G20 PACMUN 2015 Pacific Model United Nations Group of 20 Director: Maya Lefelman Chair: Elizabeth Gleyzer Assistant Director: David Hwang 1 G20 PACMUN 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS Personal Messages/Committee Introductions ....................................................................................................... 3 G20 Committee Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 4 Topic 1: Sustainable Energy Funding ................................................................................................................... 4 Topic Intro ......................................................................................................................................................... 4 History .............................................................................................................................................................. 5 Past International Action ................................................................................................................................... 7 Current Situation ............................................................................................................................................... 8 Bloc Positions .................................................................................................................................................. 11 Central and South America ......................................................................................................................... 11 Asia.............................................................................................................................................................. 11 Europe ......................................................................................................................................................... 12 Africa ........................................................................................................................................................... 12 Middle East .................................................................................................................................................. 13 Oceania ....................................................................................................................................................... 13 Case Studies ................................................................................................................................................... 13 Germany: Renewable Energy Sources Act ................................................................................................. 13 California: LADWP - Solar Incentive Program ............................................................................................. 14 Guided Questions ............................................................................................................................................ 15 Sustainable Energy Funding Resources ......................................................................................................... 15 Topic 2: Food Security ........................................................................................................................................ 17 Topic Intro ....................................................................................................................................................... 17 History ............................................................................................................................................................. 18 Past International Action ................................................................................................................................. 19 Current Situation ............................................................................................................................................. 20 Bloc Positions .................................................................................................................................................. 21 Europe ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 Africa ........................................................................................................................................................... 22 Asia.............................................................................................................................................................. 22 Middle East .................................................................................................................................................. 23 South America ............................................................................................................................................. 23 North America .............................................................................................................................................. 24 Case Studies ................................................................................................................................................... 24 Kenya .......................................................................................................................................................... 24 Canada ........................................................................................................................................................ 25 Guided Questions ............................................................................................................................................ 25 Food Security Resources ............................................................................................................................. 26 2 G20 PACMUN 2015 PERSONAL MESSAGES/CO MMITTEE INTRODUCTIONS Hi, my name is Elizabeth Gleyzer, and I'm a senior at Bellarmine Prep. I'm absolutely honored to be Chairing the G20, but there are a couple things I need to clarify. First, this is the best committee. Not because our topics are cooler than any other committees (which they are), or because the dais for this committee is phenomenal (which it is), but because all of YOU are in it. Put yourself out there, speak even if you're scared to, form a coalition, and LEARN from every person around you. Remember that the countries you will be taking the role of are the most economically powerful in the world, so it makes sense that the issues we present you with are currently on the world’s forefront. And because I should probably tell you a little bit about myself, I like to debate and I love politics, violin, singing, poetry, and philosophy. This is my second year with PACMUN after serving as USG of Finance and Director of the UNHRC in its inaugural year. Please come talk to me because I would absolutely love to meet you! So with that, please promise us a productive, interesting, and most importantly, FUN session. Here's to Pacific Model United Nations 2015. Hello, my name is David Hwang, and I’m a junior at Interlake High School. I’m so overjoyed to be afforded the privilege to serve as your Assistant Director in G20 this year. Much like how PACMUN is unrivaled by any other student-run Model United Nations in the Pacific Region, G20 is unrivaled in brownie-points in comparison to all the committees in this reasonably large partitioned hotel floor. We are the Floyd Mayweather of International Commerce, we are The Money Team! I’d greatly encourage all delegates to actively represent his/her own member state’s position as vocally as possible. I know maybe overwhelming for some (I myself was a shy pigeon in my first MUNxperience), but if you can overcome the initial fear of speaking in the first few sessions, you’ll