Board Workshop on Pupil Assignment St. Lucie County School District August 17, 2005 Introduction The UNC Charlotte Urban Institute Not-for-profit outreach unit of UNC Charlotte Technology Services and Training 18 years experience working with school planning issues Roll/Philosophy UNC Charlotte Urban Institute to facilitate, inform, recommend as an outside entity Open, Community–Based Process Use latest technology to provide information to citizens, staff and elected officials Deal with difficult growth issues head-on Work to incorporate latest research and thinking in recommendations Our Charge (Tonight’s Agenda) Summarize and analyze data Create GIS system files for analysis of student population Propose options for changes to the student assignment system for discussion in the community in the fall of 2005 With feedback from the district and survey data also provided by SLCS, Our Charge - Specifics Develop options that are: Modifications of current system Complete revisions to that system Show potential impacts to assist decision makers Next Steps (After Tonight) Detailed proposals will be developed as variations of the preferred approach based on the Board’s response to these data and proposals Public involvement throughout process Final Outcomes Board makes decision on changes to pupil assignment plan UNC Charlotte delivers GIS data files to St. Lucie County Schools to allow for creation of their own GIS analysis tools for future use Summary and Analysis of Data Process – Develop Planning Data Integrate student data with GIS to create visualization and analysis tool Data Collection Items Reviewed: Recent survey data from parents Staff Interviews on Student Assignment Process St. Lucie County data for residential development Fishkind and Associates Student projections Parent Survey Summary SLCS developed a 21 question public survey with multiple sources of input Results were reviewed in June Survey Results Response rate 7,243 paper survey responses 1,126 internet survey responses Over 1,900 written comments transcribed (23% of all surveys received had comments) Total of 8,369 survey responses Represents 38.4% of parents Summary of Survey Results • • • • Parents want to continue to have choices for their children. Parents want the ability to choose their neighborhood school and get it. Parents want diversity in their schools. Academics, location and reputation of school are decision factors. Summary of Survey Results • • Strong agreement with parents having choices, duplication of programs, fairness in assignment, siblings in same schools, stability of assignment and proximity preference regardless of other factors. The biggest problem is long bus rides for children who don’t get their first choice. Data on Growth Consultant data on projections of student enrollment growth County Residential Permits Approved Pending Proposed Percent Change in Total Students from 2005-2015 Fishkind Data 2005 Residential Growth Growth Analysis Residential Growth by Current Choice Zone Approved % of Total Pending % of Total Proposed % of Total Total % of Total Choice Zone 1 7,898 9.9 10,291 12.9 10,578 13.2 28,767 36.0 Choice Zone 2 14,575 18.2 32,316 40.5 0 0.0 46,891 58.7 Choice Zone 3 3,281 4.1 952 1.2 0 0.0 4,233 5.3 Total 25,754 32.2 43,559 54.5 10,578 13.2 79,891 100.0 Source: SL County Planning Residential Permit Analysis Map Demographic Overview Current Zone Profiles North, South (Midway Road) Profiles Fort Pierce Profile Data Data was assembled from two independent sources (St Lucie County School System, student data and St Lucie County GIS Department, street centerlines). While efforts were made to reconcile differences, some errors may be included in the final dataset. The dataset was assembled to be a tool, which informs the school assignment process and provides a basis for public discussion and input. User discretion should be employed – especially when using for a small scale analysis. Point in time – May 2005. Data 34,116 students (‘04-’05 St Lucie County School Dataset) 33,552 students “geocoded” or matched to the street map 98.3% overall student locations geocoded Data analysis reflects those that were successfully geocoded. St Lucie County Public School Demographic Profile Racial Socioeconomic Native American, 0.3 Multi-racial, 3.5 African American, 28.1 High 45.9 Low 54.1 White, 49.8 Hispanic, 16.8 Asian, 1.5 Total Population Census 2000: 79% White, 15% African American, 13% Hispanic (of any race) 9,839 Students 29% St Lucie County Students 6,945 Students 21% St Lucie County Students 16,768 Students 50% St Lucie County Students 9,839 Students 29% St Lucie County Students 6,945 Students 21% St Lucie County Students 16,768 Students 50% St Lucie County Students Description of Current Demographics Unique development pattern resulting in high level of racial and economic diversity Pattern of lower socioeconomics in Ft. Pierce Expectation of less socioeconomic diversity in areas of new growth unless affordable housing is required Current Choice Zones: Economic Composition Choice Zone 1 Choice Zone 3 Choice Zone 2 Summary of Current System Current zone system divides lower SES population in Ft. Pierce area into three pieces This helps create zones of more equal socioeconomics that has had many benefits Creates long, narrow north/south lines that increase distances between many people and their assigned schools and cause long bus rides for many students Complex pupil assignment system is difficult