The Future of Electric Mobility:
50 Big Ideas From Around the World
10th April 2015 | GreenFleet Scotland | Edinburgh, Scotland
Dr. David Beeton
Managing Director, Urban Foresight
EV CITY CASEBOOK 2012
16 PIONEERING CITIES FROM 9 COUNTRIES
LAUNCHED IN LOS ANGELES IN MAY 2012
2012
PARTNERS:
STRONG MEDIA ATTENTION &
INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION
GLOBAL COMMITMENTS TO EVs
CLIMATE CHANGE
AIR QUALITY
FOSSIL FUEL INDEPENDENCE
CLEAN & RESILIENT ENERGY
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
e-payment
alternative fuels
two wheelers
journey planning
extend journeys
lightweighting
fleets
smart ticketing
eco-driving
drive trains
2nd life/ recycling
manufacturing
buses
public transport
range estimation
range-extenders
regeneration
sales
commercial
parking
state of charge
hybrids
management systems
maintain/ repair
cars
car clubs
location services
navigation
batteries & materials
first responders
vehicles
integrated transport
ITS
vehicle tech
energy storage
skills & services
behaviour change
vehicles & batteries
mobility
regulation
renewable energy
education
tax & incentives
generate & distribute
microgeneration
markets & operation
network controls
expectation mgmt
smart grids
smart meters
recharging networks
business models
demand management
dynamic pricing
legal/ commercial
leasing
standards
administration
installations
charge type
charging control
value-add services
interoperability
back office
public
standard
demand forecast
funding
connectors
payment
destination
fast (AC/DC)
remote switching
AC/DC
energy mgmt
private
battery swop
vehicle to grid
safety
customer mgmt
home
inductive
vehicle to home
EV CITY CASEBOOK 2014
Beyond the pilots &
demonstrations
Demand Pull
Preparing for mass
market
2014
Fully commercial
Supported
commercialisation
Demonstrationscale projects
Pilot-scale projects
Applied research
Technology Push
2.0
3.0
CROSSING THE CHASM
HOW?
THE
CHASM
Innovators
Early adopters
Early majority
Late majority
Laggards
CROSSING THE CHASM
BIG
IDEAS
POLICY
BUSINESS
MODELS
OUTREACH
THE
CHASM
Innovators
Early adopters
TECHNOLOGY
Early majority
Late majority
Laggards
TIMELINE
1
BIG
IDEA
FEB 2014
MAY 2014
SEPT 2014
OCT 2014
OKINAWA
COPENHAGEN
TOKYO
VANCOUVER
ANNOUNCED
GLOBAL CALL
EVALUATION
GLOBAL
PREVIEW
PUBLICATION
BIG
IDEAS
50
50 BIG IDEAS
AIR QUALITY | ALL-ELECTRIC BUS ROUTES | AWARENESS & EDUCATION | BALANCING THE
TAXATION EQUATION | BATTERY RIGHT SIZING | BATTERY SWAPPING | BI-DIRECTIONAL
CHARGING | CHALLENGING MISCONCEPTIONS | CHANGING TRAVEL BEHAVIOURS | CHARGING AT
WORK | CITY LOGISTICS | COMBINING INFRASTRUCTURE | CREATING BASELINE DEMAND FOR
URBAN CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE | CURTAILMENT | ELECTRIC HGVS | ELECTRIC TAXIS |
ENERGY INDEPENDENCE | ENGAGING CHILDREN & YOUNG PEOPLE | EV READY BUILDINGS | EVS
AND TOURISM | FAST CHARGING NETWORKS | EXTREME WEATHER | FLEET OPTIMIZATION |
INFRASTRUCTURE ROAMING & INTEROPERABILITY | INTEGRATED URBAN INTELLIGENCE |
LEAPFROGGING FOSSIL FUELS | LIGHTWEIGHTING | LOCAL INCENTIVES | MANAGED CHARGING |
MICROMOBILITY | NEW MARKET ENTRANTS | PARTNERSHIPS | PLUG SHARING | PRICING SIGNALS
| PROCUREMENT CONSORTIA | RECOVERY OF BATTERY MATERIALS | REGIONAL PLANNING |
REINVENTING THE CAR BUYING EXPERIENCE | SECOND LIFE BATTERIES | AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES | SHARED MOBILITY | TRANSPORT POVERTY | ULTRA LOW EMISSION ZONES |
WIRELESS CHARGING | RANGE EXTENDER | EV VENDING MACHINES | BUNDLED SERVICES
VEHICLE TO GRID | INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS | INNOVATIVE FINANCE
IMPACT OF THE BIG IDEAS
RELATIVE
ADVANTAGE
AWARENESS &
UNDERSTANDING
EASE OF
USE
ENVIRONMENTAL
BENEFIT
VEHICLE
PERFORMANCE
ENERGY SYSTEM
BENEFIT
OF THE
BIG IDEAS
ULTRA LOW EMISISON ZONES
CHANGING THE NARRATIVE ON ‘RANGE’ FROM ‘HOW FAR…’
TO ‘WHERE CAN YOU GO?’
