Chapter Five: Public Opinion, Political Socialization and the Media Learning Outcomes LO 1 Define public opinion, consensus opinion, and divided opinion, and discuss major sources of political socialization, including the family, schools, the media, and political events. LO 2 Identify the effects of various influences on voting behavior, including education, income, religion, race/ethnicity, and geography. LO 3 Describe the characteristics of a scientific opinion poll, and list some of the problems pollsters face in obtaining accurate results. LO 4 Consider the effect that public opinion may have on the political process. LO 5 Describe the different types of media and the changing roles that they play in American society. LO 6 Summarize the impact of the media on political campaigns, and consider the issue of political bias in the media. Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 2 Public Opinion and Political Socialization Consensus and Divided Opinion Forming Public Opinion: Political Socialization The family Education as a source of political socialization Peers and peer group influence Opinion leaders’ influence Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 3 Pastor Rick Warren, author of The Purpose Driven Life, speaks to a conference on AIDS in Washington, D.C. Is Warren an opinion leader? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 4 Consensual Opinion Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning Divided Opinion 5 Public Opinion and Political Socialization The Media and Public Opinion The popularity of the media The impact of new media Political Events and Public Opinion Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 6 The Influence of Demographic Factors Educational Achievement Economic Status Religious Denomination Religious Commitment and Beliefs Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 7 The Influence of Demographic Factors Race and Ethnicity The Hispanic Vote A Latino woman and her eighteen-month-old daughter march to the White House in support of immigration reform. How is the daughter acquiring political values by attending a rally with her mother? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 8 The Influence of Demographic Factors The Gender Gap Geographic Region Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 9 Measuring Public Opinion The History of Opinion Polls Sampling Techniques The statistical nature of polling Sampling error Harry Truman won the presidential election in 1948 despite the prediction of most opinion polls that he would lose. Would a newspaper today make such an inaccurate prediction and put it on newsstands? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 10 Measuring Public Opinion The Difficulty of Obtaining Accurate Results Weighting the sample House effects How accurate are the results? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 11 Measuring Public Opinion Additional Problems with Polls Poll Questions Unscientific and Fraudulent Polls Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 12 Presidential Election Polling Click picture to play video Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 13 Presidential Election Polling Taking a closer look: 1. Have you ever participated in a political poll? Did you feel the questions were biased toward a candidate or political viewpoint? 2. Is sample size or sampling technique more important in polling accuracy? 3. How can political polling increase voter apathy among certain demographic groups? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 14 Public Opinion and the Political Process Political Culture and Public Opinion Political trust Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 15 Public Opinion and the Political Process The Most Important Problems Public Opinion and Policymaking Politicians make own decisions Trade-offs Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 16 The Roles of the Media The Roles of the Media Entertainment Reporting the news Identifying public problems Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 17 The Roles of the Media The Roles of the Media Socializing new generations Providing a political forum Making profits The financial crisis of the press Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 18 The Roles of the Media Television versus the New Media New patterns of media consumption The continuing influences of television Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 19 Political blogger Ezra Klein of the Washington Post has become well known as a guest host on the Rachel Maddow television show. Are political blogs influential? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 20 The Media and Political Campaigns Political Advertising “Daisy Girl” Management of News Coverage Spin doctors Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 21 President Lyndon Johnson’s “Daisy Girl” ad contrasted the innocence of childhood with the horror of an atomic attack. Would such a campaign ad be effective today? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 22 The Media and Political Campaigns Going for the Knockout—Presidential Debates The 2011-2012 Republican primary debates Obama versus Romney Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 23 The Media and Political Campaigns Political Campaigns and the Internet Bias in the Media Alternative forms of bias Bias and professionalism Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 24 Proud to be an American Click picture to play video Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 25 Proud to be an American Taking a closer look: 1. What forms of political socialization are evident in the video? 2. Do all Americans share the same political values? Why or why not? 3. How do media “sound bites” affect public opinion? Does this play too large a role in modern political campaigns? Copyright © 2015 Cengage Learning 26