to understand and tends to be weighted to the advantage of longer term residents Develop Proposals Our Charge - Specifics Develop options that are: Modifications of current system Complete revisions to that system Show potential impacts to assist decision makers What People Want Everything Choice Neighborhood schools Diversity Short bus rides Access to popular magnets Seats in their closest school Academically successful schools Some “wants” may mean different things to different people may be in conflict with each other Community Consensus Requires an open, impartial process that involves public input and the understanding that there is not a right answer Situation that naturally leads to tense public debate and a “minefield” for school and elected officials The greater community must come together to agree on a solution that deals with the unique situation in St. Lucie County How Other Districts Have Responded Omaha, Nebraska Use socioeconomic (FRL) factors rather than race, provided voluntary options designed to promote desired diversity Prince George County, Maryland Use neighborhood schools with magnets Currently curtailing magnets Experience of Other Districts Austin, Texas Use neighborhood model with voluntary options Charlotte, NC Combined district and sub-district magnet programs with transportation within zones (if seats are available) Use public input process to help with determining new assignment zones Florida Districts Miami-Dade Use Attendance Boundary Committees (ABC), in setting new lines Very successful, but takes longer and involves more staff to get through process Strong structured process that guides them through necessary steps Palm Beach County Use ABC since 1995 that serves in advisory capacity to Superintendent Method involves coordinated planning and growth data, 5 year capital outlay plan, adequate public facilities review process Guidelines are followed when making boundary changes Florida Districts Hillsborough County Broward County Use ABC for last few years Employed magnet schools, starburst assignment, research and development schools, limited open enrollment assignments Other Places – Offer guidance, but SLC has its own unique situation Hillsborough County Variables ethnic diversity socioeconomic diversity student proximity safety growth community issues natural boundaries existing feeder patterns choice plan exceptional student needs SLCS Major Issues Growth – PSL fastest growing town in US last year This has been a catalyst for a range of issues Capacity has become critical issue Socioeconomics – Current systems of zones has helped balance socioeconomic profile of zones Fort Pierce student population has lower income than rest of the district www.census.gov SLCS Major Issues Pupil Assignment process Complex and unpopular with many parents Seen as critical to others Transportation – long rides and high costs, growth/congestion making things worse rapidly How to Proceed 1. Decide Basic Approach 2. Develop Specific Scenarios Advantages Breaks issues down into more manageable pieces for the Board, public Allows for difficult decisions to be taken in logical sequence that is better suited to an open process Gives direction…. Needed for short timeline to do a good job Process Requested Develop options that are: Modifications of current system Complete revisions to that system Show potential impacts to assist decision makers Developing Approaches – Criteria Derived from Parent Survey Choice – continuing to have choices Close to home – getting school assignments closer to home Stability – assignment stability Bus rides – reduces bus rides Diversity – promotes diversity in schools Capacity – Works with school facilities/grade configurations Developing Approaches Reviewed Data and current methods Parent survey Literature and methods used around the country and Florida Examined a range of approaches at HS level Used new GIS tool to develop preliminary idea of impacts Rejected some based on negatives Rejected Approaches No Change Overlays (overlapping zones) Added Complexity Long bus rides could be longer Transportation Zones Growth pressures High level of dissatisfaction with current system Not significantly different from current plan Similar to other approaches considered All Choice Very high expense Longer bus rides 4 Approaches Examined More Closely Modifications and Complete Revisions Show Immediate Impact User Criteria to Review Approach 1-Small Zone Modification Small change Assumptions Capacity per zone and facility not addressed Logical breaking points High schools per zone assigned based on zone lines Major roads Canals Current choice zones 1 and 2 change physical boundaries Since some overlays are already done, students in all zones are impacted HS Student Impact Impact: North Zone (1) West Zone (2) 3,718 HS students in new zone 343 HS students impacted East Zone (3) 2,090 HS students in new zone 807 HS students impacted 2,601HS students in new zone 947 HS students impacted Estimated Impact- 2,100 HS students Diversity Socioeconomic Comparisons 80.0 67.8 70.0 60.8 60.0 Percent 50.0 54.6 45.4 39.2 40.0 High 32.2 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 North West Zone East Low Benefits Choice – continues to allow choice Stability - least disruptive to assignment Diversity - socioeconomic and numerical impact of zones Issues Close to home – more students will be further from home Bus rides - longer Capacity - facilities don’t match well with the