increments which are more natural will be better for market operation, which he suggested would create adequate economic incentives to more easily market small company stocks. Coulson stated that it is about creating long-term equality in the market. He suggested that the person making the offer should be the first in line to trade, and the taker should be the one with the choice of getting the best price and where to go because that incentivizes best prices. Purpose of a Pilot Program Commissioner Gallagher asked whether the purpose of the pilot would be to promote more research or to help liquidity. Womack stated that the main goal of the pilot would be to improve liquidity, and he expressed skepticism that regulators can incentivize more research. Solomon stated that small capitalization companies need to cultivate a personal relationship between management teams and end buyers, and published research is the way to get “in the door.” Conroy noted skepticism that decimalization is linked to the economics of research. Kupor claimed that better trading liquidity and larger trading volumes would help the liquidity of small cap stocks and would incentivize more companies to go public. Green claimed that “liquidity is the bottom line” but research may help. He stated that a pilot should examine what tick sizes do to pricing, to volume, and whether it encourages investors to trade. O’Hara stated that if the focus is on liquidity then there is data to show that the transaction costs for trading small cap stocks has actually been falling over time and has decreased at a faster rate than large cap stocks from 2008 to 2012. Commissioner Gallagher urged the panelists to not assume the SEC will be conducting a pilot program because there are many matters to consider. Weild suggested the SEC should just move forward with a pilot and focus on small capitalization stocks. Coulson stated that the real value of a Page 6 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 pilot would be getting investment banks to sponsor small cap companies and take them on road shows. Size of a Small Capital Firm Berman asked what size is considered small capitalization. Solomon claimed that small cap is less than $1billion, but he noted that this amount differs among industry sectors. Weild stated that small cap is less than $2 billion. Coulson stated that small cap is less than $500 million because that is when index funds start to own those stocks. Green claimed that $300 to $400 million is the “logical floor for a micro-cap company to go public.” Panel II: Evaluating Concerns Relating to Tick Size for the Securities Market Generally Chris Concannon — Partner at Virtu Financial LLC Kevin Cronin — Global Head of Equity Trading at Invesco Frank M. Hatheway — Chief Economist at NASDAQ OMX Group Inc. Patrick J. Healy — CEO at Issuer Advisory Group LLC Chris Isaacson — Chief Operating Officer at BATS Global Markets (statement) Paul Jiganti — Managing Director at TD Ameritrade Maureen O’Hara — Robert W. Purcell Professor of Finance at Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University Adam V. Reed — Julian Price Scholar in Finance and Associate Professor of Finance at KenanFlagler Business School, University of North Carolina Healy, in a statement, was supportive of decimalization, though he noted that the costs of decimalization are borne by smaller companies “which are essentially starved for research coverage.” He suggested that “a minimum tick size would go a long way toward restoring those economics.” He stated that “the single most important thing” that the SEC can do to improve market structure “is to utilize the issuer community as an equal partner in setting the rules.” He added that he had “serious reservations regarding the ability of the respective equity markets to handle an even more complex agenda to include various tick size thresholds.” He recommended that “the SEC should move forward with a wider spread pilot project of several hundred thinly traded stocks” that are listed on either the NYSE or the Nasdaq. Jiganti stated that making changes to market structure and tick size could harm the small investor. In a statement, he expressed support for “an increment reform pilot program that focuses on trading volume, price, volatility, and to a lesser extent, market capitalization.” He noted that “[a] well-designed pilot program would be mandatory for all exchanges and market participants, and include criteria for choosing issuers without the ability to opt-in or opt-out of the program.” The pilot program should also “have a defined duration, the same market-wide rules and clear evaluation methodology that do not bring it from pilot automatically to rule.” Reed noted that his research focuses on trading, mutual funds, why companies would want to go public, and short selling. Isaacson noted an interest in reducing the costs to investors. He stated that decimalization impedes capital raising abilities and a wider tick size will benefit small and medium capitalization companies. He noted the role of BATS in helping Europe successfully adopt a new tick size regime. He claimed that more narrow tick sizes may benefit highly liquid securities. He suggested a minimum tick size Page 7 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 pilot program with a five cent minimum tick size, a one cent minimum trade increment, a half cent