Business Case and Intervention Summary Title: Support to the International Budget Partnership (IBP) 2013 to 2017 to increase budget transparency, participation and accountability. What support will the UK provide? How much funding does the UK expect to provide? £4.8m ($7.51m) over 5 years (2013/14 to 2017/18). This would result in DFID funding 15 per cent of the International Budget Partnership’s (IBP) 5 year programme which has a funding requirement of £32.1m ($50m). Remaining funding needs will be met by private foundations. What is the funding for: The funding is for DFID to contribute to the IBP’s 5 year programme to improve global budget transparency, participation and accountability. The expected outcomes of the IBP’s work are: 1) More transparent budget processes: timely, accessible, useful budget information is available to citizens and Civil Society Organisations (CSOs). 2) CSOs analyse and participate in government budget processes, and work with formal oversight institutions to hold government to account. 3) International policy community actively promotes budget transparency, participation, and accountability. IBP anticipates spending annually £2.9m ($4.5m) on research, £2.6m ($4.0m) on in country work and £1.0m ($1.5m) on international advocacy. How will the intervention be delivered: The intervention will be delivered through the IBP. The current funding commitments, from private foundations, amount to $42.5m (£27.3m) and thus with the amount from DFID, IBP would have the minimum amount needed to carry out the programme. 1 Using the an exchange rate of 1 USD = 0.642339 GBP on 9th May 2013. 1 Why is UK support required? There is a need to increase budget transparency, accountability and participation in order to achieve the key development goals DFID is committed to. Increased transparency is now appreciated to be an essential component of development conditions that enable open economies and open societies to thrive. The UK’s G8 Presidency and its commitment to open government, reflects this view and pushes for greater transparency around the world. Currently many governments of the countries that DFID is working with do not have transparent budgets or allow citizen participation, thus preventing effective oversight, reducing the quality of public financial management systems and providing greater possibilities for resources to be mismanaged or misused. As noted in the Open Budget Survey (OBS) 2012 Report, ‘only a minority of governments publish significant budget information. Fewer still provide appropriate mechanisms for public participation, and independent oversight institutions frequently lack appropriate resources and leverage’. This undermines the likelihood that developing country public expenditure will be used to best effect for development and also poses a risk for DFID funds if government systems are used to disperse money. There is a need for more information on the causes and/or drivers of fiscal transparency, and the role of civil society and other oversight actors in the budget process to improve budget transparency, accountability and participation. There is a need for an international comparative assessment of budget transparency, to incentivise compliance with international standards. There is a need to support CSO budget activities which some case studies2 have shown to able to improve fiscal accountability and 2 For example: in Argentina the a CSO campaign for children’s right to early education which involved budget analysis and media dissemination lead to a legally binding agreement to address the shortage of pre-schools and kindergartens (Basch, 2011). In Ghana a CSO monitored the budget of the Ghana school feeding programme, and increased the local monitoring capabilities. They used this information to promote improvements in the programme with district assembles and officials from collaborating ministries and departments and this resulted in improved services (Dogbe and Kwabena-Adade, 2010) In Mexico a campaign used data on the recipients of agricultural subsidies and published the information online to focus the debate on how equitably subsidies were being distributed which led to the Ministry of Agriculture reforming the system of subsidies to ensure they were flowing to only those who needed them (Cedujo, 2012). 2 participation3 and lead to more efficient/ effective/ equitable budgets. There is also a need to strengthen the international policy community’s activities on budget transparency, accountability and participation even though to date there is little systematic evidence which traces the impact of the (relatively new) international policy community’s activities on outcomes. DFID could carry out some of these activities itself at headquarters and through the country offices, it could commission another organisation or it could fund IBP to implement their programme of activities to address these needs. As seen in the appraisal section, funding IBP with15 per cent of the required programme costs at $7.5m (£4.8m) is more cost effective than either DFID carrying out these activities itself or trying to support the development of the skills required in another organisation. In choosing IBP, DFID will have some influence over which countries the IBP focus extra resources on, which will enable DFID to ensure that some priority countries benefit from the IBP programme. UK support to the IBP will contribute to improving transparency, participation and accountability standards internationally. About the IBP The International Budget Partnership (IBP) is an independent organisation based in Washington DC, which has previously been funded by DFID (£3.5m) Governance and Transparency Fund (GTF) and private foundations. The International Budget Partnership (IBP) was formed in 1997 within the Centre on Budget and Policy Priorities (an American non-profit think tank) to collaborate with civil society to undertake budget analysis and advocacy in order to improve governance and reduce poverty. In its first 15 years, the IBP has grown tremendously in scope and impact and currently: IBP’s Open Budget Survey is the only objective, comparative, and regular worldwide measure of budget transparency, participation, and accountability and covers 101 countries 100 CSOs across the world now benefit every year from the IBP's core training programmes. There are many examples of how IBP’s partner civil society groups have successfully influenced budget policies, shifted allocations to important priorities, and exposed corruption [see Annexes C and D] The IBP has influenced budget transparency work at an international level, for example, through helping to establish the Global Initiative for Fiscal Transparency (GIFT) and playing a 3 See strategic case and Annex B for more examples. However experts caution that it is premature to reach universal generalisations. 3 leadership role in the Open Government Partnership (OGP), which the UK currently co-chairs. IBP are experienced in the field of: civil society organisations (CSO), budget analysis and advocacy, building capacity of CSOs, working with the international community to promote the importance of budget transparency, and influencing government budget practices. IBP are at the forefront of the recent efforts to create international norms for transparent and accountable governance. Through DFID’s funding of IBP in previous years and seeing the results achieved, DFID can have confidence in their work. What are the expected results? If DFID funds IBP, the following outputs are expected: 1) Information on budget transparency: a. Open Budget Survey (OBS) 2015 and OBS 2017 b. New tools for other transparency measures that are complementary to OBS (OBS Budget Tracker and modified subnational OBS) c. Research on key policy questions that are relevant to both country work and international advocacy work (e.g. what makes civil society groups effective and what are the causes and/or drivers of fiscal transparency) d. Deeper understanding on how to strategically direct and support civil society engagements in budget oversight work based on reflection on experiences and outcomes of CSO engagements e. Strengthened capacities of at least 100 CSO research partner organisations to undertake research and evidence-based advocacy on government transparency 2) CSOs have the tools they need to analyse, question and participate in government budget processes In 5 focus countries4, the IBP will give CSOs tools to engage effectively with broader accountability networks: a. Detailed articulation of civil society budget transparency, accountability, and participation that CSOs and their networks agree on and rally around 4 Chosen countries not yet finalised. If DFID fund IBP they will be able to ensure at least some of these focus countries are DFID priority countries. 4 b. Skilled and sustainable CSOs and CSO networks engage strategically with their governments and formal oversight institutions to promote budget transparency, accountability and participation c. CSO partnerships within and across countries promote peer learning and exchange, and enable meaningful and measurable joint analysis and advocacy d. CSOs and formal accountability institutions are able to work together to hold governments to account for use of public resources. For all other CSOs interested in pursuing budget work and building capacity in general: e. Resource materials are electronically available. 3) International policy community working together effectively on budget transparency, accountability and participation: a. Greater alignment in the definition and understanding of budget transparency and citizen participation across international and multilateral organisations, and CSOs and CSO networks b. Formal international agreements forged at United Nations c. Strengthened capacities of CSO networks for effective engagements with the international policy community, particularly around the broadly agreed agendas for budget transparency, accountability and participation. Activities that will produce information on transparency: 1) OBS questionnaire will reflect shifts in standards and good practices for fiscal transparency recognized by the IMF, WB, and the INTOSAI: a. develop online survey management system for OBS b. update OBS Guide to the Questionnaire for the research partners c. update training materials on survey methodology for orientation/training of research partners. 2) Undertake OBS surveys, increasing coverage from 100 to 130 countries. 3) Disseminate survey results widely (globally and regionally, and with targeted institutions). 4) Develop Open Budget Survey Budget Tracker (OBS Budget Tracker) to monitor the real time public availability of key budget documents assessed in the OBS: a. pilot the OBS Budget Tracker in at least 30 countries (this will include 20 countries currently covered by the OBS; and 10 countries not yet monitored by the OBS) b. extend the coverage of countries covered by OBS Budget Tracker to match the number of countries covered by the OBS Survey. 5) Dialogue with governments covered by the OBS on transparency reforms based on OBS results: 5 a. invite governments from at least 40 countries to OBS results dissemination events b. respond to invitations from other governments who are interested and willing to engage the IBP and other CSOs on dialogue on transparency reforms c. initiate, wherever possible, any joint actions between governments and CSOs that will progress budget transparency reforms. 6) Develop and frame research agenda on strategic policy questions that consider information from all areas of work (to include themes such as incentives for shifting policies and practices of governments on budget transparency, participation, and accountability): a. develop specific research frameworks for specific policy research projects b. undertake research c. publish and promote research (including dialogue with government and other audiences). 7) Conduct research on key elements critical for advancing country strategies work for each of the 5 focus countries: a. undertake background research needed to refine budget transparency, accountability, and participation agenda of CSOs b. document the ways in which accountability networks work and deliver changes in each of the priority countries. Generate at least 1 research project in each focus country in year 1, at least 2 case studies of impact in each focus country from year 2 onwards. 8) Develop and frame a “documentation” agenda on strategic impacts of civil society engagements in budget policy and processes: a. research and document the methods and impact of civil society budget work and other oversight actors, and what makes them effective. 9) Build and strengthen capacities of at least 100 CSO research partners (progressively increasing to 130) for assessing budget transparency and oversight and identifying gaps in country systems: a. transfer diagnostic skills to CSO research partners and strengthen their ability to identify priority agendas to focus on b. coach participating 100 OBS research partners on effective dissemination c. support advocacy work of partners on survey-related tasks through advocacy and communications training and technical assistance. 10) Provide limited targeted funding support for campaigns specifically directed at improving government transparency in at least 5 countries covered by the Open Budget Survey, based on the recommendations of the survey results. 11) Develop and frame a learning agenda for the IBP on how to improve strategic direction and support to civil society engagements in budget work. 6 Activities to strengthen and build CSOs to engage effectively in government budget processes are divided into two categories: those that engage effectively in government processes and those that influence the international policy community. The activities that the IBP will undertake to strengthen CSOs to engage effectively in government budget processes, as part of their country’s broader accountability network for the CSO partner organisations in 5 focus countries, are: 1) Develop a country strategy for each priority country in close coordination with the civil society groups in the country, and in consultation with other accountability stakeholders (including formal oversight institutions such as Supreme Audit Institutions and Parliaments). Country strategies outline clear and context-specific goals, strategies and partnerships to engage with the accountability system for budget reforms: a. regularly review and update country strategies for sustained/increased impact. 2) Provide funding support to at least 3 CSO partner organisations in each of the 5 focus countries: a. provide at least 1 multi-year institutional support grant to at least 1 “anchor” partner 5in each priority country to work closely with the IBP b. provide between 2 and 5 shorter-term, smaller, more targeted grants to other “core partners” 6 in each focus country to implement work called for by the country strategy. 3) Extend CSO partners’ (anchor and core) capacity building support to CSO partner organisations in each of the 5 focus countries: a. provide at least 10 training and technical assistance interventions, adapted to both the country context and what is required by the country strategy, in each of the focus countries every year. b. extend mentor support and technical assistance to CSO partners (anchor and core), and their networks as may be required by the country strategy c. work with anchor and core partners in each priority country to evaluate organisational strengths and weaknesses to better tailor technical assistance covering organisational health, impact planning, research and advocacy, and learning issues. 5 “Anchor” partners are key partner organizations that, because of their experience in budget work and capacities to work with other budget stakeholders, will be expected to work very closely with the IBP in leading the implementation of the country strategy. For each of the focus countries, the IBP anticipates having at least 1, and where needed or appropriate, 2 “anchor” partners. “Core partners” are other partner organizations that the IBP will be providing support because they are either undertaking work that is central to the country strategy in a focus country, or are best placed to begin undertaking work that is called for by the country strategy. 6 7 4) Ensure that CSO partners (anchor and core) ensure that they have maximum opportunities to work with each other, as well as other CSOs, as part of networks and alliances promoting budget transparency. 5) Support linkages and collaboration between key stakeholders within the budget accountability network: a. include and convene other key stakeholders within budget accountability networks (e.g., other CSOs more broadly, media, oversight institutions, academia, decision-makers themselves) in priority countries as may be required by the country strategy b. ensure that CSO networks increasingly collaborate with formal oversight institutions and reformers within government. Support at least 5 meetings of CSO partners (anchor and core) and other oversight actors per year in each of the focus countries. This may also include CSO collaborations with government designed to increase budget transparency (e.g., development and production of citizens’ budgets) c. facilitate and create opportunities for working to strengthen capabilities of other accountability stakeholders with donors and other NGOs in priority countries. 6) Foster horizontal learning across civil society partners (anchor and core) within and across countries. 