Financial Statements Analysis Tiezhu Zhang Ph.D CPA • • • • • 张铁铸 Office: D409 Telephone: 6770 3815/13818555235 Fax: 6770 3320 Email: tiezhuzhang@gmail.com 2 Weightage of Assessment: • Midterm • Final Exam • Quiz and participation • 20% 60% 20% 100% 3 Course Schedule: SEMESTER WEEK WEEK 1 WEEK 2 WEEK 3 WEEK 4 WEEK 5 WEEK 6 WEEK 7 WEEK 8 WEEK 9 WEEK 10 WEEK 11 WEEK 12 WEEK 13 WEEK 14 WEEK 15 WEEK 16 WEEK 17 WEEK 18 WEEK 19 DATE Feb.21 Feb.28 Mar.7 Mar.14 Mar.21 Mar.28 Apr. 4 Apr. 11 Apr. 18 Apr. 25 May. 2 May. 9 May. 16 May. 23 May. 30 Jun. 6 Jun. 13 Jun. 20 Jun. 27 TOPICS & ACTIVITIES Chapter 1: Framework For Financial Statement Analysis Chapter 1: Framework For Financial Statement Analysis Chapter 2: Accounting Income and Assets Chapter 2: Accounting Income and Assets Chapter 3: Analysis of Cash Flow Chapter 3: Analysis of Cash Flow Chapter 4: Foundation of Ratio and Financial Analysis Chapter 4: Foundation of Ratio and Financial Analysis Chapter 6: Analysis of Inventories Midterm Exam Labor Day/ May Day Chapter 6: Analysis of Inventories Chapter 7:Analysis of Long-lived Assets (Part1) Chapter 8:Analysis of Long-lived Assets (Part2) Chapter 9: Analysis of Income Taxes Dragon Boat Festival Chapter 10: Analysis of Financial Liabilities Chapter 11: Lease and Off-balance-sheet Debt Final Exam 4 Oil Painting by YVARAL 5 Financial Data:用友软件、粤电力A 、四川长虹和招商银行 Units: 10000 RMB 交易性金融资产 1541200 1% 9665 0% 0 0% 6050 2% 0 0% 600782 21% 92907 4% 1448 0% 20633200 13% 16642 1% 27867 1% 27621 9% 无形资产 238100 0% 274710 10% 38654 2% 32529 10% 固定资产 1167600 1% 350225 12% 1317748 534% 51030 16% 157179700 100% 2872514 100% 2462920 100% 310997 100% 存货 可供出售金融资产 总资产 6 What is Financial Statements Analysis? 7 蓝田股份(600709)于1996年上市,从公布的年度报告来看, 该公司上市后一直保持着优异的经营业绩: 30 28.38 25 18.4 20 1996 2000 15 10 5 2.66 4.68 4.46 0.97 0 总资产 主营业务收入 股本 该公司1998~2000年间的净资产收益率更是高达28.9%、29.3%、 19.8%,每股收益分别为0.82元、1.15元和0.97元,位于上市公司的 最前列 。该公司2000年主营业务收入18.4亿元,总资产28.38亿元, 净利润4.32亿元。 一、经营活动产生的现金流量 销售商品、提供劳务收到的现金 收到的其他与经营活动有关的现金 现金流入小计 82,857,068.59 145,179,790.53 228,036,859.12 购买商品、接受劳务支付的现金 66,370,172.90 支付给职工以及为职工支付的现金 25,591,141.23 支付的各项税费 42,580,257.52 支付的其他与经营活动有关的现金 240,050,395.35 现金流出小计 374,591,967.00 经营活动产生的现金流量净额 -146,555,107.88 二、投资活动产生的现金流量 现金流入小计 购建固定资产等支付的现金 投资支付的现金 现金流出小计 投资活动产生的现金流量净额 0 158,236,407.74 10,200,000.00 168,436,407.74 -168,436,407.74 三、筹资活动产生的现金流量 借款所收到的现金 现金流入小计 偿还债务所支付的现金 分配股利或偿还利息所支付的现金 现金流出小计 筹资活动产生的现金流量净额 693,000,000.00 693,000,000.00 286,350,000.00 24,403,348.68 310,753,348.68 382,246,651.32 四、汇率变动对现金的影响 五、现金及现金等价物净增加额 67,255,135.70 CFE: Initial Detection of Fraud Detection of Fraud – Employee Report – Accidentally Discover – Internal Control – Internal Audit – External Audit – Customer Report – Anonymous Report – Supplier Report – Supervisor Report 26.3% 18.8% 18.6% 15.4% 11.5% 8.6% 6.2% 5.1% 1.7% 11 1 CHAPTER Framework for Financial Statements Analysis Outline Financial Statements; Financial Reporting System; Financial Statements Analysis: •Financial Statements Users; •Information Used in Financial Statements Analysis; •Focuses of Financial statements; •Techniques & Tools Used in Analyzing Process. Role of the Auditor. Financial Statements 1. Business activities Financing Activities Investing Activities Planning Activities Operating Activities Revenues and expenses from providing goods and services Planning Activities: Goals& Objectives Factors: • Competition • Market demands • Pricing • Tactics • Promotion • Managerial performance • Distribution • Opportunities • Obstacles … Financial Activities Financing activities: Owner (equity) Nonowner (liabilities) Financing Investment Activities Investing activities: Buying resources Investing Financing Investing = Financing Financial Statements Reflect Business Activities Planning Financing Investing Operating Current: • • • • Cash Accounts Receivable Inventories Marketable Securities Noncurrent: • • • Land, Buildings, & Equipment Patents Investments Sales • Cost of Goods Sold • Selling Expense • Administrative Expense • Interest Expense • Income Tax Expense • Current: • • • • Noncurrent: • • Net Income Income statement Notes Payable Accounts Payable Salaries Payable Income Tax Payable • Bonds Payable Common Stock Retained Earnings Liabilities & Equity Assets Cash