1 Conclusions: broadcasters can play an important role in Convergence 3.0 • Supplying high quality content which users can easily access • Help network operators secure investment in new broadband networks • Contributing to standards and protection for children and other vulnerable groups 2 Broadcasters’ approach to the internet: three phases Stage Broadcasters’ use of the internet Phase 1: Incremental A minor supplement to the things they were already doing Phase 2: Strategic Creating initiatives to exploit the internet as a new medium in its own right Phase 3: Transformative Recognition of the new opportunities provided by high capacity broadband We are now in the early stages of the ‘transformative’ phase 3 So far, broadcasters have had a positive effect on internet development, although the scale is hard to quantify • Promotion • Providing rich content and shared resources • Raising awareness and encouraging digital literacy 4 Quality content still hugely important No. of views up to June 2007 (millions) • Consumers clearly value professionally produced quality content 1 2 3 8 12 18 YouTube channel rank 2059 117 3747 191 26 820 286 No. of videos uploaded 87 60 45 31 CBS Universal Music NBC RCA Warner Records 24 NBA Source: YouTube 5 Securing trust and confidence online: traditional broadcasters are well placed to help Question asked: “Please indicate the top three media sources you depend on for information on these topics” TV Newspapers Magazines Internet Rank of the internet News 91% 63% 10% 16% 3 Business News 40% 36% 8% 13% 3 Sports News 62% 42% 6% 11% 3 Source: Forrester, Q2 2006 6 High-speed broadband infrastructure will require significant investment Proposed broadband infrastructure investment by country Target year 2007 2006 2007 2008 2010 2008 2010 95% 62% 46% 75% 80% 50% 28% Belgacom DT Belgium Germany SBC USA Verizon USA KT Korea HKBN Hong Kong NTT Japan Target homes (millions) 11 2 16 20 12 1.8 47 Investment planned €3bn €300m €3.4bn €6.7bn€8bn n/a €100m €37bn Technology FTTN FTTN FTTN FTTH FTTH FTTH FTTH Source: Capgemini 7 Promoting consumer and citizen welfare • Three broad suggestions in developing policies - Encourage competitive markets (lowering entry barriers and ensuring that consumers are sufficiently wellinformed to make effective choices) - Define and safeguard the public interest in the new convergent world (self-and co-regulation) - Encourage broadcasters, other content owners and network operators to find ways sharing risks and rewards 8 Aims of the report • This an independent study which examines: - The role that broadcasters have so far played in the development of the internet; - The challenges and opportunities ahead, as convergence progresses; - How broadcasters and the internet can work more closely in future; and - The key policy issues for debate. • This presentation contains the provisional findings 10 The traditional broadcasting model differs considerably from the online world Broadcasting Online One-to-many Many-to-many Linear Non-linear Built narrative content Interactive and participative Geographically constrained Global Regulated in public interest Broadly unregulated Zero marginal cost per user and an established distribution infrastructure Zero marginal cost per user but likely to require significant investment in infrastructure However, these differences are reducing as we move towards a more converged communications world 11 But the internet has already offered significant scope for an extension of broadcaster activity • Scale and freedom from geographical limitations • Digitising (and monetising) the content archive • New opportunities to deliver more specialist content in a commercially viable manner • Increasing the richness and depth of broadcast content • Building a stronger, more participative and more loyal audience • Reducing costs 12 Broadcasters’ use of the internet can be described in three phases Stage Broadcasters’ use of the internet Phase 1: Incremental A minor supplement to the things they were already doing Phase 2: Strategic Creating initiatives to exploit the internet as a new medium in its own right Phase 3: Transformative Recognition of the new opportunities provided by high capacity broadband We are now in the early stages of the ‘transformative’ phase – many broadcasters are now using third party platforms, such as YouTube, to distribute their audiovisual content 13 So far, broadcasters have had a positive effect on internet development, although the scale is hard to quantify • Promotion - Television is still, by far, the most dominant medium – time spent consuming television is 8 times higher than time spent online • Providing rich content and shared resources - Funding, talent, production resources, etc. • Raising awareness and encouraging digital literacy - Particularly true for some specific demographic groups The importance of information and entertainment in driving internet take-up suggests broadcaster influence has not been trivial 14 In many countries broadcasters are already leveraging their brands to build significant online presences The most popular European broadcaster internet sites ordered by country ranking Internet property BBC Sites DR.DK Publieke Omroep MTV3.FI YLE.FI TV2 Danmark V2 Sites ORF.AT VRT Sites NRK.No Groupe TF1 SRG SSR idée Suisse Sveriges Television Country UK Denmark Netherlands Finland Finland Denmark Norway Austria Belgium Norway France Switzerland Sweden Ranking among top % Reach 100 web (Jun '06) properties 5 55.3 7 36.8 7 33.0 7 45.5 8 30.9 8 32.0 9 n/a 10 22.2 11 18.9 13 27.0 16 19.4 19 15.9 19 20.2 % Reach Increase of (Jun '07) reach (%) 59.6 33.2 33.4 35.3 30.9 31.4 33.6 22.0 19.4 28.4 23.8 17.3 18.6 4.3 -3.6 0.4 -10.2 0.0 0.6 n/a -0.2 0.5 1.4 4.4 1.4 -1.6 Source: EBU 15 And in many countries, broadcasters are developing increasingly sophisticated online offerings Video streaming On demand video downloads Podcasts Mobiles RSS Communities & forums Usergenerated content Business Model BBC Yes throughout IPlayer – BBC programming only, 7 days after airing Yes, large radio section Yes throughout Yes throughout Yes for most sections Yes Free, licence fee supported ITV Yes throughout – although clips only On demand for 30 days after airing Yes, minimal Yes Yes Yes Yes on ITV Local Advertising Channel 4 Yes throughout – although clips only 4OD – variable availability Yes, radio section & T4 Yes Yes Yes for most sections Yes Advertising NBC Yes, including fulllength episodes Yes, from MSNBC Yes Yes, from MSNBC Yes Yes, through video uploads Advertising ABC Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes CBS Yes, including fulllength episodes Yes Yes Yes Yes Italy RAI Yes Yes, news and other ‘web channels’ Yes Advertising Netherlands NED 1 (part of NPO) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Free, licence fee supported Sweden SVT Yes, including full length episodes Yes Yes Yes Yes Free, licence fee supported Brazil Rede Globo Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Japan NHK Yes Yes Yes Yes Country Broadcaster UK US Yes Yes Yes Yes Advertising Yes Yes Advertising Advertising Advertising Source: Broadcaster sites and Human Capital analysis 16 Information and communication are the key drivers or internet take-up The drivers for internet take-up 46% 43% Information 28% Communication 20% 22% Keep up with technology 26% 20% 20% For the Children Entertainment Shopping/ banking/ booking Recommended by friends or family 16% 13% Owners Intend to get 12% 12% 11% 18% Source: Ofcom, 2006 17 Looking ahead, we are entering a new “transformative” phase • High capacity broadband makes possible the delivery of high quality long-form audiovisual content • Web 2.0 - Changing user/content relationships - Increasing democratisation - The increasing importance of search and content navigation • New business models - Content provision - Paying for the infrastructure 18 The broadcasting value chain is being transformed Ideas Talent & Resources Producer Bundler Devices Gateway The internet Distributor Navigation Audience • The content value chain, previously controlled by a small number of broadcasters, has been opened up to anyone with an internet connection and an idea • In an online world, equipped with powerful search tools and user recommendations, bundling is arguably much less important • Distribution, navigation and consumption are all made possible through the internet 19 New online services have emerged, with richer content and greater functionality Site Functionalities User-created blogs, including text, pictures and hyperlinks User-created ‘encyclopaedia’ Photo sharing Social networking, allowing uploaded music, text and pictures Video sharing Live and pre-recorded video broadcasting allowing captioning and insertion of prerecorded video packages Live and pre-recorded video broadcasting Live and pre-recorded video broadcasting 20 And whilst television remains hugely popular and important, there has been clear migration online Time spent using communications services 2006 -3.6% -2.0% 158.0% -8.0% 58.0% 6.9 3.7 fixed mobile 250 change 2002-2006 minutes per day per person 216 200 170 150 100 50 0 36 television radio internet Source: Ofcom 21 Both internet ‘reach’ and provision of content online continues to grow at considerable rates 60% 30 40% 20 20% 