SINO-US RELATIONS AND ITS IMPACT ON WORLD SECURITY International Security & Peace Virginia de la Fuente Question Scholars have different opinions about the implications of China’s rise to International Security. What are the bases of such divergent views? Instability vs. Peaceful coexistence Offensive Neorealism: Mearsheimer China’s rise cannot continue being peaceful. Chinese perspective Defensive Neorealism China should be able to coexist peacefully with both its neighbors and US. English School: Barry Buzan Peaceful rise is possible, but it will create inevitable tensions. China’s rise will be peaceful and beneficial both to the Chinese people and the rest of the world. Offensive Neo-Realism: Mearsheimer’s theory 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) According to him, China will behave as US did before with Imperial Germany, Imperial Japan, Nazi Germany and Soviet Union. Why?: 5 assumptions: States are in Anarchic System. States have offense military capability. States can never be sure about other states’ intentions. Survival is the main principle of the State. States are rational. State’s behavior: 1) Feeling fear 2) Self protection 3) Becoming powerful. Power= Security How to become powerful? Regional hegemon = No competitors Mearsheimer: “China will imitate US” Following his ideas: It can be expected that China wants to maximize its relative power and build a powerful military. A regional hegemon does not want peer competitors. So, why should China accept US military forces in its backyard? US and China’s neighbors will not allow China to dominate Asia. All of this will bring INSTABILITY on World Security Defensive Neo-Realism More optimistic about China’s rise. Great powers do not pursue hegemony, because their rivals will form a balancing coalition and prevent it. Chinese leaders as Bismarck Instead of dominating Asia/Europe, make your own country better. Nuclear weapons will be a force for peace if China continues its rise. China has been growing without conquering other countries. Why should it change now? Unipolarity Bipolarity Multipolarity English School: Barry Buzan Peaceful rise involves a two-way process, China cannot accomplish it alone International society should work together to create necessary conditions. If China is engaged with Western-dominated international society, should also play the game following the rules. “With great power comes great responsibility”. China should rethink: 1) China’s own identity, 2) Kind of Int’ Society that wants to promote, 3) Reconciliation with Japan. Chinese perspective “Theory of peaceful rise” China will be different from Germany, Japan or Soviet Union. China’s peaceful rise = China’s modernization. China will never advocate the use of force to destroy and sabotage International Order, because does not need it in order to keep on growing since it can threat and stop Chinese rise. However… Everything is not so bright… Most recent conflict between China and US: South China Sea Islands https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYq6hs5D64g Bibliography Mearsheimer, John J. “China’s unpeaceful rise”. Current History. April, 2006. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DMn4PmiDeQ Dunne, Tim, Kurki, Milja, Smith, Steve eds. International Relations Theories: Discipline and Diversity. 3rd edition. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2013. Buzan, Barry. “China in International Society: Is ‘Peaceful Rise’ possible?”. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 3, 2010. Zheng, Bijian. “The 16th Party Congress of CPC and China’s new path of peaceful rise”. Collection of Zheng Bijiang’s essays. Vol. 3. Shanghai: Shanghai People’s Press, 2005. Zheng, Bijian. “The suggestion to carry out research about China’s development path of peaceful rise”. Collection of Zheng Bijiang’s Eassays. Vol. 3. Shanghai: Shanghai People’s Press, 2005. Charlotte Alfred, “China’s President pledges $1 billion to UN for ‘Peace and Development’”. The World Post. September 29, 2015.