Flow Balance Sheet Balance Sheet Statement of Cash Flows Statement of Shareholders’ Equity 2.Principal Financial Statements (1) Balance sheet (2) the income statement (3) Statement of cash flows (4) Statement of Stockholders’ Equity (5) Financial Statement Links (1) Balance sheet The balance sheet reports major classes and amounts of assets, liabilities, and stockholders’ equity and their relationships at specific points in time. Financial position E.g. December 31,2009 Equation: Assets = Liabilities + Stockholders’ Equity March 22, 2016 Prepared by ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade ① Elements of the balance sheet Assets: Probable future economic benefits obtained or controlled by a particular entity as a result of past transactions. Liabilities: Probable future sacrifices of economic benefits arising from present obligations of a particular entity to transfer assets or provide services to other entities in the future as a result of past transactions or events. Stockholders’ equity: the residual interest in the net assets of an entity that remains after deducting its liabilities. ② Example Balance Sheet Dec 31, 2008 (In millions) Assets Current Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Inventories Deferred income tax charges Other Total current assets Properties Land, buildings and equipment at cost Less: Accumulated depreciation Net properties Other Assets Goodwill (net of accumulated amortization of $920) Other non-current assets Total Assets Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity $ 448 2,337 1,137 521 240 4,683 12,982 7,323 5,659 Current Liabilities Payables Short-term borrowings Accrued income taxes Current maturities of LTD Total current liabilities Other Liabilities Long-term borrowings Post-employment liabilities Other long-term liabilities Total liabilities $ 3,276 1,378 544 156 5,354 1,666 2,728 720 10,468 948 2,072 $ 13,362 Assets=Liabilities + Stockholders’ equity Shareholders' Equity Common stock, par value $2.50 per share, 950,000,000 shares authorized; issued 391,292,760 shares Additional paid in capital Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive loss 978 849 7,431 (597) 8,661 Treasury stock, as cost, 100,363,059 shares 5,767 Total shareholders' equity 2,894 Total liabilities and equity $ 13,362 (2) the income statement The income statement reports on the performance of the firm, the results of its operating activities in a certain period. E.g. for the year ended December 31,2009 ① Elements of the income statement Revenues: inflows …of an entity from delivering or producing goods, rendering services, or other activities that constitute the entity’s ongoing major or central operations. Expenses: outflows … from delivering or producing goods, rendering services, or carrying out other activities that constitute the entity’s ongoing major or central operations. Gains and losses: increases (decreases) in equity (net assets) from peripheral or incidental transactions… Gains or losses are, therefore, nonoperating events. Examples would include gains and losses from assets sales, lawsuits, and changes in market values (including currency rates) example Income Statement For Year Ended Dec. 31, 2008 (In millions) Sales Cost of goods sold Gross profit Selling, general and administrative expenses Research and development costs Goodwill amortization Restructuring costs and asset impairments EARNINGS FROM OPERATIONS Interest expense Other income (charges) Earnings before income taxes Provision for income taxes NET EARNINGS $13,234 8,670 4,564 2,627 779 154 659 345 219 (18) 108 32 76 (3) Statement of cash flows The statement of cash flows reports cash receipts and payments in the period of their occurrence, classified as to operating, investing, and financing activities. Cash flows from operations can be reported: Directly: Using major categories of gross cash receipts and payments Indirectly: Providing a reconciliation of net income to net cash flow from operating activities. Directly March 22, 2016 Prepared by ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade Indirectly March 22, 2016 Prepared by ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade example Statement of Cash Flows For year Ended Dec. 31, 2008 (In