Statistics, Stochastic Processes and
Applications
CIMA - University of Évora
http://www.cima.uevora.pt
January 14, 2016
Badajoz
University of Évora
PhD Members (12)
Anabela Afonso
Carlos Braumann
Clara Carlos
Dulce Gomes
Dulce Pereira
Gonçalo Jacinto
Jorge Santos
Manuela Oliveira
Manuel Carmo
Patrícia Filipe
Paulo Infante
Russell Alpizar-Jara
PhD Students (11)
Ana Galantino
Ana Jorge
Filipe Santos
Fernando Ceia
Luísa Carvalho
Mafalda Lira
Maria João Inácio
Maria Lagartinho
Nuno Brites
Palmira Caseiro
Sónia Barbosa
PhD Collaborators
(4)
Ana Cantarinha
José Borges
Manuel Minhoto
Salvador Abreu
University of
Madeira
PhD Members (5)
José Silva
Joaquim Azevedo
João Alves e Sousa
Ludwig Streit
José Carmo
PhD Students
Filipe Santos
PhD Collaborators (5)
Ana Abreu
Ana Cardoso
Custodia Drumond
Maribel Gordon
Rui Caldeira
Life Science: Forestry, Agriculture and Fisheries, Public
Health, Medicine, Genetics, Epidemiology, Social and
Demographic issues, etc.
Industry and Telecommunications: Efficiency analysis,
Finance, and wireless sensors networks, internet traffic, etc.
Mathematical-Physics: Fractional Processes
Brownian motion; Infinite particle systems, etc.
and
grey
Main Research Lines
A) Stochastic Processes and Applications
A1. Population and individual modelling in random environments
A2. Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modelling
B) Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis
B1. Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation
B2. Multivariate Analysis and Experimental Designs
B3. Quality Control and Survival Analysis
C) Stochastic and Mathematical Physics
C1. Stochastic analysis associated to Fractional Processes and grey
Brownian motion
C2. Infinite particle systems and Polymer Physics
C3. Measurement uncertainty phenomena and Wireless sensors networks
Main research areas
A1: Population and Individual modeling in random environments
Life Science Applications: Agriculture, Fisheries, Social and Demographic issues, etc.
Carlos Braumann; Patricia Filipe; Clara Carlos; Nuno Brites: Dynamical
modelling in randomly varying environments of the size of wildlife populations
(and applications in fisheries) and of the size of individual farm animals using
stochastic differential equations (SDE). Associated profit optimization issues and
statistical issues of parameter estimation and prediction. Also other applications of
SDE’s [in finance with Manuela Larguinho mmlarguinho@gmail.com; in time
evolution of human death rates (useful in insurance and social security) with
Sandra Lagarto sdlagarto@gmail.com].
braumann@uevora.pt;
brites@uevora.pt
pasf@uevora.pt;
clara.carlos@est.barreiro.ips.pt;
A2: Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modeling
Industry and Efficiency analysis, Finance, etc.
Gonçalo Jacinto: Modelling and Performance
evaluation of ADHOC and Sensor Networks.
Estimating Internet traffic using the partial
information of the network, obtained by probe
packets. gjcj@uevora.pt
Dulce Gomes; Patricia Filipe: Application of Time
Series and Dynamic Regression analysis to the
Pulmonary Tuberculosis incidence rates incidence in
Portugal. Modelling of Pulmonary Tuberculosis
Delay-Time in Diagnosis, using Structured Additive
Regression models and Survival Analysis
methodologies. dmog@uevora.pt; pasf@uevora.pt
B1: Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation
Life Science: Agriculture, Fisheries, Social and Demographic issues, etc.
Russell-Alpizar ; Anabela Afonso: Methods for estimating animal abundance and related
parameters, model development, and estimators assessments. Applications to mountain
ungulate populations, human populations and “computer bugs”.
alpizar@uevora.pt; afonso@uevora.pt
B2: Multivariate Data Analysis and Experimental Designs
Life Science: Forestry, Wildlife, Agriculture, Public Health, Medicine, Genetics,
Epidemiology, Network, Cognitive maps, Education,etc,
Manuela Oliveira: Development of mathematical models to characterize wildfires and to
estimate its probability of occurrence as well as its damages. Development statistical
models to identify relevant indicators of different cancers. AVC problems. Theory of risk
models in natural disasters. Statistical inference in linear mixed models. Bayesian
inference with TRI model in Education problems. mmo@uevora.pt
Dulce Pereira: Developments in JRA - Joint Regression Analysis. Comparison of JRA
and AMMI models. Dulce Pereira; Anabela Afonso: assessing Friedman’s test and
post-hoc analysis performance. Multivariate data analysis in Foresty and Biology
dgsp@uevora.pt
Manuel Minhoto: Selection of variables in the context of Exploratory Analysis of a
Data Matrix and General Linear Models. minhoto@uevora.pt
B3: Quality Control and Survival Analysis
Industry
Paulo Infante; Anabela Afonso; Gonçalo Jacinto: Introducing new sampling
schemes in control charts (for variables, attributes, profile monitoring, risk adjusted)
and analyse economic-statistical performance of these control charts considering usual
and new comparison criteria. Modeling and monitoring educational data (students
performance, duration of the master's thesis, time of administrative procedures) and
healthcare data (manchester database, waiting time in the emergency room, survival
time of HIV patients, survival time of patients with cancer. Benefits of active aging collaboration with Évora Municipality; Project AdolesSer for health education for
sexual and reproductive health - collaboration with Health Centers Grouping of
Alentejo Central.
