Presentation to the University of Colorado

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Presentation to ICSI

On M&A Valuations

Regional Conference

By CA. Manish Khanna

Sept 19, 2015

Overview of the Presentation

Agenda

I.

II.

III.

Introduction to M&A related Valuation

Dynamics of M&A Valuation

A.

B.

Drivers of M&A and Role of an Investment Banker

Valuation Methodologies and the “Football Field”

IPO Valuation

A.

B.

What Matters and is Most Important?

In-depth IPO Valuation

Agenda

Introduction to M&A related Valuation

Valuation Overview

Introduction to Valuation

Valuation is a Central Discipline in Investment Banking

 Nearly Every Activity in Investment Banking and Private Equity is Driven by Valuation Analyses

Determining the value of the Company is generally the first step

M&A ⇛ Determining the value in a transaction

Equity Capital ⇛ Pricing the Initial Public Offering

Leveraged Finance ⇛ Determining collateral value and/or financing capacity

Securities design and pricing is an extension of the same fundamental concepts

 Valuation Requires the Interpretation of Information and Sound Judgment

(Balance of “Science” & “Art”)

 Information provides a foundation of knowledge about the asset and the marketplace

 Interpretation of the information and correct judgment distinguishes the quality of the analysis

 At the Core, Valuation is About Finding the Equilibrium Between Risk and Reward

 Fair market value is typically defined as the price at which a willing buyer and a willing seller will transact around an asset / company when both have complete information and neither is under any compulsion to act

 Obviously, buyers and sellers may value assets differently based on a variety of factors, thereby creating a market

1

Valuation Overview (Cont’d)

Introduction to Valuation

Definition of Key Terms

 Firm Value (or “Enterprise Value”)

 The total value of an operating business regardless of its capital structure

 Equity Value (or “Market Value of Equity”, “Market Value” or “Market Cap”)

 The value of an operating business to its equity holders

 The value of an operating business after the satisfaction of its creditors and preferred claim holders

Firm Value less Net Debt equals Equity Value

 Net Debt

The sum of:

Total indebtedness for borrowed money

Preferred claims against the value of the business

Less the sum of:

– Cash and cash equivalents

 Preferred Claims against the Value of the Business

 May include preferred stock, “out-of-the-money” convertible securities or minority interests

2

Valuation Overview (Cont’d)

Definition of Key Terms

@ M&A

@ Trading

Fully Distributed Equity

Value

@ IPO

Control Value

IPO Value

Introduction to Valuation

 Typically involves a premium over the publicly traded equity value

 Ability to control the Board, management and strategy of the business

 Ability to integrate with other assets and capture synergies

 Ability to access all cash flows and create the optimal capital structure

 Commonly represented by publicly traded equity value

 Assumes adequate liquidity in the market

 Generally subject to existing Board, management and strategy

 Access to cash flow limited to dividends

 Typically involves a discount to the publicly traded equity value

Discount reflects a lack of market history and therefore certain liquidity and valuation risk

Also reflects an attempt to “entice” shareholders of similar companies to buy IPO (bargain price)

3

Dynamics of M&A Valuation

Drivers of Mergers & Acquisitions

M&A Valuation

Why Deals Happen and Don’t Happen

Why Deals Happen

Compelling Strategic Rationale for a Transaction

 Diversification vs. Focus (Broaden or Narrow Business

Mix)

 Manage Market Position and Scale (Commit to a

Product / Market or Exit)

 Geographic Expansion vs. Retrenchment (Globalization

/ Cost of Entry)

Vertical Integration vs. Outsourcing

Defensive (What If Our Competitor / Pursuer Wins?)