find your throat chugging like a choo-choo train by Sunday! As always feel free to address me with any questions or concerns with correct parliamentary procedure. I’m truly really psyched to have you on board this year and I really do hope you have as much fun as I will in being part of this wonderful committee. Hello, my name is Maya Lefelman and I am a senior at the International Community School. I am beyond excited to be your G20 director! Some boring information about me includes that I play violin, love sleeping, and have a small army of cactus plants. More importantly, I would like to say a few things about this committee. I am incredibly honored to be working with two amazing fellow dais members, David and Elizabeth, and we are so excited to meet and work with all of you. I want to emphasize that even if you are terrified coming in to this conference, even if you tremble at the thought of public speaking, we are going to support you and not bring you down. Don’t avoid speaking out of fear of sounding stupid. Don’t think you will embarrass yourself. You are going to be more than fine; you are going to be amazing. I encourage everyone to venture out of their comfort zone during PACMUN, and I promise, at the end of the weekend, you will look back and see you accomplished things you never imagined yourself doing. Here is to an amazing committee with each and every one of you 3 G20 PACMUN 2015 G20 COMMITTEE INTRODUCTION The Group of 20 (G20) is a committee that was founded in 1999 whose goal is to “bring together systemically important industrialized and developing economies to discuss key issues in the global economy” while seeking to address issues that go beyond the responsibilities of any one organization. This group’s member states consist of 19 countries and the European Union. The G20 economies account for 90% of global output, 80% of world trade, and two thirds of the world’s population. TOPIC 1: SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUNDING TOPIC INTRO Living in a world that runs on energy consumption, human populations must make the transition to relying primarily on sustainable energy in order to ensure a more energy abundant and reliable future. As the United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said, “Sustainable energy can revitalize our economies, strengthen social equity, and catalyze a clean energy revolution that benefits all humanity. Acting together, we can open new horizons today and help power a brighter tomorrow.” Taking action on these progressive words, the Secretary-General launched a clean energy campaign, ‘Sustainable Energy for All,’ which aims to show the world how to make sustainable energy a reality in 2015 so that by the year 2030 sustainable energy will be achieved worldwide. This plan includes a 3-Year Target plan which will, by 2016, have large private investment in at least 10 partner member states, establish at least 30 High-Impact Opportunities (HIOs), and aim for the accumulation of an additional tens of billions of dollars in voluntary commitments by the private 4 G20 PACMUN 2015 sector. This plan outlined by the Secretary-General’s clean energy campaign was put into place to combat the harsh reality of modern energy standings today. In 2014 alone, carbon dioxide emissions (in million metric tons) were 2,279 from petroleum and other liquid fuels, 1,414 from natural gas, 1,753 from coal, totaling up to over 5,446 million metric tons of CO2 emissions. Today, fossil fuels still account for over 80% of the world energy supply. Taking into consideration recent emission trends, with respect to different types of fuel and energy spending as well as the distribution of energy usage across the globe, do you think the Sustainable Energy for All will successfully address all of the issues that are incorporated into the usage of unclean energy or is the best way to respond to this widespread problem? HISTORY Since its inception in 1999, the Group of Twenty (G20) has been actively involved in the allocation of funds for various proposed Sustainable Infrastructural improvements in both member and non-member states. G20 was mainly responsible for the approval and recommendation of financial allocations to the UN Secretariat and General Assembly. However, in response to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, it was declared by the George W. Bush (Preceding as Chair over the 2008 G20 Summit) that G20 was to be allowed “direct communication with heads of states representing both member and invitee states both in and out of Summit session.” Ever since this declaration, G20 has been able to circumvent General Assembly oversight and forward its recommendations directly to heads of state. G20 was founded in 1999, with the primary purpose of drawing upon the resources and experience of advanced economies in order to “study, review, and promote” high-level discussion concerning international financial stability. Initially G20 was considered an extension of G7’s discussion agenda, with a larger member-state pool to facilitate discussion. Discussion was originally sparse and primarily concerned with maintaining the inflation of critical currencies, developing numerous counter-initiatives towards a potential financial Doomsday Scenario, and recommending intervention by the Security Council to protect several key economic interests. Originally G20 found no precedence in environmental reformation within its jurisdiction; G7 was originally accustomed to promoting environmental legislation and proposing environmental legislation in a larger member pool was deemed inefficient. The introduction of the Millennial Development Goals in 2000, specifically MDG 7, had little relevance to the regular proceedings of the committee. It was only until late 2005 when several G20 economies experienced the detrimental effects of natural disaster that began seeing its first proposals of environmental reform. 5 G20 PACMUN 2015 As large-scale natural disasters continued to pose threats towards the economic stability of several member-nations and critical assets, G20 eventually took up the task of dealing with significant natural disasters individually. In the period of 2005-2007 alone, 60% of G20’s primary agenda was inundated with subjects regarding economic strategy aimed at mitigating losses and maintaining the financial stability of international commerce. The inundation of G20’s financial agenda with economic recovery initiatives, G7’s relative inactivity, along with the culmination of several factors is said to have led to an oversight in the vulnerability of the USD. It was recognized by many head-of-states that the economic countermeasures against international financial collapse were ineffective and significantly outdated due in part to the overwhelming agenda of several key economic forums and a lack of direct communication with head-of-states and their respective administrators. Although George W. Bush organized and chaired the 1 G20 Head-of-State Summit in 2008 primarily in an attempt to elevate awareness of the Global Financial Crisis towards an st 6 G20 PACMUN 2015 international audience, the move was also an initiative to rectify and resolve the issues prevalent in standard G20 procedure. The international attention the first G20 Summit had received was successful in mitigating many of these inefficiencies within. G20 was relieved of its responsibility in providing economic recovery initiatives in response towards significant natural disasters. Many of these responsibilities have been delegated among committees around the United Nations, most prominently the Security Council and United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). From 2010-Present, G20’s current agenda