Currency Futures and Options Slide 1 of 41 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 2 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Chapter 5 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 3 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Overview Examine usage of currency futures and options contracts – to hedge or speculate based upon anticipated exchange rate changes Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 4 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Contracts Are contracts specifying a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a particular date Page 141 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 5 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Contracts Similar to forward contracts but they are not negotiated like Forward Contracts Currency Futures are traded in an Exchange Page 141 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 6 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Futures vs Forward contracts Futures contracts – state amount of a currency to be exchanged on a specific day – standardized contracts Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 7 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Futures vs Forward contracts Forward contracts – state amount of a currency to be exchanged on a specific day – individually tailored contracts Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 8 of 41 Currency Futures - trade through a broker Forward Contracts - you make the arrangement directly with the lender Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 9 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Intl Business The trading volume of currency futures has consistently increased over time as has growth of international transactions - which require buying and selling currency Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 10 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Settlement Dates Typical settlement dates are third Wednesdays in March June September December Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 11 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Pricing currency futures – similar to forward rate – differs from spot rate changes in spot rate affects value of futures contract – market forces eliminate arbitrage profits – which is to say buying at $1.50 and selling at $1.48 Page 142 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 12 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Page 144 Closing out a futures position – if you don’t want to wait until the settlement date, you can “close the position” by selling an identical futures contract Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 13 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Page 144 Closing out a futures position the future price ……. Up or Down the price changes over time in accordance with movements in the spot rate If the spot rate becomes stronger, it makes it less attractive to hold a futures position - so you’d want to sell so you don’t end up with a premium Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 14 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Futures Market Page 144 Closing out a futures position – in the real world,,,,,, – most currency futures contracts are closed out before settlement date Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 15 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Credit Risk Each futures contract represents an agreement with “The Exchange” Page 144 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 16 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Credit Risk Margin requirements reflect credit risk – covers fluctuations in contract value – initial margin: $1,000 - $2,000 per contract trader must add more if contract value decreases Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 17 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Hedging I want to get a ride to the airport for a business trip, I’ll book an airline limo Just in case the limo doesn’t come on time, I’ll hedge my risk by having my neighbour agree to drive me Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 18 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Hedging Buy a futures contract for a currency you need Done when you need to spend money in the future, and want to lock in the price because you are concerned it might rise to your disadvantage If you don’t need it, your broker can sell it on the exchange Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 19 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Hedging Sell a futures contract for a currency you DO NOT need Done when you need to get rid of money in the future, and want to lock in the price because you are concerned it might rise to your Page 145 disadvantage Again, if you don’t need it, your broker can sell it on the exchange Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 20 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Hedging Hedging exchange rate exposure – hedging by buying 90 day contracts e.g., a US firm orders Swiss products must pay SF750,000 upon delivery in 90 days US firm buys 90 day contract today –locks in price to be paid for francs in 90 days Page 145 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 21 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Hedging Hedging exchange rate exposure – hedging by selling 90 day contracts US firm is to receive a payment of SF750,000 Page 145 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 22 of 41 based upon anticipated changes – buy (sell) futures contract expect foreign currency to appreciate (depreciate) in value coordinate transaction in spot market at settlement date Page 145 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 23 of 41 associated with use of brokers – brokers buy (sell to client) at the “bid” price – brokers sell (buy from client) at the “ask” price – broker’s profit (trader’s transaction cost) difference between bid and ask prices Bid-Ask spread = Ask - Bid Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 24 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Contract grants the right to buy a specific currency – a) at a specific price – b) within a specific time period Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 25 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Exercise (strike) price – agreed upon price if contract is implemented – “in the money”: spot rate > strike price – “out of the money”: spot rate < strike price Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 26 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Factors affecting call option premiums – level of existing spot price (vs. strike price) option price increases as spot price rises improves chances of buying currency at a low price Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 27 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Factors affecting call option premiums – length of time before expiration date spot price has better chance to exceed strike price – volatility of currency price improves chances that spot will exceed strike price Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 28 of 41 Currency Call Options Hedging Strike price sets maximum exchange rate – if exchange (spot) rate lower than strike price: call option is not exercised currency purchased on spot market Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 29 of 41 Currency Call Options Hedging Example of corporate hedging – US firm bids on Canadian project US firm will need $CD if contract awarded if project would require $CD5,000,000, firm may choose to get up to 100 call option contracts Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 30 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Buy call option zero sum game – expect currency to appreciate exercise option if price increases beyond strike price – buy at strike price and sell at spot rate Sell (write) call option – expect currency to decline in value obligated to sell a currency at a specified price make money if option not exercised Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 31 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Call Options Example of buying a call option – strike price set at $0.5877 when spot was $0.5727 per Deutsche mark – premium paid = $0.015 (0.5877 - 0.5727) – exercise option when spot reaches $0.6077 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 32 of 41 Currency Call Options Speculation Per unit Per Contract $37,961.25 Selling price of Deutsche mark $0.6077 ($.6077 x 62,500) less purchase price -0.5877 - 36,731.25 ($.5877 x 62,500) of Deutsche mark less premium paid -0.0150 - 937.50 ($.015 x 62,500) = net profit -0.0050 $312.50 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 33 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Put Options Contract grants the right to sell a specific currency – a) at a specific price – b) within a specific time period Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 34 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Put Options Exercise (strike) price – agreed upon price if contract is implemented – “in the money”: spot rate < strike price – “out of the money”: spot rate > strike price Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 35 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Put Options Factors affecting put option premiums – level of existing spot price (vs. strike price) option price increases as spot price falls improves chances of selling currency at a high price Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 36 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Currency Put Options Factors affecting put option – length of time before expiration date spot price has better chance to fall below strike price – volatility of currency price improves chances that spot will fall below strike Hedging reduces risk exposure in receivables Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 37 of 41 Currency Put Options Speculation Example of buying a put option – strike price set at $0.6217 when spot was $0.6357 per Deutsche mark – premium paid = $0.008 (0.6357 - 0.6217) – exercise option when spot reaches $0.6077 declining value Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 38 of 41 Currency Put Options Speculation Per unit Selling price of $0.6217 -0.6077 - 37,981.25 ($.6077 x 62,500) of Deutsche mark less premium paid $38,856.25 ($.6217 x 62,500) Deutsche mark less purchase price Per Contract -0.0080 - 500.00 ($.008 x 62,500) = net profit 0.0060 $375.00 Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Currency Futures and Options Slide 39 of 41 Profits with Options and Futures Efficiency of options/futures market – efficient market eliminates conditions permitting “abnormal” profits – studies suggest that prices reflect all available information Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 40 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Summary Futures contract – specifies a standard volume of a currency to be exchanged on a particular date – used for hedging and speculative purposes Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson Slide 41 of 41 Currency Futures and Options Summary Options contract – call options purchased when exchange rate is expected to increase – put options purchased when exchange rate expected to fall Slides developed by Jeff Madura, with additions and enhancements by Tim Richardson