minimum tick size for certain highly liquid securities, and address locked markets. Hatheway stated that small stocks did not benefit from decimalization. He claimed that tick size is only one element of market structure which should be reviewed by the SEC. Concannon stated that decimalization delivered more profits to investors than any other market structure change to date, but it failed in going to a one-size-fits-all environment for all types of stock and that a customized market is needed. Cronin stated that the SEC should look at maker-taker pricing, internalization, the proliferation of order types and the prevalence of order cancellations. Questions and Answers Decimalization and IPOs Burns asked about whether decimalization is the cause of IPO decline. Concannon noted his support for a pilot program. He claimed that a number of things suggest that some action should be taken and the SEC should also examine maker-taker pricing. Marketplace Pilot Berman asked why the market has not solved this issue for themselves. He asked what is preventing the marketplace from creating their own pilot. Hatheway claimed that there is not uniformity and that a voluntary approach or unilateral approach will not create the desired outcomes because there are always opportunities for people to do something different. Concannon claimed the challenge is with the competitive market structure, the exchanges and alternative markets will compete with each other, which sometimes means the regulators need to step in to impose requirements on all markets. Isaacson claimed that in Europe there was a “race to the bottom.” He stated that the participants came together to agree on rational tick sizes. He suggested that participants in the U.S. could come to an agreement on tick sizes for small capitalization companies but he suggested that it would not be good for the industry if only one market venue changed tick sizes. He stressed that tick size experiments in a fragmented market would not make sense. Healy claimed that the issuer community would like the option to set tick sizes. He suggested that issuers should be a part of the discussion on tick size. Reed claimed that there will always be an inherent conflict of interest with choosing tick sizes because tick size will always benefit some market participants over others. Cronin stated that unless and until there is a mandate of a specific level of changes in economic incentives for all exchanges, it will be hard to get all exchanges to make the same change. He noted that regulators should not lose sight that retail investors gain exposure from institutional investors so success of a tick size change should not only be measured for retail investors. Jiganti stated that retail investors must be present at the discussion table. He stated that institutional investors have more tools available to achieve their desired position. He noted that if the goal is liquidity then the pilot will look one way and if the goal is research it will look totally different. Cronin stated that the pilot program should be all about increasing liquidity. Issuers and Tick Size Amy Edwards (Assistant Director, Office of Markets) stated that issuers can split their stock to impact their tick size, so she asked why they do not use that control over their tick size. Healy stated that small cap companies do not have the ability to “spilt” their stocks like larger capital companies can. He suggested focusing on the dollar value traded. Hatheway stated that smaller Page 8 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 firms are concerned about listing standards if their stock price is too low, which is a practical reason why these companies do not want to split their stock Berman acknowledged that the $20 stock price seems to have appeal, but he asked why a company does not simply start with a lower stock price such as $2. Healy stated that a CEO of a small company would not want to start at $2 because they want room in case the stock price goes down, which could make it a penny stock. . Concannon claimed that Wall Street has a research issue regardless of capitalization size. He stated that large banks have a hard time paying for research, regardless of the size of issuer. . He claimed that the market has to solve research issue and playing with the micro market structure to solve research will be too costly. He indicated that the issue is about liquidity for stocks, and then whether it benefits retail and buy-side investors. . Parameters of a Pilot Burns asked whether there is a size of company that should be considered for the pilot and whether an “opt-in” would work. Healy stated that there will not be a shortage of companies willing to optin to the pilot. He suggested that the companies in the pilot be listed on the NASDAQ or NYSE, should be profitable, the opening bid should be a nickel, and there should be issuer choice. O’Hara stated that in order to ascertain the real impacts of a change in tick size, the SEC will need to control for all variables. She stated that academics do not like voluntary programs because it will skew the result since it tends to attract a certain kind of company. She suggested that the initial pilot not allow an opt-in, but potentially after the pilot is complete the SEC could allow the option for companies to opt-in. Reed suggested a hybrid approach, allowing companies to opt-in