millions) Cash flows from operating activities: Net Earnings Adjustments to reconcile to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and amortization Restructuring costs Provisions (benefit) for deferred income taxes (Increase) decrease in receivables (Increase) decrease in inventories (Decrease) increase in liabilities excluding borrowings Other items, net Net cash provided by operating activities $ 76 919 830 (44) 252 461 (529) 100 2,065 Cash flow from Investing activities: Additions to properties Acquisitions, net of cash acquired Marketable securities - sales Marketable securities - purchases Net cash used in investing activities (743) (306) 54 (52) (1,047) Cash flows from financing activities: Net increase (decrease) in borrowings with original maturities of 90 days or less Proceeds from other borrowings Repayment of other borrowings Dividends to shareholders Exercise of employee stock options Stock repurchase programs Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities Effect of exchange rate changes on cash Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents (695) 1,907 (1,355) (643) 22 (44) (808) (8) 202 (4) Statement of Stockholders’ Equity This statement reports the amounts and sources of changes in equity from capital transactions with owners and may include the following components: Preferred shares Common shares (at par or stated value) Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings Treasury share (repurchased equity) Employee stock ownership plan (ESOP) adjustments Financial Statement Links Balance Sheet Dec. 31, 2007 Assets Cash Non-Cash Assets Total Assets Liabilities & Equity Total liabilities $ 246 13,966 $14,212 $ 10,784 1,849 7,387 (5,808) $ 3,428 Liabilities & Equity $14,212 Dec. 31, 2007 Income Statement for Year Ended Dec. 31, 2008 Sales $13,234 Expenses (13,158) Net Earnings $ 76 Other Comprehensive Income (115) Comprehensive Income $ (39) Statement of Shareholders’ Equity for Year Ended Dec. 31, 2008 Share Capital, Dec. 31, 2007 Adjustments/Stock Issue Share Capital, Dec. 31, 20088 $ 1,849 (22) $ 1,827 Retained Earnings, Dec. 31, 2007 Add: Comprehensive Income Less: Dividends Retained Earnings, Dec. 31, 2008 $ 7,387 (39) (514) $ 6,834 Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 2007 Treasury Stock Issued Treasury Stock Repurchased Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 2008 $ 5,808 82 (41) $ 5,767 (Period of time) Balance Sheet Dec. 31, 2008 Assets Cash Non-Cash Assets Total Assets $ 448 12,914 $13,362 Liabilities & Equity Total liabilities $10,468 Equity: Share Capital Retained Earnings Treasury Stock Total equity 1,827 6,834 (5,767) $ 2,894 Liabilities & Equity $13,362 (Point in time) (Point in time) Equity: Share Capital Retained Earnings Treasury Stock Total equity Statement of Cash Flows for Year Ended Dec. 31, 2008 Operating Cash flows $ 2,065 Investing Cash flows (1,047) Financing Cash flows (808) Exchange rate changes on cash (8) Net Change in Cash $ 202 Cash Balance, Dec. 31, 2007 246 Cash Balance, Dec. 31, 2008 $ 448 Dec. 31, 2008 3. Other Information in the Annual Report (1) Statement of Comprehensive Income; (2) Footnotes; (3) Supplementary data; (4) Management discussion and analysis; (5) Others. (1) Statement of Comprehensive Income Comprehensive Income: The change in equity of a business enterprises during a period from transactions and other events and circumstances from nonowner sources. It includes all changes in equity during a period except those resulting from investments by owners and distributions to owner. Comprehensiv e Income Net income Direct-toequity adjustments: Cumulative translation adjustments Minimum pension liability Unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities Deferred gains and losses on cash flow hedges Other comprehensive income (2) footnotes Footnotes are an integral part of the financial statements. Footnotes provide: Information about accounting methods, assumptions and estimates used by management to develop the data reported in the financial statements Additional disclosure related to such areas as: Fixed assets Inventories Income taxes Pension and other postemployment benefit plans Debt (interest rates, maturity schedules, and contractual terms) Lawsuits and