Current* Neutrino Oscillation Experiments PPAP Meeting Birmingham 15 July 2009 Elisabeth Falk University of Sussex Def. current: running or under construction Outline • Neutrino-oscillation experiments: what to measure, and how • Accelerator-based experiments • Reactor experiments • Conclusions and outlook 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 2 What to measure, and how Neutrino Mixing 3 e U e1 U e 2 U e3 1 U 1 U 2 U 3 2 U 1 U 2 U 3 3 Dm2 2 1 e 32 Dm212 U MNSP Unknown CP-violating phase U MNSP cos 12 sin 12 0 sin 12 cos 12 0 Solar + KamLAND: 12 = (34 ± 3)o Dm212 = 7.6 x 10-5 eV2 15/7/09 0 cos 13 0 e i CP sin 13 1 0 0 diag 0 0 1 0 0 cos 23 sin 23 U Maj 1 e i CP sin 13 0 cos 13 0 sin 23 cos 23 Reactor (CHOOZ): sin2 213 < 0.11 @ 90% CL (or 13 <~ 10o) Dm231 ~ Dm232 E. Falk, U. of Sussex Atmospheric + MINOS, K2K: 23 = (45 ± 7)o Dm232 = 2.5 x 10-3 eV2 3 What to measure, and how Accelerator-Based vs. Reactor Experiments LBL accelerator experiments: Reactor experiments: sin2 12, Dm232: • Near detector to measure unoscillated spectrum • Look for disappearance ( ) as a fnc of L and E 13, δCP, sign(Dm232): • Look for appearance ( e) in beam vs. L and E • Near detector to measure background es (beam + mis-id) • P ( e) = f (, sign(Dm312)) 13 only: • Look for disappearance (e e) as a fnc of L and E • Near detector to measure unoscillated flux • P (e e) independent of ; matter effects small Accelerator-based and reactor experiments complementary ND MINOS, T2K, NOA 15/7/09 FD Double Chooz, Daya Bay, RENO E. Falk, U. of Sussex 4 What to measure, and how Experimental Approach • () disappearance measurements: – Measure unoscillated spectrum at Near Detector • Extrapolate using MC – Compare to measured spectrum at Far Detector • e appearance measurements: – Measure e spectrum at Far Detector – Near Detector to measure background es (beam + mis-id) • Predict Far Detector background using MC spectrum Unoscillated Oscillated Monte Carlo spectrum ratio ~ sin2 223 15/7/09 Monte Carlo ~ Dm2 32 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 5 Accelerator-based experiments Neutrino Beam NuMI • Protons strike graphite target • Magnetic horns focus secondary p/K NuMI – Decay of p/K produces (mostly) muon neutrinos 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 6 Accelerator-based experiments Players: MINOS, T2K, NOA MINOS: • NuMI (Fermilab) to Soudan mine, MN – • • • Two more years of datataking Large UK involvement – – 15/7/09 – – 735 km baseline Magnetised sci/steel calorimeters Taken beam data since 2005 – T2K: • J-PARC (Tokai) to Kamioka mine All ana/working groups have UK co-convener(s) Made significant h/w & DAQ contributions • • • – – 295 km baseline, off-axis New beam FD: Super-K (water Cerenkov) Start data-taking in 2010 Large UK involvement – NOA: • NuMI (Fermilab) to Ash River, MN • • • 810 km baseline, off axis Upgrade beam power “Totally active” tracking liquid sci calorimeters Start data-taking in 2013 No UK involvement ND280 off-axis detector (P0D, ECAL, DAQ, ….) E. Falk, U. of Sussex 7 Accelerator-based experiments disappearance MINOS Main physics results to date: • disappearance: |Δm232|=(2.43 ± 0.13) x 10-3 eV2 at 68% C.L. sin2(2θ23) > 0.90 at 90% C.L. – Most precise result for |Δm232| to date • e appearance: – 1.5s excess (within realms statistical fluctuation): – Normal hierarchy (CP = 0): sin2(2θ13) < 0.29 (90% C.L.) – Inverted hierarchy (CP = 0): sin2(2θ13) < 0.42 (90% C.L.) • disappearance: – Study 7% component – See 1.9s fewer events than CPTconserving • Neutral-current interaction rate: – Limit on sterile neutrinos: fs < 0.68 (90% C.L.) 15/7/09 e appearance E. Falk, U. of Sussex 8 Accelerator-based experiments MINOS Future plans: • Update all analyses with more than double the data set – Data in the can (3.2 7E20 POT) • Muon antineutrino running – Switch beam magnetic horns to focus p• Start in September this year – Make the first direct measurement • Reduce uncertainty on Dm232 