Capital Investment Decisions and the Time Value of Money Chapter 9 9-1 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Objective 1 Describe the importance of capital investments and the capital budgeting process 9-2 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Capital Budgeting: The Process of Making Capital Investment Decisions • Companies make capital investments when they acquire capital assets – assets used for a long period of time • Capital investments include buying new equipment, building new plants, automating production and developing major commercial websites • Capital investments affect operations for many years and usually require large sums of money 9-3 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Four Popular Methods of Capital Budgeting Analysis • • • • Payback period Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9-4 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Capital Budgeting Process • Identify potential investments • Project the investment’s net cash inflows • Analyze the investments using one or more of the four methods listed previously 9-5 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Typical Capital Budgeting Process 1. Identify potential capital investments 2. Estimate future net cash inflows 3. Analyze potential investments: a. Screen out undesirable investments using payback and/or ARR b. Further analyze investments using NPV and/or IRR 4. Engage in capital rationing if necessary to choose among alternative investments 5. Perform post-audits 9-6 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Objective 2 Use the payback and accounting rate of return methods to make capital investment decisions 9-7 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Payback Period Payback – the length of time it takes to recover, in net cash inflows, the cost of the capital outlay Amount invested Expected annual net cash inflows When the net cash inflows are equal each year, the computation of the payback period is performed by dividing the amount invested by the expected annual net cash inflows. The result is the payback period in years. 9-8 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Payback with Unequal Net Cash Inflows Accumulate net cash inflows until amount invested is recovered 9-9 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Payback Period DECISION RULE: Payback Period Investments with shorter payback periods are more desirable, all else being equal 9-10 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-16: Compute Payback Period with Equal Cash Flows Amount invested Expected annual net cash inflow $1,236,100 $309,025 = 4 years 9-11 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Accounting Rate of Return Average annual operating income from asset Average amount invested in asset Average amount invested in asset = Original Investment + Residual Value 2 9-12 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Accounting Rate of Return • Managers compare the accounting rate of return to company’s required minimum rate of return for investments of similar risk • If the ARR is less than the required minimum, the investment is rejected 9-13 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Accounting Rate of Return DECISION RULE: Invest in capital assets? Is expected accounting rate of return > the required rate of return? Is expected accounting rate of return < the required rate of return? Invest Do not invest 9-14 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-19: Compute and Compare ARR Atlas $160,000 ($1,000,000 + 0)/2 Veras 240,500 (1,200,000+100,000)/2 = 32% = 37% 9-15 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-18: ARR with Unequal Cash Flows Average annual operating income: Year 1 Year 2 Years 3-10 ($240,000 x 8) Total net cash flows Less: Total depreciation Total operating income over life Divided by years of life Average annual operating income $310,000 280,000 1,920,000 $2,510,000 (1,454,000) $1,056,000 10 $105,600 9-16 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-18: ARR with Unequal Cash Flows Average annual operating income from asset Average amount invested in asset $105,600 ($1,454,000+0) ÷ 2 = 14.53% 9-17 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Objective 3 Use the time value of money to compute the present and future values of single lump sums and annuities 9-18 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Time Value of Money • The fact that invested money earns income over time is called the time value of money • This is why we prefer to receive cash sooner, rather than later 9-19 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Factors That Affect Time Value of Money • Principal – amount of the investment Lump sum Annuity • Number of periods – number of times interest is computed • Interest rate – annual percentage Simple interest Compound interest 9-20 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value & Future Value Time Periods 1 2 3 4 5 6 Future Value Present Value 9-21 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Future Value Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr 2 yrs $1,000 3 yrs ? Interest = $1,000 x .10 Principal = Future value