Compelling Financial Rationale for a Transaction

 Low Relative Cost or High Relative Opportunity

Financing Markets (Ability to Leverage Equity Returns)

Equity Market Perception / Reaction (Valuation Metrics /

Business Model / Growth / Profitability)

Financial Synergies (Different Value Available to

Different Owners)

Financial Stress (Company Selling Subsidiary to Raise

Cash)

Financial Sponsor Exit

Other Reasons

 Management Ego

 Change in Management

Why Deals Don’t Happen

Insufficient Strategic or Financial Rationale

Management / Board of Directors Resistance (Social

Issues)

 Market / Shareholder Concerns (Dilution / Lack of

Understanding / Credibility)

Inadequate Financial Resources Available to the Buyers

 Anti-Trust Considerations

Changes in Relative Valuation

Accounting, Tax, Legal, and Environmental Issues Are

Insurmountable

 Regulatory (Domestic or Abroad)

4

What are the Deal Mechanics and the Process?

M&A Valuation

Types of Deals and Structures

Types of Deals and Processes

Exclusive Sale

 Private Sale to a Single Buyer

 Limited Auction (Formal vs. Informal)

 Full Auction (Public vs. Private)

Buy-Side Mandate

Willing Target Pursuing a Sale Process

Unsolicited Approach – Target Attitude Unknown

(Formal vs. Informal)

Friendly Negotiations

“Bear Hug” – Target is Resistant (Disclosure Issues)

Hostile Offer

 Equity Restructurings

 Spin-off – shares of subsidiary distributed tax-free to all parent shareholders on a pro-rata basis

Split-off – shares of subsidiary distributed tax-free to self-selected parent shareholders

Targeted Stock – distributed tax-free in either manner outlined above or IPO’

 Leveraged Buyouts and Recapitalizations

Subsid./Private Company Transaction Structures

Asset Sale

 Transaction of specific assets and liabilities

 Required if operations are not held in a distinct subsidiary or set of subsidiaries

 Provides the buyer the ability to deduct transaction goodwill for tax purposes

 Stock Sale

5

Role of a financial advisor

M&A Valuation

A financial advisor performs a broad range of functions in the M&A process

Drive the Process

– From “cradle to grave”

Valuation Advice

– Provide comprehensive financial analysis to formulate (buyside) or evaluate (sellside) a bid

Diligence

– Assist client in the completion of a thorough and organized diligence process

 Marketing – Assist client in preparing diligence materials and public / investor communications

Structuring – Structure transaction to meet the needs of the parties

Market Intelligence

– Provide industry knowledge, a perspective on any public market activity and the ability to assess the likelihood of other potential bidders of the target

Bidding Strategy

– Advise the client on the best way to ensure success

Financing

– Arrange financing alternatives (if necessary)

 Negotiations – Increase negotiating flexibility and leverage by acting as a go-between with the other side

Opinion – Deliver fairness opinion (if appropriate)

Market Reaction

– Anticipate market reaction and marketability of securities

6

What is a Football Field?

M&A Valuation

A football field summarizes the various metrics and assumptions used to determine the valuation of a company or business segment

 Fairness Opinion

 Presents the range of “fair value” for a Board of Directors’ consideration in a sale context

 Provides guidance to justify a bid value in a buy-side

 Sell-Side

 Summarizes proposed positioning and target valuation range based on preliminary analysis

 Buy-Side

 Demonstrates knowledge of the asset, suggests how other buyers might approach valuation and provides bid range guidance

 Internal Reference

 For example – supports loan to value analysis when examining financing alternatives

Important to remember that the valuation metrics used will vary depending on both the industry and the assignment

7

Summary of Valuation Methodologies

M&A Valuation

Multiple types of valuation analyses will be included in a valuation summary depending on industry, type of presentation, available information and numerous other factors

Metric

Control

Value

Private Co.

Metric

Trading Multiples

Comparable

Transactions

Premiums Paid

Leveraged Buyout

Considerations

 Forward P/E, P/CF, EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue most common – may show more than one metric

 LTM P/E, P/CF, EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue most common

– may show more than one metric. Operational metrics used too, particularly in commodity-oriented businesses

 Make sure to apply premium to unaffected price (i.e. preannouncement or pre-leak)

 Alternatively, may apply premium to trading multiples

 Choose appropriate target range of IRR

 Solve for price based on fixed leverage and range of exit multiples

Trading

Value

 Option to show with and/or without synergies

Discounted Cash Flow

Sum-of-the-Parts

Stock Price Trading

Ranges

Equity Research Price

Targets

 Use for distinct business segments or individual assets with different value parameters