7) Draw from the OBS and the OBS Budget Tracker, as appropriate, the information for civil society campaigns in priority countries. In relation to other worldwide CSOs interested in budget work, more generally: 8) Make available on the IBP website resources relevant to or useful for budget work: case studies that document partners’ work; policy papers and other research papers produced collaboratively with partners; and guides and training modules and materials. 9) Encourage sign up to the IBP newsletter and other social media outlets. Activities which influence international policy community on budget transparency, accountability, and participation agenda: 1) Multi-stakeholder initiatives that promote budget transparency, accountability and participation agenda (GIFT, OGP, GMBTAP, and others): a. actively undertake committee work within multi-stakeholder initiatives (GIFT, OGP, GMBTAP, and others). 2) Ensure that budget transparency, accountability, and participation remains a policy focus for 8 international multi-stakeholder initiatives (GIFT, OGP, GMBTAP, and others): a. prepare position papers that synthesize civil society policy, positions, and experiences that relate to budget transparency, accountability, and participation b. convene and/or participate in strategic opportunities where policy debates and discussions take place in relation to these policy demands c. Undertake evidence-based advocacy in and with different forums where decision makers of international policy community are present (UN, GIFT, OGP, others). 3) Provide technical assistance and support to International NGOs to strengthen their understanding of and capacity to engage in policy debates relating to budget transparency, accountability, and participation. 4) Undertake communications outreach on international advocacy initiatives. 5) Selectively undertake lobbying on specific issues that present strategic opportunities for promoting the budget transparency, accountability, and participation agenda. 6) Provide technical assistance and support to GMBTAP movement campaigns and advocacy initiatives. The appraisal case and Annex A discusses the theory of change and how these activities lead to the outputs which lead to the outcomes. The strategic case sets out the evidence that these outputs will lead to the desired outcomes. The UK is proposing to contribute 15% of the total funding required so 15% of the results achieved will be attributable to the UK. Whether the results have been achieved will be assessed through the monitoring of the log frame, which IBP will report on annually to all partners. Strategic Case A. Context and need for a DFID intervention Case for efficient, effective and equitable budgets Budgets are a government’s most powerful tool to meet the needs and priorities of a country and its people. If we want to fight poverty and improve governance, then we have to focus on government decisions to raise and spend funds through the budget. Having efficient, effective and equitable 9 budgets should contribute to the achievement of development goals. However, evidence to support this is much harder to come by (Khagram et al, 2013). Most studies tend to look at immediate process-related impacts or intermediate changes, such as improved accountability and participation (Carlitz, 2010, p. 12; Bosworth, 2005). Other studies will link transparency with longer-term outcomes but often do not establish the middle step of improved accountability and participation7. Evidence that improved budget accountability and participation can lead to improved development goals Some authors highlight that there is a growing body of evidence that supports the relationship between public sector transparency and better economic and social outcomes, proving that the best way to manage funds effectively and equitably is through accountable and participatory budget processes (Carlitz, 2010; Bastido and Benita, 2007). Studies have found that more transparent governments are less corrupt (Bastido and Benita, 2007); have better credit rating and fiscal discipline (Hameed, 2005, 2011); lower borrowing costs (Glennerster and Shi, 2008); have better quality governance (Islam, 2003); more efficient and effective government agencies (Bellver and Kaufmann 2005); and better socio-economic and human development indicators (Bellver and Kaufmann, 2005; Fukuda-Parr et al, 2011)(studies taken from Carlitz, 2010). However note that these tend to investigate ‘budget transparency’ rather than participation or accountability, because budget transparency is often used as a proxy for harder-to-measure accountability and there is a lack of cross-country data-sets on budgetary participation. Other experts warn that there is no guarantee that budget transparency will result in more developmental policies, especially when activities are focused on formal budget documents and may not take account of the politics of the contract among elites that underlies any budget (Simson, 2013). A 2008 review of DFID’s Citizen Voice and Accountability (CV&A) initiatives, which include budget activities, finds the effect on development outcomes is neither direct nor obvious, and no evidence can be found, within the sample studied, of a direct contribution of CV&A interventions to poverty alleviation or the meeting of the MDGs (Rocha Menocal and Sharma, 2008, p. xi). Still, 7 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 10 Khagram et al (2013, p. 8) caution that successful cases may indicate isolated impact, concluding that ‘even with more robust fiscal transparency and participation systems in place, there is no guarantee that these will produce … downstream, substantive effect’. This is because of the complexity of fiscal information and the paucity of strong reasons for potential users to act on that information when the main benefits are public goods, and openness and inclusiveness does not necessarily translate into citizen influence on policy decisions. Budget transparency activities are one component of a wider set of demand-side social accountability activities. A sub-set of this broader literature examines the effects of participation, with relevant findings for understanding the link between improved budgetary participation and development outcomes. This literature explains that while the normative belief that citizen participation can contribute to improved governance and multiple development outcomes and has been mainstreamed in development policy and discourse, evidence of the impact has been hard to establish, with findings tending to be mixed8, even from studies based in the same country (Gaventa and Barrett, 2010). Further, little is known on how best to foster ‘a more engaged citizenry’ (Mansuri and Rao, 2013, p. 1). Gaventa and Barrett (2010) argue that variations depend on whose perspective is privileged, which methodologies are used, how the meaningfulness of changes is determined, and how the contextual and multi-directional nature of change is dealt with. 8 Key evidence includes: Gaventa and Barrett (2010) undertook a meta-case study analysis of nonrandomised sample of 100 research studies of four types of citizen engagement in 20 countries. They found that, of almost 830 outcomes in 100 cases studied, some 75 per cent were positive, in that they contributed to the construction of citizenship, strengthened practices of participation, the building of responsive and accountable states, or more inclusive and cohesive societies. J-PAL summarised randomised controlled trials on the impact of participation initiatives (Simson, expert comments). Evidence from randomised evaluations provides very mixed results about community participation. Successful cases tended to happen when the community had more direct control over service providers and when people getting involved in participation were given specific tasks and training. A common finding across all the studies was that community participation at the start of the evaluations was weak, even though in all cases mechanisms for community participation existed on paper.8 Mansuri and Rao (2013) review almost 500 studies on the impact of large-scale, policy-driven efforts to induce participation (and not organic participation – the endogenous efforts by civic activists to bring about change). They find that: ‘greater community involvement seems to modestly improve resource sustainability and infrastructure quality. But the evidence suggests that people who benefit tend to be the most literate, the least geographically isolated, and the most connected to wealthy and powerful people. Participation thus appears to affect the distribution of benefits in ways that suggest that capture is often not “benevolent” or altruistic’ (p. 6). They distil the findings into three key lessons: 1) Induced participatory interventions work best when they are supported by a responsive state; 2) Context, both local and national, is extremely important; and 3) Effective civic engagement does not develop within a predictable trajectory (p. 12). 11 Case for an improved level of government budget accountability and participation Governments have traditionally excluded the public from understanding and participating in the budget process. The IBP’s Open Budget Survey (OBS) illustrates the problem. The OBS found that ‘the state of budget transparency and accountability is generally dismal’9 and that at the current pace of improvement, significant levels of budget transparency around the world will not be reached until 2030. The results indicate that most countries currently provide few opportunities for public engagement. Among the 100 countries surveyed in 2012, the average score on the indicators of public participation in the budget process is just 19 out of 100 and eight countries provided no opportunities for public engagement. If there is no accountability or participation then, the executive can choose unpopular or inappropriate programmes, waste money, and allow or engage in corruption. Conversely, as emerging research shows (see Annex B shows), when ordinary people have information, skills, and opportunities to participate in government budget processes and hold them accountable, they can promote real improvements in budget policies, processes and rules and regulations. Improved government budget participation and accountability should lead to more efficient, effective, equitable budgets: 1. Resources are collected and allocated in line with national strategies and priorities (efficient budgets) 2. Service delivery is improved and revenue is collected (effective budgets) 3. Budget policies more effectively address the needs of the poor and the marginalised (equitable budgets) As set out in the log frame, the main assumptions behind this theory are that budgets will become more efficient, effective and equitable if: 1. Budget processes are more transparent and participatory 2. CSOs are effective at promoting budget transparency and participatory budgets, and 3. The international policy community actively promotes budget transparency, accountability and IBP (2013), ‘Open Budgets. Transform Lives.’ http://internationalbudget.org/wp-content/uploads/OBI2012-ReportEnglish.pdf 9 12 participation Evidence10 that improved budget accountability and participation will lead to more efficient budgets There are mixed results, however a growing number of case studies find a link between improved budget accountability and participation and efficient budgets: A 2005 DFID review of 87 public expenditure accountability initiatives in 27 countries finds it difficult to ascertain clear impacts on public expenditure, with only a small number of instances where changes have occurred in the incidence of corruption and in financial management as a result of DFID interventions (Bosworth, 2005, p. ii, reported in Carlitz, 2010). In Indonesia, Olken’s (2007) random control trial examines the effects of participatory approaches such as accountability meetings and anonymous feedback forms and, on the other hand, greater probability of governmental audits. He finds that the participatory approaches had little impact, due to free rider and elite capture problems, while the increase in government audits led to an 8% decline in missing expenditures. (McGee and Gaventa, 2010) However a range of other studies have found, under certain conditions, positive effects of citizen monitoring and advocacy on corruption issues (McGee and Gaventa, 2010; Robinson, 2008). Examples include the MKSS11 campaign and later social audit approaches in India, and work by the Omar Asghar Khan Development Foundation in Pakistan to document mismanagement of earthquake construction funds (McGee and Gaventa, 2010, p. 23). Robinson (2008, p. 173) cites firm evidence from civil society activity for the benefit of tribal communities in Gujarat and poor rural communities in Uganda. One case study is in India where the National Campaign for Dalit Human Rights used budget tracking and analysis to expose how the government had diverted funds for programs for poor and marginalised Dalit communities to finance the 2010 Commonwealth Games, resulting in the government 10 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 11 Mazdoor Kisan Shakti Sangathan, translated as translated as Movement for the Empowerment of Peasants and Workers. 13 returning some of the funds (Ramachandran and Goel, 2011;). DFID promotes the practice of public audits – a form of community monitoring of aid where beneficiary communities review the design, delivery and financial management of aid-financed projects. ICAI (2011, p. 10) report that in Nepal a community user group confirmed that, through their monitoring, they had successfully avoided any instance of fraud or corruption over a period of many years. The Government of Nepal is now introducing public audit requirements for a range of public services in rural communities. Evidence12 that improved budget accountability and participation will lead to more effective budgets There is some evidence linking improved budget accountability and participation with improved service delivery: McGee and Gaventa (2010) find that transparency and accountability initiatives driven by civil society have, under some conditions, resulted in better use of the budget and more effective delivery of services. The International Budget Partnership reports that there is evidence that transparency can improve the effectiveness of budget. For example: - In Mexico, CSO monitoring of government farm subsidies revealed that a small group of wealthy farmers had captured the vast majority of subsidy funds over time. The government responded to the publicity generated by implementing important reforms, including capping individual payments and increasing the amount provided to the smallest farmers (Cedujo, 2012; see Annex B for more details). - In Ghana, a financial audit and CSO publication of a series of reports on weak governance of the school feeding program resulted in the government instituting major reforms. It turned school feeding into a very successful programme that is providing unprecedented opportunities for children in formerly neglected regions of the country to access schooling (IBP, expert comments; Dogbe and Kwabena-Adade, 2012; see Annex B for more details). 12 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 14 There is an emerging body of evidence on the impact of Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys (PETS). A well-known case is the Uganda PETS conducted in the 1990s which showed that only 20% of the primary education grant programme reached their intended target (Chêne, 2012). The government’s resulting action has been widely held up as proof that PETS can reduce leakages in public expenditure and improved service delivery. However, others suggest that different factors (such as concurrent reforms) played a greater role than the PETS in accounting for the reduction in leakages (McGee and Gaventa, 2010, p. 21). Other studies have also shown some positive effects of PETS in both Malawi and Tanzania, sometimes due to civil society advocates taking up their findings (McGee and Gavaenta, 2010). Others emphasise that the impact of PETS in these other cases has been more limited than in Uganda. Joshi’s (2010) assessment of the impact of transparency and accountability initiatives on service delivery covers budget-related work and other types of initiatives. Most available evidence of impact is based on collective rather than individual action. Several studies highlight that citizen-led initiatives have an impact when there is willingness from the public sector to support attempts to improve accountability. Accountability or transparency mechanisms that have the potential to trigger strong sanctions are more likely to be used and be effective in improving responsiveness by providers. Information is a necessary but not sufficient condition for desired outcomes to be realised. Without corresponding support for increasing the capacity to respond, accountability and transparency initiatives can lead to inaction and frustration on the part of providers. Turning to look at effects on revenue collection, Carlitz (2010) notes that less attention has been paid to the revenue side of the budget. Nevertheless, in a comprehensive study charting the relationship between taxation and state-building, Pritchard (2010) finds ‘compelling’ evidence that measures to increase dialogue, transparency, equity and bargaining are essential to building a culture of tax compliance, and thus to maximising revenue and minimising political conflict. He notes that the potential benefits of greater transparency in publicising tax information appear substantial, particularly when linked to efforts at broader community mobilisation (p. 30). 