has been evenly balanced about between aims at preserving economic stability and developing and testing countermeasures as recommended by external third party consultants and G20 member state Finance Ministers. The relative serenity of the current G20 forum has prompted to the United Nations to take up environmental reform once again, but in significantly more specific approach. Drawing away from the intricacies of blanket reform towards broad climate conservation, G20 has specifically targeted its own member-states’ infrastructures and energy production methods in an attempt to slow the progression of climate change. PAST INTERNATIONAL A CTION As previously stated G20 was primarily concerned with maintaining the financial stability of nations following significant natural disasters from its inception to late-2007. Due to only recently up-taking of responsibility in implementing Sustainable Energy/Infrastructural Reform, the forum’s renewed premature focus drawing more towards economic recovery initiatives, and new method of environmental reform in maintaining a healthy economic fabric; G20 has rather had a limited track record on dealing with these specific issues. 7 G20 PACMUN 2015 During the period of 2009-2012, most forum and Summit activity was centered in developing and promoting awareness of financial recovery initiatives internationally. Following the acknowledgement of recovery in Mexico’s Head-of-State Summit (G2012), G20 was allowed the time and resources to take on funding recommendation for miscellaneous activities, including regulation in currency exchanges, development of funding packages for Agricultural Security Projects, and the development of funding recommendations for Sustainable Energy Proposal/Reform for singular or multi-national solutions. It was only until 2013 when G20 released its first publication, titled “The Group of Twenty Feasibility Analytics concerning Alternative Energy Production Methods Worldwide.” Developed in a period of over a year in collaboration with NATO and voluntary contributions from credible government fact books, the publication presented numerous case studies on several member states represented G20, the most prominent being the United States, India, and China. Each case study analyzed and traced the most common water, air, and radioactive contaminants along with their specific sources, along with statistical reports on Alternative Energy Production and performance reviews of each sovereign state’s alternative energy equipment/techniques. The study also analyzed individual sources of energy (both conventional and sustainable) and evaluated their contribution to each nation’s respective GDP, a classification of the developmental stage of the source industry, and the energy source’s impact on the prices and logistical considerations of other energy production methods. Taking all of this corroborated data into consideration, the report then develops unique assessments and sustainable energy conversion timelines for each studied sovereign state on the basis of conventional energy’s economic integration, available Sustainable Energy technologies, and a budget accompanied with financing and loan propositions. In the 2014 G20 Head-of-State Brisbane Summit chaired by the Prime Minister of Australia, the forum announced among the various issues requiring G20’s particular attention, that G20 would “promote the discussion of affordable alternative energy sources to slow the accelerating implications of climate change.” The rapid fluctuation of energy prices in the past two years have made finding sustainable energy practices, sources, and infrastructure a newfounded priority within the future G20 agenda. CURRENT SITUATION As of late 2015, international economic activity has spiked once again, shuttling G20 into a slightly familiar, yet much more effectively managed sense of urgency. The sudden collapse of investor confidence in the Chinese Economy, the continual rise of the dollar bubble, and the uncertainty of congress’s decision on the Iranian Nuclear Agreement has put international currencies in a gravely unpredictable state, and have made the development of effective sustainable energy practices more important than ever. 8 G20 PACMUN 2015 The significant loss and pullout of millions of investors from state-owned assets and privately owned companies has proved detrimental to the Chinese economy, even more so to the Chinese Yuan. Furthermore, the massive devaluation of the Chinese Yuan has instigated a massive housing slump, and the government’s currency corrections have done nothing but depress Chinese Consumer Confidence. The massive deterioration of domestic consumer confidence has produced a sharp decline sales in both consumer and commercial goods, prompting the exodus of companies ranging from Louis Vuitton to Hyundai Heavy Industries. With environmentally friend vehicle manufacturers such as BMW and Tesla, along with large alternative energy corporations such as Suntech and Trina dissolving their joint venture contracts and reducing their Chinese prevalence, the development of Chinese Alternative energy sources and sustainable infrastructure has taken a massive and possibly irreversible hit in progression. In an economic perspective the massive devaluation of Chinese currency may prove advantageous for various new companies seeking an opportunity to open in the Chinese Market, and a timely method of subverting the costs of heavy tariffs and custom regulations. But internationally, the devaluation of Chinese Yuan has taken a complex hit on many currencies worldwide, and likewise has taken a similar hit in their sustainable energy developments and projected timelines. The Chinese Yuan in recent years was initially perceived as a “blue-chip” investable currency or a cheaper but relatively safe alternative to the United States Dollar with the promise 9 G20 PACMUN 2015 of bigger increase in valuation. For nations unable to afford to tolerate the expense in conducting international transactions with the US Dollar, Chinese Yuan was seen as the perfect solution. As a result, it is a commonality for mid to lower-tier nations, particularly Latin American to conduct international trade with Chinese Yuan as a preferred currency. In exchange for an increased reliance on Chinese Yuan over the United States Dollar, China provided several Latin sovereign states with numerous incentives including the construction of sustainable energy sources and infrastructure for these nations to meet projected pollution and energy production goals established by the General Assembly of the United Nations. But with the freefall of the Chinese Yuan’s valuation in the late-July of 2015, confidence in Chinese Yuan fell in a similar fashion. Soon almost 78% of Latin American sovereign states found themselves almost entirely committed to the United States Dollars. Having breached their contract with Chinese authorities, almost all construction or development of sustainable energy sources and infrastructure has slowed to a utter standstill in Latin America. With the massive devaluation of a competitor currency, the turmoil embroiling in the Euro-Zone, and the United States sudden nuclear agreement with the Iranian Government, the United States Dollar has skyrocketed tremendously, at one point almost matching the Euro at a 1:1 ratio and the British Pound at 8.4:10. Conceivably a skyrocket in valuation is good for the United States economy, alleviating the concern over the burst of a dollar bubble and allowing for foreign goods to be imported at much cheaper rates. But in the scope of Sustainable Energy, this has yet another detrimental effect upon the development of Sustainable Energy Sources and infrastructure inside the United