Picturing Distributions with Graphs Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 1 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 2 Statistics is a science that involves the extraction of information from numerical data obtained during an experiment or from a sample. It involves the design of the experiment or sampling procedure, the collection and analysis of the data, and making inferences (statements) about the population based upon information in a sample. Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 3 Individuals the objects described by a set of data may be people, animals, or things Variable any characteristic of an individual can take different values for different individuals Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 4 Categorical Places an individual into one of several groups or categories Quantitative (Numerical) Takes numerical values for which arithmetic operations such as adding and averaging make sense Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 5 Weight Gain Spells Heart Risk for Women “Weight, weight change, and coronary heart disease in women.” W.C. Willett, et. al., vol. 273(6), Journal of the American Medical Association, Feb. 8, 1995. (Reported in Science News, Feb. 4, 1995, p. 108) Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 6 Weight Gain Spells Heart Risk for Women Objective: To recommend a range of body mass index (a function of weight and height) in terms of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in women. Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 7 Study started in 1976 with 115,818 women aged 30 to 55 years and without a history of previous CHD. Each woman’s weight (body mass) was determined. Each woman was asked her weight at age 18. Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 8 The cohort of women were followed for 14 years. The number of CHD (fatal and nonfatal) cases were counted (1292 cases). Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 9 Variables measured quantitative Age (in 1976) Weight in 1976 Weight at age 18 categorical Incidence of coronary heart disease Smoker or nonsmoker Family history of heart disease Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 10 Tells what values a variable takes and how often it takes these values Can be a table, graph, or function Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 11 Categorical variables Pie charts Bar graphs Quantitative variables Histograms Stemplots (stem-and-leaf plots) Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 12 Data Table Year Count Percent Freshman 18 41.9% Sophomore 10 23.3% Junior 6 14.0% Senior 9 20.9% Total 43 100.1% Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 13 Pie Chart Senior 20.9% Freshman 41.9% Junior 14.0% Sophomore 23.3% Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 14 45.0% 41.9% Bar Graph 40.0% 35.0% Percent 30.0% 23.3% 25.0% 20.9% 20.0% 14.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Freshman Sophomore Junior Senior Year in School Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 15 Data Table Material Weight (million tons) Percent of total Food scraps 25.9 11.2 % Glass 12.8 5.5 % Metals 18.0 7.8 % Paper, paperboard 86.7 37.4 % Plastics 24.7 10.7 % Rubber, leather, textiles 15.8 6.8 % Wood 12.7 5.5 % Yard trimmings 27.7 11.9 % Other 7.5 3.2 % Total 231.9 100.0 % Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 16 Pie Chart Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 17 Bar Graph Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 18 Overall pattern of graph Deviations from overall pattern Shape of the data Center of the data Spread of the data (Variation) Outliers Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 19 Symmetric bell shaped other symmetric shapes Asymmetric right skewed left skewed Unimodal, bimodal Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 20 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 21 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 22 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 23 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 24 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 25 Extreme values that fall outside the overall pattern May occur naturally May occur due to error in recording May occur due to error in measuring Observational unit may be fundamentally different Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 26 For quantitative variables that take many values Divide the possible values into class intervals (we will only consider equal widths) Count how many observations fall in each interval (may change to percents) Draw picture representing distribution Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 27 How many intervals? One rule is to calculate the square root of the sample size, and round up. Size of intervals? Divide range of data (maxmin) by number of intervals desired, and round to convenient number Pick intervals so each observation can only fall in exactly one interval (no overlap) Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 28 Weight Data Introductory Statistics class Spring, 1997 Virginia Commonwealth University Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 29 192 152 135 110 128 180 260 170 165 150 110 120 185 165 212 119 165 210 186 100 195 170 120 185 175 203 185 123 139 106 180 130 155 220 140 157 150 172 175 133 Chapter 1 170 130 101 180 187 148 106 180 127 124 BPS - 5th Ed. 215 125 194 30 Weight Group 100 - <120 120 - <140 140 - <160 160 - <180 180 - <200 200 - <220 220 - <240 240 - <260 260 - <280 Count 7 12 7 8 12 4 1 0 1 sqrt(53) = 7.2, or 8 intervals; range (260100=160) / 8 = 20 = class width Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 31 14 Number of students 12 10 8 6 Frequency 4 2 0 100 120 140 160 180 200 Weight 220 240 260 280 * Left endpoint is included in the group, right endpoint is not. Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 32 For quantitative variables Separate each observation into a stem (first part of the number) and a leaf (the remaining part of the number) Write the stems in a vertical column; draw a vertical line to the right of the stems Write each leaf in the row to the right of its stem; order leaves if desired Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 33 1 2 192 152 135 110 128 180 260 170 165 150 110 120 185 165 212 119 165 210 186 100 195 170 120 185 175 203 185 123 139 106 180 130 155 220 140 157 150 172 175 133 Chapter 1 170 130 101 180 187 148 106 180 127 124 BPS - 5th Ed. 215 125 194 34 Key 20|3 means 203 pounds Stems = 10’s Leaves = 1’s 10 11 12 13 5 14 15 2 16 17 18 19 2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 192 152 135 35 Key 20|3 means 203 pounds Stems = 10’s Leaves = 1’s 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Chapter 1 0166 009 0034578 00359 08 00257 555 000255 000055567 245 3 025 0 0 BPS - 5th Ed. 36 If there are very few stems (when the data cover only a very small range of values), then we may want to create more stems by splitting the original stems. Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 37 Example: if all of the data values were between 150 and 179, then we may choose to use the following stems: 15 15 16 16 17 17 Leaves 0-4 would go on each upper stem (first “15”), and leaves 5-9 would go on each lower stem (second “15”). Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 38 A time plot shows behavior over time. Time is always on the horizontal axis, and the variable being measured is on the vertical axis. Look for an overall pattern (trend), and deviations from this trend. Connecting the data points by lines may emphasize this trend. Look for patterns that repeat at known regular intervals (seasonal variations). Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 39 Class Make-up On First Day 70% 60% Percent of Class That Are Freshman 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Year of Fall Semester Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 40 Average Tuition (Public vs. Private) Chapter 1 BPS - 5th Ed. 41