15 Evidence13 that improved budget accountability and participation will lead to more equitable budgets Evidence suggests that improved budget accountability and participation can lead to more equitable budgets but it is not automatic. The key evidence includes: From his review of six country case studies, Robinson (2008) finds that civil society activities are most likely to improve resources for existing programmes and in budget efficiency, but are less likely to result in major changes in policy priorities and legal frameworks as these emanate from political decisions (p. 171-172). Examples of increased allocations for social welfare expenditure priorities due to increased budget analysis and advocacy include increased allocations for reproductive health in Mexico, child support grants in South Africa and tribal development expenditures in Gujarat. Caveats include that in Mexico and South Africa the additional resources generated were relatively small in relation to the government’s overall budget, and it was not possible to test whether there were major changes in budget policies through this reallocation of spending. A key finding is that advocacy efforts to revise allocations or introduce new budget lines have limited room for manoeuvre outside electoral or budget cycles (p. 175). A 2003 study by Devas and Grant investigating decision-making about the use of resources in a sample of municipal governments in Kenya and Uganda finds no guarantee that decentralised decision-making will be inclusive of the poor. Factors like committed local leadership, central monitoring of performance, articulate civil society organisations and the availability of information are critical. Khagram et al (2013, p. 8) note that various researchers (citing five studies spanning from 1998 to 2011) ‘have documented how participatory budgeting processes contribute to extending service provision and redirecting public resources toward poor neighbourhoods and spurring the creation of new civic associations’. There are examples where evidence-based budget advocacy has resulted in more attention and funding for poor and marginalised people; the International Budget Partnership provides 13 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 16 evidence of where transparency fosters equity by matching national resources with national priorities (see Annex B). - For example, in South Africa, the national government resisted funding HIV/AIDS treatment programs arguing they were unaffordable. In response, the Treatment Action Campaign took the government to court and presented evidence showing that there was money in the health budget to fund the programs. TAC won its case, and the government increased spending on HIV/AIDS treatments by US$6 billion, providing lifesaving ARVs to 1.6 million people who were not receiving medicines before. (see Annex B for more details) - In Argentina, the Civil Association for Equality and Justice (ACIJ) pressured the formerly reluctant government of the city of Buenos Aires to acknowledge an unsatisfied claim related to school vacancies for early childhood education and commit to making significant policy changes. ACIJ succeeded in its campaign by implementing a complex litigation strategy that involved “freedom of information” requests, budget analysis, and media dissemination. ( Basch, 2011; see Annex B for more details) Schneider and Goldfrank (2002) find that successful scaling up of participatory budgeting initiatives from the municipal to the state level in Brazil may have improved the efficiency of public spending and contributed to effective planning, enhanced participation and redistribution (Carlitz, 2010). Norton and Elson (2002) find that successful work to take forward social goals in budget processes often involves networks of actors (CSOs, legislatures, government officials, political parties), donor support (through support to civil society groups, sometimes through support to building capacity in government, and sometimes through the provision of extra funding). Successful initiatives (such as the participatory budgeting movement in Brazil, or the gender budget initiative in South Africa) have often been facets of a broader popular political movement or project. Case and evidence that budget transparency (outcome 1) will lead to increased budget participation and accountability Effective oversight institutions and public participation needs to improve if there is to be better accountability and better budgeting results in a country. Without access to information, CSOs, 17 legislators, auditors, the media, and the broader public cannot hold the executive accountable for how it uses public resources. Budget transparency is necessary but not sufficient for improved accountability. Although budget transparency leads to greater accountability and participation under certain conditions, four main factors outside budget transparency stand out as also contributing to improvements in accountability and participation: processes of political transition towards more democratic forms of political contestation and alternation: fiscal and economic crises that force governments to put in place enhanced mechanisms for fiscal discipline and independent scrutiny; widely publicised cases of corruption that give reformers political space to introduce reforms that improve public access to fiscal information; and external influences. Key evidence on the link between budget transparency and accountability, participation are summarised below14: Khagram et al (2013) conclude that the use and impact of available fiscal information is mostly limited to some of the better-performing countries (e.g. Brazil, South Korea). In most of the other cases studied, transparency did not lead to broad demands for increased participation or to more robust engagement and oversight. Moreover potential users of information such as journalists, CSOs, ordinary citizens and even politicians often failed to take advantage of budget data put in the public domain. While many countries have improved the transparency of their budgets, in only a relatively small proportion of those have organisations and individuals used the information to participate in budget decision-making process, and in even fewer countries has this resulted in increased public accountability. In a comprehensive literature review of the evidence on budget transparency and accountability initiatives, Carlitz (2010) cautions that outcomes are by no means guaranteed and even well-regarded cases show some contradictory results. Nevertheless, she highlights evidence that a number of budget initiatives have improved accountability and participation, including: - Numerous studies on participatory budgeting that opens up budgets in Porto Alegre (synthesised by Goldfrank, 2006). It is noteworthy that there is a wealth of material on 14 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 18 this formative experience that inspired many spin-offs, in Latin America in particular but also globally. - The success of Uganda Public Expenditure Tracking Survey on galvanising the government to reduce leakages. - The impact of more targeted citizen-led expenditure monitoring initiatives and social audits leading to recovery of funds and/or disciplinary action against officials found to be diverting funds, and improved participation and link to legislative reform – such as the enactment of Freedom of Information Acts in India and a Procurement Law in the Philippines. - The success of a Ugandan local government in introducing bottom-up participatory revenue mobilisation, leading to less harassment of community members because tax collectors have more accurate data and citizens who perceive over-assessments have greater opportunities for redress. Shah (2007) reports mixed findings from experiences with participatory budgeting around the world: - In Latin America, national legal mandates for participatory budgeting have not created widespread local success in improving transparency, participation and accountability, in part due to local obstacles (such a weak or reluctant local government and CSOs). Nevertheless participatory budgeting has succeeded in some remarkably diverse locales where there is support from external donors, weak political opposition, revenues for public works or programmes, and a tradition of civic participation. - In Central and Eastern Europe, participatory budget activities are new and fairly weak but show some potential for increasing participation. The activities are hampered by issues with local government autonomy, local resource availability, citizen organisation and interest, and undeveloped political party systems. - In Asia, case studies offer evidence that civic participation mechanisms can improve budgetary and development outcomes while improving the quality of the citizen/state relationship, particularly in terms of local responsiveness to citizens, improved accountability of public officials and elected representatives, and more trust in government. - In Central and Southern Africa, case studies show that participation often remains 19 limited, but most stakeholders believe civic participation has increased local projects that have a direct impact on communities and improved relations between citizens and local authorities. In a strategic review of budget transparency and monitoring activities, Fölscher (2010, p. 5) reports that several case studies of impact have documented the positive changes in budget institutions, policies, allocations and the quality of expenditure. She notes that there is stronger evidence of widespread change in middle-income countries, but there are also important examples of meaningful impact in low-income and challenging environments, such as Chad, India, Malawi and Pakistan. Case and evidence that civil society budget work (outcome 2) will lead to increased budget participation and accountability The case for civil society budget work is growing; case studies show how CSO budget activities have been able to improve fiscal accountability and participation (see Annex B), but it is premature to reach universal generalisations. Success factors include the capabilities of citizens and CSOs and whether initiatives are linked to broader forms of collective action and mobilisation. CSO work can be impeded by structural factors (whether there are formal and informal opportunities to engage in the budget process) and cultural factors (e.g. low levels of education and male dominance). Key evidence on the link between civil society work and accountability, participation are summarised below15: Robinson (2008) finds that in six country cases, civil society budget groups ‘had ‘a major effect’ (p. 178) in interpreting and disseminating budget information to enable broader society and other actors to engage with the budget process in more meaningful ways (Khagram et al, 2013, p. 43). He finds improved accountability, including through support to enhanced legislature oversight (in India, Mexico, Gujarat, South Africa and Uganda). From the same six case studies, De Renzio and Krafchik (2007, p. 6-7) concluded that the groups worked closely with legislatures and the media, improving their capacity to engage in the budget process. Challenges included reaching remote or rural citizens and expanding their influence over a greater proportion of the government budget. 15 Taken from GSDRC Research Helpdesk report prepared for DFID 2013, Carter, B. (2013). Evidence on budget accountability and participation. (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report 973). Birmingham, UK: GSDRC, University of Birmingham 20 Shah (2007) presents seven country case studies on civil society’s role in participatory budgeting. There are mixed findings on the effects of these activities, with some successes (e.g. civic forums have increased trust in local government in Thailand) and some challenges (e.g. in Russia activities were hampered by the lack of a clear division of responsibilities between regional and local governments). Authors (IDEA et al, 2011) from civil society organisations in Indonesia present case studies on their budget work to fight against corruption and improve the allocation of government resources. The cases include successful examples of CSOs’ budget transparency activities leading to improved budget accountability and participation. One of the case studies looks at advocacy around local school budgets which led to improved engagement between civil society and government, and ultimately an increase in the allocation for school budgets. McGee and Gaventa (2010) find that transparency and accountability initiatives (including budget focused ones) driven by civil society have, under some conditions, resulted in increased state or institutional responsiveness, the building of new participatory spaces for citizen engagement and the empowerment of local voices. In the last few years the IBP has started to document a series of cases of civil society campaigns, across diverse contexts, using a ‘more rigorous methodology’ (Khagram et al, 2013, p. 43). A summary of 18 IBP impact case studies is provided in Annex B. Khagram et al (2013) conclude that while this is an important evidence base, it requires further systematisation. Some overall points on this diverse set of case studies are: - Some of the case studies are about general budget transparency and accountability (for example, Schouten and Samolia Monamoto (2013) looking at the impact of the open Budget Initiative in the Democratic Republic of Congo). Others are about single issue campaigns that have used budget analysis of a critical part of their advocacy strategy (for example, Cedujo (2012) investigates the impact of a campaign on agricultural subsidies in Mexico). The CSOs use a broad range of tactics, covering broad communications campaigns, government engagement and pressure, coalitionbuilding, litigation. - Most if not all the cases report some impact on intermediate success indicators such as improved accountability and participation. Indeed all appear to have achieved at least some success; it is not stated if this is a criteria for inclusion in the 21 case study series. - Common success drivers are: taking advantage of political circumstances (‘windows of opportunity’), support from external donors and building on preexisting broad networks. - Many of the studies discuss the difficulty in attributing impact to one individual actor in contexts where multiple stakeholders and factors influence budget transparency and participation. ONE (2013) presents synopses of various case studies that link open budgeting initiatives by civil society to better development results. These case studies include some by the International Budget Partnership (mentioned above) and some by other stakeholders (e.g. Oxfam UK’s (2012) case study of Kenyan community action strengthening local government budgeting in Turkana and the World Bank Institute’s (2007) case study on a budget transparency movement challenging local budget misappropriation in Indonesia). The Revenue Watch Institute (2013) provides snapshot anecdotal case studies of impact from Peru, Ghana and Indonesia on how civil society interventions and collaboration with other stakeholders led to increased resource revenues and benefits from extractives that positively affected spending decisions and outcomes. The evidence that international policy community activities(outcome 3) will lead to increased budget participation and accountability To date there is little systematic evidence tracing the impact of the (relatively new) international policy community’s activities on outcomes. Case studies are starting to record the impact of the International Budget Partnership and the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative on improved transparency, accountability and participation. There is evidence that the international policy community has invested in developing an increasingly cohesive and focused approach on budget transparency, accountability and participation (through initiatives such as the International Budget Partnership and its Open Budget Index; the global civil society Budget Transparency, Accountability and Participation movement and the Global Initiative for Fiscal Transparency (GIFT); and related broader initiatives – the Open Government Partnership, and the Freedom of Information and Open Data movements. There are also the related initiatives in the natural resources sector (Extractive Industries Transparency 22 Initiative and Publish What You Pay campaigns) and aid transparency (Publish What You Fund and the International Aid Transparency Initiative). However, Fölscher cautions that because the budget movement grew from the ‘bottom up’, driven by country-based CSOs, budget transparency has still not captured global attention in the way that other related movements have, and it has yet to galvanise a coherent international movement (though bottom-up dynamics mean there are strong institutions in a wide range of countries on which to build international cooperation). Most of the limited evidence focuses on whether the initiatives have led to improved transparency, rather than improved accountability and participation. Some experts find that external pressure and promotion of best practice from donors has, in some cases, led recipient governments to improve budget transparency, often to signal good governance practices (IBP, 2012; Khagram et al, 2013, p. 34). There has been limited work to date on whether and how broader open data initiatives have facilitated budget monitoring and advocacy (Carlitz, 2010). However the IBP has documented how groups in Argentina, India, Mexico and have used Freedom of Information laws to conduct budget monitoring (Carlitz, 2010 citing Ramkumar, 2008). The IBP has documented various case studies where it has worked with civil society partners, donor agencies and directly with key reformers within government to support changes. Examples of positive impact include in Afghanistan (with an increase in its Open Budget Index score from eight in 2008 to 21 in 2010) (Bizhan, 2013), Honduras (starting to publish key budget reports) (Noe Pino, 2013), and the DRC (publishing its Executive’s Budget Proposal and a budget timetable for the first time) (Schouten and Samolia Monamoto, 2013) (IBP, expert comments). There are a number of resources documenting the impact of the EITI: - ONE (2013, p. 1) has brought together a comprehensive synthesis of case studies. It concludes that the EITI (while voluntary and only partially applied) has had a positive impact in Africa through highlighting resource leakages, identifying opportunities to increase revenues and making information available to citizens to hold governments to account. The document links results in extractive resource governance to EITI 23 activities in: the improvement of Burkina Faso parliament’s oversight of extractives; civil society action in the Democratic Republic of Congo that lead to a review of mining contracts; Ghana’s new national EITI transparency law and tax rate revisions; Liberia’s overhaul of its Social Development Fund; Nigeria’s closure of loopholes highlighted by EITI leading to revenue savings, improved credit rating and sizeable increases in foreign direct investment; Sierra Leone’s online publication of mining contracts; Tanzania’s revision of its mining policies; and Zambia’s sector reforms and tightened controls. - EITI (2012) has produced a case study on the impact of EITI in Nigeria, which finds that in 2010 Nigeria became one of the first countries to achieve EITI Compliant status, even though there is still a long way to go before rampant corruption is reduced - . Translating this improved transparency into greater accountability is the next step. - EITI has also produced some news stories on the impact of EITI in Liberia which details some of the improvements made. - A review of EITI in Peru is less positive, finding little discernible impact so far in promoting transparency, public debate and accountability for the revenues obtained from extractive industries. Issues have included inadequate outreach, stakeholders’ desire for local level information that is more relevant to their lives; insufficient attention given to the local context (where views tend to polarise) or to the different audiences of the EITI reports; and few links made to other initiatives, such as wider investment and tax regimes, government development planning or environmental issues (Tearfund et al, 2013). - O’Sullivan (2013) reviews EITI in Timor Leste, Liberia and Nigeria, concluding that EITI could be seen as a potentially useful catalyst for governance reforms, not as a transformative or automatic one. Given that transparency can only achieve so much on its own, he calls for the EITI to maximise its influence by enabling its reports to be used more widely as tools for locating and delineating governance problems, and using its own institutional voice to support reforms of these problems (p. 37). In summary there is some evidence that the outputs will lead to the desired outcomes. However the evidence is stronger for some outputs (such as civil society support) than others (such as international policy work). 24 Budget transparency, accountability and participation16 is a relatively young sector and the evidence base is limited and underdeveloped. There is a need for more comparative and holistic analysis of interactions between the different types of transparency and accountability Initiatives such as service delivery, budgets, information, natural resource and aid (McGee and Gaventa, 2010; Carlitz, 2010; Khagram et al, 2013). This is why increasing evidence in this area, as IBP’s plans to do, is important for DFID to support. The case for DFID intervention Increasing budget transparency, participation, and accountability is strategically important to DFID on a number of fronts: DFID is committed to being a global leader on transparency with transparency being one of the three main focuses of the UK’s G8 presidency. By encouraging developing countries to have more transparent budgets, the UK Government aims to enable citizens in developing countries to see how their own governments raise and spend resources and hold their governments to account, and to enable governments to identify areas for improvement. This should ensure that domestic resources, as well as aid, are better directed towards poverty reduction and delivering results. Support to IBP fits well with the UK Government’s emphasis on openness, transparency, and accountability and on tackling corruption. Greater openness makes it more difficult for funds to be misused. As developing countries attract investment, expand their tax bases and exploit their natural resources, transparency becomes even more important. The IBP work contributes to putting these principles into practice, particularly increasing domestic accountability through greater transparency and citizen engagement. DFID’s strengthened approach to budget support Partnership Principles includes commitment to improving public financial management, promoting good governance and transparency and fighting corruption; and commitment to strengthening domestic accountability. As part of a wider agenda on empowerment and accountability, DFID has made a commitment on 16 For definitions of these terms Carlitz (2010, p 1-3) provides a useful glossary. 25 spending an amount equivalent to 5% of Budget Support to enable people in budget support countries to hold their governments to account. The IBP work complements this. Transparency and participation can provide citizens, including the marginalised and poor, with opportunities to improve their own lives. This is consistent with the UK Government’s determination to reduce inequalities of opportunity. Case for IBP as delivery mechanism The IBP provides a credible platform for achieving DFID aims in the area of budget transparency, participation and accountability and supports the establishment of a harmonised approach to improving budget transparency. IBP has played a catalytic role in creating and establishing the field of independent budget work and has acquired international level influence on budget transparency work including Global Initiative for Fiscal Transparency (GIFT). When IBP started there were only a handful of independent organisations with the capacity to monitor government budgets. Today, there are organisations in over 100 countries – a very large majority of which have received IBP support. The IBP also plays a leadership role in the Open Government Partnership (OGP)17, which the UK currently co-chairs. The OGP is a major opportunity for the IBP’s civil society partners in up to 70 countries around the world to be involved in establishing and implementing open budgeting-related commitments. The OGP also uses the IBP OBS results to help decide which countries are eligible for membership of OGP. IBP’s comparative advantages are: IBP is the leading provider of training and technical assistance on public financial management to CSOs. Their training is in high demand by both country-based CSOs and NGOs. Even more important than their formal training, is IBP’s approach to organisational accompaniment and mentoring. To support this work, IBP employs the most experienced trainers and maintains a substantial network of leading independent service providers in the 17 The OGP promotes open and accountable governance, a policy priority for DFID, and already includes commitments to open government from 54 governments. 26 field. IBP’s research on open budgets has received widespread recognition and acclaim. IBP produces and maintains the only global, independent, regular, comparative survey (the OBS) of budget transparency and the strength of oversight institutions. The OBS is widely recognized by donors, civil society, and governments around the world for both its innovation and the quality of its data. Based on the OBS, IBP has built the largest global database on budget transparency. IBP has very strong convening capacity in the public finance community. As evidenced by IBP’s role in launching the Global Initiative for Fiscal Transparency, IBP is able to talk to or bring together civil society, the donor community, formal oversight institutions, and governments. IBP is widely recognised as the leading independent organisation for information and expertise on fiscal transparency, and particularly on the role of civil society in the budget process. IBP operates as the hub for information for organisations around the world that are interested or engaged in public finance monitoring and advocacy. The work of the IBP also complements the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) performance measurement framework. PEFA has some indicators on the quality of the budget, participation of the budget, and the accountability of the Public Financial Management (PFM) systems. However, PEFA does not collect as detailed information as the OBS on budget transparency18 and participation. In addition to this, PEFA assessments are carried out irregularly (recommended every 3-5 years) and only published with the approval of the government. Thus, by producing the OBS which covers over 100 countries and is carried out every 2 years, the IBP is filling a gap in the market for a regular, independent, survey of budget transparency. 18 The OBS has over 100 questions on budget transparency. 27 Theory of change diagram. For more detailed information see Annex A Inputs 2013-17 DFID: £4.8m Other donors: approx. £27.3m Outputs 1.Information produced on transparency 2.CSOs have the tools they need to analyse, question and participate in government budget processes 3.International policy community working together effectively on budget transparency, accountability and participation Outcomes Intermediate impact 1. Budgets processes more transparent: Timely, accessible information is available to citizens and CSOs 2. CSOs are analysing and questioning government budgets and are engaged in broader accountability and participation work at the national and subnational government level 3 International policy community actively promoting budget transparency, accountability and participation agenda Improved level of government budget accountability and participation and thus improved budget policies, processes and rules and regulations. Highest level of impact Impact An improved level of government budget accountability and participation (intermediate impact) should lead to more efficient, effective, equitable budgets: 1 Resources are collected and allocated in line with national strategies and priorities (efficient budgets) 2 Service delivery is improved and revenue is collected (effective budgets) 3 Budget policies more effectively address the needs of the poor and the marginalized (equitable budgets) Efficient, effective and equitable budgets contribute to the achievement of development goals. 28 Appraisal Case A. What are the feasible options that address the need set out in the Strategic case? The options being considered are: 1) Do nothing. 2) Fund IBP £4.8m ($7.5m) to produce outputs to improve budget transparency, participation and accountability. 3) DFID, or another organisation, produces outputs to improve budget transparency, participation and accountability from existing programmes. B. Assessing the strength of the evidence base for each feasible option Option 1 2 3 Evidence rating None Medium Limited Option 1: Do nothing DFID would not contribute to better budget transparency participation and accountability outputs or outcomes if the option to do nothing is chosen. Option 2: Fund IBP £4.8m ($7.5m) to produce outputs to improve transparency, participation and accountability. The strategic case assesses the evidence that the identified outputs will lead to the desired outcomes. What is being considered here is if IBP will produce the specified outputs. DFID has previously funded IBP £3.5m over 5 years to carry out the OBS and as such IBP has a good track record at producing planned outputs. This past success inspires confidence that the next phase of the IBP’s work will continue to achieve results. Previous achievements of IBP give assurance that IBP will be able to achieve the planned outputs. A few of these are listed below, however note these are just a few highlights, and a more comprehensive list of achievements can be 29 found in the 2012 annual report:19 A major achievement is the publication of the Open Budget Index (OBI), which uses the results of the OBS to publicly rank countries on their budget transparency, accountability and participation. IBP have produced research that is rigorous and relevant, with at least 420 international initiatives using IBP research for their policies and procedures, and 12,179 downloads from their website in 2012. Through working with CSO partners, IBP has helped to shift budget allocations to important priorities and expose corruption. For example, in India, IBP’s partner civil society group exposed how the government diverted $150m (£96.4m) from programmes for the poor to the 2010 Commonwealth Games. To date, 75% of these funds have been returned to their original purpose. In South Africa, IBP’s partner organisation has boosted the country’s efforts on HIV/AIDs programmes by extensively monitoring planning, funding and implementation. See Annex B for more examples. IBP has raised the profile of budget work and the importance of engagement on the budget. For example, the World Bank and IMF have used the assessment criteria used in the OBS to expand their recommendations on what good budget practices should include and the IMF now recommends the publication of Citizen Budgets (a simplified and accessible document outlining the budget). Several bilateral and multilateral donors have begun using the OBI as a key measure of budget transparency in the countries to which they give aid, and some have even used it to guide their country assistance strategies. Option 3: DFID, or another organisation, produces outputs to improve budget transparency, participation and accountability from existing programmes. There is limited evidence that DFID’s Research and Evidence Division would currently be able to carry out the transparency research that is required within their current budget. There is no evidence that any other organisation exists that would be able to undertake this work. There is no evidence that there is capacity for DFID or another organisation to carry out a survey on the transparency of DFID priority countries. Even if DFID or another organisation had the resources available to carry out 19 http://internationalbudget.org/2013/04/hot-off-the-presses-its-the-ibps-2012-annual-report/ See IBP 2012 Annual Report for more information on achievements: http://internationalbudget.org/2013/04/hot-off-thepresses-its-the-ibps-2012-annual-report/ 20 30 the research required, unless the researchers had the same level of expertise as the IBP researchers, it is likely that the quality of the outputs would be lower than those produced using option 2. There is limited evidence that there are 5 or more DFID country offices which could carry out the work with civil societies to ensure they have the tools they need to analyse, question and participate in government budget processes. It is unlikely that any country office would be able to redirect funding to delivering these outputs, and again, even if this was possible, the outputs achieved may not be as high quality as if IBP carried out these outputs as DFID does not have the same experience, expertise, network, and existing relationships with CSOs as IBP that is needed to be successful in this work. No other organisation has the expertise or network that is needed to be successful in this work. DFID does have limited engagement with international budget transparency initiatives; however it does not currently have the capacity within the relevant team to increase engagement. DFID also does not have staff with the same specialist knowledge and experience as IBP has, therefore again it is likely that the outputs would be lower quality than in option 2. There are other organisations engaged in budget transparency but none that has the scope and range of experience and contacts to undertake this work, especially not the Open Budget Surveys and the research work. Assessing the need for Capacity Development The desired outputs in options 2 and 3 involve activities that aim to strengthen capacity of those affected by the activities. For example a major part of the work with CSOs is about increasing their capacity. The other activities proposed in options 2 and 3, (research and international influencing work) will be carried out by IBP staff who have the capacity to carry out the required activities, if the recommendation for option 2 is approved. However in option 3 there would be a need for capacity development of some DFID staff. 