States. Although some domestic alternative energy companies are self-sufficient on domestic demand and investment alone, a large majority of domestic alternative energy companies depend on foreign investment and demand. Although the rise in valuation of the USD allows for much greater profit margins in exported orders outside NAFTA borders, the increase in profit is highly unlikely to break-even with lower demand. Once again, many of these companies have a majority of their stakes, demand, and factories rooted in or indirectly to China. The lack of demand from Chinese Energy Companies, the increased expense in producing goods in China, and the massive sell-off of stakes in these companies by Chinese investors to recuperate their losses back at home places a significant amount of these Sustainable Energy Companies in a downhill tumble towards bankruptcy. Although at first glance, the currency devaluation of the Chinese Yuan seems irrelevant in the context of Sustainable Energy Promotion, it in fact has a detrimental effect towards Sustainable Energy Conversion timetable. Considering that the existence of both future and preexisting Sustainable Energy Projects in the nations of China and the United States, the two largest contributors in both Greenhouse Gases and Toxic Pollutants, have taken a direct and possibly fatal hit of progression and funding; the continuation of the Chinese financial crisis will be a detrimental setback in the pursuit of reversing the implications climate change. The 10 G20 PACMUN 2015 elimination of key Sustainable Energy Developers in the United States, their suppliers in China, and the inability of European Companies to meet the demands of Sustainable Energy technologies in outlying sovereign states could spell disaster for the Alternative Energy Movement as a whole. BLOC POSITIONS CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA Latin and Central American economies are expected to grow 3% annually and therefore are expected to double their installed power capacity to roughly 600 gigawatts by 2030 at the price of $430 billion. As of right now, Latin America generates around 7% of the world’s total electricity production, but as population levels rise, demand is expected to triple as simultaneously the carbon emissions from the power sector are expected to double. In 2012, carbon dioxide emission in Central and South America was set at 1400 million metric tons, a slower but still drastic increase from the previous 2002 statistic at 1140 million metric tons. Chinese investment in sustainable and profitable energy has been working to cap the statistic, but the Chinese economic collapse rendered these efforts inactive. Latin American governments have vowed to increase energy production shares of natural gas in Latin America to 40% by 2050, along with some investments into nuclear and geothermal resources. But with the abandonment of Chinese support, along with flailing local economies, Environmental reform has taken a backseat in the agendas of many of these Latin American sovereign states. ASIA Inaugurated in 1992, ASTAE (Asia Sustainable and Alternative Energy Program) has been working towards establishing renewable energy, energy efficiency, and access to energy in the East Asia and Pacific (EAP) and South Asia (SAR) regions as they transition to sustainable energy programs. Southeast Asia’s energy demand will be increasing by over 80% between 2013 and 2035, and while the region faces sharply increasing reliance on imports, high costs will be imposed and the market will be left more vulnerable than before. Fossil-fuel subsidy reform remains a challenge throughout Asia as subsidies amounted to $51 billion in 2012 thus deterring investment in needed energy infrastructure and hampering improvements in energy efficiency and the deployment of renewable energy. In an overall perspective, the support and active focus towards environmental reform is mixed among members in the Asian bloc. Member-states such as South Korea and Japan are actively committed towards sustainable energy initiatives and are actively involved in promoting clean energy awareness in foreign nations via the private sector. 11 G20 PACMUN 2015 China has notably expressed a lack environmental reform in its current international agenda, and makes obvious attempts at avoiding environmental legislation when concerned with their own environmental track record. EUROPE The European Union (EU) set in place the National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) in order to reach its target of generating 20% of its energy consumption from renewable sources by 2020. Six different greenhouse gases have been reported to have been emitted from the EU: carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulphur hexafluoride. As of 2012, greenhouse gas emissions in the EU stood at 4,678.8 million tons. The European Union has been on the more active promoters of environmental reform in all of its member states as well as on an international scale. The European Union’s combined GDP draws about 2% from Sustainable Energy development, and currently has the most number of state-ofthe art nuclear facilities and alternative energy generation plants in the world. European frontrunners such as Germany, the UK, and France has expressed their commitment in alleviating the smog issues plaguing most of their major cities, and sharing successful emission curtailing methodology of foreign nations supportive of environmental reform. All member states in the European Union have made significant investment into their own sustainable energy infrastructure to align with Euro-Zone pollutant regulations. AFRICA Africa is home to several sustainable energy development programs, name African Sustainable Energy Association (AFSEA), Sustainable Energy Society of Southern Africa (SESSA), and African Renewable Energy Alliance (AREA). Africa’s energy sector can be divided into 3 regions: North Africa, which is mostly dependent on oil and gas; South Africa, which is largely dependent on coal, and; Sub-Saharan Africa, which relies heavily on biomass. Most of Africa’s energy resources have gone unexploited. For example, only 7% of Africa’s hydro potential has been harnessed and geothermal energy has been only lightly used. In 2012, carbon dioxide emissions in Africa stood at 1169 million metric tons. In a perspective overall, Africa remains mixed in its prospects for both its own and international energy reformation. Sovereign states of Africa still remained divided on whether sustainable energy should be top priority for funding in a continent that contributes relatively little to international pollution, with nations mostly divided in terms of economic stability and development. 