 Used as reference point

 52-week most common; also 3-months, 6-months, period since significant event

 Used as reference point

 High/low research price targets; check length of time forward and ensure consistent (or discount back)

8

Source of the Assumptions / Data

M&A Valuation

An analysis is only as good as its inputs

The Projections

 Consideration must be given to which projections to use – can present multiple cases or one case only

 Fairness opinion valuations may involve a base case and a downside and should be provided by or blessed by management

Buy-side valuations may involve management case and revised due diligence case

If preliminary valuation, consider adding due diligence contingencies for unknown factors that may impact value

The Key Assumptions

 Trading Comps: must have back-up for all analysis and consistently apply methodology (e.g. exclude finance subsidiaries, include / exclude underfunded pension liabilities, etc.)

 Transaction Comps: be sure to use publicly available data if creating a fairness opinion for a public company; and be thorough in your search – have rationale for exclusion of deals

Exit multiples:

WACC: justify LBO and DCF exit multiples through trading and transaction comps or cycle analysis perform a detailed WACC analysis to justify discount rates for DCF

Leverage:

Premiums: analysis discuss leverage assumptions to make appropriate LBO valuation clearly define the transaction size, time period and reference point of premiums used in

Share count: use exercisable or outstanding options where appropriate

Change in Control Costs: review proxy materials to determine if change in control costs are relevant

Always keep good back-up of all data sources and assumptions

9

Determining Appropriate Valuation Ranges

Science, Art or Sanity?

“Science” vs. “Art”

Step Back and Look at the “Bigger

Picture”

Sanity Check

M&A Valuation

“Science”

 Market information; financial data

 Mechanics of valuation methodologies

“Art”

Valuation inputs and assumptions are based on industry knowledge, experience and common sense

Senior bankers and industry coverage will opine on the appropriate ranges and assumptions

Individual valuation ranges may seem reasonable, but do they make sense with respect to one another?

 i.e.

, Transaction multiples vs. trading multiples

Are assumptions consistent between methodologies?

 i.e.

, DCF or LBO exit multiples vs. trading multiples or transaction multiples

Is the valuation range too wide or too narrow?

Go back and check the assumptions and calculations

 Are there any outliers in the comparable multiples?

 Are the earnings drivers correct? ( i.e.

, FCFE & earnings for equity value multiples,

EBITDA for enterprise value multiples)

Have I used the right share count (exercisable vs. outstanding options)?

Is implied perpetuity growth rate appropriate?

 What metric does the industry trade on?

11

Preliminary Valuation – the “Football Field”

Enterprise Value ($MM): $850

Preliminary Review of Valuation Parameters

$925 $1,000 $1,075

Discounted Cash Flow

WACC: 8.0%-10.0%

Terminal EBITDA Multiple: 10.0x

Ability-to-Pay

Target 0% 2012 Accretion

MLPs: 11.0x to 13.0x 2012 EBITDA

MLPs: 10.0x to 12.0x 2013 EBITDA

Infrastructure LBO

Exit Multiple: 10.0x

IRRs: 10%-15%

$850

Private Equity LBO

Exit Multiple: 10.0x

IRRs: 17.5%-22.5%

Comparable Transactions

Initial EBITDA Multiple: 14x – 16x

EBITDA Multiple Range: 8x – 10x

EBITDA Multiple

2011

2011 PF

2013

2014

Statistic

$66.5

$80.8

$91.9

$102.4

12.8x

10.5x

9.2x

8.3x

$925

13.9x

11.5x

10.1x

9.0x

$975

$1,000

$1,000

15.0x

12.4x

10.9x

9.8x

$1,025

16.2x

13.3x

11.7x

10.5x

$1,100

$1,100

$1,100

$1,150

$1,150

17.3x

14.2x

12.5x

11.2x

M&A Valuation

$1,225

18.4x

15.2x

13.3x

12.0x

13

Preliminary Valuation Analysis

Purchase Price Ratio Analysis

($ in millions)