31 What is the likely impact (positive and negative) on climate change and environment for each feasible option? Option Climate change & environment risks Climate change and environment and impacts, Category (A, B, C, D) opportunities and risk, Category (A, B, C, D) 1. Do Low impact- Category C Low opportunities -Category C Low impact - Category C Potential opportunity- Category B. At the moment, climate public expenditure analysis is in nascent stages but this will rise rapidly once the Green Climate Fund comes into place. If IBP could assess climate screening during their budget transparency work this could produce very useful information which could contribute to better decisions being made on how to finance climate mitigation and adaptation activities. IBP understands the timeliness and urgency of this work, and is very keen to explore this issue. IBP has started discussions internally on what kind of contribution they could make in the field, including developing good practices for disclosing climate actions. They also intend to discuss opportunities with like-minded organisations, such as the World Resources Institute. However they are only at an early stage of their analysis. IBP is committed to exploring this issue and to see what is useful and possible. IBP has asked to work closely with DFID on this issue as they start the process. Low impact – Category C Low impact – Category C nothing 2. Fund IBP to produce outputs 3. DFID or another Limited evidence that DFID or organisat another organisation is able to carry ion out the survey, or additional analysis produces on climate change and budget outputs transparency. 32 Donors, including DFID, may provide resources in the form of promised increases in donor aid for climate change mitigation or adaptation. These funds often will be managed by governments in countries with the least transparent budget processes. Further revenue windfalls that are generated by such development are often not spread widely across a country’s population. The resources involved are potentially enormous, and they could generate lasting advances in the welfare of the world’s most vulnerable populations. But if government budget processes are broken and closed, the chances are much smaller that the governments in question will use the climate change mitigation funds as they are intended for and, even if they do so, will use them effectively. Thus improving budget transparency and participation in budgeting could have a positive effect on climate change mitigation and adaption, through more efficient use of climate funds. Social impact assessment Option 2 The IBP works on the widely-accepted principle that public spending is more relevant to the poor and marginalised than other socioeconomic groups and that improvements in its efficiency and effectiveness therefore benefit the poor and marginalised more. This ‘universalist’ approach to equity issues is most clearly seen in IBP’s work on budget transparency. IBP views improvements in budget transparency as key to enhancing the opportunities citizens and civil society organisations have to monitor and influence government decisions on the use of public funds. Citizens, especially poor and marginalised citizens, will have an opportunity to monitor government budgets and to identify whether or not budget plans reflect their priorities and whether the budgets have been implemented efficiently. Citizens will also benefit from formal mechanisms through which they can participate in budget decision-making. Such mechanisms will significantly empower them to use the available information and participation mechanisms to provide the government with specific feedback on problems in budget plans and implementation. This feedback could in turn be used by the government to make additional improvements in governance and service delivery. In addition to this ‘universalist’ approach to equity, IBP also supports specific budget advocacy campaigns that target specific demographics, such as women21, children, indigenous communities, 21 For example the International Budget Partnership reports that in Mexico gender evidence-based budget advocacy resulted in more funding for reproductive health services and a governmental process to debate women’s health issues. This has helped ensure that funding is sustained and that women in the poorest Mexican states benefit from it. For more 33 people with disabilities22, farmers, and other low-income communities in countries. For example, IBP is committed to advancing the field of gender budgeting. To support the demand for gender budget training, IBP has several full-time and part-time staff members that are pioneers in the field23. IBP views gender budgeting as an approach, rather than just a specific technique, that should be mainstreamed throughout public finance practices. To this end, IBP ensures that issues of gender and equity are included in all of its training and its own analysis. Option 3 DFID is committed to improving the lives of the poor and marginalised and if DFID or another organisation carried out the proposed work it would ensure that the approach it took considered equity as described in option 2 above. However note that IBP is more experienced in its work on budget transparency to improve the lives of the poor and marginalised and it expected that DFID or another organisation would not be as effective as IBP in doing this. Impact on fragile and conflict countries Option 2 The IBP work with both government and civil society and they find that their work facilitates collaborative relations between CSO partners and governments rather than increase tensions. The IBP provides information and tools to increase the opportunities for constructive dialogue within all the countries it works. In fragile and conflict affected states, there can be special challenges for civil society to operate and this needs sensitive handling. In many situations, the IBP has actually found that working on public resource issues early in a transition contributes to a more stable transition. However, they acknowledge that discussions on public resources can be uncomfortable for governments, particularly those that are not used to having these discussions with stakeholders outside of the executive. The IBP manage this risk by being very sensitive to these tensions by working with partners to carefully read the environment and tailor with partners what work is possible and not possible in a particular environment. Where a situation arises that may place the IBP’s partners at risk, the IBP has several possible responses, including the following: keep the partner anonymous, conduct research from outside the country or with a national of another country. In information on gender equity work IBP has done see: http://internationalbudget.org/budget-analysis/sectors-issuesdemographic/gender-equity/ 22 For more information on IBP’s work here see: http://internationalbudget.org/budget-analysis/sectors-issuesdemographic/people-disabilities/ 23 For example Debbie Budlender, and Helena Hofbauer 34 extreme cases, the IBP can cease their activities and provide CSO partners with legal support, or encourage them/facilitate their spending time outside of the country. The work of the IBP will have some impacts on government officers and CSOs’ time, however this is seen to have positive rather than negative results. IBP works together with local CSOs on the OBS, both on completing the research and also on dissemination and advocacy. As a result of this government staff may need to respond to additional pressure to open up their budgets or queries about the budgets. In addition to staff time costs, IBP has increasingly worked directly to support government efforts at reform. However usually, this engagement is initiated by the government itself looking for technical advice on how to improve transparency, including improving OBS scores24. As the cost to government and CSO staff time in most of these cases is due to IBP activities which are demand driven from the government or CSOs themselves, the staff time taken by IBP activities is not seen as a negative effect. In addition to this government and CSO resource cost government officers and CSO staff help complete the OBS every 2 years. However no extra reports or other work are requested from governments and the main recommendations of the survey, such as ensuring minimum budget documents are available in a timely manner, can usually be implemented at a limited cost. For example, by publishing budget information onto the internet in Excel format. Option 3 As above, however again note that as DFID does not have the same experience, capacity, or existing relationships as IBP, it expected that DFID would not be as effective as IBP. The same applies to any other organisation. C. What are the costs and benefits of each feasible option? Option 1: Do nothing Benefits 24 Over the past two years, IBP has provided such “mentoring” to, amongst others, the governments of Ghana, Mali, Zambia, the Philippines, Honduras, Dominican Republic, Brazil, and El Salvador. IBP’s efforts here have usually included direct discussions with appropriate government personnel but have also included producing guides and manuals for government, for example on how to produce a Citizen’s Budget. 35 If DFID chooses option 1, then no benefits would be attributed to DFID. Costs There would be no direct financial cost to DFID of the do nothing scenario. The costs that a lack of budget transparency has on developing countries would continue and the needs set out in the intervention summary would not be addressed. There may also be a reputational impact to the UK/DFID if it were perceived that DFID had failed to engage on the transparency agenda given its importance in the G8 agenda. Option 2: Fund IBP £4.8m ($7.5m) Benefits The main benefits are: 1) IBP will be able to carry out their planned activities and deliver the full range of outputs a. If the programme is successful and the activities lead to the specified outputs which lead to the outcomes and impacts that are expected to follow from such activities, then the most important benefit is that there would be improved value for money on every unit of money in the affected countries budgets, whether this be money from the UK, other donors, or the countries own government revenues. The outcome of this would be better development outcomes through more efficient, effective, equitable budgets. 2) The contribution to a harmonised approach to improving budget transparency a. Funding through IBP will contribute to establishing a harmonised approach to improving budget transparency. DFID and the other donors will be avoiding proliferation of budget transparency assessment tools and avoiding multiple donors carrying out similar activities with civil society and other key institutions. It will also help harmonise research and knowledge in the area, reducing repetition and the waste of resources. 3) DFID will be able to benefit from the opportunities for interaction provided by being a donor to 36 IBP. a. DFID will be able to influence some of IBP’s areas of work25. If DFID is able to use its position to ensure that some of IBP’s focus countries are DFID priority countries this could result in a substantial amount of the programme fund being focused in countries in which DFID is working. If IBP gets the required $50m (£32.1m), it anticipates to spend approximately $4m (£2.57m) a year on at least 5 focus countries. As DFID’s proposed contribution is £0.98m a year, if DFID could influence IBP to choose 2 or more of its focus countries as DFID priority countries then at least as much money as DFID is putting in to IBP would be going straight back into work with CSO’s to improve budget transparency participation and on accountability in DFID’s priority countries. Whilst it is not possible to accurately calculate the monetary value of the benefits, there is evidence that the benefits of budget transparency, participation and accountability work outweigh the costs. It is expected that, if the assumptions in the theory of change section hold, that every pound spent by IBP on budget transparency, would result in at least an extra pound being spent on the poor or marginalised, through increased allocations for social welfare expenditure priorities due to increased budget analysis and advocacy. For example, as Annex B shows, budget analysis and advocacy have increased allocations for reproductive health in Mexico, child support grants in South Africa and tribal development expenditures in Gujarat (Robinson 2008). Costs The cost of this option would be £4.8m ($7.5m) over 5 years for DFID, which is 15 per cent of the costs of the proposed programme. The current funding commitments, from private foundations, amount to £27.3m ($42.5m). The proposed annual allocation of £960,000 represents 18% of DFID’s Governance, Open Societies and Anti-corruption (GOSAC) Department’s Public Financial 25 IBP has expressed that they would welcome communication with DFID staff about their work and they are considering setting up a formal process to engage with donors to provide them with opportunities to influence their strategic choices. One option they are considering is establishing an IBP Donor Forum or Council that would meet once a year at a time that partly overlaps with their governing board meeting. This would provide DFID with a substantive opportunity to engage with the IBP board and staff around critical strategic decisions such as which subset of fragile and conflict countries they include in their work over the next five years. This would give DFID an opportunity to express their views on which countries would benefit most from improved support to civil societies to improve budget transparency and participation. 37 Management (PFM) programmes. This option will also cost DFID in staff time for oversight and monitoring of the programme. Option 3: DFID or another organisation produces outputs to improve budget transparency, participation and accountability from existing programs. Benefits The benefits to DFID producing the outputs would be that there would be: 1) a more direct link with DFID other programming in each country; 2) increased alignment with existing government-to-government relations; and 3) potentially greater leverage politically than through an NGO. The benefits to DFID if another organisation produces outputs: 1) DFID passes the responsibility to another organization for delivery and is able to monitor and evaluate results 2) Potentially different CSOs are engaged in the process. Costs This option assumes that it is possible for DFID to incorporate activities into existing programmes and therefore would have no direct costs. However by redirecting existing programmes to focus on producing the outputs required, there is an opportunity cost of not doing other activities. IBP anticipates spending annually £2.9m ($4.5m) on research, £2.6m ($4.0m) on in country work and £1.0m ($1.5m) on international advocacy. This gives an idea of the costs incurred if DFID were to try and produce the same outputs as IBP. However note that DFID costs are likely to be higher than IBP has IBP already has better capacity, expertise, network and structure to deliver these outputs compared to DFID. Other costs to DFID would be the administration costs as there would be business cases required for each country; central funding could not be disbursed via country programmes. There is also a risk that country programmes might not have same priorities, and there may not be resources available. There would also be the cost of the loss of organisational and policy coherence offered through IBP and the marshalling and sharing of lessons learned through policy networks would be less likely. 