بسم هللا الرحمن الرحيم دكتور /عماد إسماعيل أستاذ إدارة الخطر والتأمين المساعد RISK MANAGEMENT & LIFE INSURANCE CHAPTER 1 RISK IN OUR SOCIETY MEANING OF RISK risk is defined as uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss Objective Risk & SUBJECTIVE RISK Objective Risk: the relative variation of actual loss from expected loss Subjective Risk: is defined as Uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition or state of mind The law of large numbers as the number of exposure units increases, the more closely the actual loss experience will approach the expected loss experience Chance of loss is defined as the probability that an event will occur Peril is defined as the cause of loss Hazards is a condition that a hazard creates or increases the chance of loss Hazards Physical hazard Moral hazard Legal hazard Morale hazard Physical hazard is a physical condition that increases the chance of loss Moral hazard is dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase the frequency or severity of loss Morale hazard is carelessness or indifference to a loss because of the existence of insurance Legal hazard refers to characteristics of the legal system or regulatory environment that increase the frequency or severity of losses BASIC CATEGORIES OF RISK Pure Risk & Speculative Risk Enterprise Risk Fundamental Risk & Particular Risk Pure Risk pure risk is defined as a situation in which are there only the possibilities of loss or no loss Speculative Risk Speculative risk is defined as a situation in which either profit or loss is possible It is important to distinguish between pure & speculative risks for three reasons: The First private insurers typically insure only pure risks The Second the law of large numbers can be applied more easily to pure risks than to speculative risks The Third society may benefits from a speculative risk even though a loss occurs, but it is harmed if a pure risk is present & a loss occurs Fundamental Risk fundamental risk is a risk that affects the entire economy or large numbers of people or groups within the economy Particular Risk particular risk is a risk that affects individuals & not the entire community Enterprise Risk is a relatively new term that Encompasses all major risks faced by a business firm. Such risks included pure risk, speculative risk, strategic risk, operational risk, & financial risk Strategic Risk refers to uncertainty regarding the firm’s financial goals & objectives Operational Risk results from the firms business operations Financial Risk refers to the uncertainty of loss because of adverse changes in commodity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, & the value of money TYPES OF PURE RISK the major types of pure risk that can create great financial insecurity include: Personal risks Property risks Liability risks A) Personal risks Personal risks are risks that directly affect an individual There are four major personal risks: 1- Risk of premature death 2- Risk of insufficient income during retirement 3-Risk of poor health. 4-Risk of unemployment. B) Property Risks Persons owning property are exposed to property risks the risk of having property – damaged or lost from numerous causes There are two types of loss associated with the destruction or theft of property: Direct Loss Indirect or Consequential Loss Direct loss direct loss is defined as a financial loss that results from the physical damage, destruction, or theft of the property Indirect or Consequential Loss indirect loss is a financial loss that results indirectly from the occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft loss C) Liability Risks Liability risks are of great importance for several reasons: First, there is no maximum upper limit with respect to the amount of the loss Second, a lien can be placed on your income & financial assets to satisfy a legal judgment Finally, legal defense costs can be enormous METHODS OF HANDLING (MANAGING) RISK : there are two categories of handling risk: Risk Control Risk Financing Risk Control refers to techniques that reduce the frequency & severity of losses. Major risk-control techniques include the following: Avoidance Loss Control consists of two methods: Loss Prevention Loss Reduction Risk Financing refers to techniques that provide for the funding of losses. Major risk-financing techniques include the following: Retention Non-insurance Transfer Insurance A) RISK CONTROL 1- Avoidance a business firm can avoid the risk of being sued for a defective product by not producing the product. Not all risks should be avoided, however. For example, you can avoid the risk of death or disability in a plane crash by refusing to fly. But is this choice practical or desirable? 2- Loss Control Loss control consists of certain activities that reduce both the frequency & severity of losses. Thus, loss control has two major objectives: - loss prevention - loss reduction. 2/1- Loss prevention aims at reducing the probability (frequency) of loss the goal of loss prevention is to prevent the loss from occurring. 2/2- Loss reduction the second objective of loss control is to reduce the severity of a loss after it occurs loss control is highly desirable for two reasons: First, the indirect costs of losses may be large, & in some instances can easily exceed the direct costs Second, the social costs of losses are reduced B) Risk Financing 1- Retention an individual or a business firm retains all or part of a given risk. Risk retention can be either active or passive 1/1- Active retention means that an individual is consciously aware of the risk & deliberately plans to retain all or part of it Risk retention, however, is appropriate primarily for high-frequency, low-severity risks. risk retention should not be used to retain low frequency, high-severity risks, such as the risk of catastrophic medical expenses, long-term disability, or legal liability 2- Non-insurance Transfers the risk is transferred to a party other than an insurance company A risk can be transferred by several methods, among which are the following: 2/1- Transfer of risk by contracts 2/2- Hedging price risks 2/3- Incorporation of a business firm 3- Insurance CHAPTER 2 REVIEW TERMS Avoidance تجنب الخطر Chance of loss فرصة الخسارة Direct Loss الخسارة المباشرة Enterprise Risks أخطار المنشآه Exposure to loss التعرض للخسارة األخطار المالية Financial Risks أخطار عامة Fundamental Risks مسببات أخطار مساعدة Hazards المشتقات Hedging القيمة اإلقتصادية لإلنسان Human Life Value الخسائر غير المباشرة أو التبعية Indirect or Consequential loss التأمين المؤمن عليه المؤمن ( شركة التأمين ) Insurance Insured Insurer قانون األعداد الكبيرة Law of large numbers مسببات خطر مساعدة قانونية Legal Hazard أخطار المسئولية Liability Risks الخسارة Loss التحكم فى الخسارة Loss control مسببات خطر مساعدة شخصية إرادية Moral Hazard مسببات خطر مساعدة شخصية ال إرادية Morale Hazard الخطر الموضوعى أخطار خاصة Objective Risk Particular Risks مصدر الخسارة Peril األخطار الشخصية Personal Risks مسببات خطر مساعدة طبيعية Physical Hazard وثيقة Policy الوفاة المبكرة Premature Death أخطار الممتلكات Property Risks األخطار البحتة Pure Risks اإلحتفاظ أو التحمل Retention الخطر Risk أخطار المضاربة Speculative Risks الخطر الشخصى Subjective Risk القسط Premium