pinfante@uevora.pt
C: Stochastic and Mathematical Physics
C1 e C2: Fractional Processes and grey Brownian motion; Infinite particle systems and
Polymer Physics
José Luís e Ludwig Streit: Self-avoiding random path models for polymer configurations
have been studied extensively in mathematics using combinatorics, stochastic analysis, in
statistical mechanics, and in computer physics using Monte Carlo methods. The field is
highly interdisciplinary, the motivation came from chemistry, while physics provides
structural intuition. The mathematical results are less far-reaching but provide the higher
reliability characteristic of the mathematical approach; much remains to be done in the
stochastic analysis setting. joses@staff.uma.pt; streit@physik.uni-bielefeld.de
C3. Measurement uncertainty phenomena and Wireless sensors networks
Joaquim Azevedo e João Alves e Sousa jara@uma.pt; jasousa@lrec.pt
International Collaborations
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Research Agreement between University of Évora and University of
Campinas, Biomathematics Group - Brazil.
Academic and Cultural Cooperation Agreement between University of Évora
and University of Costa Rica.
Collaboration with the General Direction for International Cooperation of
Cape Verde, General Direction of Planning of Cape Verde and United
Nations, and University of Cape Verde.
Forest Science, School of Forest Resources, University of Pennsylvania,
U.S.A.
Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland, U.S.A.
Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, U.S.A.
University of Zielona Gora and University of Pozna, Poland.
University Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France.
University of São Paulo. ESALQ. Piracicaba.
University of Jaén, Spain.
Participation in SOCRATES/ERASMUS programs (Spain and Poland).
Research projects with PI (principal investigator)
or participation of group members (TM) Last 5 years (15)
H2020-MSCA-RISE-2015 / 691149. SuFoRun Models and decision SUpport tools for integrated FOrest
policy development under global change and associated Risk and Uncertainty. Marie Curie International
Staff Exchange Scheme. PI: Garcia (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2011-2014). (2016-2021)
FP7-PEOPLE-2010-IRSES/269257. ForEAdapt-Knowledge exchange between Europe and America on
forest growth models and optimization for adaptive forestry. Marie Curie International Staff Exchange
Scheme. PI: Garcia (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2011-2014).
PTDC/MAT/115168/2009 - Dynamics of epidemiological spreading, PI: Nico Stollenwerg
(CMAF,U.Lisboa + U.Évora).TM: C.Braumann, (2011-13)
PTDC/SAU-SAP/116950/2010 - Controlo da Tuberculose Pulmonar em Portugal numa perspectiva
espácio-temporal: determinantes, tendências e previsões da incidência em unidades geográficas. Contributo
para um programa optimizado. PI: Carla Nunes (ENSP-UNL), TM: D.Gomes and P.Filipe (2012-2014).
PTDC/AGR-FOR/4526/2012. SADRI - Models and Decision Support Systems for Adressing Risk and
Uncertainty in Forest Planning. PI: J. Borges (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2013-2015)
PEC263 . Escolher Ciência da Escola à Universidade. Aplicando Matemática”. Entidade Coordenadora:
Universidade de Évora. PI : Joaquim Correia. Ciência Viva. Agência Nacional para a Cultura Cientifica e
Tecnológica. TM: M. Oliveira (2013-2015)
PTDC/GEO-FIQ/4178/2012. Eletric and acoustic coupling in rocks mechanical action. PI: H. Gonçalves
(UÉ), TM: M. Oliveira Entidade Financiadora: Fundação para Ciência e Tecnologia. (2013-2016)
FAPESP Thematic Project. Assessing control of epidemics using mathematical and computer models. :
UNICAMP – IMEC /15098-0 project Campinas University, Brazil. PI: Hyun M. Yang. TM: C.Braumann,
R.Alpizar-Jara, (2011-16).
Projecto da Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos. Determinantes da fecundidade em Portugal.. CIDEHUS
da Universidade de Évora. PI: F. Mendes; TM: P. Infante; A. Afonso. 2013-2015
FCT–Bilateral Action Between Portugal and Slovak Cooperação Científica e tecnológica FCT/Eslováquia,
2011/2012–Processo 441.00 Eslováquia. Oportunidade de implementação de ferramentas de Sistemas de Apoio à
Decisão na gestão florestal, PI: J.Borges (ISA), TM: M.Oliveira, V.Bushenkov (2011-2012).
PTDC/AAG-MAA/3227/2012 NETPERSIST. Análise de redes na identificação de limiares críticos de
conectividade para a persistência de metapopulações em paisagens agrícolas complexas. FCT funded, R.AlpizarJara. PI: A. Mira (CIBIO-U.E.). TM: R. Alpizar-Jara. (2012-2015).
Direção Geral da Saúde (Alto Comissário da Saúde) Portugal. Violência, abuso, negligência e condição de
saúde dos idosos, PI: M. Lopes (UE)–TM: D.Pereira, (2012).
FCT–Bilateral Action Between Portugal and Slovak . Oportunidade de implementação de ferramentas de
Sistemas de Apoio à Decisão na gestão florestal. PI: J.Borges (ISA), TM: M.Oliveira (2011-2012).
PTDC/EIA-EIA/115988/2009 AWARW. Traffic analysis, modelling and measurements for the management of the
future Internet. PI: R. Valadas (IST-UNL), TM: G. Jacinto.
Automated acoustic identification of bat species. PI: G. Jacinto - Bat Conservation International, Inc. (BCI),
USA, (2011-2012).
Publications
Year
Books
(editor)
2011-2014
1
Papers in
internationa
l scientific
Papers in
periodicals internationa
with referee l conference
and
proceedings
Chapter
books
62
21
links:
University of Évora: cima.uevora.pt
University of Madeira: ccm.uma.pt
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Gracias