to the pilot and then hold a random draw to see who would actually participate so there was some randomization. Jiganti agreed with Reed and stated that any participant in the pilot would have to be compared against like companies in the market. Hatheway stated that there will not be trouble with companies opting-in. Isaacson claimed that there should be some criteria to opt-in to the pilot. He stated that the company should have a certain liquidity profile to opt-in then some randomization about who is in the control group and who is in the pilot. Cronin stated that the pilot should be incremental. Above all else, he stressed that the pilot should do no harm. He noted that for large capitalization companies the market environment has never been better, although he suggested there is still room for improvement. He suggested that the exchanges should have a voice on who is allowed to participate in the pilot. Jiganti stated that a volatility component will be important to consider, along with overall volume and other criteria. Additionally, he suggested that the SEC should create a group similar to the roundtable participants to help aid the SEC in finding the “right mix” of companies for the pilot. O’Hara stressed that when designing the pilot the control group must be an actual control group. She stated that criteria such as trading volume could get complicated because it is a factor in liquidity. Other Market Structure Issues Kathleen Hanley (Deputy Chief Economist) reminded the panelists that the Commission has not made a decision to do a pilot program. She asked whether large cap stocks could also benefit from a review of tick size. Concannon stated that challenges with liquidity are at the lower end of the market, and urged keeping the pilot simple and targeted. He stated that if the pilot is complicated with other market structure issues, there will not be a pilot. He stated that in terms of market structure those lower capitalization stocks have been treated the same as large cap stocks, and focusing on less liquid names will show results. Healy agreed that there are issues in larger capital stocks that could be addressed, such as whether a one penny tick is appropriate at the larger Page 9 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 end or whether there should be a move to a sub-penny tick. He stressed that this should be a separate examination. Shillman asked whether it is worthwhile to also examine the maker-taker issue. Concannon questioned what issue is trying to be solved, liquidity or other issues. He noted that decimalization has not been looked at in ten years but that examining other issues would start “bumping” into Regulation NMS issues. Isaacson suggested a separate tick size pilot for large cap stocks. Jiganti claimed that there are three different issues within liquidity: the lower market capitalization end, sub-penny issues in highly-liquid stocks, and the “Apple or Google” stocks. He stated that there are different sets of data associated with these issues which should not to be confused with “spring cleaning issues.” He stated that his concern is that a retail investor who sees a half tick spread may not have much confidence in the system. He suggested that this might create more quote flickering. Hatheway stressed that a one-size-fits-all approach does not work. He claimed that the market can manage different tick sizes. Additionally, he suggested that regulators reconsider some of the other issues. Cronin stated that at best he is dubious of subpenny pricing. He stated that sub-penny pricing can result in an even bigger quote capacity problem, and he noted that investors are already receiving benefits from sub-penny trading. Concannon noted that changing the trade increment does impact order to trade ratios as well as volume, so it will impact market data consumption and increase quote traffic. Healy stated that one concern of issuers is that markets have become a “casino” and a move to sub-penny pricing would mean the casino just got larger. Lessons Learned from Europe Burns asked for observations on lessons learned from Europe. Hatheway noted that there are behavioral changes that occur when stocks move past a certain increment into the next but the price based system was simplistic. Generally, he found the European experience instructive; however, he stated that it is probably not a model the U.S. could use. Isaacson noted that Europe conducts a periodic review to determine which are high liquidity stocks. He noted that any pilot needs to be long enough because the market does not want stocks constantly moving in and out of increments. He suggested that if quoting increments are changed then trading increments should be considered as well. He expressed amazement at how much price improvement happens off-exchange. Cronin stated that much of the internalization that takes place for price improvement is not material. He stated that internalization is an issue, and questioned whether allowing internalization at the midpoint is good enough. He suggested that decimals, while important, should not be the only thing looked at by regulators. Jiganti stated that $15 million in price improvement to his clients is significant. Pilot Alternatives Daniel Gray (Senior Special Counsel) stated that there seem to be two separate approaches to a pilot either the “spread leeway approach” or “clumping.” He asked what the prime metric for the pilot should be to judge whether liquidity improved. Cronin stated that firms have good metrics for measuring costs and trading. He stated the smallest portion of costs is commissions. He stated that trading volatility is the number one determinant of trading costs, but also mentioned other costs such as information leakage, and front running of orders. O’Hara stated that this question comes back to what the goal of the pilot is. She stated that the metric for determining transaction costs and effective spreads exist. However, she stated that the most interesting aspect of the study might not be measured which is whether increasing tick size increases participation in the order book or whether current participants simply increase their order volume. Page 10 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 Panel III: Studying the Effects of Alternative Tick Sizes Colin Clark — Senior Vice President at NYSE Euronext Frank M. Hatheway — Chief Economist at NASDAQ OMX Group Inc. Paul Jiganti — Managing Director at TD Ameritrade Maureen McCarthy — Managing Director and Director of Sales and Trading at JMP Securities Maureen O’Hara — Robert W. Purcell Professor of Finance at Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University Adam V. Reed — Julian Price Scholar in Finance and Associate Professor of Finance at KenanFlagler Business School, University of North Carolina Stephen Sachs — Head of Capital Markets at ProShare Advisors LLC Kent Womack — Professor of Finance at Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto Craig Lewis, Chief Economist and Director of RiskFin Division, stated that the SEC is trying to solicit views on what the SEC could accomplish in a possible pilot. He noted that pilots incorporate economic analysis as well as alternatives. He identified a number of issues in the first panel to consider such as the role of capital formation and equity research and how market structure issues impact this. He stated that the second panel focused on market microstructure issues and how more liquid markets might support markets on equity research. He claimed that the SEC needs to understand the objective of this pilot study. He suggested that the scope of the project is an issue because of the need for control groups, as well as whether to have a voluntary program versus establishing groups. Hatheway suggested that Nasdaq will perform a lot of analysis on limit up/limit down rules. He added that pilots are a great way for the SEC to get information from the marketplace. Clark, in a statement, suggested that there are several ways to establish a pilot program. For an effective pilot, he stated that “market participants will need enough time and incentives to adapt to the new environment with the larger tick size.” He indicated that the time period should be longer than one year and include a sufficient number of stocks included (300-500) in the pilot “so that market makers will have an economic incentive to adapt their trading strategies and there is enough data collected to analyze the costs and benefits.” As to data for the pilot, he stated that: (1) “public information like the daily consolidated tape data (TAQ) would be useful” but that each exchange “could provide additional data to researchers, such as order-level data (including non-displayed orders) and trader identifiers”; and (2) “behaviors to be examined could include changes in displayed depth at the NBBO, cumulative depth, trade size, trader participation (increase in liquidity provision, time/size at NBBO), dollar volume traded, off-exchange activity, fragmentation, volatility and quotes/orders/cancels.” Overall, NYSE Euronext believes “a market-wide pilot program with larger tick increments in less liquid securities would be a worthwhile experiment” and it “would provide the Commission with data that can be utilized in a cost-benefit analysis to determine whether or not to make the pilot permanent.” Discussion SEC and Tick Size Information Lewis asked what information would better allow the SEC to understand tick sizes. He asked what other information the SEC should seek and whether there are gaps in academic research that the pilot could fill. O’Hara replied that there are huge gaps in the studies and they are now dated. She stated that there were many great studies done but these were completed prior to high frequency Page 11 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 trading. She stated that there are an interesting set of questions as to the liquidity provisions in the markets and that most of the research requires data that she cannot access unless markets are able to support them. Should there not be a pilot, she suggested that the SEC encourage organizations such as NYSE and Nasdaq to supply the necessary data for others to do an analysis. Reed expressed support for a pilot. Clark cited a research paper from France on tick sizes and stock trading that might serve as a resource. Identification of Market Failures Lewis asked participants to identify the market failures a pilot study should look at. Sachs identified displayed liquidity at the top of the list of failures to consider. Hatheway listed costs and availability of capital, liquidity involved with getting a trade through a market, lack of coordination and uniformity in trading, and insufficient revenue in bringing