This document may not be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior permission of MTM The beginning of the end – or the start of something new? Opportunities and challenges for commercial broadcasters Client logo 20th October 2015 │Contact jon.watts@mtmlondon.com │ Tel +44 (0) 20 7395 7510 1 Introduction MTM is an international research and strategy consultancy. We help clients understand and respond to digital change Consumer insight • • • Qual and quant research Content, brands, ads, technology Demand and pricing analysis Market and policy research • • • Market and economic analysis Competitor benchmarking Market sizing and forecasting Strategy and growth • • • Vision and strategic planning Opportunity assessments Commercial growth strategies Service design • • • User and market needs analysis Service and experience design Proposition development Digital transformation • • • Organisation/business process design Leadership coaching and support Implementation and action planning Challenges and opportunities for broadcasters 1. Setting the scene 2. Areas of opportunity 3. Key challenges 3 1. Setting the scene TV distribution is changing – from dumb terminals into connected devices Analogue TVs • TV sets Digital TVs • • • Set-top boxes TV sets Integrated apps Networked devices • • • • • Set-top boxes Connected sets Digital media streamers Gaming consoles Second-screens 1. Setting the scene 4 As a result, overall TV viewing is shifting, gradually – from TV sets (down 4.7%, YoY) to other screens (up 17%, YoY) Overall, there was a decline in total TV viewing of 10 minutes, 30 seconds a day compared to 2013, a fall of 4.5%. This was entirely down to a drop in TV set viewing, which decreased by 4.7%. Viewing on other screens … grew year on year by 17%. In 2014, 88% of all TV set viewing was watched live compared to 89% in 2013. Source: (1) Thinkbox (2015) 5 1. Setting the scene However, some demos are changing very fast – consumption is becoming more complex Millennial tastes A non-linear world Age of reality A new ‘golden age’ A social soundtrack Rise of OTT services The impact of YouTube 6 1. Setting the scene Broadcasters face growing competition from online video businesses – the competitive set is expanding TV We genuinely believe we will come to think of this, and plan it inside a TV plan, as “The 5th Channel”. A genuinely smart way to target and reach light TV viewers Ster RTL SBS BrandDeli The 5th Channel Chris Locke, Trading Director of Starcom MediaVest Group AOL Originals Google Preferred Facebook Premium MS Yahoo Premium VOD Programmatic video 7 1. Setting the scene As consumption changes, commercial broadcasters have access to new data sets, supporting new kinds of advertising Growth of connectivity and mobile Growth of social media Sophisticated TV audience measurement Shift of time/activity online Proliferation of OTT services Syndication & distribution 8 1. Setting the scene At a high level, digital data can be categorised into three broad categories Panels Traditional (+ multiplatform) measurement panels Digital services data Server data Social interactions Registration Digital networks Third-party Volunteered interactions Commercial suppliers Cookies and trackers Bespoke research Devices and networks Media owners … … and advertisers Internal data sources - 9 1. Setting the scene For broadcaster sales houses, advanced data strategies are a strategic priority vs. • High reach, with limited relevance • • Data verifiable through measurement panels High reach and high relevance due to a variety of targeting options • Data contaminated by high levels of online fraud Digital data – challenges and opportunities for broadcasters 1. Setting the scene 2. Areas of opportunity 3. Key challenges 11 2. Areas of opportunity The proliferation of data is clearly creating many different opportunities for broadcasters 1. Personalisation 6. Testing/optimisation 2. Mar-comms Data opportunities 5. Content acquisition 3. Insight and innovation 4. Advertising 12 2. Areas of opportunity Good data clearly supports the development of new TV and video ad products – a range of complementary options Broadcast Non-addressable Reach Generic messaging Multiple segments Targetable Direct Addressable Relevance Targeted messaging 13 2. Areas of opportunity Let’s explore the experiences of two leading UK broadcasters, leveraging data to deliver new ad products • Using personal registration data to support sales of VOD advertising • Using Dynamic Ad Insertion to deliver addressable advertising • This results in incremental revenue of between 30% to 55% depending on the ad product, compared to current VOD prices. • By enabling advertisers to better target their campaigns, Sky AdSmart opens TV advertising to brands who may previously have thought TV too broad a medium. 