Section V
Getting the Job Done…
Through Others
Chapter 17
Learning from the Past;
Looking to the Future
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Megatrends: Looking Back
and to the Future
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We are moving from an industrial society to an information society.
We are moving from forced technology to high tech/high touch.
We are moving from a national economy to a world economy.
We are moving from a short-term orientation to a long-term orientation.
We are moving from centralization to decentralization.
We are moving from institutional help to self-help.
Today’s leaders need to be facilitators rather than order givers.
We are moving from hierarchies to networks.
We are moving (physically) from the north to the south.
We are moving from an either/or orientation to one of multiple options.
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Law Enforcement for the Future
• Changes needed in management skills
– People skills over technical competence
• Changes in officers and the public
– Departments now have more minority officers, bettereducated officers and those spanning 2–3 generations.
– The public has also grown increasingly diverse.
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Trends Shaping the Future of Policing
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Changes in technology
Changes in societal values
An integrated global economy
Growth of militant Islam
Redistribution of the world’s population
Decline of privacy
Longer life expectancies
Continuing urbanization
The spread of specialization
A vanishing work ethic
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
The Impact of Technology,
Now and in the Future
• Technology will help
– Solve crimes
– Prevent crimes
– Facilitate crimes that haven’t yet been conceived
• Technology is changing
– The way police departments are operated
– How grant requests are formatted
– What is requested in the local operating budget
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Critical Issues in Policing
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Use of force
Management of mass demonstrations
Violent crime
Patrol response to a suicide bomb threat
Resolving conflict and minimizing use of force
Police planning for an influenza pandemic
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Critical Issues in Policing (cont.)
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Reducing violent crime in America
Local immigration enforcement
Hot spots enforcement
Violent crime and the economic crisis
Up next: gangs and guns
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Other Major Challenges Facing
21st-Century Law Enforcement
• The drug problem
• Gang violence
• Terrorism
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Futuristics
1. Social and economic conditions (size and age of the
population, immigration patterns and nature of
employment and lifestyle characteristics)
2. Shifts in the number and types of crimes and
disorder challenges
3. Developments in the criminal justice system itself,
including community involvement in all aspects of
the system
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Basic Principles of Futuristics
1. The unity or interconnectedness of reality
2. The significance of ideas
3. The crucial importance of time
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Fundamental Premises of Futurists
• The future is not predictable.
• The future is not predetermined.
• Future outcomes can be influenced by individual
choice.
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Fundamental Goals of Futurists
• Form perceptions of the future (the possible)
• Study likely alternatives (the probable)
• Make choices to bring about particular events (the
preferable)
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning
Possible Futures of Community Policing
• Community-oriented government
• Wealthy neighborhoods policed by private forces
• A proactive division coexisting with a reactive
division in a department
• Robotic devices responding to violence
• Nearly all public places under video surveillance
© 2012 Delmar, Cengage Learning