other loss contingencies Marketable securities and other investments Hedging and other risk management activities Business segments Significant customers, sales to related parties, and export sales For explanations, see next slide Contingencies Conditions of recognizing a contingent loss: Probability >50% (1) It is probable that assets have been impaired or a liability has been incurred. (2) The amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. If the amount lies within a range, the most likely amount should be accrued. Probability >50% Can be reasonably estimated recognize ≤50% Footnote disclosure amount Can not be reasonably estimated Footnote disclosure ! Footnote disclosure or MD&A disclosure Or no disclosure at all (3) Supplementary data Examples: Oil and gas companies provide additional data on their exploration activities, quantities and types of reserves, and the present value of cash flows expected from those reserves. Supplemental disclosure of the impact of changing prices. Disclosure of sales revenue, operating income, and other data for major business segments and by geographic areas. Firms also provide information about export sales. disclosure related to financial instruments and hedging activities. (4) Management discussion and analysis •Required since 1968. •Expanded in 1980. •Guidance issued in 1989. •Further emphasized and expanded in 2002 (5) Other data sources See p21~22. Financial Reporting System U.S financial reporting system International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) 1. The U.S financial reporting system Regulators Alternative Information Sources Industry Practices Economy and Industry Information FASB GAAP Managers Voluntary Disclosure AICPA Analysts Statutory Financial Reports (Financial Statements) SEC Corporate Governance Litigation Auditors Enforcement and Monitoring Prepared byMechanisms ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of March 22, 2016 Foreign Trade Investors and Creditors Other Users Users Form 10-K (Annual Report) 20-F (Registration Statement/ Annual Report [Foreign]) 10-Q (Quarterly Report) 8-K (Current Report) Statutory Financial Reports 14-A (Proxy Statement/ Prospectus) Other SEC Filings Form 10-K : Annual Report • Contents: – – – – – – – – – Business of company Properties Legal proceedings MD&A Changes or disagreements with auditor Financial statements and footnotes Investee financial statements (where applicable) Parent company financial statements (where applicable) Schedules: • • • • • Condensed financial information Bad debt and other valuation accounts Real estate and accumulated depreciation Mortgage loans on real estate Supplementary information concerning property-casualty insurance operations • Due date: 3 months following end of fiscal year. 10-Q: Quarterly Report • Contents: – Financial statements – MD&A • Due date: 45 days following end of fiscal quarter. Not required for fourth quarter of fiscal year 8-K: Current Report • Contents :used to report important events – Change in control – Acquisitions and divestitures – Bankruptcy – Change in auditors – Resignation of directors • Due date: 15days following event. Environmental Factors Managers of Companies Main responsibility for fair & accurate reports Set by International Accounting Applies accounting to reflect business activities Standards Board Managerial discretion is necessary in accounting Major on GAAP Not lobbyist currently accepted in U.S. SEC under pressure to accept IAS Environmental Factors Corporate Governance Board of directors oversight Set committee by International Accounting Audit of the board Boardprocess -Standards oversee accounting - oversee internal control Not currently accepted in U.S. - oversea internal/external audit Internal Auditor pressure to accept IAS SEC under 2. International accounting standards Differences in accounting and reporting standards make it difficult to compare domestic companies with those in other countries. ① International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) An organization of securities regulators. Investigating regulatory issues related to international securities transactions and developing solutions to problems in these area. Established a comprehensive core set of international accounting standards. ② International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) IASB Chronology 1973 Agreement to establish IASC signed by representatives of the professional accountancy bodies in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, United Kingdom/Ireland, and United States. 