i.e. the New Lighting financial reality Lighting Guy, 30 years Industry Observer and Active Participant Talent assessment => Industry leaders Past Market Observations, SiL 2013 ◦ Channel Diversity ◦ Lighting mega-trends ◦ Trend predictions Talent market Market threats Ideas for success in the future Emerging trends ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Leased lighting Franchised distributors ESCO emergence Electronic distributors Channel consolidation A/V installers Controls integrators Trends updates ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Very little growth Growing Growing Components only Tipping point Growing Growing Lamp replacement DC Power distribution Building integration Design New markets Consolidation Alternative energy => => => => => => => “Power Ball” Gaining traction Nascent Lagging Blue Ocean strategy Darwinian Synergistic Lighting will cease to pierce the plane of the ceiling Residential design will coalesce solar power and native DC power distribution Smart design will enable a new system approach: Lighting, HVAC, Desk-top, Security, Sound, etc. Quality Lighting and Quality Design will intersect into a holistic smart building Gestalt. The US lighting market will bifurcate: New Market v. Installed Market Unemployment Level as of April 2014 Some HS, HS, Some College, Degreed Boomers are retiring, GenY isn’t ready Existing talent has been absorbed by the rapid growth of new companies Recession led to shallow bench strength GM’s are dropping Salaries are rising, rapidly Influx of semicon talent, with little channel or product application knowledge Skills no longer match needs Limited access to talent that grasps the emerging channel opportunities Replacement lamps are overshadowing the core lighting market The explosion of technology is confusing the core issue of selling lighting Competition for reps is driving up SG&A and diminishing the focus of reps Buying influences are expanding and the need for broader market coverage increases Pick a strategy and develop a plan to own it Focus closely on channel partnerships Minimize the adhesions of the past Develop synergistic alliances: controls, software, integrators, security firms Expand your grasp of building changes: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. ◦ ◦ 6. HVAC, controls, security, communications Installation, DC power, solar, technology R&D Invest: Talent delivers the highest ROI “In times of rapid change, experience could be your worst enemy” J. Paul Getty Ted Konnerth, PhD tk@egretconsulting.com 847-307-7125