change Schools in north are overcrowded Approach 2 – Big Zone Modification Simplified zones that follow geographic lines Assumptions Capacity per zone and facility not addressed 2 High Schools per zone Logical breaking points Major roads Canals HS Student Impact North Zone West Zone 2,237 students in new zone 1,175 HS students impacted East Zone 2,825 students in new zone 1,224 HS students impacted 3,347 students in new zone 1,435 HS students impacted Estimated Impact- 3,834 HS students Diversity Socioeconomic Comparison 80.0 73.5 72.5 70.0 61.2 60.0 Percent 50.0 40.0 38.8 High Low 26.5 30.0 27.5 20.0 10.0 0.0 North West Zone East Benefits Choices – continues to allow choices Close to home - Geographic zones improve proximity to school somewhat Stability – preserves stability Bus rides – reduced somewhat Issues Diversity – less diversity than current plan, but reflects geographic realities Capacity - Facilities adjustments required Approach 3 – Boundaries Revision Traditional boundaries Assumptions Boundaries filled north to south with all HS facilities included – no magnets Logical breaks Major roads Canals Based on estimated capacity (with AAA open) Overall aimed for 75% of capacity More space in South to accommodate growth HS Student Impact Fort Pierce Westwood Lincoln Park Academy 1,215 students in high school boundary 466 HS students impacted 1,431 students in high school boundary 1,254 HS students impacted Fort Pierce Central 1,561 students in high school boundary 1,184 HS students impacted HS Student Impact (cont.) Port St Lucie St Lucie West Centennial 1,281 students in high school boundary 625 HS students impacted New AAA 1,701 students in high school boundary 582 HS students impacted 1,220 students in high school boundary 1,220 HS students impacted (but all would be impacted when new school opens anyway) Estimated Impact- 5,300 HS students Diversity 76.8 80.0 73.4 69.2 70.0 60.0 Percent 50.0 70.4 69.3 54.2 45.8 High 40.0 30.8 Low 30.7 29.6 26.6 30.0 23.2 20.0 10.0 0.0 FPW FPC LPA PSL High School Catchment SLWC AAA Benefits Close to home - Community Schools System of student assignment intuitive Bus Ride – Bus rides / transportation costs reduced Capacity - Facilities match boundaries, but expect split feeder zones for MS and Elem Issues Choice – not available Stability - Loss of assignment stability as new schools are added Diversity - Concentration of low SES population in Ft. Pierce area Approach 4 – Hybrid Revision Includes Boundaries Limited Choice Zone Magnets Assumptions Traditional boundaries for most areas Special zone of choice options for low SES (+80% area) Magnet options retained HS Student Impact Students impacted similar to boundaries Differences would be caused by individual student magnet choices Limited choice zone statistics: 2,242 HS students in limited choice zone 593 HS students impacted Estimated Impact- 5,000 HS students Diversity Diversity would combine the issues of the northern zone approach with the boundary profile in the south Choice zone creates more evenly distributed low SES students across northern schools Benefits Choice for low SES and through magnet programs, though none for majority of students Popular magnet programs maintained Close to home – boundary approach improves proximity to school for most students Bus rides reduced Capacity - Facilities match boundaries Issues Stability - Loss of assignment stability as new schools are added Diversity – reduction in diversity of school populations 4 Approaches 1. Small Zone Modification 2. Large Zone Modification 3. Boundaries 4. Hybrid – boundaries with limited choice zone, magnets Overall Recommendations Consider instituting a committee based on the ABC model for future boundary/assignment changes Work closely with city and county officials to develop strong, unified system for insuring adequate facilities are planned before development can be approved 4 Approaches - Criteria Choice – is there choice? One option allows choice for greatly reduced number Close to home* – overall, are students closer to assigned school Stability – nature of option provide stability? Bus Ride* - based on proximity of students to schools Diversity – defined strictly- whether new zones provide more diversity than current plan Capacity – fit with current facilities Modification vs. Revision and potential HS impact *Some criteria heavily influenced by policies at time of implementation, so potential recognized 4 Approaches - Summary Approach Choices Close to Home Stability Bus ride SES Diversity Capacity Type/ Est. Impact Modification Up to 2100 HS students Modification Up to 3834 HS students Revision Up to 5300 HS students Revision Up to 5000 HS students Public Feedback/Next Steps Board and public input is key to the process success Goal has been to give Board and public background and ideas for proceeding Need feedback, to answer questions so Board is comfortable making decision on approach Then work will begin on specifics recommendations with further public input Timetable May – August August – September Creation of detailed scenarios based on chosen approach Presentation of scenarios to public Analysis of results November Public Analysis of Options, Report back to School Board September – October Data Gathering and Reporting School Board Workshop Public Hearing (as needed for policy changes) December Additional public hearings as necessary Board Workshop on Pupil Assignment St. Lucie County School District August 17, 2005