Weighted Cost of Capital September 25, 2013 Sources of Funds You have a brilliant idea for a money-making project. Where do you get the start-up funds? Bonds These are promises to pay a specified amount – the `par value’ – at a specified date in the future. They may or may not bear interest. Often used to fund public-sector projects, or by large corporations. (why not by small corporations?) There is trading in partially matured bonds. Selling Stock Common Stock Preferred Stock No dividend Dividend Lowest Priority Higher Priority Vote No Vote Stock may be publically traded, e.g. on the TSE or VSE. Preferred Stock may be callable -- company can buy it back at a fixed price and convertible -- can be turned to common stock at a fixed ratio Why would anyone want common stock? -- to get a vote -- to get income as capital gains Cost of Capital Raised by Selling Equity: 1. If a share of stock costs $P, and pays an average annual dividend $D, the effective interest rate on this capital is k = D/P 2. This estimate errs on the low side, since people may choose to invest in a company that doesn’t pay dividends. A better estimate might be: k = D/P + growth rate The Wonders of Leverage The Wonders of Leverage Scenario 1: I sell $1 000 000’s worth of shares in my company and buy $100 000 worth of these shares myself. In one year’s time, the company is worth $2 000 000. How much do I have? Scenario 2: I borrow $900 000 at 10% interest and put up $100 000 of my own to start a company. In one year’s time, the company is worth $2 000 000. How much do I have? Compound Leverage Value of shares in the Goldman Sachs Trading Corporation: 1928 1932 $104/share $1.75/share Capital Structure Industry Debt Equity Other Oil 17.6 79.0 3.4 Steel 27.2 67.2 5.6 Utility 44.2 52.6 3.2 Chemicals 5.2 82.9 11.9 Manufacturing 2.7 93.0 4.3 Mortgages These are fixed-term loans, secured by a lien or title on some tangible property. Usually used by larger companies (though the principals of small start-up companies may raise money by mortgaging their personal property.) Small-Business Loans Some governments set aside funds to finance small start-up companies. (e.g.,Western Economic Development, SBIR’s,…) Weighted Cost of Capital If a company obtains funds Xi at an interest rate Ai, the weighted cost of capital for the company is Σi XiAi Σi Xi This sets a lower bound on the MARR. Capital rationing Limit of cash i Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 MARR $ Capital Inventory i Project 1 MARR Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 (Don’t fund) $ Capital Budgetting: Other Factors •Are the chosen projects the best fit to available capital? •How do the projects interact? •Are they equally risky? •Are there intangibles to consider? •Are some projects mandatory? (E.g. pollution controls) •Are there relevant political factors? Business Organization The Three Kinds of Organization Single Proprietorship Partnership Corporation Most businesses are small. But most business is done by big businesses. Most small businesses fail within their first five years. John Kenneth Galbraith claimed that North American business is characterised by oligopoly rather than competition. Time Warner, Disney, Murdoch, Bertlemann and Viacom (formerly CBS) Detecting Oligopoly: the `four-firm concentration’: UK supermarkets: UK brewers: US music: US breakfast cereals: US auto top three: US computers: 74.4% 85% 80% 80-90% 60% 65% Counterexample: Internet porn The Single Proprietorship Advantages: Simple Total Control Can use money as you like Disadvantages: Can lose all you own Limited capital Limited expertise The Single Proprietorship Advantages: Simple Total Control Can use money as you like Disadvantages: Can lose all you own Limited capital Limited expertise Cash Flow Problems You have an idea that can make $150 000 in the first year, for an investment of $80 000. But you have to get the $80 000 first. How? i)Buy on credit Can do this explicitly, or just pay bills late. Either way costs about 25% plus loss of good will. Many suppliers offer a 2% discount for prompt payment. Cash Flow Problems You have an idea that can make $150 000 in the first year, for an investment of $80 000. But you have to get the $80 000 first. How? i)Buy on credit ii)Talk to the bank Bank will ask, ``What’s the collateral?’’ Mortgageable property? Track record? If not, they charge a risk premium. Cash Flow Problems You have an idea that can make $150 000 in the first year, for an investment of $80 000. But you have to get the $80 000 first. How? i)Buy on credit ii)Talk to the bank iii)Government help Bureaucratic overhead, may not be worth it. Partnership Advantages Disadvantages More capital Liable for debts Easier Credit Limited Credit More Talent Arguments Retain Valuable Employees Frozen Investment Liability for Debts The general partners are jointly and severally liable for the debts of the partnership. The only way to get out of this is to be a limited partner. The partnership may include the names of the general partners in the firm’s name, but not the word `Limited’ A partnership must be registered according to the law in the province. Incorporating Advantages Disadvantages Limited liability Costs money More capital Corporate Tax Professional management Lack of privacy