Mining Companies Lorna Tam Sandy Gao Natalie Kim Johnny Luka Miodragovic What is Mining? Mining is the extraction of valuable minerals or other geological materials from the earth. Materials recovered by mining include Coal , copper, gold, silver, diamonds, iron, precious metals, lead, limestone, nickel, and phosphate. Any material that cannot be grown from agricultural processes, or created artificially, is usually mined. Mining Industry Two sectors Specialization in exploration for new resources typically made up of individuals and small mineral resource companies dependent on public investment Specialization in actual mining typically large and multi-national companies sustained by mineral production from their mining operations Stages in the Life of a Mine Stages in the Life of a Mine Stages in the Life of a Mine Stages in the Life of a Mine Risks Associate With Mining Market Risk Revenues are highly dependant on market prices Prices are affected by: Growth and political conditions of consuming economies Currency exchange fluctuations Global supply and demand Availability and cost of substitute materials Speculative activities Production levels and costs of other mining countries Operational Risks Geological problems, including earthquakes and other natural disasters Occurrence of unusual weather or operating conditions Metallurgical and other processing problems Mechanical equipment failure and facility performance problems Lower than expected ore grades or recovery rates estimates are based upon engineering evaluations of assay values derived from samplings of drill holes and other openings Operational Risks Delays in the receipt of or failure to receive necessary government permit Uncertainty of exploration and development Energy represents a significant portion of the production costs of our operations Electricity, diesel fuel and natural gas Labour disputes Occupational health Labour standards Operational Risks Ability to attract and retain skilled and experienced employees Shortage of skills could limit ability to meet contractual requirements Industrial accidents Long term sales contracts Loss of any contracts require company to sell at prevailing market prices, which might expose it to lower metal prices compared to contract prices Default or modification of the sales contracts could prohibit additional loans or require the immediate repayment of outstanding loans depending on covenants of credit facilities Operational Risks Mine closure regulations Operations in the United States are subject to various federal and state mine closure and mined-land reclamation laws (requirements of these laws vary depending upon the jurisdiction Bureau of Land Management (BLM) regulates mining operations located on unpatented mining claims located on federal public lands Mines are required to post increasing amounts of financial assurance to ensure the availability of funds to perform future closure and reclamation Operational Risk In Foreign Countries Political instability and civil strife Changes in foreign laws and regulations, including those relating to the environment, labor, tax, royalties on mining activities, and dividends or repatriation of cash and other property to the US Foreign currency fluctuations Import, export, and trade regulations Insurance Cost of insurance dramatically increased as a result of worldwide economic conditions Liability for environmental damage or other hazards which may be uninsurable or for which it may elect not to insure because of premium costs Environmental Laws and Regulations Regulations include: Clean Air Act Clean Water Act Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Metals Mines Reclamation Act Laws are continually changing and becoming more restrictive Obtain permits issued by federal, state and local regulatory agencies Some require periodic renewal or review of conditions which they cannot predict if they could renew or new conditions imposed Subject to claims for natural resource damages where the release of hazardous substances is alleged to have injured natural resources Environmental Laws and Regulations Compliance with these laws and regulations imposes substantial costs and significant potential liabilities Often impose liability with respect to divested or terminated operations, even if the operations were terminated or divested many years ago Parties to pay for remedial action or to pay damages regardless of fault Credit and Interest Rate Risk Credit Risk Default or modification of sales contracts could prohibit additional loans or require the immediate repayment of outstanding loans depending on covenants of credit facilities Interest Rate Risk Financing for operations from credit facilities are sensitive to interest rates Important to hedge against interest rate risk so cash flow is not affected for operations Phelps Dodge Phelps Dodge Phelps Dodge (PD) is a producer of: Copper , Carbon black, Magnet wire, Continuous-cast copper rod World’s major producer of copper and molybdenum Consists of two divisions Phelps Dodge Mining Company (PDMC) Integrated producer of copper and molybdenum Phelps Dodge Industries (PDI) produces engineered products principally for the global energy sector Acquisition of Phelps Dodge Freeport-McMoRan bought out Phelps Dodge for $26 billion Stockholders approved of the deal on March 21, 