Enterprise Value

Less: Projected OpCo Debt (6/30/11)

Implied Equity Value to the Buyer

Less: Projected HoldCo Debt (6/30/11)

Net Proceeds to Sponsor A

Enterprise Value as a Multiple of:

2011E PF EBITDA

2012E Cash EBITDA

2013E Cash EBITDA

2014E Cash EBITDA

Statistic:

$80.8

71.9

91.9

102.4

PPR Analysis

$900

(294)

$606

(305)

$301

$950

(294)

$656

(305)

$351

$1,000

(294)

$706

(305)

$401

$1,050

(294)

$756

(305)

$451

$1,100

(294)

$806

(305)

$501

$1,150

(294)

$856

(305)

$551

$1,200

(294)

$906

(305)

$601

$1,250

(294)

$956

(305)

$651

11.1x

12.5x

9.8x

8.8x

11.8x

13.2x

10.3x

9.3x

12.4x

13.9x

10.9x

9.8x

13.0x

14.6x

11.4x

10.3x

13.6x

15.3x

12.0x

10.7x

14.2x

16.0x

12.5x

11.2x

14.9x

16.7x

13.1x

11.7x

M&A Valuation

15.5x

17.4x

13.6x

12.2x

14

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis

($ millions)

EBITDA

Contract Amortization

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

Growth Capital Expenditures

Unlevered Free Cash Flow

Terminal Value Calculation

2016E EBITDA

FWD EBITDA Multiple

Terminal Enterprise Value of FCF

Discount Rate

Discount Factor

PV of Cash Flows

Enterprise Value

Less: OpCo Debt (6/30/11)

Less: HoldCo Debt (6/30/11)

Net Proceeds to Sponsor A

$1,062.1

($294.4)

($305.0)

$462.7

M&A Valuation

DCF Analysis

0

2H 2011E

$37.4

(4.1)

(0.9)

(22.6)

9.7

2012E

$80.3

(8.3)

(2.7)

(19.9)

49.4

2013E

$97.1

(5.2)

(2.0)

(2.0)

87.9

2014E

$104.6

(2.2)

(2.0)

-

100.4

2015E

Year-End

2016E

$111.3

(1.8)

$115.0

(2.1)

-

107.4

1,149.7

9.0%

0.979

$9.5

9.0%

0.917

$45.3

9.0%

0.842

$74.0

9.0%

0.772

$77.5

9.0%

0.708

$76.1

115.0

10.0x

$1,149.7

9.0%

0.679

$780.1

Discount

Rate

10.0%

9.0%

8.0%

PV of

Cash Flows

$275.9

$282.5

$289.3

Present Value of Terminal Value

Based on EBITDA Multiples of:

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

9.0x

11.0x

$673.8

$711.3

$748.7

$786.2

$823.6

$702.1

$741.1

$780.1

$819.1

$858.1

$731.8

$772.5

$813.2

$853.8

$894.5

9.0x

Preliminary Enterprise Value

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

11.0x

$949.7

$987.1

$1,024.6 $1,062.0 $1,099.5

$984.6

$1,023.6 $1,062.6 $1,101.6 $1,140.6

$1,021.2 $1,061.8 $1,102.5 $1,143.1 $1,183.8

9.0x

Preliminary Equity Value to the Buyer

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

11.0x

$655

$690

$727

$693

$729

$767

$730

$768

$808

$768

$807

$849

$805

$846

$889

15

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (Upside Case)

M&A Valuation

The valuation below includes all of the potential expansion projects and is discounted at a 10% rate to account for the additional risk associated with un-contracted projects

($ millions)

EBITDA

Contract Amortization

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

Growth Capital Expenditures

Unlevered Free Cash Flow

Terminal Value Calculation

2016E EBITDA

FWD EBITDA Multiple

Terminal Enterprise Value of FCF

Discount Rate

Discount Factor

PV of Cash Flows

0

DCF Analysis

2H 2011E

$37.4

(4.1)

(0.9)

(22.6)

9.7

2012E

$80.3

(8.3)