1975 First final IAS published: IAS 1 (1975), Disclosure of Accounting Policies, and IAS 2 (1975), Valuation and Presentation of Inventories in the Context of the Historical Cost System. 1998 IFAC/IASC membership expands to 140 accountancy bodies in 101 countries. 2001 Members and new name of IASB announced. IASC Foundation formed. On 1 April 2001, the new IASB assumes its standard-setting responsibilities from the IASC. Existing IAS and SIC adopted by IASB. IASB structure Financial Statements Analysis: Users WHO Focuses WHY Information WHAT Techniques HOW Financial statements users Shareholders and investors • Investment decisions • Proxy contests Managers and employees • Performance assessment • Compensation contracts • Company-sponsored pension plans Lenders and suppliers • Lending decisions • Covenant compliance Customers • Supplier health • Repeat purchases • Warranties & support Government & regulators • Mandatory reporting • Taxing authorities • Regulated industries Classification of financial statement users (1) Internal Users Managers Internal Auditors employees …… (2) External Users Can be classified into three groups: Credit and equity investors; Government (executive and legislative branches), regulatory bodies, and tax authorities; The general and special interest groups, labor unions, Common characteristic: Lack of authority to prescribe the information they want from an enterprise and consumer groups. Financial reporting should provide information that is useful to present and potential investors and creditors and other users in making rational investment, credit, and similar decisions. The information should be comprehensible to those who have a reasonable understanding of business and economic activities and are willing to study the information with reasonable diligence. ——(for more detailed information, see SFAC 1) Underlying objective of financial analysis In this course, we deal with the concepts and techniques of financial analysis employed by users of financial statements who are external to the company. Since the primary users are equity investors and creditors, financial accounting standards are geared to the purposes and perceptions of investors and creditors. (1) Creditors and equity investors equity investors: long-term earning power, ability to grow, ability to pay dividends and increase in value. Short-term creditors: Immediate liquidity Creditors: long-term creditors: Long-term asset position and earning power Another classification of creditors: trade creditors: Creditors: Short-term creditors Non-trade creditors: long-term creditors Short-term creditors Information Used in Financial Statement Analysis Information Used in Financial Statement Analysis Corporate Financial Reporting General Purpose External Financial Report Required Information Financial Statements Balance Sheet, Income Statements, Stat of cash flow, etc Footnotes Accounting Policy, Contingency, Etc. Supplementary Data Disclosure of Price Change, Information about Gas and Natural Resources,Etc. Other ways of Financial Reporting MD&A, Letter to Stockholders, etc Other Information Report of Analyst, Economic/Indust ry Statistics News Report of company, etc, Hierarchy of Accounting Qualities Users of accounting information Decision makers and their characteristics Benefits > Costs Constraints Materiality Understandability User-specific qualities Primary qualities Ingredients of primary qualities Decision usefulness Relevance Predictive value Reliability Feedback value Neutrality Representational faithfulness Timeliness Secondary qualities Verifiability Comparability and consistency Qualitative characteristics of accounting information: Relevance: the capacity of information to make a difference in a decision. Timeliness : an important aspect of relevance. Reliability: encompasses verifiability, representational faithfulness, and neutrality. Relevance and reliability tend to be opposing