Kathleen Beegle Development Economics Research Group, The World Bank Maputo, August 14, 2009 1 LSMS-ISA Objective Improve the availability, quality and relevance of agricultural data for policy and research in Sub-Saharan Africa 2 Motivation: Present Data Issues Accuracy Relevance Triangulation Measurement and methods Coverage, frames Periodicity and comparability Lack of analytic capacity: lowers demand, affects resources, lowers quality… Timeliness Lag between data collection and availability Lag between new questions and answers 3 Motivation, cont. Thematic Isolation Failure to address high levels of diversification of farm households Linkages to non-farm activities Poverty, vulnerability, coping strategies Institutional Isolation Falling between the cracks: MinAgr links with NSO Limits synergies with other data (geographic, social, economic, infrastructure) Limits synergies w/ other data collection exercises Lack of National Statistics System- fully integrated Below optimal coordination among donors 4 Motivation, cont. Within the World Bank: WB focus on Sub-Saharan Africa; WDR-08 Core mandate of the Development Economics Research Group (DECRG) Living Standards Measurement Study (LSMS) program: experience in implementing multi-topic surveys in collaboration with national statistics offices. 5 Main Components of LSMS-ISA 1. Household survey data production 2. Methodological validation/research 3. Capacity building 4. Dissemination 6 (1) Panel Household Surveys Panel Every 3 years…or more frequently (e.g. Uganda, Tanzania) Project in 6 Sub-Saharan African countries (plus ‘pilot’ in Tanzania) Sample 3-5,000 households:2 or more rounds, track households and individuals as feasible Population-based frame: national and sub-national, urban/rural Integrated approach Multi-topic questionnaire: Agr+poverty+soc+anthro… Build on existing/planned surveys (NSDS) Link to other data sources Inter-institutional Collaboration 7 (2) Methodological Validation, Research LSMS-IV: continue research on improving methods Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) Planned validation/experimentation Improve measures of crop yields Plot size Quantities (Measurement tools such as Diaries/crop cards, Crop cutting) Income sources (Ag., non-farm self-employment) Satellite imaging: Ground-truthing of satellite imaging 8 (3) Capacity Building Learning by doing: multiple surveys, medium term (5-6 yrs.) program ( example of MECOVI program) linking data producers and data users Resident Advisor + Technical assistance Guidelines/sourcebooks, better modules Anthropometrics sourcebook Livestock module development Fisheries module development Income measurement sourcebook Climate change & adaptation sourcebook Weighting issues in panel surveys Panel Survey implementation sourcebook Regional training workshops Within project and linking to other regional initiatives 9 (4) Dissemination Open access data policy Complete documentation Website, newsletter, … Connecting with other data/analysis initiatives: ADePT-Ag (www.worldbank.org/adept), CLSP Regional workshops 10 Governance Structure, Partners Managed by LSMS team Steering Committee (WB, IFAD, FAO, …) Technical Advisory Board (overall) Technical Working Groups (within countries) Government counterparts (NSO, MoA, …) WB Operations (impact evaluation) Research/academic institutions (special studies) WB Research group Other (Yale U., Duke U., IFPRI, Cornell…) Donors/co-financing WFP, IFAD, UNFPA, UNICEF, Dutch, Danish, Norway… Collaborations (WFP, FAO, IFAD, WFC…) 11 Possible Extensions Work in more countries in SSA Full-fledged LSMS-ISA High-risk/post-conflict countries pilot studies Expand scope Project evaluation, e.g. Nigeria CADP Specific crops/production systems/livestock Other special studies 12 Progress to date Project launch: December 9, 2008 Technical Advisory Board meeting: Feb 6, 2009 Steering Committee, April 7, 2009 ‘Pilot’: support to the Tanzania National Panel Survey (in 10th month of data collection) Uganda National Panel Survey: training for field work beginning now Niger, Ethiopia, Malawi and Nigeria: Various stages of development with respect to Concept Note, questionnaires, samples… 13 The Strategic Vision for the Integrated Survey Framework • Integrated Agriculture Survey Framework: • focus on integration as coordination of efforts to collect/produce statistics …by connecting as many samples as possible… in agriculture. • “The integration of achieved by connecting as many of the samples as possible” • Discussion points focus on a broader view of integration 14 Another view of integration • Coordination within the system of surveys/statistics in the national statistical system. • Timing with respect to major survey efforts (Household Budget Surveys, Labour Force Surveys, Demographic Health Surveys, price data) • Feasibility of annual national estimates of ag stats from surveys given financial and human resource limitations. • Example: HBS, DHS, LFS rarely done annually. • Sub-national estimates greater challenge • Implication: reliance on non-survey data? 15 A 3rd view of integration • Consistency in questionnaires across surveys: • Not just with respect to agricultural surveys • Especially important if agricultural surveys cannot be done annually • Examples: definition of agricultural household, income questions (levels or sources), labor questions 16 Achieving integration though connecting samples… • Not clear how many of the in the framework samples would be connected. Examples: • Administrative data connected to annual household surveys • at the district level? PSU? HH? • Agri businesses data and annual HH surveys? • Windshield surveys and annual HH surveys? • Integration is more that connecting as many samples as possible. 17 Other aspects of sample integration • The Strategy focuses on agricultural households. • Other national surveys will have large coverage of this population • Potential to conduct, for example, HBS and Ag Survey in same household • Have to coordinate field work, avoid respondent burden • What about coverage of non-agricultural households for understanding agriculture? • Labor market options, relative position with respect to economic activities 18 Contacts Email: lsms@worldbank.org kbeegle@worldbank.org Web: www.worldbank.org/lsms 19 THANK YOU 20 Advantages of an LSMS Survey Provide policy-relevant data Consumption-based welfare measure Multi-Topic questionnaire Multiple instruments Customization to country needs Quality control Explicit link between data users and producers Open data access 21 LSMS: Multi-topic Household Survey HH roster Education Health •Land (size, tenure) Migration •Production and sales Food expenditures •Inputs Home production •Tech. & Investment Non-food expenditures •Extension Services •Market Access Agriculture and livestock •Access to information Labor Non-farm household business/enterprise Non-labor income Credit Social capital Shocks and vulnerability Anthropometrics 22