(2.7)

(38.0)

31.2

2013E

$97.1

(5.2)

(2.0)

(18.2)

71.8

2014E

$117.0

(2.2)

(2.0)

(2.0)

110.8

2015E

Year-End

2016E

$123.9

(1.8)

$127.8

(2.1)

-

120.1

1,278.4

10.0%

0.976

$9.5

10.0%

0.909

$28.4

10.0%

0.826

$59.3

Discount

Rate

11.0%

10.0%

9.0%

Enterprise Value

Less: OpCo Debt (6/30/11)

Less: HoldCo Debt (6/30/11)

Net Proceeds to Sponsor A

PV of

Cash Flows

$255.9

$262.4

$269.2

$1,094.3

($294.4)

($305.0)

$494.9

Present Value of Terminal Value

Based on EBITDA Multiples of:

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

9.0x

11.0x

$719.4

$759.3

$799.3

$839.3

$879.2

$749.3

$790.9

$832.5

$874.1

$915.8

$780.7

$824.1

$867.4

$910.8

$954.2

9.0x

Preliminary Enterprise Value

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

11.0x

$975.3

$1,015.3 $1,055.2 $1,095.2 $1,135.1

$1,011.7 $1,053.3 $1,094.9 $1,136.6 $1,178.2

$1,049.8 $1,093.2 $1,136.6 $1,180.0 $1,223.3

10.0%

0.751

$83.2

10.0%

0.683

$82.0

127.8

10.0x

$1,278.4

10.0%

0.651

$832.5

9.0x

Preliminary Equity Value to the Buyer

9.5x

10.0x

10.5x

11.0x

$681

$717

$755

$721

$759

$799

$761

$801

$842

$801

$842

$886

$841

$884

$929

16

IPO Valuation

Comparable Company Analysis Defined

IPO Valuation

Comparable Company Analysis Explained

 The equity of fundamentally similar, or “comparable” companies tends to be valued on a relatively consistent basis by the public markets

 Broadly speaking, if Company A competes in the same industry as Company B, using a similar business model, the equity markets are likely to value the two businesses in a relatively consistent manner

 The Comparable Company Analysis seeks to identify a group or “universe” of public companies which are deemed fundamentally comparable to the target and compares the “market trading multiples” of these companies to determine a range of value for the target, expressed in valuation multiples

 By analyzing certain key ratios and operating data for each of the comparable companies it is possible to determine how the comparable companies valued relative to their profitability, growth prospects, etc.

 Public markets typically place premiums to companies which portrays growth and margin profiles better than those of industry average

As Comparable Company Analysis is based on an analysis of currently publicly trading companies, valuations received by the comparable universe DO NOT typically reflect:

Premium a buyer must pay for control of a company in an M&A transaction; or

Discount the market may place on shares which are newly introduced in an IPO

23

Comparable Company Analysis Defined (Cont’d)

IPO Valuation

Most Widely Used Valuation Tool

What is it?

Fundamental valuation tool used for deriving company value

Use of Trading Multiples

 Initial Public Offering

 Helps in benchmarking performance and valuations across companies within a sector

 Buy-side M&A

 Valuation tool based on how comparable companies are valued by the stock market as a multiple of profit, sales or other parameters

 Sell-Side M&A

 Add-on financings

 Share repurchases

 Assumes that the stock market is relatively efficient in valuing comparable companies  Leveraged Buy-out

Importance

24

Enterprise and Equity Value Multiples

IPO Valuation

Equity Value Multiples

Takes into account capital structure in decision making

 Denominator after interest expense

Main multiples are

 P/E ratio

Equity Market Value / Net Income

Price / Book ratio

Price / CFPS

Enterprise Value Multiples

Focus towards quality of operation

 Unlevered Capital Structure

 Denominator before interest expense

Main multiples are

EV / Sales

EV / EBITDA

EV / EBIT or EV / EBITA

EV / Capital Employed

EV / Subscribers (telecom, similar ratios based on operating figures in other industries)

Summarize the Results

Summary Statistics

 Mean, Median, High Low (The Median is the most meaningful statistic because it will naturally screen outliers)