qualities. Consistency and comparability: •consistency refers to use of the same accounting principles over the time; •comparability refers to comparisons among companies. Materiality: threshold for financial statement recognition. Qualitative factors SEC Quantitative factors Materiality is best defined in a firm context. See p10. Focuses of Financial statements Credit Analysis; Accounting Analysis; Financial Analysis. Credit Analysis Credit worthiness: Ability to honor credit obligations (downside risk) Liquidity Ability to meet shortterm obligations Focus: • Current Financial conditions • Current cash flows • Liquidity of assets Solvency Ability to meet long-term obligations Focus: • Long-term financial conditions • Long-term cash flows • Extended profitability 【思考题(Questions)】 1. 假设你是银行家。IMC公司申请200万美元的一年期短期贷款用于 其在英国的扩展。在对该公司的贷款分析中,你计算出该公司的流动比率为4: 1,其中还有近160万的流动资产。同行业竞争者的平均流动比率是1.9:1。 根据这些有限的信息,你对IMC公司的贷款申请会持什么意见?如果该公司申 请的是十年期的长期贷款,你的决定会有什么不同? Accounting Analysis Process to evaluate and adjust financial statements to better reflect economic reality Comparability problems — across firms and across time Manager estimation error Distortion problems Earnings management Distortion of business Accounting Risk Financial Analysis Process to evaluate financial position and performance using financial statements Profitability analysis — Evaluate return on investments Risk analysis ——— Evaluate riskiness & creditworthiness Sources and uses —Evaluate source & of funds analysis deployment of funds March 22, 2016 Prepared by ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade Common tools Ratio analysis Cash flow analysis Techniques & Tools Used in Analyzing Process Comparative Analysis; Common-Size Analysis Ratio Analysis; Valuation Comparative Analysis Purpose: Evaluation of consecutive financial statements Output: Direction, speed, & extent of any trend(s) Types: Year-to-year Change Analysis Index-Number Trend Analysis Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Kodak's Comparative Income Statements Change Change 2001 2000 (in mil.) % $ 13,234 (5.4)% $13,994 $ (760) 3.5 8,670 8,375 295 $ (1,055)(18.8) $ 4,564 $ 5,619 Sales Cost of goods sold Gross profit Operating Expenses: 2,665 Selling, general and admin. 2,781 116 784 Research and development 779 (5) (44) Restructuring costs 659 703 Earnings from operations $ 345 $2,214 $(1,869) Interest Expense and other 237 82 155 Other income (charges) Earnings before income taxes $ 108 $ 2,132 $ (2,024) 725 Provision for income taxes 32 (693) Net earnings $ 76 $ 1,407 $ (1,331) 4.4 (0.6) (84.4) 189.0 (94.9) (95.6) (94.6) Index - Base 1997 Kodak's Index-Number Trends - Sales and Operating expenses (1997 = base year) 1.050 1.000 0.950 0.900 0.850 0.800 0.750 0.700 Sales Operating expenses 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Common-Size Analysis Purpose : Evaluation of internal makeup of financial statements; Evaluation of financial statement accounts across companies. Output: Proportionate size of assets, liabilities, equity, revenues, & expenses Kodak's Common-Size Income Statements Sales Cost of goods sold Gross profit Selling, general and administrative expenses Research and development costs Restructuring Costs Earnings from operations Interest expense and other costs (credits) Earnings before income taxes Provision for income taxes Net earnings 2001 2000 100.0% 65.5 34.5% 21.0 5.9 5.0 2.6% 1.8 100.0% 59.9 40.1% 19.0 5.6 (0.3) 15.8% 0.6 0.8% 0.2 0.6% 15.2% 5.2 10.0% Ratio Analysis Purpose : Evaluate relation between two or more economically important items (one starting point for further analysis) Output: Mathematical expression of relation between two or more items Cautions: Prior Accounting analysis is important Interpretation is key -- long vs short term & benchmarking Role of the Auditor SEC requires Audit Report Audit opinion can be: - clean (fairly presented) - qualified (except for) - disclaimer (no opinion) Check Auditor quality & independence Auditors Abbreviations used in this course March 22, 2016 Prepared by ZHANG Tiezhu, All rights Reserved. Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade Assignments: 1. Describe the SEC reporting requirements for foreign registrants. 2. Explain the role of the auditor Thanks! 77