Chapter 24: Unemployment and Inflation – page 1 Defeated Incumbents – Unemployment and inflation are known as the “twin evils of macroeconomics”. How is it that the goals of reducing each are often at odds with each other? ____________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ The Unemployment Rate – Between 1948 and 2008, the unemployment rate has fluctuated between ____ and ____ %. Unemployment always rises during ___________________, and generally falls during ________________ Defining and Measuring Unemployment – Define the following terms as they relate to collecting employment data Employment ________________________________________________________________________________ Unemployment ______________________________________________________________________________ What types of people that are not working are not considered unemployed? _______________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ The Labor Force - ____________________________________________________________________________ Labor Force Participation Rate _________________________________________________________________ The Unemployment Rate ______________________________________________________________________ How is the unemployment rate estimated in the U.S.? ________________________________________________ Over recent years, the labor force participation rate has dropped. It was ~67% in 2002, ~66% in 2008, and is currently just above 63%. Why do you think it is dropping? ____________________________________________ What effect do you think this would have on the unemployment rate? ____________________________________ p. 638, problem 6. Employmen t 2007 a. Employmen t 2008 b. Change in Employmen Change in Labor Force c. Unemployment 2007 Unemployment 2008 t Northeas t South Midwest West d. The Significance of the Unemployment Rate – What insight does the unemployment broadly offer? ____________________________________________________________________________________________ What does the number no tell us? _________________________________________________________________ How the Unemployment Rate Can Overstate the True Level of Unemployment – How can it? _______________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Make a note that you will not often hear this complaint. You will hear the complaint about… How the Unemployment Rate Can Understate the True Level of Unemployment - The biggest problem here is that people who are not _____________________________ are not counted as unemployed. Define the following: Discouraged workers - _________________________________________________________________________ Marginally attached workers ___________________________________________________________________ The underemployed - __________________________________________________________________________ Familiarize yourself with Figure 24-2 and assess the validity of the following statement: To the extent that unemployment is understated, it is generally understated by the same percentage, regardless of how the economy is doing. ______________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ What groups in society tend to have an easier time finding work? ________________________________________ What groups have a harder time? _________________________________________________________________ Growth and Unemployment – As a general rule, during a recession, unemployment is __________________. During an expansion, unemployment is ______________. There can, however, be a period of increasing unemployment while the economy is expanding. Why would this be the case? _____________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ What conclusions can be drawn from the scatter-plot in Figure 24-5? _____________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ According to Figure 24-6 and your own background knowledge, what types of states have low unemployment rates? ______________________________________________________________________ high unemployment rates? ______________________________________________________________________ Why do these differences tend not to persist? ___________________________________________________________________ CYU 24 – 1. 2. a. d. b. e. c. 3. a. b. c. Problem 2. (Similar to CYU 3) – Chapter 24: Unemployment and Inflation – page 2 The Natural Rate of Unemployment – Can the unemployment rate in the U.S. ever reach zero? _________ Why not? ____________________________________________________________________________________ Job Creation and Job Destruction – List examples of recent changes in the structure of our economy that affected the labor market. ______________________________________________________________________________ Frictional Unemployment – List reasons workers leave a job voluntarily. __________________________________ Define frictional unemployment. _________________________________________________________________ Why is there always frictional unemployment? _______________________________________________________ When times are good, the ratio of frictional to total unemployed is _________. In bad times, the ratio is ________. CYU 24-2 1. a. b. Structural Unemployment – Define and describe examples of structural unemployment. _____________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ How does the minimum wage lead to structural unemployment? ________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Describe why this conclusion is controversial in the U.S. ______________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Describe how each of the following lead to (a bit of) structural unemployment: Labor Unions - _______________________________________________________________________________ Efficiency Wages _____________________________________________________________________________ Side Effects of Public Policy ____________________________________________________________________ CYU 24-2 2. The Natural Rate of Unemployment – Define the following: the natural rate of unemployment ______________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Cyclical unemployment ________________________________________________________________________ Despite a desire to do so, public policy cannot keep the rate of unemployment ________________ the natural rate. Natural unemployment = Actual unemployment = Changes in the Natural Rate of Unemployment – Can the natural rate of unemployment change? ________ How? Changes in Labor Force Characteristics - __________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Changes in Labor Market Institutions - ___________________________________________________________ Changes in Government Policies ________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ CYU 24-2, 3. Problem 3. a. b. c. 5. a. c. b. d. 7. a. 8. a. b. b. c. c. d. Inflation and Deflation – How is it that the level of prices doesn’t matter? _____________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ but the rate of change does? _____________________________________________________________________ Describe the following costs imposed by inflation: shoe-leather costs ____________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Menu costs - _________________________________________________________________________________ Unit-of-Account costs _________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Define nominal interest rate ____________________________________________________________________ Define real interest rate ________________________________________________________________________ Who wins when there is inflation? Why? ___________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Who loses? Why? _____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Why is disinflation so painful for an economy? _______________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Problem 11. 13. a. b.