 Outliers should be evaluated and possibly eliminated

25

Comparison of Multiples

IPO Valuation

Choice of the Multiple Depends on Industry, Profitability, Accounting Regimes

Multiple

EV / Sales

EV / EBITDA

Advantage

Meaningful for loss-making companies

Very limited impact of accounting differences

Disadvantage

 Does not take differences in profitability into account

 No distortions based on different depreciation policies

 Does not take differences in capital expenditures into account

EV / EBIT

EV / Capital

Employed

P/E Ratio

 Valuation based on quality of operation

 Possible distortions based on different accounting policies

 Based on invested capital, which determines potential earnings power

Does not take differences in profitability into account

Distortions through accounting differences

 Focuses on earnings to shareholders  Accounting differences may distort true measures of earnings

Price / CFPS  “Cash is king”

 Does not take differences in capital expenditures into account

Price / Book

 Based on equity, which determines earnings power

 Does not take differences in profitability into account

26

Understanding Key Drivers of “Multiples”

Why Do Comparable Companies Differ in Valuation?

 Industry and Sector Outlook

 Competitive Position

 Research Views

 Historical Performance  One of Key Indicators of Future Performance

 Revenue Growth  Cash Flow

 Operating Margins  Net Income

 Qualitative Factors  Impact Market’s Belief of the Company’s Future Performance

 Management Quality and Track Record

 Regulatory Issues

 Corporate and Operating Strategy

 Environmental Issues

 Ownership Profile  Legal Issues

IPO Valuation

Valuation ultimately assesses the present value of the potential future financial rewards

Current trading valuations or “multiples” of a Company are a reflection of public market’s belief in the future financial rewards by owning the securities of the Company

27

What Else Matters in an IPO?

IPO Valuation

Many Factors are Evaluated at Time of IPO

 Peer Group : Clear peer group with sizeable number of companies

 Only need one; none allows Company / Banks to define the “valuation / story”

 Liquidity : % of float vs. other comparable companies

 Need adequate IPO size to attract institutional investors

 Growth : What are organic and acquisitive growth prospects of the Company?

 How do those projects / returns compare vs. peers and how achievable / financeable are they?

 Stability vs. Volatility : Is Company’s business volatile, risky, stable, cyclical?

 Ability to dampen volatility or smooth out earnings? Capital structure and risk policies

 Stage of Company : What stage is the Company experiencing in its life cycle?

 Developing, nascent, growth, mature?

 Capital structure and cash flow generation / reinvestment

 Capital Structure : Credit ratings and leverage vs. peers and appropriate levels for Company / industry

 Market Conditions at time of IPO

 Management, Board composition and PE backing

 Banking relationships and research coverage

 Credit support and capital markets access in the future

28

Relative Benchmarking

IPO Valuation

Enterprise Value ($ in millions)

$ in millions

$16,000

$15,717 tons in millions

5,030

5,000

4,000

$12,000

3,000

$7,412 $7,292

$8,000

2,000

$4,000

$2,000

$1,716 1,000

$0

Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 1 Company B Peer 4

0

Peer 3

Reserves /

2011E Prod.

38.6 yrs

EBITDA CAGR: 2011E – 2013E

%

40%

41.6%

$/ton

30%

20%

10%

16.1%

10.1%

9.5%

7.0%

$12.00

$10.00

$8.00

$6.00

$4.00

$2.00

$0.00

0%

Company B Peer 1 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 2

___________________________

Note: Peer group data as per company filing and Wall Street equity research. Market data as of 3/23/2011.

Note: Company B data per Company’s projections.

