Progress Presentation - School of Meteorology

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Heat Waves and Their Impacts
on Human Health in Urban
Areas of Central Oklahoma
Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan
University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology
Heather Basara
Assistant Professor, University of Oklahoma
Department of Geography
Jeffrey Basara
Associate Professor, University of Oklahoma
School of Meteorology
Background
 Heat waves are common occurrences
 Especially dangerous within urban
environments
 Higher air pollutant concentrations
 UHI phenomenon
 Chicago (1995), Europe (2003), Russia (2010)
Basara et al. 2008
Societal Impacts
 Increased heat related and pollution related illnesses
during extreme heat events
 Increased urbanization in the future
 Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency,
longevity, and intensity
 Better mitigation techniques are needed
European Heat Wave
of 2003
Research Goals
 Expand the current knowledge of the relationships between
heat waves, urban environments, and human health
 Determine which populations are most at risk during
extreme heat events within Oklahoma City at a
neighborhood scale
What We’ve Done
 Determined our event
 July 30 – August 6,
2008
 Sorted through and put
all of the data from the
Micronet and Census
Tracts into GIS for
further analysis
 3 types of data:
Demographic, Pollutant,
Temperature
Basara et al. 2011
Demographic
 Decided to use Clusters (defined by statistical
similarities of demographic data) to group the
Census Tracts (Hall and Basara)
Hall and Basara
Pollutant
 Studies have shown that as stagnant air over a city
due to a heat wave can cause an increse in the
amounts of pollutants in the air.
 Result: Length of heat wave in this event was too
short to see an increase in Ozone or PM data
Temperature
 Higher temperatures in urban areas apparent
(approx. 1-2 C on average), especially at night.
 1ºC increase in temperature above a
comfortability threshold correlates to a 1-3%
increase in mortality.
What’s Left To Do
 Determine climatological average maximum
and minimum temperatures to establish
comfortability thresholds
 Assign vulnerability levels to each Census
Tract based on maximum and minimum
temperature, population density, and
demographic factors.
 Combine risk assessment of all factors in GIS
to determine which neighborhoods are
considered most at risk in final analysis.
Summary
 Heat waves are common occurrences, and
especially dangerous in urban environments.
 Our goal is to determine which populations
are most at risk during extreme heat events
within Oklahoma City at a neighborhood scale
 Determined demographics and temperature
exposure to be main risks.
 Currently working on last step: defining the
vulnerability levels of each census tract.
References
Basara, J. B., B. G. Illston, C. A. Fiebrich, P. D. Browder, C. R. Morgan, A. McCombs, J. P. Bostic, R. A. McPherson, A.
J. Schroeder, and K. C. Crawford, 2011: The Oklahoma City Micronet. Metr. Appl., 18, 252-261.
Basara, J. B., H. G. Basara, B. G. Illston, and K. C. Crawford, 2010: The impact of the urban heat island during an intense
heat wave in Oklahoma City. Adv. in Metr., 2010, doi: 10.1155/2010/230365.
Basara, J. B., P. K. Hall Jr., A. J. Schroeder, B. G. Illston, and K. L. Nemunaitis, 2008: Diurnal cycle of the Oklahoma
City urban heat island, Jour. of Geophys. Res., 113, doi: 10.1029/2008JD010311.
Basu, R., W. Feng, and B. D. Ostro, 2008: Characterizing temperature and mortality in nine California counties. Epidem.,
2008, 138-145.
Garcia-Herrera, R., J. Diaz, R. M. Trigo, J. Luterbacher, and E. M. Fischer, 2010: A review of the European summer heat
wave of 2003. Crit. Reviews in Envir. Sci. and Tech., 40, 267-306.
Grumm, R. H., 2011: The central European and Russian heat wave of July-August 2010. BAMS, 92,
doi:10.1175/2011BAMS3174.1.
Hajat, S., and T. Kosatky, 2010: Heat-related mortality: a review and exploration of heterogeneity, Jour. Of Epidemiol
Comm. Health, 64, 753-760.
Kovats, R. S., and S. Hajat, 2008: Heat stress and public health: a critical review. Annu. Rev. Public Health, 2008, 41-55.
Krunkel, K. E., S. A. Changnon, B. C. Reinke, and R. W. Arritt, 1996: The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest: a climatic
perspective and critical weather factors. BAMS, 77, 1507-1518.
Luber, G., and M. McGeehin, 2008: Climate change and extreme heat events. Amer. Jour. Prev. Med., 20, 429-435.
Meehl, G. A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21 st Century.
Science, 305, 994-997.
Reid, C. E., M. S. O’Neill, C. Gronlund, S. J. Brines, D. G. Brown, A. V. Diez-Roux, J. Schwartz, 2009: Mapping
Community Determinants of Heat Vulnerability. Environ. Health Pers., doi: 10.1289/ehp.0900683 [Available online at
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