Conflict, Resolution and Justice in International Relations Theory Michael Buckley Global Majority and The City University of New York, Lehman College Conflict, Resolution and Justice in International Relations Theory Overview Two IR Theories, One Normative Theory Why Theory? Theory and Practice Conflict, Resolution and Justice There are long periods in the history of any society during which certain basic questions lead to deep and sharp conflict and it seems difficult if not impossible to find any reasoned common ground… A key task of political theory is to focus on deeply disputed questions and to see whether an underlying basis of agreement can be found… It is realistically utopian when it extends what are normally thought of as the limits of practical political possibility John Rawls Three Key Concepts = Power Realism = Ideals and laws Utopianism = Constraints that help Realistic Utopia define the legitimate use of power Theories of Int’l Relations Realist Liberalism Classical and Neo-realists Utopians and Neo-liberalism New Normative Approaches Capabilities theory The Context of IR Theory Peace Treaty of Westphalia (1648) Concert of Europe -- Congress of Aixla Chapelle (1815) League of Nations -- Paris Settlement (1919) United Nations Charter (1948) The State of Nature Absent overarching authority sufficient to make effective laws/obligations Without effective obligations, states have no incentive to follow principles States may have incentive not to follow, lest they be taken advantage Does not necessarily mean there are no principles of international justice Does imply moral obligations must be reasonable from first person perspective Section I Realism Realism Classical Realism Neo-realism Juridical Realism The Peloponnesian War The real though unavowed cause I believe to have been the growth of the Athenian Power, which terrified the Lacedaemonians and forced them into war; but the reasons publicly alleged on either side were… Thucydides The Lacedaemonian Diplomat Focus on states that could constitute effective threats Will NOT interpret actions in terms of what is said, but rather on the premise that they are seeking to rationally increase their power Develop policies protecting one’s own power position and essential interest Classical Realism States are the key units of action States seek power, either as an end in itself or as a means to other ends States behave in ways that are, by and large, rational Conflict Power Military, economic and social resources? Ability to influence other’s behavior? The perceived essential interest of each state Rationality Action based on the pursuit of selfinterest measured in terms of power maximization. A cost/benefit analysis of alternative policies in order to realize preferences (power) Resolution Outcome of Rational States Pursuing Interests is: Modus Vivendi Balance of Power: Equilibrium of power relations established or disturbed through alliances or arms racing Pareto Frontier If all units were given to Ms. Smith, she would perceive let us say 700 units of utility. Mr. Novak would get nothing and his utility would be 0. If all the goods were given to Mr. Novak, he may perceive 500 units of utility and Ms. Smith would get 0. Pareto frontier is the black curve connecting these two points. It depicts the maximum possible welfare of this pair of people. For example point A representing 200 units of welfare for Mr. Novak and 300 units of welfare of Ms. Smith is inefficient, because some changes in the allocation of resources, technology and/or distribution of consumer goods can improve the welfare of one or both of them. QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Rational Choice Play: Von Nuemann’s Games Gen. Kenney knew Japan would send convoy of ships either north or south to New Guinea. Each rout takes 3 days, giving the Allies a 3 day window to attack. But weather could interfere. Weather forecasts predicted: North rout would be rainy one day, allowing 2 days of bombing. The southern rout would be clear, allowing three days. If Kenney sends planes south, and convoy goes north, he loses one of two days of bombing time. If he sends them north, and the convoy goes south, he loses one of three days of bombing time. What should he do? Kenney’s Payoff Matrix Japanese Allies North South North 2 2 South 1 3 Classical vs Neo-Realism Classical States, Power, Rationality Outcome: Balance of Power Unit Analysis Neo-Realism States, Power, Rationality Outcome: Balance of Power Systems Analysis Unit vs Systemic Analysis Unit Analysis Explains int’l outcomes by reference to the internal structures of individual units (states) Ex. Democratic countries do not go to war with one another Systemic Analysis Explains int’l outcomes by reference to forces that operate at the systems level of int’l relations Ex. Int’l wars decrease in a bipolar vs. multipolar world Unit or Systemic? The sacrifices of Americans have not always been recognized or appreciated, yet they have been worthwhile. Because we and our allies were steadfast, Germany and Japan are democratic nations that no longer threaten the world … Every nation has learned, or should have learned, an important lesson: Freedom is worth fighting for, dying for, and standing for -- and the advance of freedom leads to peace. George W. Bush Systems Analysis Ordering principle: How is the structure ordered? Hierarchical, Anarchical? Character of the units: What are the key functions of the units? Distribution of capabilities across units: Is stability/peace best achieved in a multipolar, bipolar or unipolar world Outcomes Self-help system: Those who cannot help themselves will not prosper Balance of power: Helping oneself means increasing one’s capability (power) relative others Relative Gains: States seek relative rather than absolute gains Relative Gains When faced with the possibility of cooperating for mutual gain, states that feel insecure must ask how the gain will be divided. They are compelled to ask not “Will both of us gain?” but “Who will gain more?” If an expected gain is to be divided, say, in the ratio of two to one, one state may use its disproportionate gain to implement a policy to damage or destroy the other. Even the prospect of large absolute gains for both parties does not elicit their cooperation so long as each fears how the other will use its increased capabilities Kenneth Waltz Juridical Realism Giorgio Agamben: State of Exception Relation between power and the law Does the executive branch stand above the law? Or is it subject to it? Executive determines “state of emergency” and suspension of law “Power” trumps “law” Realism Summarized Conflict: Natural condition of an anarchic order where units view their interests (power) in opposition to other units Resolution: Equilibrium established through a balance of power Justice: Ideology of the stronger (might makes right) Section II Liberalism Utopianism (liberalism) Believed the stabilizing force of int’l relations rested on transnational organizations (League of Nations) and international law Believed these organizations and law were grounded on moral concepts When properly established, global order would achieve a harmony of interests Harmony of Interests The pursuit of