12 G20 PACMUN 2015 MIDDLE EAST The Middle Eastern and North African region (MENA) is home to more than half of the world’s crude oil and more than a third of its natural gas reserves, and the Middle East alone possesses roughly 41% of natural gas reserves. The absence of cost-reflective energy and electricity tariffs in the MENA region currently cast a shadow over the potential cost advantages of this area that lie largely in potential geothermal and solar energy harnessing. In 2012, carbon dioxide emissions in the Middle East stood at 2036 million metric tons where gas flaring is a major regional emissions source and in previous decades accounted for nearly half of the region’s total fossil fuel emissions. Overall, a majority of Middle Eastern Sovereign states are in popular support for environmental reformation in the international scale. But many of these nations remain apprehensive in supporting legislation that will contribute to the downfall of international oil usage. OCEANIA The Pacific Island Countries are currently heavily dependent on fossil fuels, as current estimates suggest that petroleum products account for around 80% of their primary commercial energy consumption. Renewable energy, primarily hydro, is estimated to contribute merely less than 10% of each Pacific Island Country’s commercial energy use. The main source of renewable energy from New Zealand would be hydro, and Australia’s Australian Renewable Energy Agency is currently developing technologies to harness wave, tidal, and ocean thermal energy, in order to take advantage of the renewable energy supplied by their environment. In 2012, Australia’s carbon dioxide emissions were at 138 million metric tons, and those of New Zealand and Fiji were 22 mmt and 1.5 mmt, respectively. Much like Africa, many of these Oceanic nations question the precedence Environmental Reform over other basic humanitarian issues that are currently plaguing the it’s sovereign states. Oceanic nations attempt to avoid environmental legislation in favor of legislation that is relevant in the agendas of their respective states. CASE STUDIES GERMANY: RENEW ABLE ENERGY SOURCES ACT The Renewable Energy Sources Act was created in 2000 in order to replace the Electricity Feed-in Law (1991-2000) which made the purchase of electricity from renewable sources mandatory and set at a fixed price. The Electricity Feed-in Law included grid operators not having to comply with these obligations after they met a limit of 5% renewable electricity. Since the Act has been established, however, this 5% cap has been abolished, the volume of 13 G20 PACMUN 2015 electricity generated from renewable energies supported by this Act increased over threefold, and the share of wind and biomass more than doubled and photovoltaic systems saw a nine-fold increase. The three main principles of this act are 1) investment protection through guaranteed feed-in tariffs and connection requirement, 2) no charge to Germany’s public purse, and 3) innovation by decreasing feed-in tariffs. Not only has establishing the Renewable Energy Sources Act reduced a significant energy cap, it has created a surplus of new jobs in the field. In this way, the Act is benefiting both the energy companies and general citizens of Germany and is therefore further developing and benefiting the socio-economic status of the area by increasing renewable energy production while simultaneously helping lower unemployment rates. As Germany has the highest GDP in the European Union, funding the Renewable Energy Source Act has not placed a major strain on their economy. In fact, the net benefit for Germany’s economy has been over 3.2 billion euros. However, while the Act has been and continues to prove its success, many countries may not be able to afford it. How else might a country try to increase its renewable energy output, but at a lower price? What kind of assistance can the international community and G20 provide to aid the transition to renewable energy worldwide? CALIFORNIA: LADW P - SOLAR INCENTIVE PROG RAM The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) approved a solar buy-down program that is designed to promote the use of renewable energy through the installation of photovoltaic systems both by residents and businesses in the Los Angeles area. The program aims to encourage PV manufacturers to locate manufacturing in Los Angeles by offering a higher per watt rebate and access to economic development programs with a goal to have 100 MW of solar power developed in the City of Los Angeles by the year 2020 through the buydown program and through LADWP-constructed solar power plants. The LADWP has made the Solar Incentive Program as accessible as possible for all residents by creating a 6-step plan as follows: find an installer, investigate solar financing, apply for an incentive program, complete permitting process, interconnect to utility, submit incentive claim. This program calls for LA residents to become more educated in the field of solar energy by giving the incentive of providing them with financial compensation if their solar panels are up to standards and prove to be effectively generating renewable energy, as they will if the owners take proper care of the panels. While the incentive program does involve giving money back to the consumer, the fact remains that purchasing solar panels in the first place is incredibly expensive. This Program may not be relevant to the middle-class resident of the Los Angeles area, and thus, on a large scale, 14 G20 PACMUN 2015 may not be able to amount to significant renewable energy harnessing relative to the population of LA. How might a program such as this one be improved? GUIDED QUESTIONS • Is your member state in favor of international or internal regulation of economic matters? • What are your country’s energy policies? • What does the energy distribution look like in your country? • Financially, how does your country support its energy spending? • Is your country in support of shifting towards sustainable energy completely? • How does using renewable and likewise nonrenewable energy affect your country’s markets, economy, and other factors? • How would the shift towards complete sustainable energy affect your country? SUSTAINABLE ENERGY F UNDING RESOURCES United Nations Official Website: • http://www.un.org/wcm/content/site/sustainableenergyforall/ • http://www.un.org/wcm/content/site/sustainableenergyforall/home/Initiative • http://www.unfoundation.org/what-we-do/campaigns-and-initiatives/sustainable-energyfor-all/ • http://www.un-energy.org/activities/192-asia-sustainable-and-alternative-energyprogramme-astae Sustainable Energy for All Program: • http://www.se4all.org • http://www.se4all.org/wpcontent/uploads/2015/05/SE4ALL_2014_annual_report_final.pdf • http://www.se4all.org/energyefficiencyplatform/ 15 G20 PACMUN 2015 Governmental Websites • http://www.eia.gov Miscellaneous Organizations: • https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/CO2EmissionsFromFuelCo mbustionHighlights2014.pdf • https://www.astae.net • https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/SoutheastAsiaEnergyOutlo ok_WEO2013SpecialReport.pdf • https://www.ecn.nl/projects/nreap/2010/home/ • http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/national-renewable-energy-action-plan 16 G20 PACMUN 2015 TOPIC 2: FOOD SECURITY TOPIC INTRO Economic growth, job creation, investment, and trade are all linked to boosting agricultural productivity. Strengthening the global food system has proved time and time again to be an increasingly important issue. The G20 created a Food Security and Nutrition framework (FSN) that it relies on to guide the promotion of food security while also integrating smallholders into markets and creating a stronghold against food price volatility. Not only does the FSN create jobs in agriculture, but it promotes the rural sector, leading to more widespread food development as a whole. The FAO calculates 805 million people to live in food insecurity. Production would have to increase by 60 percent by 2050 to feed the rapidly increasing population of our planet. We must attack the problem by recognizing what its root is. Poverty, rural underdevelopment, unemployment, and low household income are really where the problem lies. Only by improving productivity, enhancing incomes, and diversifying sources of revenue, as well as by implementing the rural, non-farm food system economy, can we truly make a difference. The three priority objectives of the G20 in this respect are to: 1. Increase responsible investment in food systems, which entails partnerships with the private sector, efficient food and agriculture trade, as well as access to inclusive financial services; 2. Increase