VISION FOR THE WORLD’S FIRST BIG CITY
ULEZ BY 2020
LIKELY TO BE LINKED TO NEW EURO 6
EMISSIONS STANDARDS
PUBLIC CONSULTATION TO DEFINE
DETAILLED PLANS
MORE CITIES IMPLEMENT LEZs AND
Image
Source: TfL
STRICTER EMISSIONS CONTROLS ARE ADOPTED IN EXISTING
ZONES
London, United Kingdom
INTEGRATED URBAN INTELLIGENCE
CONNECTING EVs WITH ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE & WIDER TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
EVs IDEALLY SUITED TO SHORT URBAN
JOURNEYS
INTEGRATION WITH PUBLIC TRANSPORT
INTEGRATED TICKETING & JOURNEY
PLANNING
BREAKING SILOS TO MAKE URBAN SYSTEMS MORE EFFICIENT AND
Image Source: Toyota
INTELLIGENTLY RESPONSIVE TO INDIVIDUAL NEEDS
Ha:mo, Toyota City, Japan
LIGHTWEIGHTING
CARBON FIBRE AND LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS INCREASE RANGE, LOWER COSTS,
EMISSIONS, ENHANCE SAFETY AND PERFORMANCE
BMW i3 IS 20% LIGHTER THAN SIMILARLY
SIZED NISSAN LEAF
NEARLY MATCHES LEAF’s RANGE WITH A
SMALLER BATTERY (18.8kWh)
ADVANCED MANUFACTURING PROCESS
GREATER DISTANCES ACHIEVABLE WITH EXISTING BATTERIES AND
SMALLER (CHEAPER) BATTERIES ACHIEVE EXISTING Image
RANGESource: SGL
BMW, Munich, Germany
CHALLENGING MISCONCEPTIONS
IMPROVING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING BY CHALLENGING COMMONLY HELD
MISCONCEPTIONS, SCEPTICISM & BIAS
WORLD’S FIRST FULLY ELECTRIC RACING
SERIES
OBJECTIVE TO MAKE PEOPLE BELIEVE IN
ELECTRIC CARS
POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT MARKET UPTAKE
OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES
INNOVATIVE WAYS TO PERSUADE PEOPLE THAT EVs
Image
Source: FIA Formula E
ARE DESIRABLE & PRACTICAL FIT WITH THEIR
LIFESTYLE
FIA Formula E, United Kingdom
MANAGED CHARGING
CENTRALLY MANAGED DEMAND RESPONSE STRATEGIES TO CONTROL ENERGY
DEMAND AND AVOID CLUSTER CHARGING
EV CHARGING MANAGEMENT CENTER TO
STUDY WAYS TO CONTROL DEMAND
COLLECTS DATA ON 100 EVs INCLUDING
LOCATION & REMAINING BATTERY LEVELS
SENDS OUT DEMAND RESPONSE REQUESTS
TO DRIVERS VIA EMAIL & SAT NAVs
ANALYTICAL INTELLIGENCE, COMMUNIATION & REWARD STRATEGIES
Image Source:
Japan Smart City Portal
REDUCE NEED FOR GRID REINFORCEMENT
& EXPANSION
Kansai Science City, Kyoto, Japan
THE AIR WE BREATHE
INCREASED UNDERSTANDING OF THE RISKS, CONSEQUENCES AND HEALTHCARE
COSTS OF POOR AIR QUALITY
GREATER KNOWLEDGE OF DISEASES AND
MEASUREMENT OF HUMAN EXPOSURE
WHO DATABASE OF AIR QUALITY IN 1,600
CITIES ACROSS 91 COUNTRIES
ONLY 12% OF THIS POPULATION HAS SAFE
GUIDLELINE LEVELS FOR AIR QUALITY
SHIFT IN EMPHASIS IN POLICIES LEADING TO DEMARKETING CAMPAIGNS,
HIGH IMPACT PUBLIC STATEMENTS AND BANS
WHO Urban Air Quality Database
CLOSING
THOUGHTS
BIG IDEAS ARE SHAPING
THE FUTURE OF EVs.
CREATING OPPORTUNITIES
FOR MASS MARKET
ADOPTION.
BIG
IDEAS
POLICY
BUSINESS
MODELS
OUTREACH
THE
CHASM
TECHNOLOGY
EVs MAKE CITIES SMARTER
AND MORE SUSTAINABLE.
UrbanForesight.org/Casebook.html
THANK YOU
David Beeton
Managing Director | Urban Foresight Limited
Newcastle upon Tyne | United Kingdom
david.beeton@urbanforesight.org
twitter: @dbeeton
web: urbanforesight.org
twitter: @UrbanForesight
email: info@urbanforesight.org