by an order of magnitude • mode for 2E20 POT, or until July 2010 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussexß 9 Accelerator-based experiments T2K • Physics programme: – Phase I: • Discovery/measurement of 13 • D(sin2 223) ~ 0.01 (1%) D|Dm232| < 1 x 10-4 eV (a few %) (90% CL) – Potential phase 2: • Search for CP violation • Milestones: – ND suite operational by end of 2009 – Beam power ramped over next few years (2009: 30 kW; 2010: 100 kW; 2011: 300 kW; + “a few years”: 750 kW – Phase 1: total of 5E21 POT 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 10 Accelerator-based experiments NOA • Significant injection of funds via US stimulus package revived NOA • Physics programme: – Optimised for e appearance • An order of magnitude more sensitive than MINOS – Improve sin2 223 and |Dm232| by an order of magnitude (compared to MINOS) – Mass hierarchy (sign (Dm232)) • Long baseline: only experiment sensitive to this • Milestones: – 1 May 2009: FD groundbreaking – Autumn 2011: Start of beam upgrades (400 kW 700 kW) – 2013: Data-taking with full FD 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 11 Reactor experiments Measuring 13: e Disappearance e Nuclear power station e (, Near Detector d = 300 - 400 m ) Far Detector d = 1 - 1.8 km Present limit from CHOOZ: sin2(2 13) < 0.15 (90% C.L.) at Dm231 = 2.5 x 10-3 eV2 Dominant source of systematic error in CHOOZ: Reactor neutrino spectrum ~ Cancels out with two detectors 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 12 Reactor experiments The Detectors Example: Double Chooz Outer Veto: Plastic scintillator panels Target: 10 m3 liquid scintillator doped with 0.1% Gd Prompt e+ signal Eprompt = En – (Mn – Mp) + me g Catcher: 23 m3 liquid scintillator Inverse Beta Decay Buffer: 114 m3 mineral oil with ~400 PMTs Inner Veto: 90 m3 liquid scintillator with 80 PMTs Delayed n capture on Gd (t ~ 30 ms) with emission of g cascade ( E ~ 8 MeV) Shielding: 15 cm steel 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 13 Reactor experiments Players: Double Chooz, RENO, Daya Bay RENO, Korea Expected sin2213~0.03 250 ton-GWth Double Chooz, France Expected sin2213~0.03 85 ton-GWth Small UK interest (Sussex, no longer funded) Daya Bay, China Expected sin2213~0.01 1400 ton-GWth Main differences: • Reactor power/no of cores • Configuration cores vs. detectors; no. of detectors • Detector target mass 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 14 Reactor experiments Status and Expected Milestones* Double Chooz RENO N and F tunnels completed 2009 2009 ND hall + tunnel construction begins FD ready for data-taking 2009 ND and FD commissioning ND and FD ready for data-taking Near Hall occupancy First detector complete; start dry run 2010 Near Hall ready for data-taking 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 Far Hall ready for data-taking; Ling Ao Hall ready a bit earlier 2013 2013 2010 2011 2014 sin2 213 ~ 0.06 ND ready for data-taking sin2 213 ~ 0.03 2010 Daya Bay 2014 sin2 213 ~ 0.03 ??? 2013 2014 – not 15/7/09 * DC schedule includes my estimated delays E. Falk, U. ofofficial, Sussex so don’t quote it! RENO, DB official schedules, but at least DB will likely be delayed by a few months sin2 213 ~ 0.01 15 Comparison of 13 Sensitivities M. Mezzetto, Venice, March 2009 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 16 Comparison of 13 Sensitivities M. Mezzetto, Venice, March 2009 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 17 Conclusions and Outlook • Past and present experiments have pinned down 13, Dm212, 23, Dm232 • MINOS recently announced 1.5s result for 13 • T2K and reactor experiments come on-line within ~a year from now • Next 5 years will see sensitivity to sin2 213 to ~0.01, plus order of magnitude improvement on 23 and Dm232 • Need combination of different baselines + reactor to resolve 13, δCP, sign (Dm232) • Would be difficult to search for δCP if sin2 213 < 0.01 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 