Pump Up Your Skills To Pump Up Your Margins Michigan Credit Union League Executive Summit August 31, 2007 Presented by Jared Y. Cahill National Director of Alliances 877 510-5603 Or How to Manage in a Challenging Environment Michigan Credit Union League Executive Summit August 31, 2007 Presented by Jared Y. Cahill National Director of Alliances 877 510-5603 Agenda • • • • • • • Who Moved My Cheese? Coping with Change Economic/Financial Landscape & Competition Winning and Competing Fee Income-The Good, the Bad and The Ugly Operating Costs-You Can’t Pass on Inefficiencies Lots of Literature Out There A Great Tool to Start With 3 Who Moved My Cheese • A parable or an allegory. • Coping with Change. • Navigating the maze. 4 Economic/Financial Landscape & Competition Traditional Business Model For Profit-the financial statement, not the philosophy Income – Expense = Capital, Growth & Service Net Interest Income exceeds Operating Expenses 5 The Maze and The Moving Cheese • • • • Yield Curve and Rates ROA and ROA less NII Net Interest Income v. Operating Costs Competition 6 All Credit Unions-Margins and ROA 7 Michigan Credit Unions Margins, Operating Costs and ROA 8 Michigan Credit Unions – Non Interest Income 9 E-Scan • “The flattening yield curve has had negative consequences for most credit unions’ earnings and capital. Net interest margin will continue to decrease.” • “Rising interest rates will reduce loan demand.” 10 E-Scan • “A tight labor market could push up labor costs for some credit unions and increase their rate of job turnover.” • “Credit union bottom lines will get squeezed tighter, requiring some credit unions to reshape their asset/liability portfolios, boost non-interest revenue and invest in developing a sales and service culture that better markets and cross sells products and services.” 11 E-Scan • “Strong core deposit competition from banks and other non-bank financial institutions will lead to additional pressure on funding costs during this rising rate environment.” • Don’t worry so much about being taxed; worry about banks (especially the mega-banks) taking your members. 12 The Competition Who is your competition? Other Credit Unions? Community Banks? Mega-Banks? Wal-Mart? Internet? 13 The New Business Model and The Competition How all financial institutions stack up using a Net Operating Analysis A new way to analyze the changing business model. Since net interest income is less than operating costs, what are the new drivers of ROA. They are non-interest income v. operating costs and operating efficiency. 14 Key Points of NOA 1. Trends in ROA & ROE 2. Net Operating Assets (assets less securities) 3. Non-Interest Income 4. Non-Interest Expense 5. Net Operating Costs 6. Industry & Competitor Comparisons 7. FTE Efficiencies 15 Net Operating Costs 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 BILLION DN ALL BANKS BILLION UP S&L HIGH PERF BANKS CREDIT UNIONS 16 Return on Assets (ROA) 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 BILLION DN ALL BANKS BILLION UP S&L HIGH PERF BANKS CU 17 Operating Assets Per Full Time Equivalent 12/31/06 BILLION DOWN 5.00 4.50 MILLIONS 4.00 3.50 3.00 BILLION UP HIGH PERF BANKS ALL US 2.50 2.00 S&L 1.50 1.00 CREDIT UNIONS 18 The Terrain • Margins are tight and will get tighter • Margins are market driven – Very little price elasticity • Who is your competition? – Not, “Who are your peers?” • Consolidations/Mergers drive up the ante 19 The Winning Strategy • Increase Non-interest income • Lower Operating Costs • Grow-New Members and Better Product Penetration • Be Competitive 20 Tactics • • • • • Reduce Net Operating Cost Become Price Competitive Meet Market Needs Sell to and Service Members Grow • Be Competitive 21 Fee Income • Is it the Credit Union Way? • Profits = Capital, Growth, Service. • Sources 22 Fee Income- The Good, The Bad and The Ugly • The Ugly-Profits, Member Perception • The Bad – Board, Management, Staff Objections • The Good – Increase Capital, Grow, Provide Services • Sources 23 Categories of Fee Income 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Deposit Related Income Loan Related Fee Income Other Member Related Services Fee Income Other Operating Fee Income Non-Operating Income 24 Deposit Related Fees • Activity/Minimum Balance Fees • Overdraft Privilege Fees • Stop Payment Fees • Transfer Fees • ATM Surcharge • ATM Interchange Income • Other ATM • • • • • • Wire Transfers ACH Fees Bill Payer Fees Returned Check Fees Check Copy Money Order/Travelers Checks • Monthly Maintenance • Savings Bonds 25 Loan Related Fees • • • • Late Charges Origination Fees Credit Card Fees Skip Payment Fees 26 Other Member Related Fees • • • • Check Cashing Bad Address Fee Safety Deposit Box Statement Copy 27 