Land Rent vs. Market Value

advertisement

Land Use Planning Tools Lecture

Notes: Theory of Land Rents

Summary of chapter 7 of Urban

Economics by Arthur O’Sullivan

Notes by Austin Troy

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Land Rent vs. Market Value

• Market value: the present value of the stream of rental income generated by land

• Rental Income: the amount the landowner charges to use land; equal to income from land minus costs

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

What is Present Value?

• It is the maximum amount an investor would be willing to pay for something, given that the investor could safely make i percent returns on an alternative investment (for instance, a savings account, or T-bills).

• It equals, the stream of income, discounted over time

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

How is PV discounted?

• PV takes into account the fact that a dollar earned 5 years from now if worth less to us now than a dollar earned today

• This is because income put off until later has opportunity cost associated with it.

• A dollar invested in five years is worth less than a dollar invested today

• PV takes into account lost opportunity from that alternative investment

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

How is PV calculated?

PV

 t n 

0

R

( 1

 i ) t

• For $20 yearly stream for 5 years at 10%

PV= $20 +$18.18 + $16.53 + $15.04 + $13.70 = $83.45

• For a constant stream of income into infinity, rule simplifies to PV= R/i = $20/.1= $200

• Non-constant income example:

• PV= $20 + $24/1.1 + $29/1.21 + $34/1.33…etc.

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Market value of land

• Equals PV of annual maximum rental payments that the landowner can charge

• For market value to equal PV: given yearly income R and alternative ROR of i , investor is indifferent between buying the land and investing that money elsewhere

• From here out we talk of land rent in place of price, and assume users of land pay rent

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Land Rent and Productivity

• Value of land, and hence land rent derives from productivity

• Earliest model of productivity comes from

Ricardo (1821) who looked at land fertility

• Assumptions: fixed inputs/output prices

(price takers), zero profit, 3 levels of fertility, land to highest bidder, location (transpo costs) can be ignored, owners are not farmers

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Ricardo model

• On fertile land, a farmer can produce same amount of corn with fewer inputs

• The price of this type of land is bid up

• All profit accrues to the landowner in the form of rents

• Payment to farmer is considered a cost

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Ricardo model

MC

$

Profit=rent>> to landowner

Profit=rent>> to landowner

ATC

$8

$4

ATC

MC

MC

Q=amt of corn

220 160

“A” land “B” land “C” land

“A” land has lowest production costs= highest rents

“C” land’s rent is 0 because costs are greater than revenue

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

ATC

$10

Price determined exogenously by supply and demand in market

Ricardo Model

• Competition among farmers for good land bids up rents on that land until economic profits* =0 for farmer. All profits on land go to owner.

• Economic profits: greater than “normal” profits required to pay for time of those doing the work

• Rent for A land= TR-TC= $2200-$880=$1320

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Leftover principle

• In equilibrium, Rent= profits, or revenue over total nonland costs

• Rent eats up whatever is “left over” because competition for land bids away any excess

• That is, competition among farmers for land bids away excess profits until they are zero and landowner gets all surplus value

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Exceptions to leftover principle

• If there is restrictions on entry or on competition

– E.g. if farmer (non-owners) owns patent to farming techniques that reduce costs, landlord cannot charge additional rents reflecting those additional profits because noone else would be willing to pay such high rents

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Who benefits from improvement?

• Example: irrigation project

• If price of corn is fixed (exogenous) the landlord benefits because competition among farmers for land will bid away profit

• Winner: land owner; loser: farmer

• However, if the project affects the price of corn

(price is endogenous), consumers gain with lower prices, while farmer pre rent profits are reduced, lowering land rents

• Winner: consumer; loser; land owner

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Scale of improvement

• Who benefits is determined by scale of improvement

• Smaller the area, the more the benefit goes to landowner; larger the area, more goes to consumers because of price endogeneity

• Benefits from any improvement are capitalized into the value of land; a positive capitalization increases rents, which increases market value

• Negative factors can be capitalized too

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Accessibility

• Now replace fertility of land with location as the prime determinant of land value--Von

Thunen model (1826)

• No longer assume that transportation is costless

• This model explains why more “central” locations command higher rents and have higher market values than fringe areas

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

The Carrot Farmer

• Assume: land is equally fertile, profits are zero, there is one central market, p is fixed and farmers use fixed factor production

• Cost is now fn of distance

– Transport Cost= cost/ton/mile*dist*Q

– Profit= P*Q-PC-TC-Rent = 0

– Rent= P*Q-PC-TC

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

$300

$250

$190

Bid rent/acre

$110

$50

Carrot Farmer’s bid rent function

Total revenue per acre (P*Q; Q/acre does not vary)

Total Cost

Land rents

Close Distance to market

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Far

Carrot farmer’s decision

• Now, market-proximate land replaces fertile land as the most valuable type

• However, competition for close land bids away surplus profit so, assuming farmers are identical, they are indifferent among all locations, as long as total revenue exceeds total cost

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

The farmer and factor substitution

• What if farmers can be different? Then the bid-rent function becomes convex.

• Under linear function, fixed amount of land and non-land inputs, no matter where

• Under convex function, farmers engage in factor substitution : they increase non-land inputs (equipment, labor, technology) as land gets more central and expensive

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Factor substitution

• The farmer in more central land can now use less land, in exchange for more inputs

• New profit fn: Profit= P*Q-PC=TC-R*T, where T= acres of land used

• New rent fn: R = (P*Q-PC-TC)/T

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Rent/ acre

Bid Rent fn for both farmers

Bid rent for flexible farmer

Bid rent for fixed-factor farmer

Distance to market U*

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Bid rent of flexible farmer

• Flexible farmer will outbid the inflexible farmer in all locations but u

• That is, land will be used more intensively and, hence, more efficiently at central locations, and non-land inputs will be fewer far away

• With inflexible farmers, land is used more inefficiently

• Rents will still equal profits of highest bidder

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Factor Substitution

• Because inflexibility in factor inputs is inefficient, competition for land will eliminate those land users

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Decreases in Transport Costs

• Say a new highway reduces transport costs

• Increases radius of market area for farmers

• Who do benefits go to? Landowner, as long as price is unaffected

• If scale of supply effect is large enough to decrease price, TR/acre decreases slightly

• Then, benefits are shared by landowners and consumers, who get lower prices

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Rent/ acre

Bid Rent fn for both farmers

Note that going from u1 to u2 shifts bid rent down in city center because of price effect

R

1

R

0

R

2

Distance to market U

0 U

2

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

U1

Two competing land uses

• Different land uses (say llama farms vs. ostrich farms) may have different bid rent functions. The shapes of those functions will determine who will locate where

• Steepness of fn determined per unit transport costs relative to per unit price

• As usual, land goes to highest bidder

• Market allocates land efficiently to usage with the most to gain from being close to the market

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Determinants of bid rent slope

1. Per acre transportation costs. The more weight you produce/acre, the more transport will cost per acre cultivated. E.g. potatoes vs. cotton

2. Unit transport costs. The more a given unit weight costs to ship, the higher the transport costs. E.g. eggs vs. turnips

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Rent/ acre

Bid Rent fn for both farmers

Spamelope farm

U’= where spamelope farms transition to cotton candy farms

Cotton candy farm

U’

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Corn Law Debates

• Is the price of land high because the price of output high, or vice versa?

• Corn laws restricted imports of grain

• D for domestic corn increased>>P increased>>Q increased>>D for land increased, but supply curve for land is inelastic so price of land went up

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

P

2

P

P

1

Corn law debates

S

C

1

Q

C

2

Land

Rent d

1 d

2

R

2

R

2

Q

C

2 d

1 d

2

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Corn Laws

• So, price of land is high because the price of corn is high; landowners will always get leftovers through competitive bidding

• Same principle applies with housing: price of land in Silicon Valley is high not because landlords are more greedy than elsewhere, but because of demand that allows them to charge those rentss

Austin Troy--Land Use Planning Tools, University of Vermont

Download