18 Reactor Experiment Howto: Improve on Chooz CHOOZ : Rosc = 1.01 ± 2.8% (stat) ± 2.7% (syst) • Statistics – More powerful reactor (multi-core) – Larger detection volume – Longer exposure • Experimental error: flux and cross-section uncertainty – Multi-detector – Identical detectors • Reduce inter-detector systematics (normalisation, calibration...) • Background – Improve detector design Larger S/B – Increase overburden – Improve knowledge of background by direct measurement Reach ~1% precision E. Falk, U. Sussex 19 Double Chooz Systematic Uncertainties n energy, Dt, (distance e+ - n) E. Falk, U. Sussex 20 Reactor experiments Baselines and Reactor Power Double Chooz Daya Bay RENO P = 8.2 GWth/2 cores L = 1.05 km P = 11.6 GWth/4 cores ~2011: 17.4 GWth/6 cores L ~ 1.8 km P = 16.1 GWth/6 cores L ~ 1.4 km 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 21 Daya Bay and Ling Ao Nuclear Power Plant LingAo II NPP 2.9GW2 Under construction (2010) Daya Bay NPP 2.9GW2 LingAo NPP 2.9GW2 Reactor experiments Daya Bay Run Plan Far (80 t) • Istall first two detectors in DB Near Hall within a year from now • Take data (engineering run) while Ling Ao and Far Halls completed • Additional detectors DYB (40 t) deployed in pairs, one in Ling Ao and one in Far Hall, as they become ready – except last pair • One detector to be moved from Near to Far Hall • Last pair deployed in Near + Far Halls • Run for three years • Publish 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex LA (40 t) 23 Daya Bay: Redundancy • Measuring sin2213 to 0.01 need to control systematic errors very well. • We believe that the relative (near/far) detector systematic error could be lowered to 0.38%, with near/far cancellation and improved detector design. • Side-by-side calibration: Event rates and spectra in two detectors at the same near site can be compared How IDENTICAL our detectors are? • Detector swapping: Daya Bay antineutrino detectors are designed to be MOVABLE. All detectors are assembled and filled with liquids at the same place. Detectors at the near sites and the far site can be swapped, although not necessary to reach our designed sensitivity, to cross check the sensitivity and further reduce the systematic errors. Far (80 t) LA (40 t) DYB (40 t) Reactor experiments Comparison of 13 Sensitivities Daya Bay sin2213 limit Double Chooz ssys= 0.6% Far+Near Detectors ssys= 2.6% Far Detector only 2010 15/7/09 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 25 Comparison of 13 Sensitivities M. Mezzetto, Venice March 2009 Assumptions: • DC to start end of 2009; ND 1.5 yrs later • • DB to start mid 2011 • • 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex From C. White: Schedule slipping by a few months T2K: 0.1 MW in 2010; 0.45 MW in 2011; 0.75 MW thereafter • • More likely 2nd quarter of 2010 (my estimate) From D. Wark: 0.1 MW in 2010; 0.3 MW in 2011; ramp to 0.75 MW over a few years MINOS, OPERA: sensitivity as per proposal, scaled by POT 26 MINOS Overview • Long baseline Fermilab 735 km Soudan • Near detector at Fermilab – Measure beam composition, energy spectrum • Far detector in Minnesota – Search for and study oscillations • Test the x oscillation hypothesis – Measure precisely |Dm232| and sin2 (223) • Search for sub-dominant e oscillations – Sensitive to 13 • Other MINOS physics: – Search for sterile neutrinos, CPT/Lorentz violation – Compare , oscillations – Studies of cosmic rays and atmospheric neutrinos – Neutrino interaction studies in the Near Detector 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 27 MINOS Muon-Neutrino Disappearance Analysis • Strong energy-dependent spectrum distortion • Spectrum fit with two-flavour oscillation hypothesis • Fit constrained to physical region + includes three largest systematics • Results: PRL 101 131802 (2008) |Δm232|=(2.43 ± 0.13) x 10-3 eV2 at 68% C.L. sin2(2θ23) > 0.90 at 90% C.L. Most precise measurement of |Dm232| to date 