Loss of Control Registration In BC, you have to submit a Memorandum of Association to the Registrar of Joint Stock Companies. This specifies who is applying, the amount of share capital, and the responsibility for debt. (If the shareholders’ liability is limited, the word `Limited’ must be the last word in the company name. Some provinces have a slightly different system, the letters patent. The Corporation A corporation is a business which is legally distinct from its shareholders; that is, a corporation can owe money without its shareholders being responsible for the debt. Corporations are of two kinds, public and private. A private corporation has between 3 and 50 shareholders, and shares can be transferred only with the approval of the Board of Directors. The public must not be invited to buy shares. A public corporation can have as many shareholders as it likes and can sell shares to anyone. Tax Advantages and Disadvantages Once you are incorporated, that part of the firm’s income that comes to you gets taxed twice – once at the corporate rate, once as it goes from the corporation to your pocket. Nevertheless, you can use incorporation to reduce the tax you pay…. Tax Advantages and Disadvantages Company (Pre-tax) Company (After-tax) You 25% 25% Tax Advantages and Disadvantages Company (pays wages) 60% You Tax Advantages and Disadvantages Company You Selling Shares Once you’re a corporation, how do you actually go about selling stock? For a small company, you usually have an investment banking firm act as an intermediary. They will market your shares and take a cut – perhaps 25% -- to pay for their efforts. If you’re a big company, the investment banker may underwrite the stock, that is, guarantee to buy all you want to sell. How much stock can you reserve for yourself? Accounting A company needs to monitor its internal cash flows so it can diagnose its state of health. The two most important monitoring documents are the Income Statement and the Balance Sheet. These must be available to be checked by independent auditors, and made available to potential investors. Several diagnostic instruments can be applied to the accounting data. Current Assets Fixed Assets Current Liability Owed this year Long-Term Liability Owed in the more distant future Diagnostics Current ratio = Total Current Assets Total Current Liabilities Working capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities Diagnostics Acid-test ratio = Cash & Accounts Receivable Total Current Liabilities (After-Tax) MARR = After-Tax Profits Total Assets A Paradox? The Fundamental Equation of Accounting is: Equity = Assets – Debts so the value of one share should be Share Value = Equity/Number of Shares So how can the stock market crash? After a long period of unemployment, Jamal signs a contract to work in the distant nation of Placidia. The job requires him to be away from home for two years, and the majority of his pay is held back until he has completed the contract. If he leaves before this, he gets nothing. He receives an immediate signing bonus of Rs 70 000, but he has to spend Rs 30 000 of this on an air ticket to Placidia. The rest he gives to his family. Once in Placidia, he is provided with food and board, but after working for a year, there are unexpected difficulties in renewing his work permit. Eventually he has to pay Rs 150 000 in fees and bribes, for which he has to re-mortgage his house back home. At the end of his second year he is paid Rs 170 000. Air fares have gone up in the meantime, so he spends another Rs 35 000 on an air ticket and flies home. Regarding the entire trip as a business investment, what was Jamal’s IRR? If there are multiple solutions, you should also calculate his approximate and his exact ERR. You should assume that he can invest his funds at 12.5%. Finding the IRR 8.0000 6.0000 PW (r) 4.0000 2.0000 Series1 0.0000 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 - 2.0000 - 4.0000 - 6.0000 Nominal Interest Rate 2.00 2.50 Yan invests $10 000 000 to build a casino in Macao. In the first year he makes a profit of $20 000 000. But in the second year, a syndicate of card-counters infiltrate his casino, and he loses $15 000 000. In the third year he is able to eliminate the card-counters, and makes a profit of $50 000 000. Assume that his income and his losses occur continuously throughout each year, and that they are all continuously compounded. What is his IRR? Any money he does not invest in the casino, he can put in his cousin’s banking business, where he can earn 15%. What is his approximate ERR? The heating system in Jacob’s building has worn out and he has to get a new one. All the alternatives are gas-fired furnaces, but they vary in efficiency. Model A is leased at $500/year. It has installation charges of $500, and saves $200 a year compared with his previous system. Model B is purchased for $3600, including installation. After 10 years it will have a salvage value of $1000. It saves $500 a year compared with the old system. Model C is purchased at a total cost of $8000, half paid now, half paid in two years time. It has a salvage value of $1000 after ten years, and saves $1000/year compared with the current system. Assuming an MARR of 12% and using the IRR method, which furnace should Jacob get?