AP Statistics Day 100 1) Return Chapter 18-19 Quiz 2) Write down something significant that happened in your lifetime --Estimate the proportion of your lifetime that it took for that moment to occur 3) Hypothesis Testing 3 ways 1) Traditional Method 2) P-Value Method 3) Confidence Interval Method 4) Hypothesis Testing -Step 1: -Step 2: -Step 3: -Step 4: -Step 5: 5) (Test of Significance) State the hypotheses Calculate the test statistic (z) Calculate the critical value Calculate the P-value -Note: If using the traditional method, then p-value is not needed -Note: If using confidence interval, then p-value is not needed Make conclusions Step 1: State the hypotheses -Null Hypothesis (Ho): No Change in population -Alternative Hypothesis (Ha or H1): Population differs from the null hypothesis -Can be >, <, ≠ -Read Examples 10.30, 10.31, 10.32 from page 540 in old Statistics book 6) Step 2: Calculate the test statistic (z) -Can be for proportion (p-hat) -Formula page -Can be for mean z or t -Formula page -Can be for deviation -Formula page -Example page 505 7) Step 3: Critical Value -The area of the density curve described by the alternative hypothesis (<, >, ≠) 8) Step 4: Calculate P-Value -P is probability value -Value from back chart 9) Step 5: Make Conclusions -Which is proven true Ho or Ha -Compare P-Value to significance level -If P Value is below alpha, then Ha is true -If P Value is above alpha, then Ho is true 10) Assignment -Page 513/15-18 Hypothesis Testing (Test of Significance) -Step 1: State the hypotheses -Step 2: Calculate the test statistic (z) -Step 3: Calculate the critical value -Step 4: Calculate the P-Value -Note: If using the traditional method, then p-value is not needed -Note: If using confidence interval, then p-value is not needed -Step 5: Make conclusions 9) Assignment -Page 471/13,14