small companies to market. Criteria for Displayed Liquidity SEC staff inquired about displayed liquidity and whether there should be different criteria, to which Sachs replied that there should not be different criteria due to hurdles involved and possible psychological changes in the market. Clark suggested that higher tick sizes do not mean higher spreads. He suggested that spread and liquidity are at the core of this. Hatheway stated that transaction cost analysis is volume weighted. If a pilot makes it less attractive to do a transaction, he stated that stocks will leave the pilot. O’Hara stated that in any study, there are winners and losers. She suggested that if the tick sizes increase on exchanges, then any stock might be incentivized to trade off exchanges. This, she suggested, would then require a lot more data, including an increased look at the amount of liquidity on the book. Goals of Pilot Edwards asked about the goals of the pilot program, to which Jiganti stated that the first goal should be to “do no harm”. He added that it is hard to increase spreads without any additional harm. From a design perspective, Sachs stated that he would want to see a large sense of balance and ultimately see something realistic. Types of Pilot Gray asked about a pilot that widens the spread. He asked whether this would make the market better and about market metrics. McCarthy suggested having a pilot where there is a group that is in the pilot and one that is not so as to compare things before and after the pilot. She also suggested looking at dollar volume traded, volume traded, whether market makers are accepting their obligations, and indications of interest (IOIs). Hatheway stated that changes can be quite slow and that one or two years will not be long enough for a pilot. He suggested that there was a need to look at the holdings of shares of stock. Womack questioned what transaction costs would be imposed on investors over three to five years to find out that there is no benefit to the pilot. He suggested that this is an important question that this panel can opine on. Hatheway claimed that if this pilot is undertaken, the SEC or firms can just “pull the plug” and change their minds. O’Hara called for looking at time-weighted orders on the book. According to her, there are a variety of measures to look at, which include looking at coordination in markets such as whether stocks with higher tick sizes have higher trading volumes. Clark pointed to the issue of time involved when executing a large order in a smaller cap name. With increased liquidity, he suggested that this may ease these types of transactions. He stated that it was important to look at transaction costs of a market with more depth. Sachs claimed that it was important to look at the length of time of a Page 12 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 trade or its duration. Reed suggested the need to look at the information environment for which trades are operating, which he noted should be matched carefully to news and coverage. Parameters of Pilot Edwards asked how securities should be selected for this pilot, the length of the pilot, what the tick sizes would be in the pilot, and the type of data that would be needed. Clark stated that there was a need to have sufficient time and a sufficient amount of securities to motivate behavior. He suggested that the pilot last for at least a year and include 300 to 500 stocks. McCarthy agreed with Clark, adding that this set of stocks be paired with a non-group of 500 stocks (a control group). She suggested that some behavior may not change in a temporary pilot since it takes time to change behavior. She added that this is also an issue for liquidity providers and capital commitments. Womack called for the length of the pilot to be two to four years. O’Hara stated that it will take quite a while before anything happens. She noted that 500 stocks are a lot but that there will be a need to control for a lot of things such as market capitalization and a need to recognize that stocks trade at different price levels. Unless this pilot is for at least a year, she suggested that the costs would be too high. Lewis expressed concern about the possible complications of a market study on a tick test while there are other studies taking place in this space. Because of the finite amount of available securities and that these same securities could be involved in other pilots, he claimed there could be crosscontamination. Jiganti stated that two cent increments and five cent increments make sense for including in a pilot program to examine the impact of different price points. He noted that a year is not long enough for a pilot, adding that while liquidity providers will jump in early, it will take time for researchers to come in. He advocated for a pilot with a minimum of two years. Reed claimed that the opt-in issue raises more concerns. He suggested that there was a need for firms to come into the market as high and low issuers. Hatheway stated that there should not be just one tick level, but multiple tick levels. He also called for looking at larger cap stocks. Womack suggested that investors might take issue with the size of tick tests. Edwards asked whether the tick test pilot should occur similar to that of Reg SHO or whether exchanges should undertake this effort on their own as was done for Reg