2007 98 percent of stockholder votes supported the merger The largest publicly traded copper producer Phelps Dodge shareholders are to receive $88 per share in cash and 0.67 of a share of Freeport stock (about $126.50 a share) The buyout ends Phelps Dodge's 78-year run on the NYSE The new company will trade under the symbol of FCX Future If copper prices hold at the current rate of around $2.50 a pound, Freeport will be able to quickly pay off its debt. At existing prices, the new company will generate an estimated $6.5 billion in operating cash. Will copper prices remain stable, allowing Freeport to quickly pay off the $17.5 billion in debt it took on to buy Phelps Dodge? If copper price plunges, the new company may end up on the rocks. Freeport is partially financing the buyout with $6 billion in junk-based bonds and $10 billion in bank loans. Sales US Mining Operations Majority of the copper from Phelps Dodge’s US mining operations is cast into rod Rod sales to outside wire and cable manufacturers constitute 74% of PDMC’s US sales in 2006 South American Mines Production is sold as copper concentrate or as copper cathode. Candelaria mine sells copper concentrate to copper Asian smelters(Japan) under long-term contracts Ojos del Salado concentrate is sold to local Chilean smelters. Sales prices are based on LME prices Worldwide Competitors Primary US producers Numerous foreign producers, metal merchants, custom refiners and scrap dealers Some major producers outside the US have cost advantages richer ore grades, lower labor costs and, in some cases, a lack of strict regulatory requirements US mines has less political risk Other materials that compete with copper Aluminum, plastics, stainless steel and fiber optics Recent Prices COMEX copper prices averaging $3.089 per lb in 2006 $1.407 above the average for 2005 Metals Week Dealer Oxide mean price $24.75 per lb in 2006 decreased 22% from the 2005 mean price of $31.73 per lb Copper and Molybdenum Price Phelps Dodge’s reported ore reserves are economic at copper price of $2.02 per pound molybdenum price of $24.30 per pound most-recent three-year historical average price Phelps Dodge develops its business plans using a long-term average COMEX copper price of $1.05 per pound average molybdenum price of $5.00 per pound The per lb COMEX copper price average $1.17(10 yr), $1.13(15 yr) and $1.12(20yr) The per lb Metals Week molybdenum mean price $9.73(10yr), $7.88(15 yr) and $6.66(20yr) Executives J. Steven Whisler Chairman of the Company since May 2000 CEO since January 200 President from Dec. 1997 to Oct. 2003 Chief Operating Officer from Dec. 1997 to Jan. 2000 President for PDMC from 1991 to Oct. 1998 Joined Phelps Dodge’s corporate office in New York in 1981 University of Colorado, B.S. in business (accounting) University of Denver College of Law , J.D. Colorado School of Mines, M.S. in mineral economics and D. Sc. in engineering (Hon.) Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School Certified Public Accountant in the State of Arizona Executives Timothy R. Snider Elected President and COO in Nov. 2003 Senior Vice President from 1998 President and COO of FCX Began 37-year career with Phelps Dodge as a laborer in underground mining operations in Bisbee, Ariz. Previous president of PDMC Northern Arizona University, B.S. in chemistry and geology (1979) Advanced management program of the Wharton School at U. Penn (1996) Executives Ramiro G. Peru Executive Vice President in Oct. 2004 Senior Vice President and CFO in Jan. 1999 Senior Vice President for Organization Development and Information Technology from Jan. 1997 Vice President and Treasurer from 1995 Executives Richard C. Adkerson CEO and director of Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. Co-Chairman of the Board of McMoRan Exploration Co. (MMR). Prior to joining Freeport-McMoRan in 1989, he was a Partner and Managing Director of Arthur Andersen & Co., where he headed the firm’s Worldwide Oil and Gas Industry Practice. From 1976 to 1978, he was a Professional Accounting Fellow with the Securities and Exchange Commission in Washington, D.C. and a Presidential Exchange Executive. Mississippi State University, B.S. (Hon.), MBA degree. Advanced Management Program of the Harvard Business School Executive Compensation Whisler Snider Snider Income Statement Balance Sheet Financial Highlights Financial Highlights Risk Factors Copper and Molybdenum Price Volatility Increased Energy Costs Copper price Protection Programs Pressure on the Copper Production Costs Mine Closure Regulations Subject to Complex and Evolving Laws and Regulations Uncertain level of Ore Reserves Operational Risks Risk Factors Copper and Molybdenum Price Volatility Copper market is volatile and cyclical During the past 15 years, COMEX prices per lb have ranged from a high $4.076 to a low of 60.4 cents Molybdenum market is more volatile and cyclical than copper During the past 15 years, Metals Week prices have ranged from a high of $40.00 per lb to a low of $1.82 per lb Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales Hedging / Copper Price Protection Programs Risk Factors Copper Price Protection Program risk Risk Factors Increased Energy Costs Energy is a significant production cost Principal sources are electricity, diesel fuel and natural gas multi-year energy contracts / self-generation / diesel fuel and natural gas hedging / price protection programs Pressure on Copper Production Costs Relatively high cost structure Competitors’ mines located outside US have lower costs Due to strong demand, even high cost reserves are mined Overall increase in worldwide production costs Hedging Philosophy “We do not purchase, hold or sell derivative financial instruments unless we have an exiting asset or obligation or we anticipate a future activity that is likely to occur and will result in exposing us to market risk. We do not enter into any instruments for speculative purposes. We use various strategies to manager our market risk, including the use of derivative instruments to limit, offset or reset or reduce our market exposure. Derivative financial instruments are used to manage well-defined commodity price, energy foreign exchange and interest rate risks from our primary business activities.” Hedge Programs Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales Hedging Copper Price Protection Programs Metal Purchased Hedging Gold and Silver Price Protection Program Copper Quotational Period Swap Program Diesel Fuel/Natural Gas Price Protection Program Interest Rate Hedging Foreign currency Hedging Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales Hedging Fixed sales price instead of the COMEX average price Enter copper futures and swap contracts 619M(2006), 492M(2005) and 381M(2004) lbs of copper sales were hedged The sensitivity analysis of copper futures contracts to change in copper prices if copper prices dropped 10% at the end of 2006, copper futures contracts would result in a net loss of $30M. All losses would have been offset by a gain in sales Copper Price Protection Protection against unanticipated copper price decreases Purchase zero-premium copper collars and copper put options to protect 2005, 2006, and expected 2007 global copper production These transactions do not qualify as hedge accounting treatment (SFAS No.133) Adjusted to fair market value based on the forward curve price and implied volatility as of the last day of the recording period Copper Price Protection As of Dec.31, 2006, Phelps Dodge had for 2007 If the forward curve price had increased 10% at the end of 2006, option contracts would have reduced NI by $ 130M. Metal Purchase Hedging Metal (aluminum, copper and lead) swap contracts to hedge metal purchase price exposure on fixed-price sales contracts Metal hedge swaps for 57M (2006), 33M(2005) and 23M(2004) lbs of metal sales As of Dec. 31, 2006, Phelps Dodge had outstanding swaps on 33M lbs of metal purchases maturing through Feb 2008 If market price had dropped a hypothetical 10% at the end of 2006, it would have had a net loss from the swap contracts of $5M. All losses would have been offset by a gain in purchases Diesel Fuel/Natural Gas Price Protection Energy price protection programs for North American and Chilean operations to reduce its exposure to price increases in Diesel Fuel and Natural Gas products Combine diesel fuel and natural gas call option contracts and fixed-price swaps During 2006, 2005, and 2004, it had 58M, 61M and 56M gallons of diesel fuel purchases hedged, respectively. Gain in these hedge transactions were offset by a loss in the underlying diesel fuel purchases Interest Rate Hedging Objectives Reduction of the variability in interest payments Protection against significant fluctuations in the fair value of debt However, as of Dec.31, 2006 and 2005, Phelps Dodge did not have any interest rate swap programs Foreign Currency Hedging Forward exchange contracts or currency swaps to minimize the effects of exchange and interest rates fluctuation Protect the functional currencies of international subsidiaries’ transactions Exposures to the British Pound, Euro, South African Rand and U.S. Dollar. As of Dec.31, 2006, it had forward exchange contracts outstanding for $19M maturing through May 2007 A hypothetical negative exchange rate movement of 10% would have resulted in a potential loss of $2M. The loss would have been offset by a gain in related underlying transactions Consolidated Statement of CF Statement of Shareholder’s Equity Statement of Shareholder’s Equity Corporate Profile Incorporated in 1992 The only primary palladium producer in U.S. Common Shares: Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE: SWC) Current Stock Price as of March 30, 2007: $ 12.73 Market Capitalization: $ 1,149 million Total Shares Outstanding: 91.60 million Profile One of the world's leading producers of platinum group metals (PGMs) The only significant primary producer of palladium in the Western Hemisphere Extraction: two mines in southern Montana Concentration and refining: a site near Columbus, Montana, to a purity of 60% PGMs, then shipped to Johnson Matthey for final refining of palladium, platinum and other metals at a facility in New Jersey. Profile The Company's 28-mile long JM Reef in Montana is the highest grade ore-body containing platinum group metals (PGMs). In 2006 the Company’s PGM production increased 8% to 601,000 ounces of PGMs. In 2007 the company expects PGM production to increase by 5% and plan to increase its PGM capacity more than 800,000 ounces. Platinum: Uses and Sources Palladium: Uses and Sources Rhodium: Uses and Sources World PGM Production Stillwater Properties Proven Ore Reserves