WB Singapore-Africa, Jun 22, 2006 Education for Tomorrow Challenges of the Post-industrial Society Kai-ming Cheng University of Hong Kong World Bank African Study Tour Singapore June 22, 2006 Starting with Hong Kong … ( … but where is Hong Kong?) Hong Kong... • “One country, two systems” • Population 7.2M • Area 1,000 km2 • GDP $37,400 p.c. (PPP) (9th) • GDP 88% in service sector (82% employment) Hong Kong... Education • Primary & Secondary universal • 68% higher education (Korea, Taiwan oversupply) (Japan nearly oversupply) How are HK’s education achievements faired in the international arena? Fra nce Ic e land Aus tria J ap an Kor ea Irel an d Zea la n d Source: OECD, UNESCO (2003) Literacy skills for the world of tomorrow, Fig. 2.5, p.76 FYR le Al b ani a Ma c ed oni a Chi Me x ic o Bul gar ia Lux em bou rg Lat v ia Por tug al Pol and Li e chte nste in Ital y Spa in Den ma rk New Fin l an d Mean Reading Literacy of 15-year-olds 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 Source: OECD, UNESCO (2003) Literacy skills for the world of tomorrow, Fig. 3.2, p.100 FYR epu bli c Irel an d le Bra z il Ma c ed oni a Chi Arg ent i na Bul gar ia Is ra el G re e ce Ital y Pol and Fed era tion Ge rm a ny ch R si an Cze Rus nce Den ma rk Fra ted Ki n gdo m Can ada Fin l an d Kor ea ong - Ch ina Li e chte nste in Uni Hon gK Mean Mathematical Literacy of 15-year-olds 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 Source: OECD, UNESCO (2003) Literacy skills for the world of tomorrow, Fig. 3.5, p.109 ong - Ch ina Kor ea Ic e land ted Sta te s nce en FYR Bra z il Ind on e si a Ma c ed oni a Me x ic o Tha il an d Lux em bou rg Por tug al Li e chte nste in Rus si an Fed era tion Den ma rk Ge rm a ny Sw i tze rl an d Uni Fra Sw ed Aus tria ted Ki n gdo m New Zea la n d Uni Hon gK Mean scientific literacy of 15-year-olds: All 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 % at each reading proficiency level Level 5 Level 4 Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 Below Level 1 Source: OECD, UNESCO (2003) Literacy skills for the world of tomorrow, Table 2.1a, p.274 Then, Hong Kong’s education should be perfectly all right … However … Unemployment Trends 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 Unemployment Underemployment 1.0 0.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Hong Kong: As it is! 19% (15-19 yr-olds) double-disengaged 100K (40s-50s) newly unemployed Questions Isn’t it true that EFA promises a good society? Is this unique to Hong Kong, which is after all a small city? Is there any significance to other parts of China, particularly those less developed? The Hong Kong case begs a question: Education for All! but for What? Change in society & workplace Hong Kong … Around 291,000 registered companies (June 2005) 99% under 100 (SME) 94% under 20 69% of employees 40% of employees 86% under 10 33% of employees Hong Kong … Free-lancers 220,000 estimated vis-à-vis 2,200,000 in registered companies The United States Business Enterprises • 98% under 100 • 86% under 20 National Bureau of Economic Research, 2002 Post-industrial: Workplace Project Groups/Task Forces Small Enterprises Free-lancers The Civil Service (Traditional) Why have work units become smaller? Mobile phones CEO of Samsung: “We are not producing telephones. We are producing fashion!” Restaurants: Maxim’s Cantonese Cuisine Chaozhou Cuisine Peking Cuisine Other Chinese Cuisines Miso, Kiko m.a.x. concepts: mezz, EXP, café Landmark, thai basil, can.teen, little basil, the basil, fresh basil, rice paper, Café Express, Deli and Wine, Curtain Up, Concerto Bar & Cafe Starbucks Coffee Over 320 shops G2000 (fashion retail) Michael Tien: “When it works, It’s obsolete!” “Customers don’t know what they want!” Industrial: Scale Production Post-Industrial: Customized Products Products & Services •Customised rather than uniform Benchmark •Quality rather than scale Market & Customers •Unpredictable rather than stable Three examples of the workplace …. Example I: Manufacturing Then Design Production Now Example II: Insurance Traditional: sales of policies Examples II: Insurance Agents: customised policies Example II: Insurance Brokers: personalised services Example III: Investment Banks TASK FORCE Post-industrial: Large Organisations Project Groups Task Forces Production Teams Client Groups “Accounts” Deal Team Task Force Post-industrial: SMEs Function of SME/Task Forces Client-oriented rather than department centred Total solutions rather than divided services Target-specific rather than expertisebased The changes are fundamental … Industrial Society: the Pyramid Industrial Institutions Engineers Technicians Craftsmen Operatives Degrees Diplomas Vocational Training Basic Education Organisations Industrial Large pyramids Producer-centred Departments Hierarchy Tight structure Design at the top Assigned procedures Rules & regulations Post-industrial Small companies Client-centred Project teams Flat organisations Loose & fluid systems Design at front-lines Improvised actions Fit-for-purpose acts Working Modes Industrial Division of labour Individual tasks Specialist duties Administrative links Credential-based appointments Appraisal by seniors