38 If another organisation is commissioned to undertake the work there will be costs in them staffing up and learning how to do the work as there is currently no organisation in existence which meets the levels of skills and experience as IBP. Summary Option 2 is the preferred option. Option 1 results in DFID not addressing the needs set out in the interventions summary and option 3 is overwhelmingly less efficient than supporting a global platform, as in option 2. Option 2 gives an effective and efficient way of contributing to improving global budget transparency, participation and accountability. Sensitivity analysis If the assumptions set out in the theory of change do not all hold then option 2 is still preferred to option 3, as option 2 is still a more efficient use of resources. If none of the assumptions in the theory of change hold then option 1 would be preferable to option 3. However although the evidence for the assumptions is somewhat limited and underdeveloped, there is evidence to back the theory of change and it is concluded that this risk of not doing anything in option 1 is greater than the risk of the assumptions in the theory of change not holding. In addition to this, choosing option 2 will increase the evidence on theory of change. D. What measures can be used to assess Value for Money for the intervention? Value for money can be considered in terms of whether the programme provides the outputs it is supposed to and whether these outputs will be delivered efficiently. Progress of achievement of the outputs will be assessed using the indicators set out in the log frame. If the outputs are no longer being achieved then the intervention would no longer represent value for money. Another way to monitor if value for money is being met is if DFID, and other organisations, continue to use the information that IBP produces to inform future programme decisions and monitoring PFM reforms that affect budget transparency and participation. For example, currently the OBS is one of the three indicators used to measure the success of the Governance and Transparency Fund projects having the following impact: ‘Governments are more capable, accountable and responsive to 39 meet the needs of poor people” and is one of the Open Government Partnership (OGP) criteria. However if the OBS was deemed no longer useful, then this would indicate that value for money for this output was not being met. Efficiency of cost delivery within IBP One way that DFID could assess if the outputs are being delivered efficiently is by assessing various aspects of cost of delivery of outputs by IBP in each annual review. This will involve looking at aspects such as: Staff costs Administrative percentages Cost of different outputs e.g. cost of OBS, cost of training and technical support. Cost of managing grants The annual reports IBP have submitted to DFID for their previous funding have shown that: overall progress was ‘good’ and ‘on track’, the internal issues relating to programme management / staffing / internal project issues and partnerships was seen to be ‘good’, the programme’s own judgement of risk and mitigation both internal and external was seen to be adequate and the assessment of logframes was seen to be ‘good’. This gives confidence that IBP will continue to deliver results cost efficiently. The following questions will also answered by the annual reviews in order to assess value for money: Is the actual cost out-turn for the year comparable to that forecast by IBP? If not, is there a reasonable explanation for the variation? This should include both the overall cost and individual lines within the budget (staff costs, grant admin, training etc). Have the milestones in the log frame been met? If not is there a reasonable explanation for the variation? Does IBP have a clear view of costs throughout the delivery chain? Have CSO grants been subject to a satisfactory assessment process? Does IBP have satisfactory grant management processes in place? IBP has a good record of keeping costs within budget and providing the detailed information required 40 where multi-year budget amendments are beneficial. Progress against the results framework will be monitored and adjustments can be made to the programme in response to difficulties encountered or opportunities identified. As well as IBP’s good track record of producing the expected outputs, there are other reasons to suggest that IBP will provide value for money. For example the IBP has invested considerable time in developing an organisational approach that emphasizes close collaboration and integration between different programs. As a result, IBP staff members from different programs coordinate their activities, which can sometimes result in cost savings and maximizing of benefits from the IBP’s total resource availability. Wherever possible, IBP staff members coordinate their visits to countries, and strive to achieve multiple objectives when IBP visits a country, thereby avoiding the need to travel multiple times, saving on costs. This makes IBP an effective organisation and provides cost savings. CSO partners of IBP are willing to participate in the Open Budget Survey without receiving financial gratification because they recognise the benefits that the OBS has. This keeps the financial cost of carrying out the survey low. The perceived legitimacy and importance attributed to the implementation of the Open Budget Survey, and the prominence of budget transparency as an issue for civil society advocacy work, means many of IBPs partner organisations want to participate in the Survey for nonmonetary reasons, such as increased visibility for their organisations. In some instances, IBP has not had to pay peer reviewers, who are interested in participating in the research pro bono. All these factors have meant that the average cost of conducting the Open Budget Survey in one country is approximately only $22,000 (£14,000). This figure is significantly less than the nearest comparable peer level assessments. For example the World Bank’s Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability studies cost a minimum of $50,000 (£32,500) and on average cost $125,000 (£81,000) and the IMF’s fiscal Reports on Observance Standards and Codes (ROSC) cost between $120,000 (£78,000) and $180,000 (£117,000) per country26. E. Summary Value for Money Statement for the preferred option The preferred option is for DFID to fund IBP £4.8m. This investment in budget transparency and participation is expected to have a much greater pay-off than the cost because it enables citizens to question and hold governments to account. Citizens have 26 Mackie, A. (2010) ‘ Stocktaking Study of PFM Diagnostic Instruments’ PEFA. 41 an incentive to do this because their government’s budget has a strong impact on their livelihoods. If the result in this is that a government’s own resources and aid can be spent more in line with the priorities of citizens, then IBP would be exerting influence over resources vastly greater than its own budget. Annex B, gives some examples of where this has happened. 42 Commercial Case Indirect procurement A. Clearly state the procurement/commercial requirements for intervention There is no direct procurement involved in this intervention. The programme will be funded through a contribution to the IBP. B. Why is the proposed funding mechanism/form of agreement the right one for this intervention, with this development partner? IBP is the only supplier that exists that can deliver the outputs required. This is why indirect procurement is the right funding mechanism for this intervention. IBP will manage the programme and have the capacity to manage their resources. This has been demonstrated through previous funding to IBP. No intermediary is required. B. Value for Money through Procurement. IBP’s procurement processes The International Budget Partnership (IBP) is a division of the Centre on Budget and Policy Priorities. All grants to the Centre for the IBP are managed according to the Centre’s accounting and finance policies and procedures. The Centre follows United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) for recording and summarising transactions and for preparing financial statements. The Centre maintains separate records and ledger accounts for all contributions to and disbursements from the bank account on behalf of the grant. The Centre prepares annual budgets for all programmes. Budget authorisation is approved by the independent Board of Directors and the budgets are revised in conjunction with the mid-year Board meeting. A member of the Centre’s staff will be responsible for overseeing the management of grant resources 43 ensuring conformity to the Centre’s policies and procedures for personnel management, procurement and cash disbursements. Responsibilities will include ensuring that grant expenditures are segregated and recorded in a timely and accurate manner. Additionally, monthly programme reports are prepared and reviewed with the Centre’s executive team to ensure proper oversight of grant funding and expenditures. All assets related to the programme will be monitored and managed in accordance with the Centre’s policies. Given the nature of the awards, the primary DFID asset used by the Centre will be cash received and expended. All cash transactions are recorded and reviewed and reconciled in accordance with Centre policies. Bank reconciliations are prepared on a monthly basis by Centre finance staff, and reviewed monthly by Centre finance executives. Procurement of goods and services, as well as the disbursement of funds are monitored and reviewed in accordance with the Centre’s policies and procedures. Prior to issuing a grant or contract for goods or services the Centre requires a pre-execution checklist which helps to identify any issues, and mitigate the risk of fraudulent disbursement through multiple layers of review. The Centre requires that all required licenses and permits be obtained prior to entering into an agreement with an entity with links to countries on the lists of the US State Department and the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). Additionally, the Centre uses LexisNexis Bridger Insight Online Database to review consultant names and names of associates to mitigate the risk of disbursing funds to blocked individuals or entities on many more alert lists maintained both in the US and overseas. The Centre disburses significant funds to hotels and airlines to host or attend meetings and conferences. In order to ensure proper procurement of these services, the Centre requests proposals from hotels in the destination city to ensure the best overall package. Additionally, the Centre has a contract with a travel agency that guarantees the lowest available fares, and ensures the guarantee by comparing rates among agencies using industry standards. In conclusion IBP’s procurement processes appear sound and able to deliver value for money. However, a Due Diligence assessment is being carried out on IBP to enable these processes to be looked at in further detail and identify any risks. 44 Financial Case A. What are the costs, how are they profiled and how will you ensure accurate forecasting? The total DFID funding of the IBP 5 year program is proposed at £4.8m to bring IBP’s total funding up to the required $50m (£32.1m). There is space in the current Governance, Open Societies and Anticorruption (GOSAC) team budget for this allocation. This is to be dispersed as follows: 2013/14: £960,000 2014/15: £960,000 2015/16: £960,000 2016/17: £960,000 2017/18: £960,000 The money will be dispersed though three payments in year one and henceforth through quarterly payments. IBP will submit quarterly financial reports to ensure we can forecast accurately. B. How will it be funded? Capital/programme/admin? The project will be funded from programme funds. The funding is available in the FACT team budget. The level of funding is such that there will be no significant effect on DFID’s accounts if payments move from one financial year to another, although this is not anticipated. C. How will funds be paid out? This will be paid in arrears, in 3 payments of £320,000 in 2013/14 and from 2014/15 onwards in each quarter, at a total sum per quarter of £240,000. D. What is the assessment of financial risk and fraud? Financial risk and fraud risk are considered to be low. The programme builds on a previous programme which has a good track record, and for which audit reports have not found any concerns. However as a safeguard, if this business case is successful a Due Diligence assessment will be 45 carried out on IBP which will enable financial risks to be looked at in more detail. E. How will expenditure be monitored, reported, and accounted for? The IBP will receive and utilise financial contributions from the donors. They will provide DFID and all donors with an annual independent audit report which will include an attestation from the IBP’s external auditors concerning the financial statements and financial position of the organisation. Audited statements will be available by June for the previous year. Concurrently, IBP will also provide DFID with an audit of the statement of grant income and associated disbursements and funds for all DFID awards. In addition to the external audits, as a 501(c)3 tax-exempt organisation registered with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), IBP also prepares and submits to the IRS the required form 990 providing the public with financial information about the organisation. These independently reviewed financial statements and reports mitigate the risk of fraudulent reporting by contracting with reputable independent audit firms working under United States Generally Accepted Auditing Standards. IBP will produce an annual report on all activities and outcomes, which will be available by end February/beginning of March for the previous year. This will report on the progress of targets identified in the log frame. Note that the log frame is in a different format to the usual DFID logframe template as this is the logframe which IBP will use to report to all financial contributors. It will also include unaudited financial statements. IBP will also produce quarterly financial statements as they have been previously doing for the last funding they received from DFID. 46 Management Case A. What are the Management Arrangements for implementing the intervention? Within DFID, the lead adviser for this programme is Anna Downs, the quality assurer is Honor Flanagan, senior governance adviser, and the project officer is Susan Cassidy. The lead adviser will maintain the relationship with IBP and ensure that the programme is delivered according to the expected outputs and outcomes. This will include ensuring regular checks are carried out on performance to authorise payments of the grant, arranging annual reviews and following up on recommendations and participating as required in meetings of sponsors of IBP. The quality assurer will ensure that all these measures are taking place in a timely manner and will act as a backstop to the lead adviser. The project officer will ensure that the processes are supported and delivered and that the agreement is honoured, including payments made on time. The IBP plans and implements the IBP program. IBP is managed by its Executive Director and IBP Deputy Director manages the administration and human resource policies of the organisation. IBP reports to the Board of the Centre on Budget and Policy Priorities and day to day decision-making is the responsibility of an executive management team, consisting of: Executive Director, DeputyDirector/Operations Director, Finance Director, and the Directors of country work and Open Budget Survey and advocacy. IBP program management team consists of the above program staff, as well as the managers of communication, learning and training. The remainder of IBP staff report to one of the project management team members, the Operations Director, or Finance Director. B. What are the risks and how these will be managed? Risk Likelihood Impact of Response risk IBP does not Low High This risk will be managed through the M&E arrangements so fulfil the program that the likelihood of the programme not achieving its objectives objectives is recognised in good time. Responses to the reasons why the programme is not achieving will then be addressed. 47 IBP does not Medium Medium IBP has in place plans to reduce the scope of its country secure sufficient coverage or shift the timing of its major research outputs, funding such as the OBS, in order to adapt to respond to lower levels of funding. In addition, IBP fundraising is on-going and continues to explore new areas of funding from institutional and private sources. The political High Medium IBP can in most cases continue with its work in a given situation in a country by protecting the identity of researchers or by using small number of by using external researchers. This is how they have countries poses managed their work in China and Saudi Arabia, for example. a threat to IBP If the threat to a partner’s physical safety is serious, IBP will staff or partner withdraw from its work in the country until the situation organisations stabilises. IBP does not work in countries where there ongoing wide-spread conflict is on-going. Core IBP Medium Medium Working in a large number of countries - and given partners precarious funding for civil society - IBP partners experience undergo serious organisational transitions and crises. IBP deals with these organisational situations by mobilising its training and technical assistance crises and this teams that specialise in providing in-depth mentoring to threatens IBP's partner organisations on a variety or organisational and research or technical issues. For this purpose, IBP maintains both other internal capacity and a cadre of external consultants. 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IDS Working Paper 149, January 2002. http://www2.ids.ac.uk/gdr/cfs/pdfs/wp149.pdf Schouten, C. and Samolia Monamoto, J.-P. (2013). The Impact of the Open Budget Initiative Secretariat and its Partners on Budget Transparency in the Democratic Republic of Congo. International Budget Partnership. http://internationalbudget.org/wp-content/uploads/OBI-case-study-DRC.pdf Shah (Ed.) (2007). Participatory Budgeting. Public Sector Governance and Accountability Series. World Bank. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/ParticipatoryBudgeting.pdf Simson, R. (2013). The flip side of the coin: accountability as a precondition for meaningful budget transparency. Beyond Budgets Blog. http://www.beyondbudgets.org/blog/2013/6/18/the-flip-side-of-the-coin-accountabilityas-a-precondition-f.html Tahir, P. (no date). Earthquake Reconstruction In Pakistan: The Case of the Omar Asghar Khan Development Foundation’s Campaign. Short Summary. International Budget Partnership. http://internationalbudget.org/wp-content/uploads/LP-casestudy-OAKDF-summary.pdf Tearfund, Revenue Watch Institute and Paz y Esperanza. (2013). Dissemination and Impact of EITI National Reports In Peru Summary Report. http://tilz.tearfund.org/webdocs/Tilz/Research/Summary%20EITI%20Peru%20Feb%2 02013%20final.pdf 52 Transparency and Accountability Initiative (2011). Opening government. A guide to best practice in transparency, accountability and civic engagement across the public sector. Open Society Foundation. http://www.transparency-initiative.org/wpcontent/uploads/2011/09/Opening-Government.pdf van Zyl (2009). The methodology for the Partnership Initiative Prospective Case Studies. (June 2009). International Budget Partnership. http://internationalbudget.org/wpcontent/uploads/Prospective-Case-Study-Methodology.pdf World Bank Institute (2007). Case Study: Indonesia Forum for Budget Transparency. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTSOCACCDEMSIDEGOV/Resources/Empowe ringTheMarginalizedFinalVersion.pdf 53 Annex A: Theory of Change IMPACT OUTCOME (3 main outcomes that will lead to the impact) OUTPUTS (3 main outputs that will lead to the outcomes in each of the 3 areas of work) Highest level of Impact: Efficient, effective and equitable budgets should contribute to the achievement of development goals. Impact: An improved level of government budget accountability and participation (intermediate impact) should lead to more efficient, effective, equitable budgets: 1 Resources are collected and allocated in line with national strategies and priorities (efficient budgets) 2 Service delivery is improved and revenue is collected (effective budgets) 3 Budget policies more effectively address the needs of the poor and the marginalized (equitable budgets) Intermediate Impact: There is improved level of government budget accountability and participation and thus improved budget policies, processes and rules and regulations. 1 Budgets processes more transparent: 2 CSOs are analysing and questioning 3 International policy community actively promoting Timely, accessible information is available government budgets and are engaged in budget transparency, accountability and participation to citizens and CSOs broader accountability and participation agenda work at the national and subnational government level Information produced on transparency: CSOs have the tools they need to International policy community working together analyse, question and participate in effectively on budget transparency, accountability 1.1 OBS 2015 and OBS 2017 government budget processes and participation: 1.2 New tools for other transparency measures that are complementary to OBS 3.1 Greater alignment in the definition and (Indicators: OBS Budget Tracker, and In 5 focus countries, the IBP will give understanding of budget transparency and citizen modified subnational OBS) CSOs tools to effectively engage with participation across international and multilateral 1.3 Research on key policy questions broader accountability network: organisations, and CSOs and CSO networks relevant to both country work and (Indicators: Broad consensus on principles for budget international advocacy work (Indicators: 2.1 Detailed articulation of civil society transparency and participation that reflect CSO position; Incentives for Shifting government policy & budget transparency, accountability, and Number of institutions more closely aligning their practice, Impact of CSO engagements in participation agenda that CSOs and their policies and practice with broad principles; Number of budget policy & processes) networks agree on and rally around donor institutions that have strategies congruent with 1.4 Deeper understanding on how to CSO position; GIFT membership [governments, strategically direct and support civil society 2.2 Skilled and sustainable CSOs and institutions, and CSOs]; Open data protocols for GIFT; engagements in budget work based on CSO networks strategically engage with GIFT support for initiatives like OGP) reflection on documentation of their governments and formal oversight 3.2 Formal international agreements forged by the experiences and outcomes of institutions to promote budget international policy community engagements transparency, accountability and (Indicators: Indicator on fiscal transparency in post-2015 1.5 Strengthened capacities of at least participation agenda; other UN agreements) 100 CSO research partners for 3.3 Strengthened capacities of CSO networks for undertaking research and evidence-based 2.3 CSO partnerships within and across effective engagements with the international policy advocacy on government transparency countries promote peer learning and community, particularly around the broadly agreed exchange, and enable “impactful” joint agendas for budget transparency, accountability and analysis and advocacy participation 54 2.4 CSOs and formal accountability institutions able to work together to hold governments to account for use of public resources. For all other CSOs interested to pursue budget work and build capacity in general: ACTIVITIES/ INPUTS (these are the activities that will lead to the outputs that have been listed for each of the three areas of work above. Activities that will lead to the outputs above: Activities that will lead to the outputs above: 1) 1) 2) 3) 4) Update OBS questionnaire to reflect shifts in standards and good practices for fiscal transparency recognized by the IMF, WB, and the INTOSAI a. Develop online survey management system for OBS b. Update OBS Guide to the Questionnaire for the research partners c. Update training materials on survey methodology for orientation/training of research partners Undertake OBS surveys, increasing coverage from 100 to 130 countries Disseminate survey results widely (globally and regionally, and with targeted institutions) Develop Open Budget Survey 2.5 Resource materials are electronically available In relation to the CSO partners in 5 focus countries, the activities that will lead to the outputs above: 1) Develop a country strategy for each priority country in close coordination with the civil society groups in the country, and in consultation with other accountability stakeholders (including formal oversight institutions). Country strategies outline clear and contextspecific goals, strategies and partnerships to engage with the accountability system for budget reforms a. Regularly review and update country strategies for sustained/increased impact 2) Provide funding support to at least 3 CSO partner organisations in each of the 5 focus countries a. Provide at least 1 multi-year 2) Engage in a variety of ways in various multi-stakeholder initiatives that promote the budget transparency, accountability and participation agenda (GIFT, OGP, BTAP, and others). a. Actively undertake committee work within multistakeholder initiatives (GIFT, OGP, BTAP, and others), especially in specific themes around which civil society asks relevant Ensure that budget transparency, accountability, and participation remains a policy focus for international multi-stakeholder initiatives (GIFT, OGP, BTAP, and others) a. Prepare position papers that synthesize civil society policy asks, positions, and experiences that relate to budget transparency, accountability, and participation b. Convene and/or participate in strategic opportunities where policy debates and 55 Budget Tracker (OBS Budget Tracker) to monitor the real time public availability of key budget documents assessed in the OBS a. Pilot the OBS Budget Tracker in at least 30 countries (this will include 20 countries currently covered by the OBS; and 10 countries not yet monitored by the OBS) b. Extend the coverage of countries covered by OBS Budget Tracker to match the number of countries covered by the OBS Survey 5) Dialogue with governments covered by the OBS on transparency reforms based on OBS results a. Invite governments from at least 40 countries to OBS results dissemination events b. Respond to invitations from other governments who are interested and willing to engage the IBP and other CSOs on dialogue on transparency reforms c. Initiate, wherever possible, any joint actions between governments and CSOs that will progress budget transparency reforms 6) Develop and frame research agenda institutional support grant to at least 1 “anchor” partner 27in each priority country to work closely with the IBP b. Provide between 2 and 5 shorter-term, smaller, more targeted grants to other “core partners” 28in each focus country to implement work called for by the country strategy 3) Extend CSO partners (anchor and core) capacity building support to CSO partner organisations in each of the 5 focus countries a. Provide at least 10 training and technical assistance interventions adopted to both the country context and what is required by the country strategy in each of the focus countries every year. b. Extend mentor support and technical assistance to CSO partners (anchor and core), and their networks as may be required by the country strategy c. Work with anchor and core partners in each priority country to evaluate organisational strengths and weaknesses to better tailor 3) 4) 5) 6) discussions take place in relation to these policy asks c. Undertake evidence-based advocacy in and with different forums where decision makers of international policy community are present (UN, GIFT, OGP, others) Provide technical assistance and support to International NGOs to strengthen their understanding of and capacities to engage in policy debates relating to budget transparency, accountability, and participation Undertake communications outreach on international advocacy initiatives Selectively undertake lobbying on specific issues that present strategic opportunities for promoting the budget transparency, accountability, and participation agenda Provide technical assistance and support to Global BTAP movement campaigns and advocacy initiatives “Anchor” partners are key partner organizations that, because of their own experience in budget work and capacities to work with other budget stakeholders, will be expected to work very closely with the IBP in leading the implementation of the country strategy. For each of the focus countries, the IBP aniticipates to have at least 1, and where needed or appropriate, 2 “anchor” partners. 27 “Core partners” are other partner organizations that the IBP will be providing support because they are either undertaking work that is central to the country strategy in a focus country, or are best placed to begin undertaking work that is called for by the country strategy. 28 56 on strategic policy questions that considers information from all areas of work (to include themes such as incentives for shifting policies and practices of governments on budget transparency, participation, and accountability) a. Develop specific research frameworks for specific policy research projects b. Undertake research c. Publish and promote research (including dialogue with government and other audiences) 7) Conduct research on key elements critical for advancing country strategies work for each of the 5 focus countries a. Undertake background research needed to refine budget transparency, accountability, and participation agenda of CSOs b. Document the ways in which accountability networks work and deliver changes in each of the priority countries. Generate: at least 1 research project in each focus country in year 1, at least 2 case studies of impact in each focus country from year 2 onwards 8) Develop and frame a “documentation” agenda on strategic impacts of civil society engagements in budget policy and processes a. Research and document the methods and impact of civil society budget work and other oversight actors, and what makes them effective technical assistance covering organisational health, impact planning, research and advocacy, and learning issues 4) Ensure that CSO partners (anchor and core) ensure that they have maximum opportunities to work with each other, as well as other CSOs, as part of networks and alliances promoting budget transparency 5) Support linkages and collaboration between and among key stakeholders within the budget accountability network a. Reach out to and convene other key stakeholders within budget accountability network (eg, other CSOs more broadly, media, oversight institutions, academia, decision-makers themselves) in priority countries as may be required by the country strategy b. Ensure that there CSO networks increasingly collaborate with formal oversight institutions and reformers within government. Support at least 5 meetings of CSO partners (anchor and core) and other oversight actors per year in each of the focus countries. This may also include CSO collaborations with government designed to increase budget transparency (eg, development and production of citizens’ budgets) c. Facilitate and create opportunities for working to strengthen capabilities of other 57 9) Build and strengthen capacities of at least 100 CSO research partners (progressively increasing to 130) for assessing budget transparency and oversight and identifying gaps in country systems. a. Transfer diagnostic skills to CSO research partners and strengthen their ability to identify priority agendas to focus on b. Coach participating 100 OBI research partners on effective dissemination c. Support advocacy work of partners on survey-related asks through advocacy and communications training and technical assistance 10) Provided limited targeted funding support for campaigns specifically directed at improving government transparency in at least 5 countries covered by the Open Budget Survey, based on the recommendations of the survey results 11) Develop and frame a “learning” agenda for the IBP on how to more strategically direct and support civil society engagements in budget work 6) 7) accountability stakeholders with donors and other NGOs in priority countries Foster horizontal learning across civil society partners (anchor and core) within and across countries Draw from the OBI and the OBS Budget Tracker, as appropriate, the information for civil society campaigns in priority countries In relation to other CSOs interested in budget work, more generally: 8) Make available on the IBP website resources relevant to or useful for budget work: case studies that document partners’ work, policy papers and other research papers produced collaboratively with partners, and guides and training modules and materials 9) Encourage sign up to the IBP newsletter and other social media outlets 58 Annex B: International Budget Partnership CSO Case Studies Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity Results (process and intermediate) 1. Afghani stan (Bizhan, 2013) Open Budget Survey (OBS): IBP and partner, Integrity Watch Afghanistan (IWA) Preparation and publication of the Open Budget Survey 2008; advocacy campaign; training for government officials. Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) Lessons learned Attention generated by the 2008 OBI release provided some momentum, and the government used the OBI indices as an easy guide for improving its reputation in the area of budget transparency Government made important progress increasing its OBI score from 8 in 2008 to 21 in 2010. In 2011 published a Citizen’s Budget. 2. Argenti na (Basch, 2011) Civil Association for Equality and Justice – campaign for children’s right to early education Complex litigation strategy that involved “freedom of information” requests, budget analysis, and media dissemination A high-profile public hearing hosted by the city’s highest court that raised awareness of the issue. A legally binding agreement from the government to address the shortage of preschools and kindergartens 3. Brazil (Salvador, Institute for Socioeconomi Dialogues with government officials Brought unprecedented Blocked a regressive Drivers of improvements in transparency: a desire on the part of the government to improve its international image; technical assistance provided by donor organisations; international pressure; and small but effective campaigns by CSOs and the media. The OBI focus on the government budget is problematic as the budget only represents a small percentage of resources. Meanwhile donors have paid little attention to increasing transparency among ‘off-budget’ projects. There is need for country-specific approach to deal with limited access to the Internet and the low level of literacy in Afghanistan that have made the measures to improve transparency less effective than they should be. ACIJ was an experienced actor in public debates; it had well-established contacts with the education community and journalists; and its staff includes attorneys who were more willing to negotiate and were experienced in both class-action litigation and budget analysis. The litigation strategy succeeded because of the incorporation of budget analysis — an innovative approach for Argentina’s legal practice that no organisation in either the legal or the education community had pursued before. The technical capabilities of INESC were crucial for 1) mobilizing such a broad swath of 59 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity 2012) c Studies (INESC) and its partners formed a coalition movement to defend social rights under threat by tax reform Open Budget Initiative (OBI): IBP and partner, the Réseau Gouvernance Economique et Démocratie (REGED) and parliamentarians; petitions; audience with lawmakers; analysis. 4. DRC (Schouten and Samolia Monamoto, 2013) 5. Ghana (Dogbe and KwabenaAdade, 2012) Social Enterprise Development (SENDGhana) Foundation, one of the IBP’s partners Results (process and intermediate) 1) Training and research of the Open Budget Survey in 2008 and 2010, and consistent and constructive engagement with government on survey results; 2) Evidencebased advocacy for specific transparency reforms in the context of broader PFM reforms; 3) Training of media and legislature to use the information for wider economic governance reforms. From 2007 to 2010, budget monitoring of the Ghana School Feeding Programme (GSFP), engaging with district assemblies, CSOs, and District Highly Indebted Poor Countries Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) attention to the role of the tax system in fostering social justice. Built a network of organisations that is far more capable of taking on tax issues than ever before For the first time, the government published a range of budget documents, including the Executive’s Budget Proposal and budget timetable, and also included transparency provisions in several new public finance laws and regulations. The DRC’s overall OBI score rose from 0 out of 100 in 2008 to 28 out of 100 in 2012. While the information provided is still limited it is a notable improvement over 2008. The work done by SENDGhana and its partners to monitor the GSFP is widely acknowledged. Nonetheless, it is still difficult to directly attribute the changes at the GSFP National Secretariat to SEND-Ghana’s campaign tax reform bill Lessons learned civil society against the bill, and 2) persuading decision makers. Separate from INESC’s campaign, governors were also lobbying against the proposal IBP identify the following outcomes from the campaign: improved infrastructure, agricultural services, health services and education services. Donors also played a significant role (e.g. the IMF and World Bank demanded fiscal transparency under the HIPC initiative; multiple donors support the government’s PFM reforms; the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) study funded by the European Commission and IMF mission reports encouraged budget transparency and accountability). However, donors’ own practices may not promote transparency, and some donors (China) don’t call for transparency. The government is also influenced by, and attempts to imitate, budget transparency as increasingly highlighted in various international forums. SEND-Ghana was able to capitalise on its experience, network, capacity and diverse funding. It benefited from good timing: there was already debate and agitation from previous analysis by Pricewaterhouse Coopers that has unearthed rampant malfeasance with the programme. 