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 28 MINOS Antimuon-Neutrino Disappearance Analysis • Measure |Δm232|, sin2(2θ23) • Test CPT • FNAL Wine & Cheese three weeks ago • CC events are 7% of beam – Mis-ID muon and NC backgrounds relatively larger – As CC analysis, but with extra cuts • Track-length likelihood, charge-sign significance 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 29 The Future All these analyses have used 3x1020 of the 7x1020 protons-on-target that have been recorded – As of this June’s summer shutdown Over the next year, the analyses will be updated with the increased dataset – Using the blind analysis policy on the new data Graphs below show the θ13 sensitivity for 7x1020 PoT If the excess persists 16th-22nd July 2009 If the excess goes away 30 Justin Evans MINOS Electron-Neutrino Appearance Analysis CC Event • Sub-dominant neutrino oscillations P(νμ→νe) ≈ sin2θ23 sin22θ13 sin2(1.27Δm231L/E) • Also CPv and matter effects: not shown here but included in fit NC Event • ANN algorithm to select e events • Background measured in ND – NC events, high-y CC, beam e, oscillated at FD – Data-driven technique: compare horn on/off data eCC Event • Predict FD background from measured ND background + MC 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 31 MINOS Electron-Neutrino Appearance Analysis • Far Detector spectrum obtained after blind analysis • Expected background: 27 ± 5(stat) ± 2(syst) • Contours from Feldman-Cousins method – Fit to number of events • Observed events: 37 • Results: – Normal hierarchy (CP = 0): sin2(2θ13) < 0.29 (90% C.L.) – Inverted hierarchy (CP = 0): sin2(2θ13) < 0.42 (90% C.L.) • 1.5s excess – Well within realms of statistical fluctuation 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 32 MINOS Neutral Current Analysis • General NC analysis overview: – All active neutrino flavours participate in NC interaction – Mixing to a sterile ν will cause a deficit of NC events in Far Detector – Assume one sterile neutrino and that mixing between νμ, νs and ντ occurs at a single Δm2 • Survival and sterile oscillation probabilities become: Simultaneous fit to CC and NC energy spectra yields the fraction of νμ that oscillate to νs: (αμ,s = mixing fractions) 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 33 MINOS Future Plans • Update all analyses with more than double the data set • Muon antineutrino possibilities – Switch beam magnetic horns to focus p– MINOS can make the first direct measurement • Reduce uncertainty on Dm232 by an order of magnitude 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 34 T2K Main Measurements: sin213 Simulated SK spectrum • Use CCQE: e + n e- + p • Main backgrounds: – Beam e contamination – NC p0 events 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 35 T2K Main Measurements: sin223, Dm232 • Use CC quasi-elastic events: + n - + p – Background from nonCCQE interactions disappearance sin2223 • Dm322 15/7/09 • E. Falk, U. of Sussex Precision prospect: D (sin2223) ~ 0.01 (1%) D (Dm232) < 1 x 10-4 eV2 (a few %) at 90% C.L. @ Dm2 ~ 2.5 x 10-3 eV2 36 T2K J-PARC Accelerator Complex Commissioned, in use for material & life science Commissioned, 15/7/09in use for material & life science Protons to 30 GeV on 23/12/08 Commissioning is on time beam-line components Commissioning in progress E. Falk, U. of Sussex 37 Neutrino Beam Line T2K Near Detectors at 280 m • On- and off-axis detectors 280 m downstream of target – Understand the neutrino beam before oscillations occur • T2K timeline – Apr 09: Beam-line commissioning 10 days – Summer-autumn 09: Install INGRID & ND280 – Oct 09: Restart beam commissioning – Dec 09-June 10: Physics run • Aim to improve CHOOZ limit 15/7/09 ND 280: Off-axis detectors inside UA1 magnet On-axis: INGRID Scintillator/iron modules E. Falk, U. of Sussex 38 T2K Beam Power Projections April 1, 2009 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 39 T2K Discovery Potential 15/7/09 E. Falk, U. of Sussex 40