Post-industrial Total solutions Team work Integrated expertise Human interactions On-demand, just-intime learning 0 360 appraisal Individual Lives Industrial Lifelong career Long-term loyalty Occupational identity Work-study consistency Org membership Stable employment Escalating salaries Upward mobility Foreseeable retirement Constant networks Stable relations Security, certainty Post-industrial Multiple careers Multiple jobs Blurred identity Work-study mismatch Possible free-lancing Frequent off-jobs Precarious incomes Fluctuating status Unpredictable future Varying networks Changing partners Insecurity, uncertainty Work Activities Industrial Paper work Circulars Minutes Documents Instructions Meetings …… Post-industrial Communications Brainstorming E-mailing SMS Seminars Debates Conferencing Negotiation Presentation Confrontation Lobbying Retreats Expected abilities Industrial Special skills Planning & implementation Navigating the bureaucracy Following the heritage Post-industrial Communications Team-working Human relations Problem-solving Design & innovations Personal responsibility Self-management Ethics, values, principles In particular Industrial •What have they learnt in the past? Post-industrial •How much are they able to learn in the future? After all … Industrial Post-industrial analytic, regulated, holistic, flexible, structured, clear-cut, loose, fuzzy, uniform, convergent, plural, divergent, normative, neat, liberal, complex, assertive and speculative and reducible to tolerant of multiplex parameters concepts Implications for Education … Implications for Education Three basic questions: Preparing young people for jobs? Teaching them specific skills? Preparing for next level of education? Implications for education Preparing young people for jobs? Yes, for a living But not for a changing future ahead They have to be prepared beyond jobs! Hong Kong Department Heads of leading department stores in 1960s and 1970s • Reengineering: English, National Language, Technologies Sunk to second tier shops • New demands again Become domestic helpers for the deprived Implications for education Teaching them specific skills? Yes, on-demand But not as the aim of “education” They need generic capacity for life! Key competencies Interacting in socially heterogeneous groups Acting autonomously Using tools purposively and interactively OECD: The Definition and Selection of Competencies: Theoretical and Conceptual Foundations Project (DeSeCo) Key competencies (OECD) Interacting in socially heterogeneous groups The ability to relate well to others The ability to cooperate The ability to manage and resolve conflicts Acting autonomously The ability to act within the “big picture” The ability to form and conduct life plans and personal projects The ability to defend and assert one’s rights, interests, limits, and needs Using tools purposively and interactively The ability to use language, symbols, and text The ability to use knowledge and information The ability to use technology Curriculum as Subjects Curriculum as KLAs Diverse Learning Experiences Study Classes Diverse Learning Experiences Academic Classes Knowledge Implications for education Preparing for next level of education? Yes, as a matter of survival But depriving them lifelong preparation They have to develop attributes for life! Vertical Subjects Social/Moral Dimension Creativity Numeracy Literacy Baseline Competence Lifelong attributes Optimism about life Passion about nature Commitment to society Commitment to nation Perseverance amidst odds Readiness to expand one’s capacity Broad base experiences Experience in organising Appreciation of arts and music Attitude of helping and caring Seriousness about the details …… Lifelong attributes Eagerness to interact with people Love for peace Sense of justice Consciousness of equity Awareness of the deprived Comfort with other cultures Basic understanding of sex and family Understanding and facing moral dilemmas Rudimentary analysis and synthesis Belief in rationality Tolerance of diversity and plurality …… Lifelong attributes Many of these are achievable only during the secondary years! And most are independent of the economic status of the nation! KG Primary Secondary Tertiary “All these are perhaps true in your society, but are too remote to my society ….” Well, ….. After all … The core business of education is to prepare young people for a changing future; is not only about more scientists and technologists; is to liberate and empower them to create and master their own future! Trends … Education policy concerns: 1960-70s 1980s Since 990s Systems: School: Students: planning management learning It is now the capacity of learning that counts above all! Thank you Contact: kmcheng@hku.hk Extra … about learning … Learning New understanding of Learning Learning as Knowledge Construction Learning through Experience Learning through Applications Learning from Co-learners Learning as Improvement Learning Corollaries about Learning Learning takes place through meaningful human activities Understanding and application of knowledge are necessarily intertwined Everybody can learn Individuals learn differently Teachers’ role in scaffolding End