individual interests is at the same time the pursuit of the communal interest. Laissez Faire Economics serves as model In international relations, the key interest is an interest in peace Global Society simply needs to create the proper context in which these interest can be realized (not unlike the way capitalism creates the conditions supportive of market relations) Critique of Utopianism The state has no right to let its moral disapprobation … get in the way of successful political action, itself inspired by the moral principle of national survival. Hans Morgenthau What about? Should the US trade with China despite the latter’s human rights record? Should countries have pulled their investments from apartheid ridden South Africa? Utopians vs Neo-Liberalism Peace established through transnational institutions and laws Institutions and laws are grounded on morality Once properly established, global society can realize a harmony of interests Cooperation made possible by international regimes Institutions and Laws are established through State interest (hegemonic interest) Once established states can seek absolute gains rather than relative gains Neo-liberal Analysis Focus on a world political system -- states, transnational institutions and int’l regime International regimes have a significant impact on world politics What are the major features of world politics when interdependence is extensive? Is Interdependence a new phenomena? Sensitivity vs Vulnerability interdependence How and why do international regimes change? Constraints on State Action The US imposes duties on Japanese steel imports. Japan brings the case to the World Trade Organization, which rules in favor of Japan. Does the US have to lift its import duty? Sensitivity vs Vulnerability 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP) 13 14 19 20 26 Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP) 13 13 20 20 25 World Source: World Development Indicators database, World Bank Interdependence Transnational institutions help facilitate cooperation by reducing uncertainty Establish conditions of trust Creates symmetric access to information Reduces transaction costs of legitimate actions Outcomes Constrain State Actions Governments often comply with rules that conflict with their immediate self-interests in order to preserve their participation in beneficial regimes Facilitate Cooperation Establish conditions of trust Creates symmetric access to information Reduces transaction costs of legitimate actions Neo-Liberalism Summarized Conflict: Natural condition of world political system where states are among the key units Resolution: Interdependence helps facilitate cooperation among states Justice: The pursuit of self-interest within an interdependent world creates the possibility of absolute gains Neo-liberalism vs Neo-realism The nature and consequences of anarchy The possibility of cooperation Relative vs Absolute gains Priority of State goals Intentions vs capabilities The role of transnational institutions Section III Normative Approaches Plato’s Republic Justice is nothing more than the advantage of the stronger Thrasymachus Why ask these questions? 1.5 bil. people live below int’l poverty live Widening gap between global rich and global poor Environmental degradation War Explanatory vs. Normative Theory Explanatory Describes relations Predicts outcomes Presents framework explaining outcomes Normative Prescriptive Cannot predict Presents a framework that justifies what outcomes ought to be achieved The State of Nature Absent overarching authority sufficient to make effective laws/obligations Without effective laws/obligations, states have no incentive to follow principles States may have incentive not to follow, lest they be taken advantage Does not necessarily mean there are no principles of international justice Does imply moral obligations must be reasonable from first person perspective International Principles Principle of Sovereign Equality Principle of Nonintervention Duty to Honor Human Rights Just War Principles Just cause Last resort Legitimate Authority Proportionality Probability of success Aim of peace Discrimination (civilian vs combatant) Theories of Global Justice Contract Theory Communitarianism Utilitarianism Cosmopolitanism Capabilities Approach: Capabilities Approach Account of minimum core social entitlements—theory of rights The focus is on human capacities to function in a particular way and not the realization of that functioning Capacities are grounded in an idea of human dignity and flourishing Gives content to the idea of “equality” by focusing on what particular goods are capable of doing/contributing An injustice is understood as capabilitydeprivation Central Human Capabilities Life Health Bodily Integrity Sense, Imagination, Thought Emotions Practical Reason Affiliation Other Species Play Control over one’s environment Capabilities as Criteria UN Human Development Report Human Dev. Index Life Expectancy Literacy Wealth per capita Health Expenditure Physicians/100k pop Children under weight Inequality Measure Gini index Tech. usage Unemployment Energy consumption Cell phone Internet Carbon Dioxide Em. Prison Population Gender equality The Human Development Concept Human Dev. is a development paradigm that is about much more than the rise or fall of national incomes. It is about creating an environment in which people can develop their full potential and lead productive, creative lives in accord with their needs and interests... Development is thus about expanding the choices people have to lead lives that they value. And it is thus about much more than economic growth, which is only a means —if a very important one —of enlarging people’s choices UNDP Capabilities and Rights Life Health Bodily Integrity Imagination, Thought Emotions Practical Reason Affiliation Other Species Play Control over envn’t Right to life Right to food/med Freedom of movement Right to education Right marry/reproduce Freedom of religion Right to assemble Right to rest and leisure Right to vote/own property Justifying Capabilities The focus is on capacities each person has, to varying degrees The full function of at least some of these capacities can lead to a fulfilling life—sense of dignity and self-worth Respective of plurality insofar as it avoids advocating the satisfaction of functions Practical in that they serve as criteria Capabilities Approach Conflict: Conflicting interests exist, but some interests are more fundamental then others Resolution: More fundamental interest takes priority Justice: The protection of fundamental capabilities is a minimal criterion for justice Interests Revisited How are the benefits (wealth) and burdens (pollution) of economic development to be distributed? Do property rights (GM food) secure basic interests or violate them? What are nations’ responsibilities toward refugees? Realistic Utopia: Conflict and Resolution People have conflicting interest But conflicting interests do not create insurmountable barriers to cooperation understanding interests (dialogue) acting reasonable with respect to key interests (capabilities approach) we put ourselves in a position to resolve conflict in a manner acceptable to all parties.