0 USA China Japan Germany France South UK Italy Canada Spain Brazil Netherlands Australia Mexico Turkey Russia Poland Belgium Sweden India 10 0% Source: Point Topic Active Source: Netcraft.com 22 2007 40 2005 50 Hostnames 2003 80% 137.5 125.0 112.5 100.0 87.5 75.0 62.5 50.0 37.5 25.0 12.5 0 2001 Annual growth (Q1 2006 to 2007) 100% 1999 60 Millions of subscribers 1997 70 Growth in the volume of hostnames and active websites 1995 Broadband subscriptions and growth amongst top countries In this third phase, broadcasters could, if they meet the challenge, have a greater role to play Broadcasters can help drive further internet development by: • Supplying high quality content which users can easily access - Creating clear expectations for users about the nature and reliability of available content; - Providing the vital roles of aggregator and navigator; - Helping later adopters to make sense of the internet. • Helping the internet to adjust to a world in which it will have to pay more attention to citizens’ concerns about standards and protection for children and other vulnerable groups. • Help network operators secure investment in new broadband networks 23 Quality content is still hugely important, both for consumers and in setting standards No. of views up to June 2007 (millions) • Consumers clearly value professionally produced quality content 1 2 3 8 12 18 YouTube channel rank 2059 117 3747 191 26 820 286 No. of videos uploaded 87 60 45 31 CBS Universal Music NBC RCA Warner Records 24 NBA • The economics of programme production still suggest that a high production value programme needs mass audience exposure on a broadcast channel to ensure a return on its upfront investment • Although it is possible to create content specifically for the internet, the promotional and marketing costs will be prohibitive in most cases Source: YouTube 24 Securing trust and confidence online is also crucial, and traditional broadcasters are well placed to help • A GlobeScan survey revealed that the most trusted global news brands tested include the BBC (with 48% across the 10 countries saying they have a lot or some trust) and CNN (44%) • Consumers, particularly for news and factual content, clearly place most reliance on traditional broadcaster sources Question asked: “Please indicate the top three media sources you depend on for information on these topics” TV Newspapers Magazines Internet Rank of the internet News 91% 63% 10% 16% 3 Business News 40% 36% 8% 13% 3 Sports News 62% 42% 6% 11% 3 Source: Forrester, Q2 2006 25 High-speed broadband infrastructure will require significant investment Proposed broadband infrastructure investment by country Target year 2007 2006 2007 2008 2010 2008 2010 95% 62% 46% 75% 80% 50% 28% Belgacom DT Belgium Germany SBC USA Verizon USA KT Korea HKBN Hong Kong NTT Japan Target homes (millions) 11 2 16 20 12 1.8 47 Investment planned €3bn €300m €3.4bn €6.7bn€8bn n/a €100m €37bn Technology FTTN FTTN FTTN FTTH FTTH FTTH FTTH Source: Capgemini 26 Broadcasters may work with network operators to help secure this major infrastructure investment • Enders Analysis estimate that the total cost of deploying fibre to the home (FTTH) to 90% of UK households would be €14bn • Network operators may have to shoulder the burden of investment, but are not certain of the returns • Broadcasters may be able to help by agreeing innovative deals with networks, to share risk and rewards 27 There will also be important roles for policymakers in promoting consumer and citizen welfare • Over regulation will stifle growth and innovation; under regulation risks a wild-west-style ‘free for all’ • We assert three broad suggestions in developing policies - Encourage competitive markets by lowering entry barriers and ensuring that consumers are sufficiently well-informed to make effective choices - Define and safeguard the public interest in the new convergent world drawing on aspects of self-and coregulation, rather than transferring old style broadcasting regulation to the broadband world - Encourage broadcasters, other content owners and network operators to find ways sharing risks and rewards 28 As a result, we argue that there clear consumer and citizen benefits from a symbiotic broadcaster/internet relationship • There have already been some impressive success stories as broadcasters begin to recognise the opportunities of the internet • As we move into a more converged media and communications world, the future development of broadcasting and the internet will be increasingly closely linked • Broadcasters and leading internet players depend on, and will benefit from, working closely with each other 29