Developed State Upgrade infrastructure - 2006: Four major projects completed - 2007: smelter furnace addition Increase proven reserves - Key driver on production growth - Primary development, diamond drilling Proven Ore Reserves Transforming the Mines Continue to Advance Safety systems Increase Developed State of Mines Expand selective mining methods Increase production levels Reduce operating costs Increase Production Production Process Volumes Officers Francis R. McAllister (age 63) Current Position: Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer The Board of Directors of Cleveland Cliffs, Incorporated, an iron ore mining company. Education: The Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School MBA from New York University Bachelor of Science - Finance from the University of Utah Previous Positions: Chairman and Chief Executive Officer with ASARCO Incorporated. Executive Vice President — Copper Operations with ASARCO Incorporated. Chief Financial Officer with ASARCO Incorporated. various professional and management positions with ASARCO Incorporated. Officers Gregory A. Wing (age 56) Current Position: Chief Financial Officer Education: M.B.A in Accounting and Finance from the University of California at Berkeley Bachelor of Arts in Physics from the University of California at Berkeley Previous Positions: Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer with Black Beauty Coal Company Manager of Financial Planning and Analysis with Pittsburg and Midway Coal Mining Company (a subsidiary of Chevron Corporation) Senior Analyst in Corporation Planning with Chevron Corporation Financial Highlights Financial Performance Income Statement Consolidated Balance Sheets Statements Of Cash Flows Risk Factors - Price Sole Source of Revenue is sale of PGMs, so main risk is price fluctuation Factors beyond the company’s control that can influence the price: Global Supply & Demand Speculative Activities International Political and Economic Conditions Exchange Rates Production level and costs in other PGM producing countries – mainly Russia and South Africa Risk Factors - Price Contraction in US could lead to volatility of PGM prices due to downturn in sale of automobiles and electronics Weakening South African rand could make South African PGM producers more competitive Risk Factors – Customers Dependent on Ford and GM who are its two major customers Long-Term contracts locked in a price GM and Ford bonds no longer investment grade If fail to pay, Company would have to sell at a possibly lower open market price Company may not be able to lock in good prices when contracts come up for renewal which would require it to curtail or shut down ops. Risk Factors - Other Relatively high cost primary producer Difficult to provide accurate production forecasts Some risks associated with mining may not be covered by insurance Possible liability for environmental damage Uses hedging instruments which may lead to loss Contractual Hedge Enter into Long-Term contracts that establish floors and ceilings Derivatives Usage Fixed Forwards, Cashless Put and Call Collar Options and Financially Settled Forwards Used to Hedge Metal Prices and Interest Rate Risk Loss of $15.8 million in 2006 Highly Effective Hedges – Fair Value of Derivatives offset changes in the hedged transaction very well due to high correlation between hedged transaction and financial instrument Commodity Price Risk Financially Settled Forwards accounted as cash flow hedges Financially Settled Forward contracts cover half of its anticipated platinum sales until June 2008. Hedged 113,500 ounces of platinum sales at an average price of approximately $988/ounce. Financially Settled Forwards PGM Recycling Interest Rate Risk Other Comprehensive Income Contains $31.1 million of realized hedging losses offset by $29.3 million change in fair value of derivatives held $25,000 difference is the unrealized loss on investments held for sale Comprehensive Income in Detail Change in Stockholder’s Equity Year 2004 Change in net unrealized gains on derivative financial instruments, net of tax (4,145,000) 2005 (12,639,000) 2006 1,824,000 As of December 31, 2006, unrealized loss for hedges that mature in 2006 was $15.1 million Fair Value Stillwater classifies it as the price to sell an asset or to pay to transfer a liability (exit price) not the price paid to acquire an asset or assume liability (entry price) Derivatives must be recognized on the balance sheet, and, if the derivative is not designated as a hedging instrument, changes in the fair value must be recognized in the earnings in the period of the hedge Stock Options Estimated at the date of grant using the BlackScholes option pricing model The effect of stock options on diluted weighted average shares outstanding was 85,341 in 2006 Options expire 10 years after the grant May consist of incentive stock options (ISOs) or non-qualified stock options (NQSOs), stock appreciation rights (SARs), nonvested shares or other stock-based awards, with the exception that non-employee directors may not be granted SARs and only employees of the Company may be granted ISOs. Nonvested Shares Options Valuation The weighted average fair value of options granted during 2006 was $5.86, which was calculated using the Black-Scholes optionpricing formula. Options Activity Options Outstanding and Exercisable