incomes and quality employment in food systems, which cover labor market policies, human resource development programs, and effective humanitarian interventions; 3. Increase productivity sustainably to expand the food supply, which means to enhance both processing and distribution as well as research and conservation. The issue of food insecurity is both relevant and pressing because malnutrition (and in cases, obesity) plague our world and its people. With strong guidelines to make sure the FSN is implemented, along with its underlying policies, the G20 will be successful in combating food insecurity, one step at a time. 17 G20 PACMUN 2015 HISTORY Since its inception in 1999, the Group of Twenty (G20) has been the center of financing provisional for Agricultural Security Projects (ASPs) all across the international community. G20 is mainly responsible for the allocation of funding for Agricultural Projects; however, due to recent developments in the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), G20 has been given much more authority on matters concerning ongoing projects. Over its sixteen years of operation, G20 has allocated funds for various ASPs located in member states such as Mexico and Argentina, as well as several nonmember/guest states. Before the establishment of G20, the FAO was originally responsible for the financial management and negotiations with the World Bank and International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD). Initially conceived as a one-stop neutral forum for the debate and implementation of hunger fighting programs, the Food and Agriculture Organization was simultaneously responsible for the budgeting, fundraising, and implementation of numerous Agricultural Security Projects since its inception in 1976. Although responsible for several successful hunger campaigns in Vietnam, the former Soviet Union, and Afghanistan, the organization in 1999 fell into a period of turmoil and mismanagement, eventually seeing criticism for its illresponse towards Tutsi refugees and former captives of the Rwandan Genocide and its efforts in the multilateral UN African Hunger effort. The Governing Council of the IFAD’s testimony of 18 G20 PACMUN 2015 financial mismanagement to the General Assembly prompted the UN to seek an alternative method of finance. By early year 2000, while establishing the Millennium Development Goals, the FAO’s budgeting and fundraising responsibilities have been distributed to several committees around the United Nations. Starting in the mid-fiscal year of 2000, G20 was delegated the responsibilities concerning the funding of several Agricultural Security Projects within the jurisdiction of all its member nations. One year after G20’s inception, the UN officially acknowledged the committee’s ability to delegate critical funding allocations concerning numerous global ASPs that fall under the FAO’s jurisdiction. G20’s first ASP allocation, for the immediate food aid response for the mass crop failure in the Mexican Province of Durango was successful enough to attract an official revision in G20’s provisional statement, delegating the committee with the official duties of “providing a international forum for the discussion of financial strategies concerning the UN’s War on Hunger.” Overall, since its delegation in early 2000, a major goal of this commission is to provide recommendation for how funding resources are to be allocated amongst each ASP’s critical assets and infrastructure. As of 2014 G20 Brisbane Summit, G20 economies account for 35% of legislation geared towards FAO and non-FAO related ASPs, with G20 interacting directly with the IFAD agency. PAST INTERNATIONAL A CTION Initially G20’s involvement in Agricultural Security Projects was limited to developing supplemental consultation material for the General Assembly. Within the bounds of General Assemblies proceedings, G20 was no more than a consultant for legislation surrounding ASP funding activities. In 2003, the General Assembly, Security Council, and a host of various subcommittees were producing numerous amounts of resolutions in response to growing activity on The War on Terror, withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, and Civil War Crises in the Middle East and Central Africa. In response to this spike of international activity, the UN Secretariat introduced several subcommittees and delegated several General Assembly responsibilities to numerous forums and pre-existing subcommittees. Starting in 2005, G20 began taking independent precedence over ASP funding on the international stage. In late 2005, G20 released its first publication (with international precedence) titled The Group of Twenty Observations of The Midday Meal Scheme. The publication, which instigated discussion in and out of G20, discussed the effectiveness of past UN Resolutions specifically in Mumbai, Hyderabad, and surrounding rural areas; gave an overview of each region’s unique characteristics inhibiting the progression of hunger campaigns; and provided recommendations for internal and external improvements within the committee. G20 continued to release subsequent case studies on a yearly basis, but most lacked the attention that was received by the 19 G20 PACMUN 2015 2005 case study. Most of these publications have fallen out of circulation since. Following the start of the 2008 Financial Crisis, G20 began to recognize its own lack of authority and visibility within the international community. Feeling the need to emphasize the importance of global economic reform, the recognition of emerging countries in international economic discourse, and the several other pressing issues (including Food Insecurity); G20 hosted its first Head of State Summit in Washington D.C. in 2008. CURRENT SITUATION More recently G20 has been expanding its breadth of its Food Security efforts from concerning individual member state situations to developing economies lying out of G20’s membership. Currently G20 employs a self-imposed policy stating that the committee is to focus on one Food Security Effort at a time alternating between two criterion; one project within its member economies and one project concerning an economy residing outside of G20’s membership. Following the conclusion of the committee’s efforts in budgeting ASPs in Afghanistan; since 2012, G20 has been concerned with member state Mexico’s flailing agricultural situation. G20 also continues to produce blanket resolutions for particular issues that are prevalent in many hunger case studies around the world. Although G20 officially focused on the Mexican hunger situation in 2012, G20’s involvement in the situation extends back to 2007. But due to a rise of cartel activity and international intervention, any recommendation made by G20 has been absorbed by the Security Council, which was mostly concerned with outbreak of violent cartel activities. It was only until 2011 when the Mexican Drug War began to subside that G20 was once again able to restart hunger intervention activities in certain territories. 20 G20 PACMUN 2015 Adding to continuous crop failure in the mid-2000s, Cartel activity has gravely weakened Mexico’s agriculture sector, to the point of complete collapse. The presence of the Sinaloa Cartel in the Durango Province, where almost 47% of all Mexican crops are grown, has gravely ravaged familial agricultural operations across the region. Cartel members have recruited a majority of farmers in the region for deployment as drug runners along the Mexican Border with the United States. Farming vehicles have been confiscated and converted into armored vehicles used against the Mexican police and military. A majority of farming plots have been confiscated to grow Marijuana, Coco Plants, and Opium Poppies to fuel ongoing drug trade. The small remaining amount of cropland that is devoted food production is meagerly distributed amongst hundreds of thousands of soldiers and their families fighting against Mexican authorities. During the G2012 in Mexico, G20 in cooperation with numerous organizations and subcommittees, released the Interagency Report to the Mexican G20 presidency, in an attempt to substantiate its recommendations at providing the infrastructure to restart agricultural production. Despite almost universal international support from both member and non-member states, Mexico’s Government has refused to take any action claiming two specific reasons. One of which is that they “lack the human, technological, and financial resources needed to embark on such a nationwide effort.” Secondly it is claimed by the Mexican Government that re-enabling the region's agricultural production would once again make provinces such as Durango lucrative to the business prospects of rival cartels in neighboring regions. It is claimed that any expansion into Durango would “expend Mexico’s resources in combatting this War on Drug Empires.” Since 2012, the condition in Mexico continues to deteriorate as Mexico continues to reject international intervention in the nation’s agricultural activities. As of year 2014, 29.6% of Mexico’s population face food insecurity, an increase from 24% in 2012. Mexico’s agricultural production and exports have both notably decreased by 23%. BLOC POSITIONS EUROPE The European Bloc itself possesses a relatively high amount of food security. The sovereign states The United Kingdom, Germany, and France have maintained a high level of food security since the early nineteenth century, which include some of the longest periods of food security in the world. Although these Sovereign States really have no precedence with dealing food insecurity on a regional scale, economically prosperous nations of the Europe bloc have recently 21 G20 PACMUN 2015 taken up International Food Security at the top of their respective international development agenda. Innovation in genetically modified durable crops, situational analysis of trade and model-based scenarios, and emergency disaster financials and aide-personnel allocations have been major contributions from the European Bloc, along with the support of hundreds of NonGovernmental Organizations. A majority of Europe’s Sovereign States feel that maintaining Food Security in all countries is a critical component in maintaining international economic stability, and likewise continues to maintain the matter of food security at the top of both their domestic and international responsibilities. AFRICA Food Insecurity in Africa is a highly relevant and prevalent problem for the sovereign states of Africa. Despite the detrimental impacts of unpredictable crop yields and inadequate transportation solutions, the sovereign states of Africa have a volatile mix of opinions and priorities in their respective domestic and international agendas. South Africa and Angola prioritize free market trade with European and American markets. The states of Egypt and Libya prioritize the peaceful dissolution or permanent destruction of the growing ISIL threat. Less than half of the officially recognized member states in Africa currently prioritize the stabilization of food availability within their countries within their international agendas, most these member states prioritizing in an attempt to win more international aide. It has been particularly been observed by the United Nations that the amount of aid African member states receive only accounts for 62% of what is officially offered by international partners, which is a considerable testament to mixed priorities of African member states. As the population continues to grow, the impact of various solutions weakens. Currently farming and domestic food production, as well as food imports, attempt to fix the issue. Modern agricultural methods that are utilized currently are also insufficient. Although the situation is considerably dire in a majority of Africa’s officially recognized Sovereign States, Africa has a considerably volatile opinion over whether Food Security should preside as a priority issues over each of their respective domestic and even international agendas. ASIA The sovereign nations of East Asia have made considerable strides in combatting Food Insecurity within their own nations in recent decades. Member states such as Singapore, South Korea, and Japan have virtually eliminated food insecurity with their spikes in economic development and likewise the larger allocations of funding for state social programs, while economically developing member states of Thailand and Vietnam are making considerable progress in alleviating hunger with social programs modeled off Europe and fully-developed East Asian cities. Although considerably decreased in prevalence throughout the Asian Bloc, the 22 G20 PACMUN 2015 priority of alleviating Food Instability remains a moderate priority within the regional agendas of many member states of the region. China remains as a point of regional contention over its considerable economic disparity between its higher and lower classes, and its proportional amount of food availability. Regional initiatives concern with developing states of Bangladesh and several Mid-Asian sovereigns. Member states of the Asian Bloc place the issue of food insecurity within the higher bounds of their international agendas, but primarily contribute only in a consultative manner with little financial or physical contributions. It has been observed that these member states consistently support food security initiatives, but particularly refrain from those that require ratification or that request of financial or personnel aid from these member states. MIDDLE EAST Current insurrections and the overall instability of the region has unfortunately placed the matter of food security in the lower annexes of member states or revolutionary bodies. The economically developed member states of Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE maintain a high level of food security and are strong advocates of international food security initiatives and are considerably generous in their contributions to official UN fundraisers or International Charities. But deviating from the economically developed, the member states of Jordan, Syria, Afghanistan, have been plagued with terrorism, rebellion, refugees, and in some cases full on war with dwindling factions. Many of these unstable nations are unable to maintain stable or at least official representation at UN committee session due to frequent power shifts or government overthrows. The fact that these nations are currently expending most of their resources on attempting to maintain governmental stability provides precedence to the fact that many of these nations lack any form of international or even domestic agenda in the first place. Overall, the relevance of the matter of Food Security within the agendas of sovereign states merely depends on economic development and regional/governmental stability. SOUTH AMERICA The United Nations currently prides itself in the progress Latin America has made with combatting hunger and solidifying food stability over the course of the past two decades. Members states of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru, among all others have greatly pulled through the Latin American economic crises of the 1990s and now are in a state of exporting domestic crops to foreign markets. The member states of Brazil and Chile in particular are strong advocates for food security and are referenced as “model transformations” by various economic committees within the United Nations. These member states have publicly provided written reports and timelines of how these nations returned to profitability and their current success with various social programs including hunger fighting initiatives. Despite this significant progress, 23 G20 PACMUN 2015 food insecurity still remains a significant issue in parts of Latin America which has not necessarily reaped or taken advantage of foreign investment or lowering of tariffs. These nations lacking in the economic development of nations such as Brazil or Peru prioritize economic regeneration over numerous humanity initiatives including fighting hunger. But in an overall context, the region has been at the epicenter of food security initiatives over the past two decades, and in return is investing a considerable amount of its time and resources to contribute to the international push towards solidifying food security internationally. NORTH AMERICA North America is a unique in possessing two of the most food secure nations as well as one of the most struggling member states in maintaining food security. The United States and Canada have not faced any significant instance of national food insecurity since their respective colonial eras, and remain as the two largest forefronts in the initiative of solidifying food availability worldwide. In stark contrast, the member state of Mexico is currently struggling to grasp even a military stronghold within their capital city, Mexico City. The ongoing War on Drugs, wide scale government corruption, and dominance of cartel influence in the daily lives of a majority of citizens has made Mexico’s international representation extremely volatile. Notably after the G20 2012 Summit in Mexico, several ambassadors to the United Nations were accused of ties numerous high profile cartels across the country. Over the last decade the priority of food security has bounced back and forth from being a first priority, to a back seat issue; sometimes in a matter of days. Fortunately cartel activity has significantly stagnated in the third-quarter of 2015, as both the Mexican Government and the DEA have made significant strides in the apprehension of numerous high-profile figureheads within several significant cartels. In this period of temporary tranquility, the Mexican Government currently advocates for the alleviation of world hunger and the solidification of food security internationally; however, this is subject to change. CASE STUDIES KENYA Increase in general food security has led to many health and social benefits in Kenyan communities. A study by a farming intervention program shows that by alleviating poverty and reducing food insecurity, patients are more able to take anti-HIV therapies, as well as make clinic visits to fight the problem. People who are infected with HIV, a major problem in many rural African communities, are then no longer able to contribute back to the economy and medical costs for those individuals are astronomical. When agricultural support increased, food intake increased, and with it, immunity. Increased immunity led to decreased risk of contracting HIV, and if contracted, increased ability to seek care and support. By increasing food security, 24 G20 PACMUN 2015 countries aren’t just helping feed those who have less access to food—this issue is linked to so many others. This issue is very prevalent in much of Sub-Saharan Africa. Issues such as poverty lead to food insecurity, which in turn, leads to HIV contraction as well as that of other diseases. Programs like AMPATH are working in Western Kenya to create Health facilities that not only deal with treatment throughout rural Africa, but also with addressing hunger needs. It is a nutrition program, and it entitles those who are qualified to a “food prescription” program that tries to help meet food demand. Of course, that is not the only thing the program does. It is helping build a society that is more independent and that can build itself up, in turn. This program was created with a framework that has guidelines set in place for a transition to relative food security in the region. The success of this program thus far speaks to the need to expand programs such as this one throughout even more areas of food insecurity. CANADA Food security has been threatened by governmental restrictions on water, especially for watering crops. Gardeners in the Sunshine Coast Regional District will be turning to more environmentally friendly alternatives, such as grey water, in order to combat the issue. The restrictions put in place by the district have disheartened many people along the coast who rely on gardening to feed themselves and their families. In this case, the government played a role in minimizing food security, but there are many other scenarios in which climate change plays a hauntingly similar role. Because the Canadian government has moved to implement Stage 4 water restrictions, or those intended for only the most severe droughts, the repercussions will be huge. Communities are teaming up to conserve water for gardening and planting. Backlash from commercial food growers has been so significant that some of the restrictions will not apply to large-scale farmers, but will definitely hit the small, local farmer populations hard. Because it will be so much harder for local farmers to produce food, prices of what is produced will significantly increase, and many people living in the region will not be able to afford food anymore, or even to grow their own through sustainable farming practices. The district’s top priority is not food security, but rather “human health and drinking water, firefighting capabilities and environmental habitat”. In short, the district denies that the impact on food security will be as destructive as it is. GUIDED QUESTIONS • What is the most pressing issue when facing a problem such as food insecurity? 25 G20 PACMUN 2015 • What kind of funding should be implemented in order to diminish the impact of this issue, and how? • How do we balance each country’s individual needs and the global community’s needs as a whole when facing food insecurity? • Why are food prices rising so quickly? • What underlying issues may be the root of food insecurity? • What other problems can we attack in order to solve both them and food insecurity at once? • In what regions of the world is this most a problem? The least? • Could we eventually see an end to this problem as a global community? • How do economy and the agricultural sector relate? • Should food be financialized? Become a tool in the economy? • How can we most effectively solve this issue/what approaches should we take? FOOD SECURITY RESOURCES Official G20 and UN Websites: • https://g20.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/g20_food_security_nutrition_framework.pdf • https://g20.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/G20-Agriculture-Ministers-FinalCommunique.pdf • http://un-foodsecurity.org/node/1114 • http://unfoodsecurity.org/sites/default/files/G20%20agricultural%20productivity%20report_Publi cation.pdf Other Miscellaneous Sources • http://www.oecd.org/g20/topics/agriculture-food-security/ • http://oceana.org/press-center/press-releases/co2-emissions-threaten-ocean-based-foodsecurity • http://www.adb.org/documents/food-security-challenges-asia 26 G20 PACMUN 2015 • http://zeenews.india.com/news/science/food-security-improves-hivoutcomes_1649589.html • http://web.worldbank.org/ • http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/sunshine-coast-watering- restrictionsmay-threaten-food-security-says-farmer-1.3187537 • http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-09-26/africa-s-challenge-in-the-21st-century-food-security 27