after 1 year $100 1,000 $1,100 9-22 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Future Value Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr 2 yrs $1,000 3 yrs ? Future value after 1 year Plus 10% interest Future value after 2 years Plus 10% interest Future value after 3 years $1,100 110 $1,210 121 $1,331 9-23 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Future Value Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs $1,000 ? Or use the Future Value of $1 table Future value = Present value x table factor = $1,000 x 1.331 = $1,331 9-24 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Future Value of an Annuity Present Value 10% 2 yrs 1 yr 0 Future Value $1,000 3 yrs $1,000 Year 3 $1,000 Year 2 Future value of $1,000 in 1 year ($1,000 + ($1,000 x 10%) 1,100 Year 1 Future value of $1,000 in 2 years ($1,100 + ($1,100 x 10%) 1,210 $3,310 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved $1,000 9-25 Future Value of an Annuity Present Value 10% 2 yrs 1 yr 0 Future Value $1,000 3 yrs $1,000 $1,000 Future value = Payment x table factor = $1,000 x 3.310 = $3,310 9-26 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-20: Compare Retirement Savings Plans Using Future Value Concepts Plan 1 Future value = Payment x table factor = $3,000 x 164.494 = $493,482 Plan 2 Future value = Payment x table factor = $7,500 x 21.384 = $160,380 9-27 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-20: Compare Retirement Savings Plans Using Future Value Concepts Plan 1 Future value of $1 = present value x table factor = $493,482 x 2.594 = $1,280,092 Plan 2 Future value of $1 = present value x table factor = $160,380 x 2.594 = $416,026 9-28 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value Present Value 10% Future Value 1 yr ? $1,100 Present value x 1.10 = $1,100 Present value = $1,100/1.10 Present value = $1,000 9-29 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr 2 yrs $1,100 ? Present value x 1.10 = $1,000 Present value x 1.10 = $1,100 Present value = $1,000/1.10 Present value = $1,100/1.10 Present value = $909 Present value = $1,000 9-30 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value of $1 Table Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr 2 yrs $1,100 ? Present Value = Future Value x Table Factor = $1,100 x 0.826 = $909 9-31 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value of an Annuity Present Value Future Value 10% 1 yr ? Present Value of $1,100 in one year: $1,100 x 0.909 = $1,000 2 yrs $1,100 $1,100 Present Value of $1,100 in two years: $1,100 x 0.826 = $909 $1,000 + $909 = $1,909 9-32 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Present Value of an Annuity Table Present Value 10% 1 yr ? Future Value 2 yrs $1,100 $1,100 Present Value of Annuity = Payments x Table Factor = $1,100 x 1.736 = $1,909.60 9-33 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-22: Fund Future Cash Flows Req. 1 Present value of annuity = Payment x table factor = $30,000 x ? =? Req. 2 Present value of annuity = Payment x table factor = $30,000 x ? =? 9-34 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-23: Choosing a Lottery Payout Option Using Present Value Option 1: Present value of $1 = $12,000,000 x ? =? Option 2: Present value annuity = $2,250,000 x ? =? 9-35 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-23: Choosing a Lottery Payout Option Option 3: Present value of $1 = $10,000,000 x ? =? 9-36 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Objective 4 Use discounted cash flow models to make capital investment decisions 9-37 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Discounted Cash Flow Models • Recognize time value of money • Two methods Net present value Internal rate of return • Compare amount of investment with its expected net cash inflows 9-38 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Net Present Value Method • Discount cash inflows to their present value and then compare with capital outlay required by the investment • Discount rate (hurdle rate or required rate of return) – required minimum rate of return given riskiness of investment • Proposal is acceptable when NPV is ≥ zero • The higher the NPV, the more attractive the investment 9-39 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Net Present Value DECISION RULE: Invest in capital assets? Is NPV positive? Is NPV negative? Invest Do not invest 9-40 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-25: Calculate NPV – Equal Annual Cash Flows Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 14% Project A (272,000) Now 60,000 Yrs 1-8 Annuity NPV PV (272,000) 4.639 278,340 $6,340 9-41 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-24 Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 12% PV Project B (380,000) Now 70,000 NPV Yrs 1-9 Annuity 5.328 (380,000) 372,960 $(7,040) 9-42 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Net Present Value for Unequal Cash Inflows When annual cash inflows are unequal, you must use the present value of one table applied to each annual cash inflow 9-43 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-27: Calculate NPV – Unequal Cash Flows Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 14% (900,000) Now 260,000 250,000 225,000 210,000 200,000 PV (900,000) Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Lump sum Lump sum Lump sum Lump sum Lump sum .877 .769 .675 .592 .519 175,000 Yr 6 NPV Lump sum .456 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved 228,020 192,250 151,875 124,320 103,800 79,800 $(19,935) 9-44 E9-27 2. Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 14% PV (100,000) Yr 6 Lump sum .456 (45,600) 75,000 Yr 7 50,000 Yr 7 NPV Lump sum Lump sum .400 .400 30,000 20,000 $4,400 9-45 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Profitability Index Number of dollars returned for every dollar invested Present value of net cash inflows Investment 9-46 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-29: Capital Rationing Decision Present value of net cash inflows Investment A: $1,695,000 ÷ $1,500,000 = 1.13 B: $1,960,000 ÷ $1,750,000 = 1.12 C: $2,200,000 ÷ $2,000,000 = 1.10 9-47 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Internal Rate of Return • Rate of return a company can expect to earn by investing in the project • The interest rate that will cause the present value to equal zero 9-48 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Internal Rate of Return Step 1: Identify the expected net cash receipts Step 2: Find the discount rate that makes total present value of net cash receipts = present value of cash outflows Annuity PV factor = Investment ÷ Annual Net Cash Receipts 9-49 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Internal Rate of Return Step 3: On the present value of an annuity of $1 table, scan the row corresponding to the expected life Choose column closest to annuity factor you calculated in Step 2 9-50 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Internal Rate of Return DECISION RULE: Invest in capital assets? Does the IRR exceed required rate of return? Is the IRR less than required rate of return? Invest Do not invest 9-51 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-26: Calculate IRR of Equal Cash Flows Project A: PVA = Payment x Table Factor 272,000 = 60,000 x Factor 4.533 = Factor Between 14% and 16% 9-52 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-26: Calculate IRR of Equal Cash Flows Project B: PVA = Payment X Table Factor 380,000 = 70,000 x Factor 5.429 = Factor Between 10% and 12% 9-53 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved IRR with Unequal Periodic Cash Flows Trial and error procedure is needed to determine the discount rate making the project’s NPV equal to zero 9-54 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-28: Compute IRR for Unequal Cash Flows Compute net present value at 10%: Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 10% (950,000) Now PV (950,000) Lump sum .909 500,000 Yr 1 454,500 400,000 2 is positive, .826 Lump sum Since the Yr NPV the IRR must be330,400 higher 225,300 12% .751 next. 300,000 Yr than 3 10%. LumpTry sum $60,200 9-55 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-28: Compute IRR – Unequal Cash Flows Compute net present value at 12%: Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 12% (950,000) Now PV (950,000) Lump sum .893 500,000 Yr 1 446,500 400,000 2 is positive, .797 Lump sum Since the Yr NPV the IRR must be318,800 higher 213,600 14% .712 next. 300,000 Yrthan 3 12%. LumpTry sum $28,900 9-56 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved E9-28: Compute IRR – Unequal Cash Flows Compute net present value at 14%: Cash Flow When? Type of PV factor cash flow 14% (950,000) Now 500,000 400,000 300,000 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 PV (950,000) Lump sum Lump sum Lump sum .877 .769 .675 438,500 307,600 202,500 $(1,400) 9-57 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Objective 5 Compare and contrast the four capital budgeting methods 9-58 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Comparison of Capital Budgeting Models Payback Period • Simple • Focus is the time it takes to recover cash • Ignores cash flows after payback period • Highlights risks of investments with longer cash recovery periods • Ignores time value of money 9-59 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Comparison of Capital Budgeting Models Accounting Rate of Return • Only method that uses accrual accounting • Shows how investment will affect operating income • Measures profitability of asset over its entire life • Ignores time value of money 9-60 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Comparison of Capital Budgeting Models Net Present Value • Incorporates time value of money and net cash flows • Indicates if asset will earn minimum required rate of return • Shows excess (deficiency) of present value of cash inflows over cost • Profitability index can be computed for capital rationing decisions 9-61 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved Comparison of Capital Budgeting Models Internal Rate of Return • Incorporates time value of money and net cash flows • Computes unique rate of return • No additional steps needed for capital rationing decisions 9-62 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved End of Chapter 9 9-63 Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved