Lecture Presentation Software to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Seventh Edition by Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown Chapter 17 Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Questions to be answered: • What are the two generic equity portfolio management styles? • What are three techniques for constructing a passive index portfolio? • How does the goal of a passive equity portfolio manager differ from the goal of an active manager? • What is a portfolio’s tracking error and how is it useful in the construction of a passive equity investment? Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies • What is the difference between an index mutual fund and an exchange-traded fund? • What are the three themes that active equity portfolio managers can use? • What stock characteristics differentiate valueoriented and growth-oriented investment styles? • What is style analysis and what does it indicate about a manager’s investment performance? Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies • What techniques are used by active managers in an attempt to outperform their benchmark? • What are differences between the integrated, strategic, tactical, and insured approaches to asset allocation? • How can futures and options be useful in managing an equity portfolio? Passive versus Active Management • Passive equity portfolio management – – – – Long-term buy-and-hold strategy Usually tracks an index over time Designed to match market performance Manager is judged on how well they track the target index • Active equity portfolio management – Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis An Overview of Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies • Replicate the performance of an index • May slightly underperform the target index due to fees and commissions • Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent) are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted performance • Many different market indexes are used for tracking portfolios Index Portfolio Strategy Construction Techniques • Full replication • Sampling • Quadratic optimization or programming Full Replication • All securities in the index are purchased in proportion to weights in the index • This helps ensure close tracking • Increases transaction costs, particularly with dividend reinvestment Sampling • Buys a representative sample of stocks in the benchmark index according to their weights in the index • Fewer stocks means lower commissions • Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult • Will not track the index as closely, so there will be some tracking error Expected Tracking Error Between the S&P 500 Index and Portfolio Samples of Less Than 500 Stocks Expected Tracking Error (Percent) Exhibit 17.2 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 500 400 300 200 100 0 Number of Stocks Quadratic Optimization (or programming techniques) • Historical information on price changes and correlations between securities are input into a computer program that determines the composition of a portfolio that will minimize tracking error with the benchmark • This relies on historical correlations, which may change over time, leading to failure to track the index Methods of Index Portfolio Investing • Index Funds – Attempt to replicate a benchmark index • Exchange-Traded Funds – EFTs are depository receipts that give investors a pro rata claim on the capital gains and cash flows of the securities that are held in deposit by a financial institution that issued the certificates An Overview of Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies • Goal is to earn a portfolio return that exceeds the return of a passive benchmark portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis • Practical difficulties of active manager – Transactions costs must be offset – Risk can exceed passive benchmark Fundamental Strategies • Top-down versus bottom-up approaches • Asset and sector rotation strategies Sector Rotation • Position a portfolio to take advantage of the market’s next move • Screening can be based on various stock characteristics: – – – – – Value Growth P/E Capitalization Sensitivity to economic variables Technical Strategies • Contrarian investment strategy • Price momentum strategy • Earnings momentum strategy Value versus Growth • Growth stocks will outperform value stocks for a time and then the opposite occurs • Over time value stocks have offered somewhat higher returns than growth stocks Value versus Growth • Growth-oriented investor will: – focus on EPS and its economic determinants – look for companies expected to have rapid EPS growth – assumes constant P/E ratio Value versus Growth • Value-oriented investor will: – focus on the price component – not care much about current earnings – assume the P/E ratio is below its natural level Style • Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of the characteristics of equity securities • Small-capitalization stocks, low-P/E stocks, etc… • Value stocks appear to be underpriced – price/book or price/earnings • Growth stocks enjoy above-average earnings per share increases Does Style Matter? • Choice to align with investment style communicates information to clients • Determining style is useful in measuring performance relative to a benchmark • Style identification allows an investor to diversify by portfolio • Style investing allows control of the total portfolio to be shared between the investment managers and a sponsor Determining Style • Style grid: – firm size – value-growth characteristics • Style analysis – constrained least squares Benchmark Portfolios • Sharpe – T-bills, intermediate-term government bonds, long-term government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage related securities, large-capitalization value stocks, large-capitalization growth stocks, medium-capitalization stocks, smallcapitalization stocks, non-U.S. bonds, European stocks, and Japanese stocks Benchmark Portfolios • Sharpe • BARRA – Uses portfolios formed around 13 different security characteristics, including variability in markets, past firm success, firm size, trading activity, growth orientation, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-price ratio, earnings variability, financial leverage, foreign income, labor intensity, yield, and low capitalization Benchmark Portfolios • Sharpe • BARRA • Ibbotson Associates – simplest style model uses portfolios formed around five different characteristics: cash (Tbills), large-capitalization growth, smallcapitalization growth, large-capitalization value, and small-capitalization value Timing Between Styles • Variations in returns among mutual funds are largely attributable to differences in styles • Different styles tend to move at different times in the business cycle Asset Allocation Strategies • Integrated asset allocation – capital market conditions – investor’s objectives and constraints • Strategic asset allocation – constant-mix • Tactical asset allocation – mean reversion – inherently contrarian • Insured asset allocation – constant proportion Asset Allocation Strategies • Selecting an allocation method depends on: – Perceptions of variability in the client’s objectives and constraints – Perceived relationship between the past and future capital market conditions Using Futures and Options in Equity Portfolio Management • Systematic and unsystematic risk of equity portfolios can be modified by using futures and options derivatives • Selling futures on the portfolio’s underlying assets reduces the portfolio’s sensitivity to price changes of the asset • Options do not have symmetrical impact on returns The Use of Futures in Asset Allocation • Allows changing the portfolio allocation quickly to adjust to forecasts at lower transaction costs • Futures can maintain an overall balance in a portfolio • Futures can gain exposure to international markets • Currency exposure can be managed using currency futures and options Using Derivatives in Passive Equity Portfolio Management • Futures and options can help control cash inflows and outflows from the portfolio – Inflows - index contracts allow time to make investments – Outflows - large planned withdrawal is made by selling securities, which causes an increase in cash holdings; futures can counterbalance this until the withdrawal • Options can be sold to reduce weightings in sectors or individual stocks during rebalancing Using Derivatives in Active Equity Portfolio Management • Modifying systematic risk • Modifying unsystematic risk The Internet Investments Online www.russell.com www.firstquadrant.com www.wilshire.com www.fool.com www.dailystocks.com End of Chapter 17 –Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Future topics Chapter 18 • Bond Fundamentals