BUS-201-202: TUTORIAL 6 CASE INCIDENT 1 As you saw in the opening vignette, computerized decision-making has really taken off in recent years. Some have blamed the financial crisis that began in 2007-2008 on excessive reliance on these computerized decision-making models. Lending officers who used to make individualized decisions about credit worthiness through personal judgment were replaced by computerized and statistical models, which resulted in mechanistic decision making. As a result, large numbers of decisions were tied to a common set of assumptions, and when those assumptions proved to be wrong, the entire credit system fell apart and the economy faltered. Besides the use of computerized decision models, the use of computerized systems like Twitter for information sharing and the burgeoning number of computer “apps” may be leading to information overload, so facts and figures replace analysis and thought in making human decisions. Eric Kessler from Pace University's Lubin School of Business notes, “What starts driving decisions is the urgent rather than the important.” Researchers have begun to find that people using too much information actually make worse decisions than people with less information, or they get so swamped in information that they are unable to reach a decision at all. Computer decision models do present certain advantages. Computers are capable of amassing and compiling enormous amounts of data and using them to spot trends and patterns a human observer would simply never see. Computers also are not prone to emotional decision making or falling into the heuristics and biases we discussed in this chapter. Finally, computerized decision making systems are generally faster than human beings. However, computer decision-making systems have certain faults that might severely constrain their usefulness. Although computers can grind through masses of data, they are not capable of intuition or creative thought. As scholar Amar Bhidé notes, “An innovator cannot simply rely on historical patterns in placing bets on future opportunities.” People are much more likely to spot opportunities that lie just beyond what the data can tell us directly. Also, groups of people working in collaboration can discuss and question assumptions and conclusions. Computers cannot actively consider whether their programming makes sense or adapt automatically when values change. Questions 1. What are the specific advantages of using computerized decision-making? How can computers be better decision makers than humans? Answer: Students should indicate that repetitive decision-making, such as inventory reorder, are well suited to computer decision-making. Their advantage is in the ability to monitor and make decisions regularly in what would otherwise be a boring situation. Other advantages may also be listed. They are better decision makers in situations where emotion or perception could potentially affect the decision made. 2. What are the weaknesses of using computers as decision tools? Are computers likely to have any specific problems in making decisions that people wouldn’t have? Answer: Weakness suggested by students could be a number of different points, but tone of the most important weaknesses is making decisions of unique situations. Students may give the example of BIG Blue, the IBM computer that played chess and competed in Jeopardy. Although Big Blue became success in competing, the effort to program AI was immense. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Blue_(chess_computer ) for a discussion. 3. Do you think computer decision-making systems can effectively take ethical issues into account? What is the role of human decision makers in creating ethical choices? Answer: The student might see that the example of Big Blue suggests that as Artificial Intelligence grows in its capability, that a computer may be able to make decisions that include ethical considerations. The problem will be selecting the ethical positions to build into the computer’s AI. 4. Are there advantages to completely disconnecting from the wired world when possible? What can you do to try to retain your ability to focus and process information deeply? Answer: This is an opinion question for the student to respond to. As such the answer will vary widely. The answer will differ depending on the student’s selfawareness regarding many aspects of their personalities. Those with greater selfawareness will likely say that disengagement serves as an important time for the student to refresh, reorganize, and repair his or her mindset and attitudes to be more effective as a person. Source: Based on S. Begley, “I Can’t Think!” Newsweek 157, (March 7, 2011), www.newsweek.com; A. Bhidé, “The Judgment Deficit” Harvard Business Review, (September, 2010), pp. 44-53; and T. H. Davenport and J. H. Snabe, “How Fast and Flexible Do You Want Your Information, Really?” Sloan Management Review 52, (Spring 2011), pp. 57-62. CASE INCIDENT 2 Why would former New York Attorney General and then Governor Eliot Spitzer decide to use a prostitution service? Why would highly respected attorney Marc Dreier, with degrees from Harvard and Yale and a successful Park Avenue law firm, decide to impersonate people in order to swindle others? From Tiger Woods to Bernie Madoff, it’s not hard to find examples of unethical behavior. But what causes people to make unfortunate choices? Behavioral genetics research has taught us that virtually every human characteristic has genetic origins, and that genetic differences are a central reason people differ in their behavior. Thus, some personality traits probably predispose people toward unethical behavior. One study of white-collar criminals, for example, showed they were significantly lower on conscientiousness than the general population. On the other hand, recent research shows that all of us perform unethical behavior to some degree while subconsciously fooling ourselves about it. We may bend a rule to help a colleague, overlook information that might damage a case we want to make, or lie to avoid a negative consequence, blithely unaware that others might view this behavior as unethical. Why do we do this? Evidence suggests that when we fail to notice a decision has an ethical component, it enables us to behave in a self-interested manner without having to feel badly about it. No wonder, then, that people tend to believe they are more ethical than they are. Many think that transparency and accountability increase ethical behavior. Behavioral ethics research, however, shows us that often these actions increase unethical behavior, because they cause individuals to think disclosure absolves them of ethical responsibilities to be objective, or to deny to an even greater degree the ethical components of their decisions. The first step toward behaving more ethically is, ironically, admitting to ourselves that we adhere to ethical standards less well than we admit. Questions 1. Do you think people see themselves as more ethical than they really are? And you? Answer: A tendency to overestimate almost every part of a personality is real. Ask students to read http://www.bethedream.net/ethics.htm and to compare their ethical standards. Students will find their answer to this question varying greatly. Some will find a great deal of similarity in beliefs with the web resource. Some will not. In fact, some students will not know what some of the elements are that the statement addresses an ethical position for. 2. The authors of one study noted that “disclosures can exacerbate [unethical behavior] by causing people to feel absolved of their duty to be objective.” Do you agree? Why or why not? Answer: The answer to this question will depend on the student’s ethical position. Some students will hold a very strong ethical position and will see disclosure of an ethical breach to be equal to admission of guilt in a legal case. Most students, perhaps all of them, will have a weaker resolve for ethical issues. They will profess that admitting an ethical beach should result in forgiveness by all who observe. Consider the transgressions of professional athletes and the rapidity with which fans forgive them. 3. Do you think if we admitted it to ourselves times when we behaved unethically we would be less likely to behave unethically in the future? Answer: Again this answer will depend on the resolve of a student’s ethical adherence. The stronger is the ethical resolve, the more likely this is to be true. The less resolve, the more likely the answer will be untrue. Sources: M. H. Bazerman & A. E. Tenbrunsel, Blind Spots: Why We Fail to Do What’s Right and What to Do about It (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2011; M. H. Bazerman and A. E. Tenbrunsel, “Stumbling into Bad Behavior,” New York Times (April 21, 2011), p. A23); S. Jayson, “What Propels Us To Do Bad Things?” USA Today (May 3, 2011), p. 6D.