Other Operating Income • Insurance Reimbursement • Check Up-charge • Check Card Interchange Income • Credit Card Interchange Income • Loan Servicing Income • • • • • Sale of Mortgages CDI, CLI and AD&D Extended Warranty GAP Insurance Investment & Insurance Services • Trust & Rental Income 28 Non-Operating Income • • • • • • Investment Services Insurance Services Trust Services Gain/Loss on Assets Gain/Loss on Investments Gain/Loss Assets in Liquidation 29 Observations About Current Sources • • • • Are you a Bank or a Credit Union? Which Fees are Acceptable and Which Are Not? Don’t Just Raise Fees! Do you have all the services that members are willing to pay fees for? 30 Increase Non-Interest Income • Fee Income – lots of sources, but half center around a share-draft account. Share Draft Penetration??????? • Product Income – e.g., CDI, CLI • Prevent profit leaks - Lower waivers and chargeoffs • New products and services • Increase cross-sell income 31 Methodology to Increase Fee Income • Needs Assessment-of the credit union, membership and market • New Fee Income Programs • Product Profitability • Value Pricing • Setup and Action Plan • Member relationship building strategies • Product linking and integration. 32 Lower Operating Costs You Can’t Pass On Inefficiencies in a Hyper Competitive Market. Operating Costs and Product Pricing Aren’t in Separate Silos. 33 Lower Operating Costs • Capacity has grown at 15% per year and financial institutions have grown at 8%. – Feed more members and services in to to soak up overcapacity • • • • Improve productivity Optimize cost of human capital Reduce costs of new product launches Reduce FTE expense 34 Process Efficiency • “… it is all about having the tools and disciplined capability to map to your processes, model them as they should be, and monitor process effectiveness. This whole focus on process is becoming much more important-not only for driving efficiency improvements, but also for driving effectiveness and agility.” Susan Landry, Managing VP, Gartner, Inc. 35 Methodology to Lower Operating Costs • Complete workflow analysis • Improved technology utilization • Best Practices implementation • Improved systems and procedures • Enhanced product design and profitability • Revenue potential planning programs • Centralized operations and lending programs • Expense control programs • Staffing Studies and salary administration programs • Analysis of outsourced alternative 36 Outsourcing-A New Paradigm “Our hypothesis is that financial institutions are in the middle of a transformation from being monolithic and vertically organized proprietary operations to becoming parts of a more fluid ecosystem. In other words, a financial institution does everything now for itself to serve its customers and we are…moving to a much more fluid ecosystem where you will have some financial institutions players who focus more on customer acquisition/customer servicing and the front office. These institutions will in the future acquire most of their products through an outsourcing or third-party agreement. Susan Landry, Managing VP, Gartner, Inc. 37 Grow • • • • The Best Defense if a Good Offense Add members Increase product penetration Become sales and service oriented instead of order taking oriented • Be mindful of the consumerization of your membership 38 Growth • Attract new members if your goal is overall asset growth – For most there is plenty of room to grow within their current fields of membership • Achieve product penetration among loyal members 39 Average Members-to-Potential Members by FOM Type Source: CUNA’s Credit Union Operating Ratios and Spreads 40 Be Competitive • Not just with your Peers • But, with banks and other financial institutions • Increase NII and lower operating cost to compete in the tight margin environment 41 Growth Options • Increase Cross-selling Efforts to Current Customers • Conduct Promotions to Attract New Customers to Existing Products & Services • Offer New Products and Services • Expand Market Area by Opening New Branches in New Geographic Area • Open New Branches in Existing Market Area • Expand Presence on the Internet • Add ATMs • Enter Joint Venture/Affiliation (e.g., insurance, real estate, broker dealer) 42 Products & Services • • • • • • • • • Home Equity Lines of Credit 2nd Mortgages other than HELOC Adjustable Rate Mortgages Non-traditional Mortgages Reverse Mortgages Electronic Bill Payment Cash Management Services Corporate/Business Credit Cards Insurance (property and casualty, health) • Electronic Bill Presentment • “Keep the Change” debit or credit card • • • • • • • • • • • No-Fee ATMs Health Savings Accounts Email/wireless Banking Alerts Stored Value/Prepaid Cards Online Loan Applications Asset Management