NMS. Hatheway stated that SRO plans are “becoming popular” and that a plan by the SROs may be good to do in this case. He added that exchanges have been working with each other on limit-up/limit-down and other issues where agreement can be difficult, so he expressed optimism that the SROs could come to agreement on a decimal pilot plan. Heather Seidel, Associate Director in Division of Trading and Markets, asked if there is any belief that any securities could come out of a pilot, and what the parameters and standards in place would need to be for this. After a statistical period of time, McCarthy stated that companies should be able to opt-out. Sachs stated that if one can move stocks out of a pilot program, there should be as few variables as possible. Jiganti stated that a major event should provide for an opt-out, but he also noted that there is a need for a defined end to the program and that this would be a time when securities could be out of the pilot. Reed stated that an opt-in and opt-out would be similar from a pure research point. He emphasized the need to be careful about this as research could be impacted by this. Pilot Costs Page 13 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 Hanley asked what would be the costs of the pilot. Hatheway claimed that since this was not a particularly costly innovation and that they were already undertaking this in Europe, the costs would not be high. He suggested that related costs would be borne by firms in the pilot. Jiganti suggested that his firm could make the necessary changes. He noted that every time there is change there are costs, he emphasized that there would be more educational costs than operating costs. Sachs suggested that there would be minimal costs, mostly attributable to transactions and reporting. Hanley then asked whether there might be other costs or unintended consequences, to which Hatheway noted that quoting algorithms were expensive to code and one loses liquidity providers if they opt out. Alternatives to Pilot In inquiring about the potentials for a non-pilot, SEC staff asked if it was better for companies to choose their own tick size and not pursue a pilot program. McCarthy claimed that this may be too nuanced a request. She suggested that it would be better to tell companies whether they are in or out. Hatheway claimed that there is not a lot of information for firms to make a decision, and that issuer choice might evolve into firms following other firms without regard to any other criteria. Clark suggested that issuer choice already exists and issuers can widen their stock price. He suggested that there was a need to better educate issuers on this. Nallengara asked what other alternatives or market incentives should be considered beyond a pilot. Clark stated that there are a lot of issues in the market, and that this is not a miracle cure for small cap liquidity challenges. He stated that there still needs to be a review of market structure issues. He noted that the NYSE was working on an ETF program where the issuer is providing payments to the market maker. Sachs commented that it depends upon what the SEC looks to do. He suggested that if the SEC was looking at liquidity, then there is a fairly long list of things to do. Womack cited Jay Ritter’s recent paper on the IPO market (“Re-energizing the IPO Market”) and advocated for reducing the overall cost of going public. Reed, also citing Ritter’s paper, emphasized the cost of research being paid by the issuing firms. Pilot Study Controls SEC Staff asked if there are things as to market structure that the SEC needs to look at such as linkages to off-exchange trading that needs to be controlled. Jiganti suggested that if this turns into a market structure change, then it is a different pilot. Sachs argued for the need to control for all those factors, but that still allows large orders to cross in a dark pool. Hatheway stated that if a wider displayed quote provides an idea where the quote is, this is a good outcome. However, he emphasized that a lot depends on the other attributes. McCarthy stated that trading should be allowed at a midpoint. She noted that “opening cross” would be critical and dark pools would then be able to compete. Clark suggested that if the study is to look at changes in tick sizes, there should be a control group focusing on those changes. He added that there should be a look at tick size change plus a subgroup of other variables. Evading SEC Pilot Programs Lewis asked if once the rules were put in place for a pilot, whether market makers and investors could reverse engineer around this. He asked where order flow will go and whether transactions will still be in the lit markets. Hatheway suggested that if SEC gets a goal, then it gets done. He claimed that people would reverse engineer and that there would be a change in dynamics as to offexchange trading. He noted that high frequency trading was generally not active in these securities so this would not be a concern. He suggested that the pilot needs to look at the attractiveness for Page 14 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249 public equity as this impacts capital formation. He added that seeing more displayed information available in the market would be beneficial too. Page 15 of 15 701 8th Street, N. W., Suite 500 ● Washington, DC 20001 ● TELEPHONE 202.659.8201 ● FACSIMILE 202.659.5249