$12.50

Peer 3

2010A Reserves (million tons)

4,445

Peer 1

27.8 yrs

$9.69

Peer 2

2,254

Peer 2

25.8 yrs

2010A EBITDA / ton

$8.87

Company B

970

Peer 4

10.0 yrs

$4.65

Peer 1

857

Company B

29.8 yrs

$3.39

Peer 4

31

Relative Benchmarking: Balance Sheet Strength

IPO Valuation

2011E EBITDA

($ in millions)

$2,400

$2,115

$2,100

$1,800

$1,500

$1,181

$1,200

$900

$1,031

$600

$348

$236

$300

$0

Peer 3

($ in millions)

BB+ (Stable)

Ba1 (Stable)

BB (Watch)

Ba2 (Watch)

Peer 2 Peer 1

Total Liquidity (1)

BB (Watch)

Ba2 (Watch)

BB- (Stable)

Ba3 (Stable)

BB- (Stable)

Ba3 (Stable)

BB- (Watch)

B1 (Stable)

Peer 4

BB- (Pos)

B1 (Pos)

B+ (Watch)

B2 (Stable)

Company B

B+ (Stable)

Caa1 (Stable)

B- (Stable)

Caa2 (Stable)

$3,000

$ 2,507

$2,500

$2,000

$ 1,488 $ 1,480

$1,500

$ 1,063

$1,000

$ 730

$500

$ 450

$ 395 $ 390

$ 235

$ 87

$0

P eer 5 P eer 2 P eer 3 P eer 1 P eer 4 P eer 6 P eer 6 P eer 8 P eer 9 P eer 10

2011E Cash Flow from Operations

($ in millions)

$1,800

$1,713

$1,500

$1,200

$952

$900

$600

$775

$330

$300 $162

$0

P eer 3 P eer 2 P eer 1 P eer 4

Total Debt/Net Debt/LTM EBITDA

(M ult iple)

BB- (Watch)

B1 (Stable)

B+ (Watch)

B2 (Stable)

BB- (Pos)

B1 (Pos)

B- (Stable)

Caa2 (Stable)

BB- (Stable)

Ba3 (Stable)

BB- (Stable)

Ba3 (Stable)

BB (Watch)

Ba2 (Watch)

B+ (Stable)

Caa1 (Stable)

Co mpany B

BB+ (Stable)

Ba1 (Stable)

BB (Watch)

Ba2 (Watch)

4.5x

4.0x

3.5x

3.0x

2.5x

2.0x

1.5x

1.0x

0.5x

0.0x

4.0x

3.1x

3.4x

2.0x

2.8x

2.7x

2.2x

1.9x

2.2x

2.1x

2.2x

1.2x

1.9x

1.6x

1.8x

1.6x

0.7x

1.0x

Total Debt Median 2.2x

Net Debt Median 1.9x

1.0x

0.3x

Peer 6 Peer 8 Peer 7 Peer 10 Peer 1 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 9 Peer 5 Peer 2

Net Debt/LTM EBITDA Total Debt/LTM EBITDA

___________________________

Source: Company information and IBES Estimates.

Note: All companies per 12/31/2010 filings.

1.

Total liquidity is calculated cash & cash equivalents as of latest balance sheet data plus remaining balance on companies’ revolving credit facility, including LOCs.

32

Current Trading Multiples

EV / 2011E EBITDA

Multiple

10.0x

8.0x

6.0x

4.0x

2.0x

0.0x

7.1x

7.4x

6.3x

4.9x

5.6x

7.2x

Peer 1 Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 4 Peer 7

EV / 2012E EBITDA

Peer 8

Multiple

10.0x

8.0x

6.0x

4.0x

2.0x

0.0x

5.5x

6.1x

5.3x

4.4x

5.2x

4.5x

Peer 1 Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 4 Peer 7

EV / 2013E EBITDA

Peer 8

Multiple

10.0x

8.0x

6.0x

4.0x

2.0x

0.0x

5.2x

Peer 1

Primary Comp

___________________________

Note: IBES consensus estimates as of 3/23/2011.

6.2x

5.5x

Peer 3 Peer 2

Secondary Comps

4.1x

Peer 4

6.1x

Peer 7

4.5x

Peer 8

33

5.1x

Peer 10 Peer 9

4.6x

5.0x

8.1x

5.6x

Peer 10 Peer 9

5.4x

Peer 10

Others

Peer 9

IPO Valuation

8.8x

Peer 5

7.3x

Peer 5

7.1x

Peer 5

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