Remote Deposit Identity Theft Protection Credit Report Access Real Estate Services Higher Interest on e-Savings Accounts 43 Winning - The Formula • • • • Increase non-interest income Reduce operating cost Grow Be More Competitive 44 Increasing NII "Increase NII" Project Will Bring Quickest Value $180 Net Revenue to Customer ($000) Incr ease NII Ot her NII $160 Account Acquisit ion $140 Sales & Ser vice Expense Reduct ion $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 0 Slow 1 2 3 4 5 Speed of Project Com pletion Fast 45 The New Business Model 46 Challenges • • • • • Financial Terrain is tough Competition is tough You can’t change either You can change your credit union Begin Now 47 The Over-Riding Challenge How do you implement the new business model required by the marketplace in order to survive and prosper AND STAY TRUE TO THE CREDIT UNION PHILOSOPLY???? Look to the “Movement” (Leagues/CUNA/Credit Unions) to guide management, staff and board. 48 A Tool to Change the Business Model Since net interest income is less than operating costs, what are the new drivers of ROA? 1. non-interest income v. operating costs 2. operating efficiency NET OPERATING ANALYSIS 49 Net Operating Analysis-Credit Union SAMPLE CREDIT UNION ROA ROE 2003 2006* 0.51% 5.75% 0.45% 4.99% DIFF. -0.06% -0.76% % CHG. -11.76% -13.22% ( thousands) TOTAL ASSETS INVESTMENTS/INVCASH NET OPERATING ASSETS $104,928 $2,248 $102,680 $114,966 $8,056 $106,910 $10,038 $5,808 $4,230 AVG.CHG. 3% 86% 1% % NET OPERATING ASSETS 2003 2006* 0.80% 0.96% 0.18% 0.22% 0.98% 1.18% NON-INT. INC. SERVICE CHARGES OTHER FEE INC. TOTAL NON-INT. INC. $821 $180 $1,001 $1,027 $237 $1,264 $206 $57 $263 NON-INT. EXP. EMPLOYMENT OCCUPANCY OTHER NON-INT. EXP. TOTAL NON-INT. EXP. $1,693 $256 $1,698 $3,647 $1,992 $281 $1,859 $4,132 $299 $25 $161 $485 1.65% 0.25% 1.65% 3.55% 1.86% 0.26% 1.74% 3.86% 0.21% 0.01% 0.09% 0.31% $2,646 $2,868 $222 2.57% 2.68% 0.11% $2,474 $2,458 AVERAGE SALARY & BENEFIT PER EMPLOYEE $40,795 $45,793 $4,998 SALARY & BENEFITS PER MILLION OPERATING ASSETS $16,488 $18,632 $2,144 NET OPERATING COST DIFF. 0.16% 0.04% 0.20% Employee Efficiency Analysis OPERATING ASSETS PER FULL TIME EQUIVALENT ($16) INCREASE EARNINGS VS * Figures are based on YTD call report data; December 2006 ** High Performance GROWTH VS 50 Net Operating Analysis-Industry SAMPLE CREDIT UNION DECEMBER CREDIT UNIONS BANKS **ROA ALL YOUR 2006* DOWN UP 1.50% + USA STATE USA 0.45% 4.99% 1.03% 9.83% 1.36% 13.36% 2.47% 18.81% 1.31% 12.88% 0.52% 4.76% 0.82% 7.31% BILLION % NET OPERATING ALL CREDIT UNIONS BANKS **ROA ALL YOUR ASSETS DOWN UP 1.50% + USA STATE USA 0.96% 0.22% 1.18% 0.47% 1.02% 1.49% 0.45% 2.48% 2.93% 0.48% 4.33% 4.81% 0.46% 2.30% 2.76% 0.85% 0.63% 1.48% 1.09% 0.57% 1.66% 1.86% 0.26% 1.74% 3.86% 2.15% 0.53% 1.44% 4.12% 1.66% 0.45% 1.56% 3.67% 1.82% 0.41% 2.71% 4.94% 1.72% 0.46% 1.54% 3.72% 2.06% 0.31% 1.83% 4.20% 2.14% 0.30% 1.84% 4.28% 2.68% 2.63% 0.74% 0.13% 0.96% 2.72% 2.62% BILLION ALL $2,458 $2,576 $4,334 $3,480 $3,992 $2,534 $2,410 $45,793 $55,358 $71,807 $63,257 $68,609 $52,293 $51,531 $18,632 $21,489 $16,568 $18,176 $17,185 $20,635 $21,383 $56 $2,077 $2,729 $1,842 ($40) $67 $2,139 $280,658 $2,099,244 $191,840 ($1,469) $2,556 51 52 JMFA Net Operating Analysis 53 Doubled ROE 54 Performing ABOVE Average 55 Strong GROWTH in Non-Interest Income 56 Lowered Operating Costs DECREASED Total Net Operating Cost 57 Key Takeaways • Can you compete on Loan and Deposit pricing? • Has your ROA been dropping? • You can’t pass on inefficiencies in a hyper-competitive market • There are competitive options 58 A Beginning Free NOA at JMFA.com • Click on Credit Union • Click on “Free NOA” • Fill in the form • It’s that easy • Call us for a Free Consultation – Tom Young at 877 736-9440 59 Resources • “Trends in Generating Non-Interest Income”-A CUNA CFO Council White Paper. This has an extensive bibliography. • “The Top 100 Credit Unions In Non-Interest Income”-by Rory Rowland, Callahan & Associates. Presented at CACUL Annual Meeting and Convention. 60 You May Be a Merger Candidate if…. • If you have excess capital… • If your operating expenses are too high… • If member growth is slow or stagnant… • If you’re maintaining or cutting your marketing budget… • If you’re maintaining or cutting your technology budget… • If you’re share-draft penetration is below 75%... • If you keep doing the same old non-aggressive strategic planning and hoping to get different results… • If you say “we’re too small…” • If you manage using peer group comparison… • If your non-interest income isn’t growing… • If you don’t understand the concept of the “consumerization of members…” • If you are not actively pursuing younger members… • If you think hunker-down is a good strategy… 61