14 2. Areas of opportunity Historically, Channel 4 sold ads on its online video platform in genre packages Women Men 55+ 45-54 35-44 25-34 16-24 Factual Lifestyle Entertainment Comedy 15 2. Areas of opportunity In 2014, Channel 4 began selling demographically targeted ad packages on its online video offer, 4OD (now, All4) ABC1 16-34 16-34 Female 16-34 Male ABC1 Female ABC1 Male 16 2. Areas of opportunity The packages were tested intensively – using big data and survey research, plus anonymous data matching 11 million registered 4oD users 10,000 surveyed • • • 1st Party registration data Survey data Viewing data • • Household size Income • • Modelled social grade with 80-100% accuracy Audited by PWC 2. Areas of opportunity The results were compelling – greater efficiency and better brand awareness – attracting significant price premiums We’re continually improving the effectiveness of advertising on 4oD for our agency and client partners. Following these impressive results from our first commercial data initiative, our next steps are to look at interest-based and behavioural targeting which will enable advertisers to target categories such as food, health and technology.” Gill Whitehead, Director of ATI, C4 17 2. Areas of opportunity 18 Sky has a long track record of investment in innovation – as its platform has matured, advertising has become a priority 19 2. Areas of opportunity Developing AdSmart has been challenging – 6+ years to develop and launch People Systems and processes Technology Business case 20 2. Areas of opportunity The new offer has been built on advanced data and measurement – viewing, targeting and results Demographics Interests Product preferences Ratings 2. Areas of opportunity In many markets, the business case for TV platform-based ad products will depend upon gaining share and new clients 21 Digital data – challenges and opportunities for broadcasters 1. Setting the scene 2. Areas of opportunity 3. Key challenges 3. Key challenges The TV industry landscape is complex – making coordination, alignment and rapid progress difficult 23 24 3. Key challenges Measuring consumption across a growing number of different devices is complicated – and will become more complex • Constantly changing device and on-demand service landscape • Very wide range of services, growing fragmentation • Challenging technical integration of measurement tools • Little understanding of how many people are watching particular screens BARB’s Project Dovetail - ondemand services covered by TV Player report (beta): 3. Key challenges 25 Technical integration is complex – we are a long way away from unified video ad market Media owners / publishers SSPs / exchanges DSPs Agencies / advertisers Ancillary services – fraud detection, visibility, analytics, audience and real-time data Programmatic video is developing in the online market, but it’s being driven by agencies, big tech businesses and intermediaries. It’s very difficult to integrate these new buying platforms into traditional TV systems – to link into broadcaster TV inventory management and ad insertion systems. There are big regulatory issues, around compliance – which are really hard to automate – and then there are lots of complex rules about ad placement. We’re a long way away from a unified programmatic TV and video market. 26 3. Key challenges Integrating various different audience data sets is a complex and time-consuming task 10,000 surveyed All4 users • • • Survey data (social grade, interests, spending, HH composition) 1st party registration data Viewing data 11 million registered All4 users • • Household size Income • • • 1st party registration data Viewing data + Modelled social grade with 80-100% accuracy (audited by PWC) Viewing data requires correlating with factors that matter to advertisers before it becomes valuable 27 3. Key challenges Lots of broadcaster data is not that valuable, due to low volumes and limited range and richness vs. • Low volume – large no. of registered users, but majority is low frequency • High volume – large no. of people with regular interactions • Few different variables – e.g. views, programme type, genre, duration • • Limited value to advertisers beyond volume and targeting data Rich data – large no. of items, promotions, shelf and store position, shopping history • High directly-measureable value 28 3. Key challenges As broadcast content is distributed across more platforms, the availability and quality of data are becoming more uneven Pay TV platforms Video aggregators Mobile devices Smart TVs It is increasingly difficult for broadcasters to form a holistic view on their content consumption as their content is increasingly distributed across multiple platforms 3. Key challenges Broadcasters need to acquire and develop new skills and capabilities to take advantage of emerging opportunities • Most current consumer insight teams are focused on overnights and bespoke research • However, leading broadcasters are setting up strong data-focused analytics teams, with the following skills: – programming – statistics and predictive analytics – data management 29 30 Thank you! 31 Jon Watts MTM Director 20-22 Shelton Street London 020 7395 7518 WC2H 9JJ jon.watts@mtmlondon.com United Kingdom