60 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity Results (process and intermediate) (HIPC)/Citizens Monitoring Committees (DCMC) in seven regions. Used the monitoring information to promote improvements in the program with district assemblies and officials from collaborating ministries, departments and agencies at the national, regional and district levels, and through the media. 6. Hondur as 7. (Noe Pino, 2013) Open Budget Survey (OBS): IBP and partner, the Fundación Democracia sin Fronteras(FDs F) Preparation and publication of the Open Budget Survey 2010; advocacy campaign; training for government officials. Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) After the release of SENDGhana’s first report, for example, the leadership of the GSFP was changed, and a fivemember GSFP Review Committee was established Government cooperated with SEND-Ghana to host a National Policy Dialogue on the GSFP and various government commitments emerged from this gathering that aimed to resolve problems identified in SEND-Ghana’s reports. Most important: improved local capabilities to monitor the GSFP. Increased awareness of Honduras’ budget transparency problems In 2011 the government formulated a Plan to Improve Fiscal Transparency and Management, drawing on findings of PEFA and OBI reports. Lessons learned 8. India (Awasth, Samarthan's campaign to Social audits, budget tracking technique, Assisted government in identifying a number of Publicly available figures on the NREGA IBP’s technical assistance to the government of Honduras played an important role in the recent publication of budget documents but ultimately these documents would not have been published without strong government will. After 2009 troubled financial situation, new government keen to fulfil international donor transparency requirements (e.g. Millennium Challenge Corporation) to secure funding. At same time citizen-led efforts to increase transparency are growing. While some government sectors are reforming, others are resisting. Some of the hard won gains do appear to have been eroded by persistent 61 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity 2011) make real the right to work community organisation, government engagement, media outreach 9. India (Ramachandran and Goel, 2011) National Campaign for Dalit Human Rights (NCDHR) Working together with the Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability to develop a methodology that involved budget analysis and the tracking of expenditures intended for a fund earmarked for Dalits (the Scheduled Caste SubPlan). Strategies: right to information petition; multi-pronged communication strategy; held rallies; litigation against the State of Delhi; Results (process and intermediate) blockages in the process of managing and budgeting for National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA). It also played a significant role in mobilizing the population to demand work in terms of NREGA. Access to detailed budget information and the ability to analyze that data provided the evidence that civil society advocate NCDHR needed to pressure government in India to keep its promise to target resources to benefit one of India’s most deprived social groups. The campaign has certainly contributed to making an important component of government expenditures more transparent and accountable. Government admitted that misdirection of funds was Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) Lessons learned suggest that the campaign had an initial but unsustained impact. In the villages where Samarthan was active, there was a marked increase in the percentage of workers getting employment through the program. Once the campaign had ended, however, that surge tapered off as workers became reluctant again to demand their entitlements. challenges. Other factors played key roles: India’s democratic institutions (e.g. independent judiciary); vibrant civil society; political climate created by scandal around Commonwealth Games. NCDHR able to capitalise on many years’ experience on the issue, drew from its established method of budget tracking, able to use its networks. 62 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity Results (process and intermediate) parliamentary outreach; citizen engagement; government engagement 10. Kenya (IBP, no date) 11. Mexico (Cedujo, 2012) Muslims for Human Rights (MUHURI) Subsidios al Campo campa ign Working to bridge the Constituency Development Fund’s accountability gap by conducting “social audits”—a participatory process in which CSOs and communities evaluate the use of public resources and identify how best to improve outcomes of public programs and policies. Using Mexico’s freedom of information laws to obtain official data on the recipients of agricultural subsidies, and then publishing the data wrong, implemented budget rules and set up task-force. However, there is still long way to go: the government has not yet returned diverted funds. The campaign contributed to a shift in the public mood. In the year following there have been several protest marches, hunger strikes, and sit-ins to demand more effective laws and systems to punish corrupt politicians and administrators Demonstrated the significant role budget transparency plays in improving accountability and how public engagement in the budget process can strengthen oversight. It brought a large amount of new information into the public domain, and managed to shift the debate about agricultural subsidies from a focus on their overall size to a Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) Lessons learned Demonstrates how public engagement in the budget process can lead to improved public service delivery. The Mexican Ministry of Agriculture reacted by reforming the system to ensure that subsidies were flowing only to those that needed them. MUHURI’s impact has been restricted by the lack of a Freedom of Information (FOI) law A MP got involved because it helped him win an election. One of the lessons of this campaign is that gathering all available evidence and building a powerful argument is not enough in a context of ineffective accountability institutions The coalition quickly understood that access to information alone would not 63 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative Activity online. Results (process and intermediate) Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) Lessons learned discussion of how equitably they were being distributed, challenging a powerful agricultural industry in the process. 12. Pakista n (Tahir, 2011) Omar Asghar Khan Development Foundation’s Campaign on earthquake reconstruction Coalition building, research and analysis, outreach and advocacy, engagement with government. change policy, so it drew upon a network of researchers to deepen analysis of the problem. One important lesson from the success of this manoeuvre was that discoveries and insights produced might have been dismissed as propaganda had they not been carried out by reputable researchers and backed up by official data. Early efforts to work with journalists generated mostly sensationalist headlines. It was only after several efforts to engage with journalists that the campaign finally elicited in-depth reporting on the root causes of the problem. None of the achievements would have been possible without the diversity of the coalition. Bringing together activists, a peasant farmer’s organisation, information and communication experts, and academics required an especially adept networker that the coalition was fortunate to count upon. Rapid increase in activity in the sectors of housing compensation, health, water supply, and sanitation: a broad positive trend of improvement in the rate of reconstruction that corresponded with the timing of the Foundation’s campaign. Creation of a central structure that was established to oversee 64 Case study 13. Tanzan ia (Bofin, 2012) Civil society organisation / initiative Sikka – campaign to curb unnecessary expenditure / use of government slush funds Activity Providing consistent, comparable, and reliable budget analysis to media and decisionmakers, principally through annual Health Sector Budget Analysis (one of the few CSOs in Tanzania to provide such information). Results (process and intermediate) Considerable activity and coverage: undoubtedly helped to keep the matter in the public eye Assisted other CSOs in making evidence-based claims. Helped MPs to analyse budget proposals and proposing budget revisions to the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) the reconstruction effort, and is able to spend more effectively than the prior decentralized structure. Important reductions in government training budgets attributable in part to Sikika’s efforts Lessons learned 14. South Africa (Overy, 2013) Social Justice Coalition (SJC): Clean and Safe Sanitation Campaign Broad communications campaign; protests and creative demos; limited amount of budget analysis; working with researchers and policy experts. Release of the service contracts Budgetary tools and analysis played a significant factor in demonstrating the feasibility of the proposal for a janitorial service. The SJC is aware that budgetary analysis will continue to be an important tool for holding the City of Cape Town to account for its promises and so it has recently sent Instrumental in getting approval and funding for the janitorial service for public toilets in informal settlements. A number of other immediate sanitation improvements within Khayelitsha Hard to directly attribute results to Sikka as one of multiple actors (donors, the offices of the President and the Prime Minister, and other CSOs) seeking a more rational allocation of government funds A focus on media outreach and raising public awareness may not be enough to bring about changes in contexts where budget allocation processes are closed and there are strong internal pressures to maintain the widespread patronage and rents that can be drawn from recurrent expenditures in the budget More persistent issues may require an approach that integrates analysis with targeted advocacy of key decision-makers and public mobilization. A number of external factors contributed to the pressure on the City of Cape Town to implement these measures. In a sense the CSSC could be seen as a beneficiary of good timing. Sanitation, and toilets in particular, became a political issue after a row between political parties. The SJC’s legitimacy with its members, its ability to garner support from a broad swath of civil society groups, and its exceptional communication skills are all credited for its achievements. The SJC itself has also highlighted the importance of working both on the inside, as a collaborator with government, and as 65 Case study 15. South Africa (Overy, 2011) Civil society organisation / initiative Treatment Action Campaign (TAC), an advocacy group run by people living with HIV/AIDS Activity Budget analysis to prove the money was, in fact, there to address the HIV/AIDS crisis. Funding research and formulating wellevidenced policy recommendations, mobilizing protesters, and using the media to raise awareness and fight stigma. Eventually, the TAC also sued the South African government, relying in part on budget analysis to make its case. Results (process and intermediate) 16. South Africa (Overy, A range of civil society organisations Litigation, supporting research, and media campaigning its staff (along with staff from NU) to a series of IBP budget training workshops The TAC's advocacy efforts could be credited with bringing HIV/AIDS issues to the political fore in the first place The TAC's use of budget analysis was critical for overcoming the government's inertia on HIV/AIDS. By creating its own cost estimates and by pointing to the government's record on health expenditure, the TAC was able to dismantle the technical and depoliticizing defense the government had constructed around cost and affordability Perhaps the clearest indication of the TAC's influence, however, is that the final spending plan was drawn up with substantial consultation from the organisation. The TAC’s advocacy is now seen globally as an inspiring model for how to win a human rights victory. Has kept this important issue moving for more than a decade and shows Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) Lessons learned an independent agitator for change from the outside. As a result of the TAC’s efforts, hundreds of thousands of HIV/AIDS-related deaths have been prevented. The TAC's advocacy and lawsuit directly forced the South African government to implement a program to prevent mother-tochild transmission of HIV The TAC's precise contribution to the passage of a national treatment program, however, is less clear because a number of other factors also added pressure on the South African government to formulate a large-scale response to the epidemic Another factor that clearly assisted the TAC in its struggle for access to treatment was the constant decline in drug prices during the same period The TAC benefited tremendously from the dynamic leadership of its first chairperson; his principled stand earned him international humanitarian awards and this high-profile attention bolstered the TAC. TAC’s success also stemmed from its reimagining of anti-apartheid activist strategies, so that many South Africans associated the struggle for the right to healthcare with the anti-apartheid struggle for freedom. Sophisticated use of strategies that positioned it alternatively as both constructive proponent and radical activist, and as ally and adversary of the government. The TAC also was exceptional at both mobilizing grassroots support for its objectives while concurrently courting international solidarity. Successful extensive use of mass media opportunities through radio, newsprint, television and the Internet, framing its argument as a human rights issue and benefiting from its networking skills. Contributed to significant budget and policy changes over 66 Case study Civil society organisation / initiative 2010) and coalitions 17. South Africa (Hickey Tshangana , 2013) Legal Resources Centre – campaign for adequate education facilities Activity Results (process and intermediate) Results (efficient, effective, equitable budgets) no sign of flagging. Litigation; budget analysis a core component of the legal strategy; support to schools against government backlash; monitoring progress on commitments Effective use of budget research and analysis to refute government arguments related to ‘limited resources’ and ‘progressive realization.’ 18. Tanzan ia (Roba and Budlender, 2010) CSO HakiElimu Budget analysis and advocacy to improve education. Media strategy a key component. Government instituted several reforms that addressed some of the key issues highlighted by HakiElimu’s campaign. Stakeholders think HakiElimu created greater awareness and helped generate public debate. Lessons learned the last decade, such as the expanded eligibility for the Child Support Grant. Litigation and recommendations seen to directly impact on reforms with the CSG. Obtained budget allocations and work plans for addressing poor infrastructure in schools. Established new legal mechanisms for holding national and provincial governments to account. Improvement of conditions at a few of the schools represented in the cases. Stakeholders link changes (particularly in teachers’ welfare) to HakiElimu’s campaign Litigation alone is often insufficient. A comprehensive campaign that includes grassroots mobilization and community ownership, a plan for obtaining high level political support, and a deliberate strategy to harness the media is often necessary to convert court victories into meaningful policy changes. CSO preparation was a consequence of their previous efforts in the field of educational justice, efforts that included budget monitoring and evaluation. Support by media and wide CSO network critical for HakiElimu’s success. Also timely general election and use of enrolment as a campaign issue. While acknowledging HakiElimu’s impact, government respondents expressed strong reservations about HakiElimu’s general approach. Some government officials and politicians felt that HakiElimu was a “donordriven” organisation that sought to disparage government in its campaign. They complained that HakiElimu was always “negative” 67