COMPETITION IN THE LONG-RUN In the short-run the number of firms in a competitive industry is fixed. In the long-run new firms can enter or existing firms can leave a competitive industry. Competition in the long-run slide 1 The key to understanding when new firms will want to come into an industry, or existing firms leave, lies in role of profits. Because profits are the difference between revenue and opportunity cost, the existence of profit means a firm is earning more on its invested resources than it could get in its next best alternative. Competition in the long-run slide 2 On the other hand, if a firm earns losses (negative profits) then it can earn more on its invested resources in some alternative use. Competition in the long-run slide 3 If the typical firm in an industry is earning economic profit, then this provides an incentive for other firms to come into the industry to take advantage of the opportunity. If the best a typical firm in an industry can do is earn losses, then that firm has a strong incentive to leave the industry. The objective here is to see what happens to a market when this sort of entry and exit is possible. Competition in the long-run slide 4 The pizza market is in short-run equilibrium at a price p’. There are currently 500 firms, and the typical pizza firm can make economic profits. The question to answer here is what will happen in the long-run, that is, when new firms can come into the industry. $/q $/Q S (500 firms) mc LRAC p’ D q’ q Typical firm Q Q’ Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 5 The supply provided by newly entering firms will cause the market supply curve to move to the right. So Q rises and price falls. $/q $/Q S (500 firms) mc LRAC S (700 firms) p’ p” D q’ q Typical firm Q Q’ Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 6 When and where will this process end? Where is the new equilibrium? A LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM MUST HAVE ZERO ECONOMIC PROFIT FOR THE TYPICAL FIRM. Competition in the long-run slide 7 $/q $/Q S (500 firms) LRAC S (700 firms) S (1000 firms) p* D q* Typical firm q Q’ Q* Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 8 Q The LR equilibrium price is p*. The firm’s LR equilibrium quantity is q*. The LR equilibrium market quantity is Q*. $/q $/Q LRAC S (1000 firms) p* D q* Typical firm q Q* Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 9 Q Competitive market equilibrium in the long-run: 1) Price must settle at the bottom of the firm’s long-run average cost curve. 2) Profits of the typical firm must be zero. 3) The number of firms will adjust to provide the market quantity demanded at that price. 4) Market price is still determined by short-run supply and demand. Competition in the long-run slide 10 PROBLEMS TO WORK OUT SETUP: Suppose a competitive market for pizza is in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose there is an increase in the market demand for pizza. QUESTION: What happens in the market for pizza in the long-run? That is, what is the new equilibrium price, quantity for the industry, quantity for the typical firm, and profits of the typical firm? Competition in the long-run slide 11 Always start to answer questions about long-run equilibrium from this template. $/q $/Q SRS LRAC p* D q* Typical firm q Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run Q Q* Hidden slides slide 12 In the new equilibrium: 1) price is unchanged 2) firm’s quantity is unchanged 3) industry quantity is increased 4) firm’s profits are unchanged Competition in the long-run slide 15 Notice that in the competitive model resources flow to their most valued uses. In the last example, people demanded more pizza and that’s what they got. More of society’s resources flowed into the pizza industry. Competition in the long-run slide 16 ANOTHER PROBLEM TO WORK OUT SETUP: Suppose a competitive market for pizza is in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose that the government imposes a tax of $2 per pizza on all pizzas sold. QUESTION: What happens in the market for pizza in the long-run? That is, what is the new equilibrium price, quantity for the industry, quantity for the typical firm, and profits of the typical firm? Competition in the long-run slide 17 [Notice that the questions are the same as in the first problem, even though the setup is different.] Competition in the long-run slide 18 Once again, start from the same template. The firm and industry are in long-run equilibrium. $/q $/Q SRS LRAC p* D q* Typical firm q Q Q* Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 19 The tax raises average cost and marginal cost by exactly $2. The SRS curve rises by $2 because it is the sum of the firms’ MC curves. LRAC+2 $/q SRS+2 $/Q SRS=SRMC LRAC equal shifts p* D q* Typical firm q Q Q* Industry PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 20 WHAT WILL BE THE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS OF THE TAX? Competition in the long-run slide 21 Price will rise in the short-run, but by less than $2. LRAC+2 $/q SRS+2 $/Q SRS LRAC p* D q* q Q Q* Industry Typical firm PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 22 WHAT WILL BE THE LONG-RUN EFFECTS, AND WHY? The typical firm is earning losses in the new short-run equilibrium. Therefore there is an incentive for some firms to leave the industry. Competition in the long-run slide 23 The new long-run equilibrium must have the typical firm earning zero profits. Firms leave the industry until price rises enough to make profit equal to zero. Competition in the long-run slide 24 In the long-run firms will leave, and supply will be reduced in the market. SRS+2 but fewer firms SRS+2 LRAC+2 $/q $/Q SRS LRAC p* D q* q Q Q' Q* Industry Typical firm PIZZA MARKET Competition in the long-run slide 25 Summary: 1) Price rises by $2 2) Firm quantity is unchanged 3) Industry quantity is less 4) Profits are unchanged (= 0 before & after) 5) There are fewer firms in the industry Competition in the long-run slide 26 We have assumed that the pizza industry was a constant cost industry. In a constant cost industry entry and exit of firms leaves all input prices constant. Competition in the long-run slide 27 In an increasing cost industry entry of new firms drives up input prices, raising everyone’s costs. This is probably the most common case in practice. Examples: Hidden slide Competition in the long-run slide 28 In a decreasing cost industry the entry of new firms actually causes some input prices to fall, lowering everyone’s costs. Occurs in practice, but examples are harder to find. Example: Competition in the long-run slide 30 SUMMARY In the long-run, profits are zero in a competitive industry. Entry and exit of firms is the important market adjustment mechanism in the long-run. Competition in the long-run slide 31